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On April 23, the Bank of Korea stated on Thursday that global demand for artificial intelligence technology drove export growth, resulting in a strong rebound in the South Korean economy at the beginning of the year. The countrys GDP grew by 1.7% quarter-on-quarter in the first quarter of this year, reversing the contraction expected in the fourth quarter of 2025 and marking the fastest growth since the third quarter of 2020. This figure exceeded the consensus forecast of 0.9% in institutional surveys and even surpassed the most optimistic predictions. Data showed that chip exports increased by 139.1% year-on-year in the first quarter, more than double the growth rate of the previous quarter, with overall export growth reaching its highest monthly rate since 2021. Construction investment and equipment investment grew by 2.8% and 4.8%, respectively. However, risks remain for the South Korean economy, whose growth momentum has been volatile in recent quarters. Consumer confidence fell to a 10-month low in March as the war with Iran cast a shadow over growth and price prospects.On April 23, White House National Economic Council Director Hassett expressed support for Federal Reserve Chairman Powells plan—to remain as Fed chairman temporarily if his successor is not confirmed by the Senate by the end of his term in May. Hassett stated on Wednesday, "I think this is the proper legal understanding." Trump has nominated Warsh to succeed Powell, but Republicans currently do not have enough votes to move the nomination from the Senate Banking Committee to the Senate for confirmation. Republican Senator Thom Tillis indicated he would postpone the vote until the Justice Department ceases its alleged "sham" investigation into cost overruns in the Fed building renovation project. Speaking about Warsh, Hassett said, "We are very confident that he will become chairman in the appropriate time. I believe there will be discussions about how to proceed."SK Hynix: Storage efficiency technology is expected to expand the overall market; for server chips, the demand base for both DRAM and NAND is expanding; demand for PC/smartphone chips is showing some signs of weakness.1. WeChat Pay integrates QR codes from five countries. 2. TSMC showcases next-generation chip technology to bypass ASMLs expensive new equipment. 3. Li Auto denies involvement in smuggling: has never participated and will assist police investigation. 4. Tencent and Alibaba reportedly in talks to invest in DeepSeek, potentially valuing the company at over $20 billion. 5. Google Cloud AI usage reaches 16 billion tokens per minute. 6. Strong demand for memory chips drives SK Hynixs quarterly profit up 406%. 7. Nvidia participates in Vast Datas latest funding round, raising its valuation to $30 billion. 8. Teslas Q1 revenue slightly missed expectations, but free cash flow and gross margin exceeded expectations. 9. SK Hynix will invest 19 trillion won to build a new chip factory. The advanced packaging plant will begin construction in April. On April 23, SK Hynix of South Korea reported a 406% increase in quarterly profit, driven by strong demand for advanced and traditional memory chips fueled by the artificial intelligence boom. The Nvidia supplier reported operating profit of 37.6 trillion won ($25.42 billion) for the January-March period, up from 7.4 trillion won in the same period last year, and in line with analysts forecasts of 37.9 trillion won.

As risk aversion grows as measured by the DXY and as attention turns to the US NFP, USD/CHF goes closer to 0.9600

Alina Haynes

Aug 03, 2022 14:51

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In reaction to the dismal market environment, the US dollar index (DXY) has gained, and the USD/CHF pair is swiftly approaching the key level of 0.9600. After defending Monday's low around 0.9480, the pair had a greater reverse on Tuesday, as the risk-aversion theme strengthened the attraction of the DXY.

 

Following US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's travel to Taiwan to support Taiwan's local government despite China's wishes, tensions between the US and China have increased. In reaction to the death threats made against Pelosi during her private travel to Taiwan, the US is anticipated to adopt sanctions against China, which encouraged the gloomy market sentiment.

 

In the meanwhile, the DXY has achieved a three-day high of 106.55, although the gain may wane ahead of Friday's US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. According to market expectations, the U.S. economy added 250,000 jobs to the labor force in July.

 

During a brief period, a number of significant IT companies in the United States abandoned the hiring process, resulting in payroll statistics that multiplied. If the same thing occurs, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will be compelled to speak less about policy rates.

 

On the Swiss franc front, investors anticipate the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers. An early estimate of the annual inflation rate places it at 3.5%, little higher than the prior estimate of 3.4%. As a result, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) will be compelled to boost interest rates.