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July 28 - According to Axios, senior U.S. officials believe that economic sanctions could ultimately cause more damage to the Tehran regime than a military strike. U.S. intelligence and open-source media reports point to a deepening economic crisis within Iran, including gasoline shortages in one of the worlds richest oil-producing nations. A senior U.S. government official stated, "The Iranians want to stop being bombed, and they want money. But the priorities are almost reversed—their real priority is money." Another U.S. official acknowledged that sanctions and a naval blockade would take much longer than bombing to force Tehran back to the negotiating table—and Trump has so far not approved a full-scale bombing campaign. This extended front could increase the political risk for Republicans, forcing them to defend an unpopular war and high oil prices during the midterm election campaign.Japans Topix index fell further to 2%.According to Axios, U.S. officials believe that economic sanctions could cause more harm to Iran than bombing.July 28 (Futures News) – According to foreign media reports, Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) corn futures closed lower on Monday, with the benchmark contract down 2.9%, mainly reflecting the plunge in crude oil futures following the pause in the US-Iran conflict. Oil prices fell to their lowest point in a week on Monday. The USs sudden suspension of airstrikes against Iran over the weekend boosted hopes for a diplomatic solution to the conflict, de-escalation, and the resumption of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. Agricultural product prices are typically influenced by the energy market, especially given the rapid growth in demand for agricultural products in biofuel production. One analyst stated that improved weather in the US Midwest was also a factor contributing to the plunge in futures prices. Commodity Weather Group indicated that temperatures in the Midwest are expected to ease after the weekends high temperatures, and upcoming rainfall will help alleviate drought pressures in agricultural areas.July 28 (Futures News) – According to foreign media reports, soybean oil futures on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) closed sharply lower on Monday, with the benchmark contract down 3.4%, hitting a two-week low, mainly dragged down by a plunge in crude oil futures. Crude oil prices plummeted in response to the Trump administrations suspension of the war on Iraq, hoping to reach a peaceful solution through diplomatic means and reopen the Strait of Hormuz; Brent crude futures fell nearly 9% that day. Soybean oil is a key raw material for biofuel production and is therefore frequently affected by fluctuations in the crude oil market.

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Protects NZ Inflation-Induced Support Break; 0.6140 in Sight

Daniel Rogers

Apr 20, 2023 13:51

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During the mid-Asian session on Thursday, NZD/USD bears maintain control at the lowest levels in five weeks while defending New Zealand (NZ) losses caused by inflation near 0.6160. This justifies not only the weaker-than-anticipated New Zealand inflation, but also the recent break of one-month-old horizontal support, which is now immediate resistance, as well as the bearish MACD signals.

 

As measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) policy purists were unpleasantly surprised by New Zealand's (NZ) first-quarter (Q1) inflation. Despite this, the Quarter-over-Quarter change in the New Zealand Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreases from 1.7% and 1.4%, respectively, to 1.2%.

 

Following the publication of disappointing data, the NZD/USD pair breached a one-month-old horizontal support level, which is now acting as a barrier near 0.6170. The bearish MACD signals are now directing NZD/USD traders toward a horizontal support level that has been in place for 1.5 months and is located near 0.6140.

 

If the NZD/USD bears remain dominant above 0.6140, the 2023 low of 0.6085 cannot be ruled out.

 

The 200-day simple moving average hurdle of 0.6220 becomes crucial for NZD/USD investors to return.

 

If the NZD/USD pair remains above 0.6220, a run up to the previous weekly high around 0.6315 and then to the monthly high of 0.6386 cannot be ruled out.