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July 24th - The European Central Bank (ECB) is considering several options to alleviate its financial pressures, with discussions expected to enter a crucial phase this autumn. ECB President Christine Lagarde stated that policymakers will discuss raising minimum reserve requirements, i.e., increasing the proportion of funds commercial banks hold in non-interest-bearing accounts at the central bank. Furthermore, the ECB is also assessing options such as a tiered interest rate mechanism that no longer pays interest on some excess reserves, and charging banks fees. These measures aim to reduce the burden on national central banks and offset some of the losses from the stimulus policies of the past decade. The Eurosystem faces financial pressure due to the ECBs massive bond-buying program between 2015 and 2022, followed by rapid interest rate hikes in 2022-2023, which resulted in substantial interest payments to banks. Sources indicate that significant disagreements remain in the discussions surrounding this politically sensitive issue.Market news: Sources say European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers will discuss raising reserve requirements, tiered deposit rates, and fee mechanisms. Discussions surrounding the politically sensitive issue of the ECBs balance sheet losses are intensifying.July 24th - International oil prices continued to rise, with WTI crude oil surging 8.00% intraday to $93.87 per barrel. Brent crude oil surged 6.00% intraday to $96.11 per barrel.The head of the International Maritime Organization expressed serious concern about the pollution risks that may arise from the reported incidents in the Red Sea and previous incidents in the Strait of Hormuz region.Wang Yi stated that next year marks the 35th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and Belarus. Standing at this new historical starting point, China is willing to work with Belarus to plan exchanges at all levels, strengthen the alignment of development strategies, deepen exchanges of experience in governance, and promote high-quality development of China-Belarus relations, guiding comprehensive cooperation between the two countries and bringing more benefits to the people of both countries, in accordance with the direction set forth by the two heads of state. Ryrenkov stated that the high-level and frequent communication between the Belarusian and Chinese heads of state has led bilateral relations to an unprecedented high level, establishing a high degree of mutual trust akin to that of ironclad brothers. Belarus appreciates Chinas long-term strong support and assistance and will firmly develop relations with China, promote comprehensive cooperation, and learn from Chinas successful experience. Belarus looks forward to taking the 35th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations next year as an opportunity to strengthen cooperation in industry, investment, information technology, and other fields, and expand exchanges in local and cultural fields.

Forecast for Silver Price: XAG/USD is rising quickly and is approaching the $20.00 mark

Alina Haynes

Sep 15, 2022 11:43

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Silver price recovers around the 50-day exponential moving average and advances towards a daily high of $19.69 on Wednesday after the US Labor Department reported that August PPI was in line with predictions of diminishing inflationary pressures on the producer side. Therefore, the XAG/USD is trading at $19.61, 1.86% higher than its initial price.

 

Before Wall Street opened, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) of the United States reported that the Producer Price Index (PPI) for August decreased by 0.1%, in line with expectations, while the year-over-year figure fell to 8.7%, less than the 9.8% reported in July. Meanwhile, the so-called core PPI, which excludes volatile goods, increased by 0.4% month-over-month and 7.3% year.

 

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index, a measure of the dollar's value against a basket of six currencies, ended Wednesday's session down 0.15 percent, at 109.648, weighed down by US Treasury yields, particularly the 10-year benchmark note rate, which remained unchanged throughout the day at approximately 3.404%.

 

The US Dollar Index reflects the aforementioned by declining by 0.09% and falling below the 110.000 barrier. Similarly, the US 10-year benchmark note rate exhibits signs of weariness, remaining flat at approximately 3.414%.

 

The fact that US 10-year TIPS yields, a proxy for actual yields, rose by only one basis point to 0.939% was a further factor supporting the white metal price.

 

On Thursday, the US economic calendar will contain jobless claims, retail sales, and the New York and Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Indices, which will serve as a precursor to the ISM report in October.

 

The daily XAG/USD chart depicts the white metal as neutral to bearishly biased. Nonetheless, if silver buyers recapture the $20,000 threshold, this might pave the way for a test of a four-month-old downslope trendline near $20.20 prior to reaching the 100-day EMA at $20.39. A breach of the latter will reveal the cycle high from August 15 at $20.87, ahead of the psychological milestone of $21.00.