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On March 21, following the conditional easing of US sanctions on Iranian oil, an Axios reporter stated that this move would allow Iran to earn approximately $14 billion in oil revenue. This would be the first time the US has purchased Iranian oil since 1996, all during the war with Iran. However, the New York Times points out that it remains unclear whether the limited lifting of sanctions on Iranian oil will affect global oil prices. Energy analysts believe that most of the crude oil shipped by sea has already been purchased and accounted for, meaning that lifting sanctions on this oil will not significantly increase the supply of oil in the market. Former US Treasury official Daniel Tannebaum stated, "I dont think Iranian crude oil will be imported into the United States." He added, "First, the supply of crude oil is a problem because most of it has already been booked; second, which global bank is funding the Iranian oil trade, regardless of whether such trade is legal?"On March 21, Sun Meijun, Director-General of the General Administration of Customs, met with Lee Myung-koo, Director-General of the Korean Customs Service, who was in China to attend the 20th China-Korea Customs Cooperation Conference. The meeting focused on implementing the important consensus reached by the leaders of China and South Korea, deepening customs cooperation between the two countries, and jointly promoting trade security and facilitation in China, South Korea, and the Asia-Pacific region. Three customs cooperation documents were signed. Following the meeting, Zhang Baofeng and Lee Myung-koo co-chaired the 20th China-Korea Customs Cooperation Conference. Both sides exchanged in-depth views on strengthening the partnership in "smart customs," deepening electronic networking of rules of origin, risk management, customs statistics, intellectual property protection, mutual recognition of Authorized Economic Operators (AEO), inter-customs cooperation, and anti-smuggling enforcement cooperation, reaching broad consensus on cooperation.On March 21, according to the US-based "War Zone" website, the Pentagon confirmed that a US F-35A fighter jet operating over Iran made an emergency return and landed at an undisclosed US military airfield in the Middle East. Video released by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard shows the stealth fighter jet being attacked. Foreign media reports suggest this may be the first time an F-35 has been hit in combat since its introduction, setting a new world record for air combat.On March 21, German Chancellor Merz stated at an event in Bad Duckheim, Rhineland-Palatinate, Germany, on March 20 that he had intended to invite US President Trump to the local wine festival in 2026, but he was unsure if Trump would be willing to attend because Trump is currently "not very happy" with him. Furthermore, Merz said that Germany currently holds "completely different views" from the US on some issues. He also stated that the "Make America Great Again" movement is unrelated to other countries, and that Germany holds different views on American culture, media products, and some democratic ideals.On March 21, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) issued a statement saying that Iran recently launched a ballistic missile carrying a cluster bomb warhead into central Israel. IDF rescue forces stated that Iran launched a ballistic missile carrying a cluster bomb warhead into central Israel, causing damage to three locations in Rishon LeZion.

Forecast for the Gold Price: The XAU/USD pair continues to struggle below $1,850 as investors await FOMC minutes

Daniel Rogers

Jan 04, 2023 15:03

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After clearing the $1,800.00 barrier, the gold price (XAU/USD) has leveled off around $1,844.00 in the early European session. The precious metal continues to struggle to surpass the important resistance level of $1,850. Following the release of United States ISM Manufacturing PMI data, the gold price is anticipated to demonstrate a significant move.

 

S&P500 futures tried a recovery rise in the Asian session following a two-day decline, but require more filters to draw a responsive purchasing action, indicating cautious optimism. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is fighting to hold above the 104.20 threshold as 10-year US Treasury yields decline below 3.73 percent.

 

The ISM Manufacturing PMI is likely to decline further to 48.5, from 49.0 in November, according to forecasts. The Federal Reserve (Fed) could be compelled to scale down its policy tightening measures as a result of weakening manufacturing activity in the United States, which are anticipated to herald a further decline in inflation estimates. Thursday's release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes will provide investors with greater insight into the prospects for monetary policy.