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On August 30th, Finnish President Alexander Stubb stated on Saturday that he does not believe Russia will attack NATO, "the worlds most powerful military alliance." However, in an interview with the German newspaper Bild, he said NATO should "prepare for the worst to prevent it from happening." Stubb pointed out that Russia has lost more soldiers than it recruited and judged that Russia may mobilize more troops in the fall, although this move would have "domestic political implications." He said Moscow is in an "increasingly complex situation," but emphasized that Russia will not end the conflict due to an economic downturn. He stated, "Never underestimate how much economic hardship the Russians can withstand."On August 30th, Yonhap News Agency reported that US President Trumps financial disclosures revealed he traded shares of e-commerce giant Coupang Inc. twice in June through a fund manager. Meanwhile, tensions between the US and South Korea continue to escalate over South Koreas regulatory handling of the massive data breach at the US-listed e-commerce giant. In July, the US House Judiciary Committee released a temporary staff report accusing the South Korean government of carrying out a "discriminatory attack" against Coupang and all other US companies, stating that Coupang has been a "consistently targeted entity."On August 30, Iraqi Prime Ministers Security Advisor Qassem Araji stated in a recent interview with Al Jazeera that Iraq maintains "good relations" with both Iran and the United States and seeks to act as a "bridge" for communication among all parties to reach an agreement that safeguards the interests of the entire region. He added that Iran has emphasized the necessity of eliminating extremist groups within Iraq.On August 30th, SK Hynix CEO Guo Luzheng stated that the company remains open to further investment in the US semiconductor industry, while predicting that the global memory chip shortage will continue until the end of 2030. "We are always open to more investment, but no decisions have been made yet," Guo Luzheng said. He stated that SK Hynix is searching globally for potential sites that can meet its R&D and testing needs, noting that electricity, water resources, and government incentives are key considerations. Guo Luzheng said, "We are open to any location that can provide sufficient infrastructure and resources." He also expressed hope that the company will bring "more good news" to the US artificial intelligence industry in the future.Iraqi Prime Ministers Security Advisor Qassem Araj: Iraq seeks to become a "bridge" between Iran and the United States.

USD/JPY Reverses Two-Day Advance Despite Positive Rates and Bullish Fed Statements

Alina Haynes

Feb 15, 2023 14:36

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Following a two-day winning run, USD/JPY returns to the bears' radar early on Wednesday as market players evaluate the Fed's hawkish decision in relation to their expectations for the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) next move. As a result, the Yen pair re-establishes its intraday low near 132.70 and has posted its first daily loss in three days, down 0.20% as of press time.

 

The Japanese government's choice of a hawkish leader for the Bank of Japan (BoJ) board appears to have pressured USD/JPY negative in recent days, despite the rise in US Treasury bond yields and the US Dollar's rebound following US inflation data.

 

The Japanese government nominated Kazuo Ueda as Governor of the Bank of Japan on Tuesday. Notably, Bloomberg published an article saying that the Bank of Japan's easy-money policy could be challenged as a result of Ueda's hawkish predisposition.

 

Even if inflation did not exceed "positive surprise" expectations, the majority of Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers outside of the United States supported additional rate hikes. The yields on US Treasury bonds and the US Dollar were driven by the same factor.

 

The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 6.4% year-over-year, exceeding market estimates, but registering the slowest increase since 2021 and falling below 6.5% previously. Importantly, the CPI excluding food and energy, often known as the Core CPI, rose by 5.6% compared to market forecasts of 5.5% and prior readings of 5.5%.

 

Following the release of the numbers, the president of the Dallas Fed, Lorie Logan, indicated that they must be prepared to continue rate hikes for a longer period than previously planned. John Williams, president of the New York Federal Reserve Bank, reiterated this attitude, noting that the task of containing high inflation is not yet accomplished. In addition, Patrick Harker, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, intimated that they are not quite finished (with raising rates), but that they are close.

 

US 10-year Treasury bond rates fluctuate around 3.75% after increasing three basis points (bps) to reestablish a six-week high, while the two-year equivalent climbed to its highest level since early November 2022 by reaching 4.62%.

 

Despite this, S&P 500 Futures track Wall Street's bearish closing to highlight the somewhat pessimistic outlook and weigh on the USD/JPY exchange rate, mostly due to the Japanese Yen's (JPY) traditional attraction for risk aversion.

 

Lack of substantial Japanese data/events makes the USD/JPY pair susceptible to US stimuli for direction. The January Retail Sales and Industrial Production figures as well as the February New York Empire State Manufacturing Index should be examined closely.


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