• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
June 5th - According to foreign media reports, Mays non-farm payroll data far exceeded market expectations, causing the US interest rate futures market to significantly increase its bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike at its December meeting. According to LSEG data, the interest rate futures market currently projects a 65% probability of a Fed rate hike in December, up from 48% before the jobs report was released. For the June meeting, the market still widely expects the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged in the 3.50% to 3.75% range. The stronger-than-expected jobs data indicates the continued resilience of the US labor market and further weakens market expectations for a near-term rate cut, while strengthening investors assessment that the Fed may resume rate hikes in the future to address inflationary pressures.Market news: Hillhouse Capital is about to complete its acquisition of a stake in LRQA Group, which is backed by Goldman Sachs.June 5th - Analyst Jersey commented on the US non-farm payrolls: Its difficult to describe the job market as weak. For the interest rate market, the risk leans more towards rate hikes, while the likelihood of rate cuts decreases. Kevin Warsh will find it difficult to persuade other members of the Federal Reserves Monetary Policy Committee to lower interest rates. We dont believe a rate hike is imminent, but if we see several more job increases like this, several rate hikes will become our baseline scenario.On June 5th, at the 2026 Qualcomm Automotive Technology and Cooperation Summit, Qualcomm Technologies, together with ecosystem partners including Chemmax Technology, CarLink, Banma Smart, Desay SV, Magnatec, and ThunderSoft, announced the Claw ecosystem plan for automotive AI. Through this plan, Qualcomm Technologies and its ecosystem partners are committed to directly deploying AI agents and multimodal large models to vehicles.June 5th - According to CNBC, data released Friday by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed unexpectedly strong job growth in May as the U.S. labor market continued its robust expansion. The breadth of job growth in May broadened, with multiple industries recording solid increases. The leisure and hospitality industry added 70,000 jobs, far exceeding the 14,000 monthly average increase over the past year, leading all industries. Local government employment increased by 55,000. The healthcare industry, which has historically contributed the most to job growth, added 35,000 jobs, roughly in line with its historical average; the social assistance industry added 12,000 jobs. In recent days, Federal Reserve officials have become more optimistic about the labor market outlook and have shifted their focus more towards persistent inflation. Persistent inflationary pressures have largely ruled out the possibility of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.

Gold price prediction: XAU/USD slips to $1,690 on Fed forecasts; US retail sales expected

Daniel Rogers

Sep 15, 2022 11:37

 116.png

 

Gold price (XAU/USD) has adopted a downward trend after falling below Wednesday's minimum of $1,693.67. The precious metal is falling nearing $1,690.00 as bears take control of rising probabilities for a massive Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike in the near future.

 

Earlier symptoms of weariness have dissipated as a result of Tuesday's higher-than-anticipated US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. Despite declining gasoline costs, the headline US CPI was announced at 8.3%, which was higher than the 8.2% prediction. The investment community believed that inflation had begun to respond to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) raising interest rates and that a succession of declining price pressures would soon enable the Fed to adopt a 'neutral' stance.

 

However, a US inflation report that exceeded forecasts demonstrates that the road to a neutral monetary policy is far from complete. Moreover, predictions of a one percent rate increase are currently ascendant.

 

In today's session, the US Retail Sales report will be of paramount importance. The economic data estimates do not indicate any improvement in retail demand. This could be the outcome of a fall in consumer confidence in the economy.

 

The gold price has experienced a precipitous decline after demonstrating a textbook-style test and the collapse of a consolidation pattern. On an hourly scale, the consolidation formed within the region of $1,697.12-1,709.62. At $1,698.70, the yellow metal is trading below the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which increases the downside filters.