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On August 30th, Finnish President Alexander Stubb stated on Saturday that he does not believe Russia will attack NATO, "the worlds most powerful military alliance." However, in an interview with the German newspaper Bild, he said NATO should "prepare for the worst to prevent it from happening." Stubb pointed out that Russia has lost more soldiers than it recruited and judged that Russia may mobilize more troops in the fall, although this move would have "domestic political implications." He said Moscow is in an "increasingly complex situation," but emphasized that Russia will not end the conflict due to an economic downturn. He stated, "Never underestimate how much economic hardship the Russians can withstand."On August 30th, Yonhap News Agency reported that US President Trumps financial disclosures revealed he traded shares of e-commerce giant Coupang Inc. twice in June through a fund manager. Meanwhile, tensions between the US and South Korea continue to escalate over South Koreas regulatory handling of the massive data breach at the US-listed e-commerce giant. In July, the US House Judiciary Committee released a temporary staff report accusing the South Korean government of carrying out a "discriminatory attack" against Coupang and all other US companies, stating that Coupang has been a "consistently targeted entity."On August 30, Iraqi Prime Ministers Security Advisor Qassem Araji stated in a recent interview with Al Jazeera that Iraq maintains "good relations" with both Iran and the United States and seeks to act as a "bridge" for communication among all parties to reach an agreement that safeguards the interests of the entire region. He added that Iran has emphasized the necessity of eliminating extremist groups within Iraq.On August 30th, SK Hynix CEO Guo Luzheng stated that the company remains open to further investment in the US semiconductor industry, while predicting that the global memory chip shortage will continue until the end of 2030. "We are always open to more investment, but no decisions have been made yet," Guo Luzheng said. He stated that SK Hynix is searching globally for potential sites that can meet its R&D and testing needs, noting that electricity, water resources, and government incentives are key considerations. Guo Luzheng said, "We are open to any location that can provide sufficient infrastructure and resources." He also expressed hope that the company will bring "more good news" to the US artificial intelligence industry in the future.Iraqi Prime Ministers Security Advisor Qassem Araj: Iraq seeks to become a "bridge" between Iran and the United States.

US Dollar Index Recovers From Weekly Low Due To Weak US Inflation And Hawkish Federal Reserve Bets

Daniel Rogers

Feb 15, 2023 14:41

US Dollar Index.png 

 

During early Wednesday trade, the US Dollar Index (DXY) maintains a defensive stance at 103.30, following a comeback from a one-week low, as dollar bulls await fresh evidence to reverse a two-day decline.

 

US inflation numbers initially failed to excite US Dollar bulls, forcing the dollar's index against six major currencies to drop to its lowest level in a week the previous day. The US Treasury bond yield and the DXY, however, were later buoyed by the Fed's hawkish remarks.

 

The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) exceeded market expectations with a 6.4% year-over-year (YoY) increase, although it was the worst YoY growth since 2021, when it fell below 6.5%. Importantly, the CPI excluding food and energy, often known as the Core CPI, rose by 5.6% compared to market forecasts of 5.5% and prior readings of 5.5%.

 

In spite of the fact that the United States inflation failed to meet expectations for a "pleasant surprise," the majority of Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers supported more rate hikes after reviewing the data. The yields on US Treasury bonds and the US Dollar were driven by the same factor. Lorie Logan, president of the Dallas Fed, highlighted, however, that they must be prepared to continue rate hikes for a longer period of time than initially anticipated. John Williams, president of the New York Federal Reserve Bank, reiterated this attitude, noting that the task of containing high inflation is not yet accomplished. In addition, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Patrick Harker, stated that they are not yet through (increasing interest rates), but are likely close.

 

As a result, US 10-year Treasury bond rates vary around 3.75%, up three basis points (bps) after reaching a six-week high, while the two-year equivalent reached its highest level since early November 2022 by reaching 4.60%. Similarly, Wall Street's losses towards the conclusion of the day boosted the DXY's increase.

 

US Retail Sales and Industrial Production data for January, as well as the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index for February, should be closely monitored by traders of the US Dollar Index on Wednesday in order to validate the Fed's hawkish lean and continue the recovery's momentum.


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