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September 19th - Tensions between Yemen and Saudi Arabia escalated. On the 19th, Riyadh, the Saudi capital, issued its first-ever air raid sirens. British media revealed that Saudi Arabias interceptor missiles are running low. Saudi Arabia is seeking air defense assistance from its allies. The Associated Press, citing local officials, reported that Saudi Arabia has contacted France, Britain, Pakistan, and Egypt, requesting air defense support. However, apart from Pakistan, its allies have offered more sympathy than military support. In fact, Saudi Arabias largest ally and arms supplier is the United States, but its interceptor missile stockpile has been depleted in the war with Iran. Last week, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman called Trump, requesting deeper US involvement in the conflict. The US rejected this request.On September 19th, CNN reported on September 18th that sources said the US military narrowly avoided an incident after using an AI-generated false intelligence report. The report stated that this spring, during the war with Iran, an intelligence report circulating among US military personnel raised concerns. The report claimed that a Chinese ship was transporting components for a nuclear weapons program in the Middle East. Four sources familiar with the incident said the US military quickly initiated a plan to intercept the ship. Two of the sources indicated that US military personnel were preparing to board. One source and another informed source stated that US military aircraft had been scrambled. However, just as the planned operation was about to begin, US officials thoroughly examined the report, compiled by analysts from the US Special Operations Command, and discovered that it was generated using AI. The chatbot used by the analyst had incorrectly identified the cargo.Commander of U.S. Central Command: We are forming a new coalition attack drone force.Commander of U.S. Central Command: The U.S. is working with partners to increase shipping volume through the Strait of Hormuz.Commander of U.S. Central Command: The main passageways of the Strait of Hormuz have not been affected by mines.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD attempts to increase auction profile over $1,840 prior to Fed minutes

Daniel Rogers

Jan 03, 2023 15:06

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After surpassing the crucial resistance of $1,823.00 in the Asian session, the gold price (XAU/USD) has exhibited a robust upward trend. In response to a fall in the desirability of safe-haven assets, the precious metal seeks to raise its auction profile over the $1,840.00 barrier.

 

The momentum has moved to the risk appetite theme as a result of the S&P500 futures' abrupt comeback. In the meantime, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has attempted a rebound after falling close to 103.15, a key support level. Ahead of Wednesday's release of U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI data, investors should anticipate volatility in the foreign exchange market (Dec). According to predictions, the economic data will decrease to 48.5, from 49.0 previously.

 

The explanation for the lower consensus for ISM PMI data could be the Federal Reserve's (Fed) higher interest rates, which have caused businesses to delay growth plans to avoid incurring greater interest commitments.

 

In addition to the Manufacturing PMI, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes will dominate the news. Investors will closely monitor economic estimates and monetary policy indicators for CY2023.