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On May 6th, analysts stated that gold futures prices rose as tensions in the Middle East eased. Vivek Dahl of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia noted in a research report that Trumps announcement of a temporary suspension of plans to provide safe passage for ships in the Strait of Hormuz eased tensions. Since gold prices hit an intraday high of $5,422 per ounce on March 2nd, gold futures have generally moved negatively correlated with the level of tension in the Middle East. Dahl added that the upward momentum in gold prices could be driven by several factors: hopes for a ceasefire in the Middle East, market pricing in interest rate cuts due to high energy prices dragging down global growth, and concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve.May 6 - According to Iranian media reports, Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi and his delegation arrived in Beijing.Futures News, May 6th: The ongoing tensions in the Middle East have led to fluctuating crude oil prices, while gasoline and diesel demand remains sluggish. News regarding fuel oil has limited directional guidance for market trading. From a supply and demand perspective, fuel oil supply has tightened slightly after major refineries scheduled for maintenance. Refineries have increased production to support prices, but fuel oil processing margins have been squeezed, causing both prices to decline. Downstream traders willingness to purchase at high prices has been dampened. Furthermore, under the guidance of supply guarantee policies, local refineries are operating relatively steadily, ensuring stable fuel oil supply and maintaining sales pressure. Considering all factors, the fuel oil market is experiencing mixed signals from both news and supply and demand perspectives. It is expected that fuel oil negotiations this week will see some areas remain stable or stagnant, while others will experience narrow fluctuations.On May 6th, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) released the operating data of the electronic information manufacturing industry for the first quarter of 2026. In the first quarter of 2026, my countrys electronic information manufacturing industry experienced rapid production growth, continued export recovery, significant profit improvement, and accelerated investment growth, resulting in a generally positive industry development trend. In the first quarter, the electronic information manufacturing enterprises above designated size achieved operating revenue of 4.31 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.8%; operating costs of 3.69 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.7%; and total profits of 217 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 125%. In March, the operating revenue of the electronic information manufacturing enterprises above designated size reached 1.68 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.7%.CEO of Rivian, the American electric vehicle company: Electric vehicle manufacturers are developing a more affordable derivative of the R2 model.

Forecast for the Gold Price: The XAU/USD pair continues to struggle below $1,850 as investors await FOMC minutes

Daniel Rogers

Jan 04, 2023 15:03

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After clearing the $1,800.00 barrier, the gold price (XAU/USD) has leveled off around $1,844.00 in the early European session. The precious metal continues to struggle to surpass the important resistance level of $1,850. Following the release of United States ISM Manufacturing PMI data, the gold price is anticipated to demonstrate a significant move.

 

S&P500 futures tried a recovery rise in the Asian session following a two-day decline, but require more filters to draw a responsive purchasing action, indicating cautious optimism. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is fighting to hold above the 104.20 threshold as 10-year US Treasury yields decline below 3.73 percent.

 

The ISM Manufacturing PMI is likely to decline further to 48.5, from 49.0 in November, according to forecasts. The Federal Reserve (Fed) could be compelled to scale down its policy tightening measures as a result of weakening manufacturing activity in the United States, which are anticipated to herald a further decline in inflation estimates. Thursday's release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes will provide investors with greater insight into the prospects for monetary policy.


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