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The China Earthquake Networks Center officially reported that a magnitude 4.0 earthquake occurred at 20:19 on September 19 in Shenzha County, Nagqu City, Tibet (31.99 degrees north latitude, 89.26 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 10 kilometers.The China Earthquake Networks Center automatically determined that an earthquake of approximately magnitude 4.2 occurred at 20:19 on September 19 near Shenzha County, Nagqu City, Tibet (32.03 degrees north latitude, 89.29 degrees east longitude). The final result is subject to the official rapid report.On September 19th, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Stournaras stated that the ECB must be wary of upward inflation risks but should not act hastily. He noted that while a second-round effect through channels such as wages has not yet materialized, this situation cannot be taken for granted. "We are seeing a series of ongoing supply-side shocks that cannot be simply ignored. At the same time, there are strong demand factors due to fiscal expansion and the AI investment boom. We must remain vigilant." With more than a month until the next policy decision, Stournaras said he has not yet made a decision, and the various economic outlook forecasts prepared by the ECB may provide some guidance. "If inflation surges in September, or if rising energy costs clearly put us in an adverse scenario, then a rate hike in October cannot be ruled out. But if there are some doubts, we will not take any action but will wait for the next round of forecasts." Stournaras emphasized that this weeks Fed rate hike also helped the ECB, stating, "The Feds rate decision enhanced its credibility and also enhanced the credibility of global monetary policy, because the Fed and the dollar play a central role."September 19th - The French government stated that its draft budget for 2027 will meet EU recommendations, despite the countrys debt burden being projected to exceed 120% of economic output. The French Budget Ministry stated in a statement on Saturday that the budget plan projects net primary spending to increase by 0.7%, while the European Commission recommends an increase of no more than 1.2%. France is struggling to control its public finances amid weak economic growth and rising interest costs. On Thursday, the government announced that this years fiscal trajectory has deviated from its target, with the budget deficit projected to rise to 5.4% of GDP, while the previous fiscal law aimed to slightly narrow the deficit to 5%. The French Budget Ministry stated that the draft budget submitted to the public finance oversight body aims to reduce spending as a percentage of economic output to 56.9% by 2027, from 57.1% in 2026. On the same basis, tax revenue will account for 44.2%. Under this plan, Frances debt ratio is projected to rise from 119.3% this year and 115.7% in 2025 to 121.7% of economic output in 2027.On September 19, a spokesperson for the Ministry of Commerce answered a reporters question regarding the US signing the "Graham Act of 2026 on Sanctions Against Russia and Iran" into law. China has consistently opposed unilateral sanctions lacking UN authorization and a basis in international law, and opposes so-called secondary sanctions against other countries based on the involvement of third parties. China has always conducted normal economic and trade cooperation with all countries in the world on the basis of equality and mutual benefit. Such cooperation is neither targeted at any third party nor subject to interference or coercion from any third party. We will continue to closely monitor subsequent US actions and reserve the right to take all necessary measures to firmly safeguard Chinas national sovereignty and development interests, as well as the legitimate rights and interests of its enterprises. We hope the US will work with China to maintain stable economic and trade relations through dialogue and consultation, and make greater contributions to maintaining world trade order and the security and stability of global supply chains.

Forecast for Gold Price: XAU/USD seeks another run above $1,825 despite USD recovery

Alina Haynes

Jan 03, 2023 15:14

Gold price is nearing six-month highs while maintaining gains above the major resistance level of $1,825 thus far on Tuesday. The gold price is continuing its recent increase at the start of 2023, despite the general strengthening of the US dollar.

 

Concerns about a probable global economic slowdown, China's covid comeback, and rising inflation are dragging on market mood, hence pushing demand for the traditional safe-haven Gold price. Expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) would continue its tightening cycle this year to combat rising inflation maintain investor mood generally negative.

 

The risk-off movements are also assisting the US Dollar in finding a floor, limiting the precious metal's advance. In addition, US Treasury bond yields ended the final week of 2022 on a positive note, reducing the Gold price's ability to rise.

 

The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for December, the first relevant US economic data to be issued this year, will provide additional trade impetus. In addition, markets will closely watch the Wall Street opening for further risk sentiment indicators.