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On August 30th, Finnish President Alexander Stubb stated on Saturday that he does not believe Russia will attack NATO, "the worlds most powerful military alliance." However, in an interview with the German newspaper Bild, he said NATO should "prepare for the worst to prevent it from happening." Stubb pointed out that Russia has lost more soldiers than it recruited and judged that Russia may mobilize more troops in the fall, although this move would have "domestic political implications." He said Moscow is in an "increasingly complex situation," but emphasized that Russia will not end the conflict due to an economic downturn. He stated, "Never underestimate how much economic hardship the Russians can withstand."On August 30th, Yonhap News Agency reported that US President Trumps financial disclosures revealed he traded shares of e-commerce giant Coupang Inc. twice in June through a fund manager. Meanwhile, tensions between the US and South Korea continue to escalate over South Koreas regulatory handling of the massive data breach at the US-listed e-commerce giant. In July, the US House Judiciary Committee released a temporary staff report accusing the South Korean government of carrying out a "discriminatory attack" against Coupang and all other US companies, stating that Coupang has been a "consistently targeted entity."On August 30, Iraqi Prime Ministers Security Advisor Qassem Araji stated in a recent interview with Al Jazeera that Iraq maintains "good relations" with both Iran and the United States and seeks to act as a "bridge" for communication among all parties to reach an agreement that safeguards the interests of the entire region. He added that Iran has emphasized the necessity of eliminating extremist groups within Iraq.On August 30th, SK Hynix CEO Guo Luzheng stated that the company remains open to further investment in the US semiconductor industry, while predicting that the global memory chip shortage will continue until the end of 2030. "We are always open to more investment, but no decisions have been made yet," Guo Luzheng said. He stated that SK Hynix is searching globally for potential sites that can meet its R&D and testing needs, noting that electricity, water resources, and government incentives are key considerations. Guo Luzheng said, "We are open to any location that can provide sufficient infrastructure and resources." He also expressed hope that the company will bring "more good news" to the US artificial intelligence industry in the future.Iraqi Prime Ministers Security Advisor Qassem Araj: Iraq seeks to become a "bridge" between Iran and the United States.

EUR/USD Struggles Below 1.0700 As US Data Fuel Hawkish Fed Predictions, Lagarde of the ECB Supports Higher Interest Rates

Daniel Rogers

Feb 16, 2023 14:51

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The EUR/USD pair approaches 1.0690 but struggles to prolong the recovery from late Wednesday to early Thursday. Notwithstanding, the major currency pair dropped the most in a week as US data bolstered Fed bets and pushed US Treasury bond yields and the US Dollar to multi-day highs. Christine Lagarde's recent hawkish comments on the European Central Bank (ECB) looked to have strengthened prices.

 

In spite of this, US 10-year Treasury bond yields surged to a fresh six-week high, and the US Dollar Index (DXY) also climbed to a 1.5-month high, as key US data suggested the Federal Reserve (Fed) may increase interest rates further.

 

As announced on Wednesday, January US Retail Sales growth increased to 3.0% from 1.8% expected and -1.0% earlier. In addition, Retail Sales excluding Automobiles grew by 2.3% during the same month, exceeding experts' projections of growth of 0.8%. Similarly, the New York Empire State Manufacturing Index for February increased to -5.8 from -18.0 and market forecasts of -32.9. Alternately, US Industrial Production reported 0.0% MoM figures for January, contrary to analysts' expectations of 0.5% and prior readings of -0.7%, but failed to quell hawkish attitude surrounding the Federal Reserve's (Fed) next move.

 

According to Reuters' FEDWATCH tool, market wagers on the Fed's next moves indicate that US central bank rates will peak around 5.25 percent in July, as opposed to the Federal Reserve's December prediction of 5.10 percent.

 

Lagarde of the ECB, on the other hand, stated that despite the fact that the majority of indicators of longer-term inflation expectations are currently hovering around 2%, these indices require constant monitoring. The policymaker stated, "Price pressures remain elevated, and underlying inflation is elevated," while signaling her intent to increase rates by 50 basis points at the March meeting.

 

Wall Street benchmarks concluded the trading day with small increases, but S&P 500 Futures are reluctant to follow suit.

 

In the near future, the ECB's monthly speech and several ECB speakers will complement the secondary US housing market, industrial activity, and producer pricing data to create an intriguing day.


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