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On September 5th, a new assessment report released by US intelligence agencies indicated that more than six months after the US military action against Iran, Iran has become "more confident" in its ability to strike US targets in the Middle East and appears determined to continue its confrontation with the US, at least until the US midterm elections in November. According to US sources on September 4th, several US officials, after reviewing the latest intelligence assessment report, disclosed that the report shows that after months of fighting, Iran has a clearer understanding of its own "military strength" and is more convinced of the importance of the Strait of Hormuz. It is understood that, currently, although Iran is under dual military and economic pressure from the US, there is no indication that Iran intends to reach any form of agreement with the US. If Iran is attacked again, its reaction may be similar to before, namely, retaliating against US military bases and other targets in the Middle East. Some US officials believe that Iran may be trying to delay the war at least until the US midterm elections in November, and that Iran believes the US military is unable to launch a large-scale strike due to depleted weapons stockpiles.September 5th - According to Daqing Oilfield, as of August 31st, the Maokou Formation in the Sichuan-Chongqing exploration area of Daqing Oilfield has produced a cumulative total of 1.001 billion cubic meters of natural gas in 2026, breaking the 1 billion cubic meter mark for the first time. This marks a significant leap forward in the large-scale and efficient development of this formation, further strengthening my countrys stable oil and gas supply and ensuring supply during the winter.September 5 - A Chinese citizen trapped in a landslide-stricken area of Rasuwa, northern Nepal, was rescued on September 5 local time.On September 5, International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director General Grossi announced that a partial ceasefire had been reinstated around the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant under IAEA mediation to facilitate repairs to damaged power lines and restore external power to the plant. The Zaporizhia plant lost connection to its last external power line on August 20 due to military activity and has since relied on emergency diesel generators to provide cooling power to its six reactors and spent fuel pool. The IAEA stated that the plants diesel reserves are dwindling, and if external power cannot be restored or more fuel cannot be delivered in time, the plant may face a complete power outage in the coming days. Under the temporary ceasefire, Ukrainian technicians will begin repairing the power lines after clearing mines from the affected area. IAEA personnel will monitor the repair process. Grossi stated that this is the seventh such temporary ceasefire he has brokered to reduce nuclear safety risks at the Zaporizhia plant since the start of the Russia-Ukraine conflict.The U.S. Geological Survey reported that a 4.4-magnitude earthquake struck 77 kilometers east-southeast of La Tirana, Chile, at a depth of 109.4 kilometers.

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Protects NZ Inflation-Induced Support Break; 0.6140 in Sight

Daniel Rogers

Apr 20, 2023 13:51

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During the mid-Asian session on Thursday, NZD/USD bears maintain control at the lowest levels in five weeks while defending New Zealand (NZ) losses caused by inflation near 0.6160. This justifies not only the weaker-than-anticipated New Zealand inflation, but also the recent break of one-month-old horizontal support, which is now immediate resistance, as well as the bearish MACD signals.

 

As measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) policy purists were unpleasantly surprised by New Zealand's (NZ) first-quarter (Q1) inflation. Despite this, the Quarter-over-Quarter change in the New Zealand Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreases from 1.7% and 1.4%, respectively, to 1.2%.

 

Following the publication of disappointing data, the NZD/USD pair breached a one-month-old horizontal support level, which is now acting as a barrier near 0.6170. The bearish MACD signals are now directing NZD/USD traders toward a horizontal support level that has been in place for 1.5 months and is located near 0.6140.

 

If the NZD/USD bears remain dominant above 0.6140, the 2023 low of 0.6085 cannot be ruled out.

 

The 200-day simple moving average hurdle of 0.6220 becomes crucial for NZD/USD investors to return.

 

If the NZD/USD pair remains above 0.6220, a run up to the previous weekly high around 0.6315 and then to the monthly high of 0.6386 cannot be ruled out.