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On January 21st, star analyst Lu Dong stated that Hong Kong stocks will continue last years upward trend in 2026. Currently, the Hang Seng Index valuation is still below its historical average of 14-15 times. To return to these historical average multiples, given the current number of Hang Seng Index constituent stocks (over 80, unlike the earlier period with only 30), Hong Kong stocks have the potential to rise to between 30,000 and 31,000 points. "I think challenging 30,000 points in 2026 shouldnt be too difficult." In an interview with Bank of East Asia, Lu Dong mentioned that national policies supporting A-share to H-share conversions have led to a booming Hong Kong IPO market, which he believes will continue this year. The trend of funds chasing the technology sector seems to be continuing, while avoiding heavy asset and real estate sectors. He believes that technology and new energy sectors will continue to perform well. Regarding northbound capital, he believes there is room for an increase in its share of Hong Kong stock market turnover this year. As mainland companies convert from A-shares to H-shares for listing in Hong Kong, and given that H-shares are generally cheaper than A-shares, northbound capital will be more inclined to invest in Hong Kong.According to Nikkei: Mitsubishi Motors President Kato will assume the role of CEO and Chairman on April 1.South Korean stocks narrowed losses in early trading on Wednesday, January 21st, as chipmakers regained momentum on optimistic export data and automakers jumped on optimism regarding robotics. Data showed that South Koreas exports in the first 20 days of January increased by 14.9% year-on-year, with semiconductor exports surging 70%. Following the data release, chipmaker Samsung Electronics rose as much as 3%, and SK Hynix gained 1%. Hyundai Motor climbed 9% to a record high, recovering from Tuesdays decline due to profit-taking pressure. However, most other index-weighted stocks still fell, including battery manufacturers, pharmaceutical companies, and e-commerce companies.On January 21, the State Council Information Office held a press conference to introduce the achievements of industrial and information technology development by 2025. Tao Qing, Director of the Bureau of Operation Monitoring and Coordination of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, stated that since the beginning of the 14th Five-Year Plan, breakthroughs have been achieved in a number of key materials. High-performance carbon fiber composite materials have been used for the first time globally in the main load-bearing structures of commercially operated subway trains, achieving an 11% weight reduction for the entire vehicle. Going forward, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology will focus on meeting the practical needs of key application areas, aiming to lead industrial development through material innovation. The development direction will be advanced basic materials, key strategic materials, cutting-edge new materials, and artificial intelligence + materials. The entire chain of advanced materials will be promoted through collaborative innovation, strengthening policy coordination, financial support, talent supply, and factor guarantees to create a favorable ecosystem for the research and application of new materials and comprehensively enhance the innovation capabilities and development efficiency of the new materials industry.On January 21st, the overnight SHIBOR was 1.3220%, down 5.20 basis points; the 7-day SHIBOR was 1.4880%, up 0.50 basis points; the 14-day SHIBOR was 1.5970%, up 1.50 basis points; the 1-month SHIBOR was 1.5590%, down 0.10 basis points; and the 3-month SHIBOR was 1.6000%, unchanged from the previous trading day.

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Protects NZ Inflation-Induced Support Break; 0.6140 in Sight

Daniel Rogers

Apr 20, 2023 13:51

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During the mid-Asian session on Thursday, NZD/USD bears maintain control at the lowest levels in five weeks while defending New Zealand (NZ) losses caused by inflation near 0.6160. This justifies not only the weaker-than-anticipated New Zealand inflation, but also the recent break of one-month-old horizontal support, which is now immediate resistance, as well as the bearish MACD signals.

 

As measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) policy purists were unpleasantly surprised by New Zealand's (NZ) first-quarter (Q1) inflation. Despite this, the Quarter-over-Quarter change in the New Zealand Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreases from 1.7% and 1.4%, respectively, to 1.2%.

 

Following the publication of disappointing data, the NZD/USD pair breached a one-month-old horizontal support level, which is now acting as a barrier near 0.6170. The bearish MACD signals are now directing NZD/USD traders toward a horizontal support level that has been in place for 1.5 months and is located near 0.6140.

 

If the NZD/USD bears remain dominant above 0.6140, the 2023 low of 0.6085 cannot be ruled out.

 

The 200-day simple moving average hurdle of 0.6220 becomes crucial for NZD/USD investors to return.

 

If the NZD/USD pair remains above 0.6220, a run up to the previous weekly high around 0.6315 and then to the monthly high of 0.6386 cannot be ruled out.