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On November 20th, a CLSA research report indicated that Kingsoft Corporation (03888.HK) reported lower-than-expected revenue in the third quarter, dragged down by its gaming business. Gaming revenue declined by 47% year-on-year, 8% lower than the reports forecast, due to pressure from the exceptionally high base of major titles last year. Office software revenue growth accelerated, rising 26% year-on-year, driven by progress in government IT application innovation and WPS 365. Individual paying user growth remained solid, and average revenue per user stabilized. The report believes the gaming business will continue to face pressure in the coming quarters, but the office software business may maintain strong momentum. The report lowered its 2025 and 2026 revenue forecasts by 3% and 4% respectively, and its net profit forecasts by 15% and 18% respectively. The target price was lowered from HK$37.8 to HK$35.5, while maintaining an "Outperform" rating.On November 20th, Nomura reported that Pinduoduos (PDD.O) overseas business may have recovered. Following the US governments termination of small-amount exemptions in May, Pinduoduos Temu platform changed its strategy and increased its recruitment efforts for US sellers. Temu is also rapidly expanding in markets outside the US. These moves have helped Temus business recover. Nomura maintains a neutral rating on Pinduoduo ADR with a target price of $136.On November 20th, Bernstein analysts stated in a report that the current upward cycle in memory chips is expected to squeeze camera budgets for low-end Android smartphones next year, but will have minimal impact on flagship Android models and Apples supply chain. After two consecutive years of growth, the Android phone market may level off next year. Smartphone manufacturers need to find a balance between product specifications, sales volume, and their own and their suppliers profitability. For low-end models, manufacturers are renegotiating prices, and camera specification upgrades may be delayed. However, a trend of industry-wide configuration reductions similar to that of 2022 is not expected.November 20th, Futures.com analysts latest view: Spot gold prices rose during the session, benefiting from the continuation of the main bullish trend, and its movement is along the short-term support secondary trendline, indicating that spot gold is attempting to break through the negative pressure from the EMA50 again. Previously, the EMA50 had hindered the price recovery.November 20th, Futures.com analysts latest view: WTI crude oil futures prices rose slightly, attempting to recover some of the previous losses, mainly benefiting from its attempt to correct the clearly oversold state on the Relative Strength Index (RSI). In particular, positive overlapping signals supporting price movements appeared in the short term, providing support for prices. This intraday rebound indicates that prices are in a brief respite after the previous wave of declines.

As Oil Bulls Relax And US Inflation Is Monitored, USD/CAD Recovers Around 1.3350

Daniel Rogers

Feb 13, 2023 14:42

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The USD/CAD rebounds from a five-week low. After a solid employment report and an increase in oil prices, Loonie bears joined the market. Before the release of the US CPI, aggressive Fed comments and good US data test sellers.

 

After falling the most in five weeks the previous day, the USD/CAD is fluctuating around the middle of the 1.3300s in the early Asian session on Monday. Ahead of US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, the Loonie/U.S. dollar pair exhibits market consolidation amid mixed US signals.

 

After a strong Canadian employment report and a rise in WTI crude oil prices, the Loonie pair dropped the most since the beginning of January.

 

WTI crude oil reached a new monthly high of $80.48 the day before, despite market rumors that Russia may reduce oil production by 500,000 barrels in March to counter European penalties.

 

The Net Change in Employment for January in Canada increased to 150K from 15K expected and 69.2K revised. The unemployment rate was 5.0%, not 5.1%.

 

As evidenced by BoC Governor Tiff Macklem's dovish comments, the stronger Canadian employment report makes it tougher for the Bank of Canada to pause its rate hike trajectory, benefiting USD/CAD bears.

 

Nevertheless, preliminary US University of Michigan (UoM) Consumer Sentiment for February increased to 66.4 from 65.0 anticipated and 64.9 previously. This month, the UoM announced that inflation forecasts for the coming year jumped to 4.2% from 3.9% in January and 4.4% in December. UoM said that long-term inflation estimates (5-year) stayed at 2.9% for the third consecutive month and remained within a narrow band of 2.9% to 3.1% for 18 of the last 19 months. Friday, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics adjusted the December Consumer Price Index (CPI) from -0.1% to 0.1% based on revised seasonal adjustment variables.

 

Recent contradicting statements from Richmond Federal Reserve (Fed) President Thomas Barkin and the US-China dispute over "unidentified objects" appear to challenge sentiment and boost the USD due to its safe-haven status.

 

S&P 500 Futures decrease as interest rates on US Treasury bonds increase, benefiting the US Dollar and USD/CAD buyers ahead of critical US inflation data.

 

Due to reports of a Fed policy shift, USD/CAD traders should monitor risk catalysts before to the January US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release on Tuesday.


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