• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
Hong Kong-listed biopharmaceutical stocks rose amid volatility, with Innovent Biologics (09969.HK) surging over 4%, and other stocks such as Zai Lab (09688.HK), WuXi AppTec (02359.HK), WuXi Biologics (02269.HK), and Henlius Biotech (02696.HK) following suit.Hong Kong-listed new energy vehicle stocks fluctuated higher, with NIO (09866.HK) and Xiaomi Group (01810.HK) both rising by more than 3%, and Leapmotor (09863.HK), Li Auto (02015.HK), BYD (01211.HK), XPeng Motors (09868.HK) and other stocks following suit.1. Barclays: Expects to keep interest rates unchanged and may not make a clear statement on the timing of future rate cuts. A rate cut could come as early as next month, with lower inflation expectations and a weak labor market reinforcing the view that rates will be cut. 2. Goldman Sachs: Expects to keep interest rates unchanged. The vote was 7-2, and a rate cut could be more widely supported. Bailey may reiterate that there is room for rate cuts. A weak labor market will push for rate cuts to 3% in March, June, and September. 3. Capital Economics: Expects to keep interest rates unchanged, or may suggest that the next rate cut is not imminent and that rates may not fall significantly. If the prediction that CPI will fall below 2.0% comes true, then interest rates will fall to 3% instead of 3.5%. 4. Mitsubishi UFJ: Expects to keep interest rates unchanged due to stronger economic growth momentum. The more likely scenario now is a rate cut in May and another in August, bringing the benchmark rate down to 3.25%. 5. HSBC: Expected to keep interest rates unchanged. Unlike the European Central Bank, the Bank of England seems less concerned about the deflationary effects of further dollar depreciation, which could support the pound against the euro in the short term. 6. Scotiabank: Expected to keep interest rates unchanged. Since last August, the cycle of switching between rate cuts and maintaining rates has become longer, and the bank may lack a sense of urgency to cut rates. One or two more rate cuts are expected this year. 7. DBS Bank: Expected to keep interest rates unchanged. Bank of England Governor Bailey previously warned that future easing decisions would be more cautious and dependent on economic data. The pound/dollar should maintain a weak bias. 8. Oxford Economics: Expected to keep interest rates unchanged. If upcoming data gives the bank more confidence that wage growth is cooling, the next rate cut is likely to occur at the April meeting. 9. JPMorgan Chase: Expected to keep interest rates unchanged, with a 7-2 vote. The bank will raise its short-term unemployment forecast and lower its recent average wage growth and inflation forecasts, which will provide data support for a rate cut in March. 10. Nordea: Expects to keep interest rates unchanged due to more cautious wording in the previous forward guidance. The first rate cut is anticipated in March, but recent stronger growth momentum and risks favor a delay to April. 11. Trade France: Expects to keep interest rates unchanged and signal a gradual approach to rate cuts. Key swing trader Bailey is expected to support holding rates steady. A rate cut is expected at the end of April, with a high probability of two more cuts this year. 12. Morgan Stanley: Expects to keep interest rates unchanged, with a 6-3 vote and a riskier 5-4 outcome. Policy guidance is not expected to change. The terminal interest rate is expected to be 3%, with rate cuts in March, July, and November. Roth MKM: Raises Alphabet (GOOG.O) price target from $365 to $395.Sony (SONY.N): In talks with suppliers to increase memory supply; PS5-specific memory has been secured for this years holiday sales season.

NZD/USD falls rapidly from 0.6260 when the RBNZ announces a decline in inflation projections to 3.07 percent

Daniel Rogers

Aug 08, 2022 12:00

 截屏2022-08-08 上午11.52.29.png

 

The NZD/USD pair has encountered selling pressure while attempting to surpass the immediate resistance level of 0.6260. The asset has seen bids after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) announced inflation estimates at 3.07 percent, down from 3.29 percent previously. It could be an indication of waning price pressure, but additional evidence is still needed to support the argument.

 

Price pressures in the New Zealand economy are increasing and have not yet shown signs of weariness. A June report indicates that an inflation rate of 7.3% is adequate to generate headwinds for families. The RBNZ is consistently escalating its policy tightening measures to combat the same. RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr has already increased the Official Cash Rate by 2.50 percentage points.

 

On the front of the US dollar, the US dollar index (DXY) has returned all intraday gains and is currently trading near the day's open at 106.60. While attempting to break over the crucial resistance level of 106.80, the DXY has encountered selling pressure. This week, investors' attention is centered on Wednesday's release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI).

 

The annual inflation rate is projected to continue at 8.7 percent, down from 9.1 percent in the previous report. Oil prices have been on a downward trend in July, which may be the determining factor for a significant decline in the price increase index. While the US CPI excluding volatile food and oil prices may increase from 5.9 percent to 6.1 percent, the previous reading was 5.9 percent.