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March 11 (Futures News) – According to foreign media reports, Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) corn futures fell for the second consecutive trading day on Tuesday, with the benchmark contract closing down 0.3%, mainly due to a sharp decline in international crude oil futures. Trumps prediction that the war with Iran might end soon lowered market expectations for prolonged supply disruptions, causing crude oil prices to plummet by more than 13% on Tuesday. The previous trading day had seen prices surge to their highest level since 2022. Reports indicated that a convoy of at least 25 supertankers was diverting to the Red Sea due to shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. This news also negatively impacted the crude oil market. The USDAs supply and demand report showed that U.S. corn ending stocks for 2025/26 remained unchanged at 2.127 billion bushels, lower than the market expectation of 2.155 billion bushels. Brazils corn production forecast was revised upward by 1 million tons to 132 million tons, while Argentinas production forecast was revised downward by 1 million tons to 52 million tons.On March 11th, according to foreign media reports, soybean oil futures on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) closed lower on Tuesday, with the benchmark contract down 0.7%, mainly due to a sharp drop in international crude oil futures. International crude oil futures plummeted by over 11% on Tuesday as US President Trumps statement that the war between the US and Iran would end quickly eased concerns about long-term global supply disruptions, putting downward pressure on the Chicago soybean oil market. The USDAs supply and demand report showed that soybean oil production was slightly revised down to 29.92 billion pounds, despite an increase in crush volume forecasts, due to a lower soybean oil extraction rate. Domestic soybean oil consumption in the US was slightly revised down, with a decrease in soybean oil usage in the biofuel industry, but this was largely offset by an increase in usage in the food, feed, and industrial (FSI) sector. The expected soybean oil usage in the biofuel industry was lowered by 800 million pounds to 14 billion pounds, while ending stocks were slightly revised up to 1.782 billion pounds. The 2025/26 US soybean oil price forecast was raised by 2 cents to 55 cents per pound.On March 11th, according to foreign media reports, Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) soybean futures closed higher on Tuesday, with the benchmark contract rising 0.6%. Despite a sharp drop in international crude oil futures, Chicago soybean futures still closed higher. The U.S. Department of Agriculture released its highly anticipated monthly supply and demand report in the morning, but the market reaction was muted due to minimal adjustments in the data. The 2025/26 U.S. soybean ending stocks forecast remained unchanged at 350 million bushels, higher than analysts forecast of 343 million bushels. Brazilian soybean production was estimated at 180 million tons, while Argentinas production forecast was lowered to 48 million tons from 48.5 million tons last month. Global soybean ending stocks for 2025/26 are projected at 125.31 million tons, a decrease of 200,000 tons from February. Traders quickly refocused their attention on the impact of the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, U.S. spring planting intentions, and upcoming biofuel policies.Japans corporate goods price index fell 0.1% month-on-month in February, in line with expectations and down from 0.20% in the previous month.Japans corporate goods price index rose 2% year-on-year in February, below the expected 2.1% and the previous reading of 2.30%.

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Protects NZ Inflation-Induced Support Break; 0.6140 in Sight

Daniel Rogers

Apr 20, 2023 13:51

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During the mid-Asian session on Thursday, NZD/USD bears maintain control at the lowest levels in five weeks while defending New Zealand (NZ) losses caused by inflation near 0.6160. This justifies not only the weaker-than-anticipated New Zealand inflation, but also the recent break of one-month-old horizontal support, which is now immediate resistance, as well as the bearish MACD signals.

 

As measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) policy purists were unpleasantly surprised by New Zealand's (NZ) first-quarter (Q1) inflation. Despite this, the Quarter-over-Quarter change in the New Zealand Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreases from 1.7% and 1.4%, respectively, to 1.2%.

 

Following the publication of disappointing data, the NZD/USD pair breached a one-month-old horizontal support level, which is now acting as a barrier near 0.6170. The bearish MACD signals are now directing NZD/USD traders toward a horizontal support level that has been in place for 1.5 months and is located near 0.6140.

 

If the NZD/USD bears remain dominant above 0.6140, the 2023 low of 0.6085 cannot be ruled out.

 

The 200-day simple moving average hurdle of 0.6220 becomes crucial for NZD/USD investors to return.

 

If the NZD/USD pair remains above 0.6220, a run up to the previous weekly high around 0.6315 and then to the monthly high of 0.6386 cannot be ruled out.