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On November 20th, a CLSA research report indicated that Kingsoft Corporation (03888.HK) reported lower-than-expected revenue in the third quarter, dragged down by its gaming business. Gaming revenue declined by 47% year-on-year, 8% lower than the reports forecast, due to pressure from the exceptionally high base of major titles last year. Office software revenue growth accelerated, rising 26% year-on-year, driven by progress in government IT application innovation and WPS 365. Individual paying user growth remained solid, and average revenue per user stabilized. The report believes the gaming business will continue to face pressure in the coming quarters, but the office software business may maintain strong momentum. The report lowered its 2025 and 2026 revenue forecasts by 3% and 4% respectively, and its net profit forecasts by 15% and 18% respectively. The target price was lowered from HK$37.8 to HK$35.5, while maintaining an "Outperform" rating.On November 20th, Nomura reported that Pinduoduos (PDD.O) overseas business may have recovered. Following the US governments termination of small-amount exemptions in May, Pinduoduos Temu platform changed its strategy and increased its recruitment efforts for US sellers. Temu is also rapidly expanding in markets outside the US. These moves have helped Temus business recover. Nomura maintains a neutral rating on Pinduoduo ADR with a target price of $136.On November 20th, Bernstein analysts stated in a report that the current upward cycle in memory chips is expected to squeeze camera budgets for low-end Android smartphones next year, but will have minimal impact on flagship Android models and Apples supply chain. After two consecutive years of growth, the Android phone market may level off next year. Smartphone manufacturers need to find a balance between product specifications, sales volume, and their own and their suppliers profitability. For low-end models, manufacturers are renegotiating prices, and camera specification upgrades may be delayed. However, a trend of industry-wide configuration reductions similar to that of 2022 is not expected.November 20th, Futures.com analysts latest view: Spot gold prices rose during the session, benefiting from the continuation of the main bullish trend, and its movement is along the short-term support secondary trendline, indicating that spot gold is attempting to break through the negative pressure from the EMA50 again. Previously, the EMA50 had hindered the price recovery.November 20th, Futures.com analysts latest view: WTI crude oil futures prices rose slightly, attempting to recover some of the previous losses, mainly benefiting from its attempt to correct the clearly oversold state on the Relative Strength Index (RSI). In particular, positive overlapping signals supporting price movements appeared in the short term, providing support for prices. This intraday rebound indicates that prices are in a brief respite after the previous wave of declines.

As US Inflation Data Looms, the USD/CAD Tracks Oil's Failure To Move Above 1.3300

Alina Haynes

Feb 14, 2023 14:44

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The USD/CAD shows the market's caution as traders anticipate Tuesday morning's release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January. After a two-day decline, the Canadian dollar-U.S. dollar pair holds a position near 1.3330.

 

However, the most recent decrease may be a result of the US Dollar's inability to maintain its earlier weekly gains in the face of falling US Treasury bond yields. Nonetheless, the declining price of Oil, Canada's principal export, and the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish pronouncements are enticing USD/CAD bulls.

 

Concerns about additional releases from U.S. strategic petroleum reserves have kept the price of WTI crude oil below $79,50 a barrel (SPR). According to Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) Secretary-General Haitham Al Ghais, the price of black gold disregards earlier reports anticipating a supply constraint as a result of Russia's threat to reduce output and the anticipation of increasing energy demand.

 

Fed Governor Michelle Bowman reportedly told Reuters that the Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates until they reach a suitable level to return inflation to the target rate. President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Patrick Harker, dismissed speculations of a 2023 Fed rate cut. Nonetheless, the official stated, "The Fed is unlikely to decrease interest rates this year, but could do so in 2024 if inflation begins to decline."

 

Notably, it appears that the recent decrease in US inflation expectations from a multi-day high has weighed on US Treasury bond yields and the US Dollar. The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED) 10-year and 5-year breakeven inflation rates decrease from monthly highs to 2.31 percent and 2.44 percent, respectively.

 

As Wall Street closes in the green, S&P 500 Futures follow the sentiment with slight gains, which weigh on the US Dollar. As a result, 10-year US Treasury note yields decline by around two basis points to 3.69 percent at the latest.

 

Since recent Federal Reserve (Fed) pronouncements indicating potential rate hikes appear muted, USD/CAD traders should keep a close eye on the US CPI data in the near future. In addition, discussions regarding the Fed's policy shift are approaching, so any negative US inflation data will not hesitate to send the Loonie pair down. Likewise, monitoring the price of oil is vital.

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