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On August 5th, Nick Timiraos, a vocal advocate for the Federal Reserve, wrote that Treasury Secretary Bessants policy response function has become less dovish. His comments this year suggested the Fed should maintain its current interest rates. Earlier this year, Bessant cited models suggesting the Feds interest rate could be more than 25 to 100 basis points above the neutral rate. Today (August 4th), he raised two points. First, he defended Warshs decision last week not to elaborate on any policy response function: "I think every meeting should be open, and market participants should make their own judgments… I think Warsh wanted to preserve options to achieve the best outcome." Second, he did propose a policy response function that could be considered dovish, arguing that recent shocks should be ignored: "What will be the impact of rising short-term interest rates? Well see." He raised this question but then responded by noting that underlying inflation was "very modest… very stable." "Core inflation, after removing the energy-dependent volatility component, has been very stable. I think this will continue."Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman: The flight routes under negotiation are aimed at ensuring the sovereign rights and national security considerations of both Iran and Oman.Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman: The focus of the negotiations is to determine safe passageways in and out of the Strait of Hormuz.Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson: The final results of the negotiations will be released after being compiled and summarized.The China Earthquake Networks Center automatically determined that an earthquake of approximately magnitude 3.6 occurred near Gao County, Yibin City, Sichuan Province (28.55 degrees north latitude, 104.68 degrees east longitude) at 23:58 on August 4. The final result is subject to the official rapid report.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD attempts to increase auction profile over $1,840 prior to Fed minutes

Daniel Rogers

Jan 03, 2023 15:06

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After surpassing the crucial resistance of $1,823.00 in the Asian session, the gold price (XAU/USD) has exhibited a robust upward trend. In response to a fall in the desirability of safe-haven assets, the precious metal seeks to raise its auction profile over the $1,840.00 barrier.

 

The momentum has moved to the risk appetite theme as a result of the S&P500 futures' abrupt comeback. In the meantime, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has attempted a rebound after falling close to 103.15, a key support level. Ahead of Wednesday's release of U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI data, investors should anticipate volatility in the foreign exchange market (Dec). According to predictions, the economic data will decrease to 48.5, from 49.0 previously.

 

The explanation for the lower consensus for ISM PMI data could be the Federal Reserve's (Fed) higher interest rates, which have caused businesses to delay growth plans to avoid incurring greater interest commitments.

 

In addition to the Manufacturing PMI, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes will dominate the news. Investors will closely monitor economic estimates and monetary policy indicators for CY2023.