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Xiaomi Auto: Xiaomi SU7 series deliveries exceeded 500,000 units in 28.5 months.August 17th - Japanese automakers are facing a double whammy from the impact of the Iran war and the potential for a stronger yen. Toyota, Honda, and Nissan have recently benefited from the historically weak yen, with Toyota and Honda raising their full-year earnings forecasts and Nissan achieving its first profit in nearly two years. However, this positive effect may reverse as the yen strengthens. Vincent Sun, senior equity analyst at Morningstar, stated that a stronger yen will force automakers to choose between raising prices overseas and sacrificing profits. The former could lead to a decline in market share, while the latter would compress the yen value of overseas profits. Bernstein predicts that for every 1% appreciation of the yen, Japanese automakers operating profits will typically be affected by about 2%, with some companies potentially experiencing an impact of up to 4%. Analysts also believe that the ongoing conflict in the Middle East could drive up the costs of key raw materials such as naphtha, resins, aluminum, copper, steel, and semiconductors, and increase shipping risks in the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea, further squeezing automakers profit margins.Japans 20-year yield rose 6.5 basis points to 3.815%.On August 17th, the Foshan Housing Provident Fund Management Center issued a notice regarding adjustments to the minimum contribution level for housing provident funds in Foshan. The notice clarifies that starting September 1, 2026, the minimum contribution level for housing provident funds in Foshan will be adjusted. Specifically, the minimum contribution base will be set at the minimum wage standard for employed workers in Foshan, which is 2300 yuan. The minimum monthly contribution for employed workers will be 115 yuan for both the individual and employer contributions, totaling 230 yuan. The minimum monthly contribution for self-employed individuals will also be 230 yuan.August 17th - The upcoming New Zealand general election in November may complicate the Reserve Bank of New Zealands (RBNZ) monetary policy tightening, but ANZ senior strategist David Croy believes the RBNZ is still very likely to raise interest rates in October. The RBNZ has clearly stated its intention to return monetary policy to a neutral level. ANZ estimates the neutral interest rate to be around 3% or slightly above 3%, while the current policy rate is 2.50%. Croy stated that with policy remaining stimulative and inflation above target, there is no reason for the RBNZ to pause rate hikes. He believes the current situation is that the RBNZ needs to find a reason not to raise rates in October.

Forecast for Silver Price: XAG/USD is rising quickly and is approaching the $20.00 mark

Alina Haynes

Sep 15, 2022 11:43

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Silver price recovers around the 50-day exponential moving average and advances towards a daily high of $19.69 on Wednesday after the US Labor Department reported that August PPI was in line with predictions of diminishing inflationary pressures on the producer side. Therefore, the XAG/USD is trading at $19.61, 1.86% higher than its initial price.

 

Before Wall Street opened, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) of the United States reported that the Producer Price Index (PPI) for August decreased by 0.1%, in line with expectations, while the year-over-year figure fell to 8.7%, less than the 9.8% reported in July. Meanwhile, the so-called core PPI, which excludes volatile goods, increased by 0.4% month-over-month and 7.3% year.

 

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index, a measure of the dollar's value against a basket of six currencies, ended Wednesday's session down 0.15 percent, at 109.648, weighed down by US Treasury yields, particularly the 10-year benchmark note rate, which remained unchanged throughout the day at approximately 3.404%.

 

The US Dollar Index reflects the aforementioned by declining by 0.09% and falling below the 110.000 barrier. Similarly, the US 10-year benchmark note rate exhibits signs of weariness, remaining flat at approximately 3.414%.

 

The fact that US 10-year TIPS yields, a proxy for actual yields, rose by only one basis point to 0.939% was a further factor supporting the white metal price.

 

On Thursday, the US economic calendar will contain jobless claims, retail sales, and the New York and Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Indices, which will serve as a precursor to the ISM report in October.

 

The daily XAG/USD chart depicts the white metal as neutral to bearishly biased. Nonetheless, if silver buyers recapture the $20,000 threshold, this might pave the way for a test of a four-month-old downslope trendline near $20.20 prior to reaching the 100-day EMA at $20.39. A breach of the latter will reveal the cycle high from August 15 at $20.87, ahead of the psychological milestone of $21.00.