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September 4th - First Citizens Bank stated that Fridays U.S. jobs report will show whether the labor market remains in a state of "low hiring, low layoffs." In this state, slowing hiring and limited layoffs, along with a shrinking labor force, offset each other, keeping the unemployment rate generally stable. Key data to watch includes non-farm payrolls, the unemployment rate, labor force size, and revisions to data from previous months. A significant decline in non-farm payrolls or a further contraction in the labor force would be an early sign that the labor market stagnation is beginning to shift towards broader weakness.On September 4th, the "15th Five-Year Plan for Accelerating Agricultural and Rural Modernization in Sichuan Province" was issued. It mentions the comprehensive implementation of the responsibility system for farmland protection and food security, ensuring that the grain planting area remains stable at over 96 million mu. A new round of grain production capacity improvement actions will be implemented, deepening the construction of the "Tianfu Granary • Hundred Counties, Thousand Areas" initiative, carrying out "ton-grain field" construction, promoting the integrated efficiency of "four good" (good land, good seeds, good machinery, good methods), and systematically advancing large-scale yield increases. The grain planting structure and regional layout will be optimized, continuously improving rice and corn production capacity, stabilizing wheat production, consolidating the achievements of soybean and oilseed expansion, and developing autumn-winter potatoes and ratooning rice according to local conditions. Provincial-level fiscal subsidies for large grain growers and grain production incentive policies will be implemented, and the minimum purchase price policy for rice will be implemented. Full-cost insurance for the three major grain crops and full-cost and planting income insurance for soybeans will be comprehensively promoted.On September 4th, the Qijing GX7 officially opened for pre-sale.September 4th - A comprehensive set of optimized policies for Beijings housing market officially took effect on August 8th, addressing issues from multiple dimensions, including easing purchase restrictions, significantly increasing public housing fund loan limits, and optimizing property gifting rules. Now, nearly a month after the policies implementation, new home sales offices are seeing increased foot traffic, and viewings and transactions for existing homes are also rising, indicating a continued activation of demand from first-time homebuyers and those seeking to upgrade their homes. Data released by the Beijing Municipal Commission of Housing and Urban-Rural Development shows that in August, Beijings new home sales reached 3,100 units, a year-on-year increase of 10.3%; existing home sales reached 13,700 units, a year-on-year increase of 4.1%, marking the sixth consecutive month that existing home sales have exceeded 13,000 units.September 4th - Preliminary shipping data released on Friday showed that four commodity carriers transited the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday, down from nine the previous day and significantly below the daily average of approximately 15 over the past 10 days. Kpler data showed that as of 4:55 AM GMT on Friday (12:55 PM Beijing time), vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz included two medium-range oil tankers, one Kamsarmax bulk carrier, and one Handysize bulk carrier. The number of vessels transiting the waterway is subject to change as some vessels typically turn off their transponders during voyages.

Forecast for Silver Price: XAG/USD is rising quickly and is approaching the $20.00 mark

Alina Haynes

Sep 15, 2022 11:43

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Silver price recovers around the 50-day exponential moving average and advances towards a daily high of $19.69 on Wednesday after the US Labor Department reported that August PPI was in line with predictions of diminishing inflationary pressures on the producer side. Therefore, the XAG/USD is trading at $19.61, 1.86% higher than its initial price.

 

Before Wall Street opened, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) of the United States reported that the Producer Price Index (PPI) for August decreased by 0.1%, in line with expectations, while the year-over-year figure fell to 8.7%, less than the 9.8% reported in July. Meanwhile, the so-called core PPI, which excludes volatile goods, increased by 0.4% month-over-month and 7.3% year.

 

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index, a measure of the dollar's value against a basket of six currencies, ended Wednesday's session down 0.15 percent, at 109.648, weighed down by US Treasury yields, particularly the 10-year benchmark note rate, which remained unchanged throughout the day at approximately 3.404%.

 

The US Dollar Index reflects the aforementioned by declining by 0.09% and falling below the 110.000 barrier. Similarly, the US 10-year benchmark note rate exhibits signs of weariness, remaining flat at approximately 3.414%.

 

The fact that US 10-year TIPS yields, a proxy for actual yields, rose by only one basis point to 0.939% was a further factor supporting the white metal price.

 

On Thursday, the US economic calendar will contain jobless claims, retail sales, and the New York and Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Indices, which will serve as a precursor to the ISM report in October.

 

The daily XAG/USD chart depicts the white metal as neutral to bearishly biased. Nonetheless, if silver buyers recapture the $20,000 threshold, this might pave the way for a test of a four-month-old downslope trendline near $20.20 prior to reaching the 100-day EMA at $20.39. A breach of the latter will reveal the cycle high from August 15 at $20.87, ahead of the psychological milestone of $21.00.


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