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Futures data for September 16: 1. WTI crude oil futures trading volume was 573,921 contracts, down 339,581 contracts from the previous trading day. Open interest was 1,949,878 contracts, down 16,733 contracts from the previous trading day. 2. Brent crude oil futures trading volume was 81,265 contracts, down 105,520 contracts from the previous trading day. Open interest was 203,946 contracts, down 468 contracts from the previous trading day. 3. Natural gas futures trading volume was 404,152 contracts, down 102,010 contracts from the previous trading day. Open interest was 1,640,220 contracts, down 5,748 contracts from the previous trading day.On September 16, Assistant Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), Greg Hunt, stated that the central bank is "very close" to returning inflation to the midpoint of its 2%-3% target range, while the economy is nearing full employment. "We are monitoring the situation and will remain on the sidelines," Hunt said at an industry event in Sydney on Tuesday. "The committee will formulate policy accordingly. While its impossible to predict the future completely, for now we want to maintain the status quo." The RBA will hold its next meeting on September 29-30, and most economists and traders expect it to maintain the cash rate at 3.6%. Economists generally predict the bank will cut interest rates for the fourth time this year in November, followed by another cut early next year, bringing the terminal rate to 3.1%.On September 16th, in response to a users question about whether the Macrohard project was being advanced, Musk replied, "We are indeed spray-painting the words MACROHARD on the roof of the Colossus II supercomputing cluster in Memphis, large enough to be seen from space." Musk had previously stated that he was planning to establish a pure AI software company called Macrohard. The name was a bit of a joke, but the project itself was real. At the time, he also explained, "Given that software companies like Microsoft dont produce physical hardware themselves, it should be feasible to fully simulate it using AI."SK On announced on September 16th the completion of a pilot plant for all-solid-state batteries at its Future Technology Center in Yucheng District, Daejeon, South Korea. This pilot production line will primarily be used to provide trial products to customers and systematically evaluate and verify product quality and performance. The approximately 4,628-square-meter facility will be used by SK On to develop sulfide-based all-solid-state batteries, with some production lines also developing solid-state lithium metal batteries. SK On plans to commercialize all-solid-state batteries in 2029, a year ahead of its original target of 2030.Futures News, September 16th. Economies.com analysts latest view today: WTI crude oil futures prices have risen in recent intraday trading, thanks to their stable trading above the 50-period exponential moving average (EMA50), which has provided effective support for the intraday rebound attempt. Nevertheless, the dominant downtrend remains in effect in the short term, and prices are trading along a suppressive trendline, which limits the upward momentum and weakens the possibility of a continued rebound. In addition, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has shown negative technical signs after reaching clear overbought territory, suggesting the risk of a short-term weakening of upward momentum.

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Protects NZ Inflation-Induced Support Break; 0.6140 in Sight

Daniel Rogers

Apr 20, 2023 13:51

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During the mid-Asian session on Thursday, NZD/USD bears maintain control at the lowest levels in five weeks while defending New Zealand (NZ) losses caused by inflation near 0.6160. This justifies not only the weaker-than-anticipated New Zealand inflation, but also the recent break of one-month-old horizontal support, which is now immediate resistance, as well as the bearish MACD signals.

 

As measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) policy purists were unpleasantly surprised by New Zealand's (NZ) first-quarter (Q1) inflation. Despite this, the Quarter-over-Quarter change in the New Zealand Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreases from 1.7% and 1.4%, respectively, to 1.2%.

 

Following the publication of disappointing data, the NZD/USD pair breached a one-month-old horizontal support level, which is now acting as a barrier near 0.6170. The bearish MACD signals are now directing NZD/USD traders toward a horizontal support level that has been in place for 1.5 months and is located near 0.6140.

 

If the NZD/USD bears remain dominant above 0.6140, the 2023 low of 0.6085 cannot be ruled out.

 

The 200-day simple moving average hurdle of 0.6220 becomes crucial for NZD/USD investors to return.

 

If the NZD/USD pair remains above 0.6220, a run up to the previous weekly high around 0.6315 and then to the monthly high of 0.6386 cannot be ruled out.