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As of the 2:30 closing bell, the main Shanghai gold futures contract fell 1.11% to 990 yuan/gram, the main Shanghai silver futures contract fell 3.44% to 18,192 yuan/kilogram, and the main SC crude oil futures contract rose 2.40% to 690 yuan/barrel.On May 20th, according to the Wall Street Journal, citing regional mediators and US officials familiar with the terms, Irans position in negotiations with the US to end the war has not changed significantly compared to previous rounds of unsuccessful proposals, raising questions about whether a "way out" of the conflict can be found. The mediators pointed out that Iran continues to insist on its core demands, including ending hostilities, obtaining economic relief, war reparations, and playing a monitoring role in the strategic Strait of Hormuz. Furthermore, significant differences remain with the US on the issue of demanding Iran shut down or permanently suspend its nuclear program. Regional sources say the US and Israel have been preparing for a new round of strikes against Iran in the coming days, with some even suggesting an attack could begin as early as next week.US Vice President Vance: This situation will not last forever, no matter what decision US President Trump makes regarding Iran.On May 20th, according to a report by Axios on May 19th, US President Trump convened a meeting with his national security team on the evening of May 18th to receive a briefing on military action plans against Iran. The report, citing two US officials, stated that the meeting focused on the next steps in the war against Iran, progress in diplomatic negotiations, and possible US military action. This briefing reportedly indicates that Trump is "seriously considering resuming military action against Iran." The report, citing sources familiar with the matter, stated that some proponents of a hardline stance against Iran believe Trump currently "has a desire to deliver a strong blow and force Iran to make concessions in negotiations."The Federal Reserve accepted a total of $12.911 billion from 22 counterparties in its fixed-rate reverse repurchase operations.

Forecast for Silver Price: XAG/USD is rising quickly and is approaching the $20.00 mark

Alina Haynes

Sep 15, 2022 11:43

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Silver price recovers around the 50-day exponential moving average and advances towards a daily high of $19.69 on Wednesday after the US Labor Department reported that August PPI was in line with predictions of diminishing inflationary pressures on the producer side. Therefore, the XAG/USD is trading at $19.61, 1.86% higher than its initial price.

 

Before Wall Street opened, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) of the United States reported that the Producer Price Index (PPI) for August decreased by 0.1%, in line with expectations, while the year-over-year figure fell to 8.7%, less than the 9.8% reported in July. Meanwhile, the so-called core PPI, which excludes volatile goods, increased by 0.4% month-over-month and 7.3% year.

 

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index, a measure of the dollar's value against a basket of six currencies, ended Wednesday's session down 0.15 percent, at 109.648, weighed down by US Treasury yields, particularly the 10-year benchmark note rate, which remained unchanged throughout the day at approximately 3.404%.

 

The US Dollar Index reflects the aforementioned by declining by 0.09% and falling below the 110.000 barrier. Similarly, the US 10-year benchmark note rate exhibits signs of weariness, remaining flat at approximately 3.414%.

 

The fact that US 10-year TIPS yields, a proxy for actual yields, rose by only one basis point to 0.939% was a further factor supporting the white metal price.

 

On Thursday, the US economic calendar will contain jobless claims, retail sales, and the New York and Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Indices, which will serve as a precursor to the ISM report in October.

 

The daily XAG/USD chart depicts the white metal as neutral to bearishly biased. Nonetheless, if silver buyers recapture the $20,000 threshold, this might pave the way for a test of a four-month-old downslope trendline near $20.20 prior to reaching the 100-day EMA at $20.39. A breach of the latter will reveal the cycle high from August 15 at $20.87, ahead of the psychological milestone of $21.00.