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On September 6, Russian Presidential Aide Ushakov said early on the 6th that President Putins meeting with US President Trumps special envoy Witkov and son-in-law Jared Kushner at the Kremlin on the evening of the 5th lasted more than three hours and was substantive and "constructive." Ushakov said that the Russian side made a clear and comprehensive assessment of the current situation, including the situation developing during the special military operation. In particular, the Russian side pointed out the actual progress made by the Russian army in the theater of operations and expressed confidence in achieving its established objectives, while also emphasizing the necessity of eliminating all the root causes of the conflict. Ushakov stated that Russia reiterated its willingness to continue working with the US to seek a solution through political and diplomatic means. Both sides confirmed that the two presidents will continue to maintain direct contact.Russian Presidential Aide Ushakov: Putin is prepared to cooperate with the United States to seek a diplomatic solution to the Russia-Ukraine issue.September 6 - According to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA), the public relations department of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued a statement on September 5 denying that the Isfahan nuclear technology center and nuclear facilities had been attacked, calling the related reports purely fabricated. The statement said that spreading such content during the current sensitive situation is an attempt by hostile forces to create tension, disrupt public opinion, and incite public panic.September 6 - According to Irans Fars News Agency, a deputy political official of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Navy stated that in the 10 days leading up to August 30, Iranian naval forces were "punishing" two to five "violations" of regulations every night in the Strait of Hormuz. The official added that the US attacks "did not cause the slightest disruption to Irans control in the region."On September 6th, Israeli public radio reported on the 5th that the Israeli military is preparing to partially withdraw from southern Lebanon and plans to establish a smaller "safe zone" along the Lebanese-Israeli border. The report stated that the Israeli military recently completed the destruction of Hezbollah tunnels beneath the Ali Tahir heights in the Nabatayah region of southern Lebanon, subsequently formulating the aforementioned relocation plan. Israeli security officials said that under the new plan, the Israeli military will withdraw to a position closer to the Lebanese-Israeli border, reducing the depth of its controlled area in southern Lebanon from the current approximately 10 kilometers to 3-4 kilometers. The new deployment line, referred to as the "grey line," will replace the current "yellow line."

Forecast for Gold Price: XAU/USD licks US inflation-related wounds near $1,700

Alina Haynes

Sep 14, 2022 11:39

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Gold price (XAU/USD) is under pressure near $1,700 as bears take a pause following the largest daily decline in two weeks due to US inflation. However, it should be noted that a lack of important data/events appeared to limit bullion's quick movements throughout Wednesday's Asian session.

 

Tuesday's US inflation statistics rekindled fears about the Federal Reserve's fast rate hike and exacerbated recession concerns. Also acting as factors for a decline in the XAU/USD are geopolitical concerns over China and Russia.

 

In August, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) surpassed market expectations by increasing 8.3% year-over-year (YOY), compared to 8.8% previously. However, the monthly data increased to 0.1%, exceeding the -0.1% anticipated and 0.0% previous estimates. The core CPI, which excludes food and energy, likewise exceeded the 6.1% consensus and 5.9% prior to printing at 6.3% for the month in question.

 

Following the release of US inflation statistics, wagers on the Fed's next move became further aggressive, with a 75 basis point (bps) raise next week appearing nearly probable. There is a 25% possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce a complete 1% hike in the benchmark Fed rate at its meeting on September 21.

 

It should be mentioned that the yield inversion expanded after US inflation data and fueled recession concerns, which in turn weighed on the XAU/USD values due to the pair's reputation as a risk-barometer. However, following the release of the data, rates on 10-year US Treasury notes rose to 3.412% and those on 2-year bonds rose to 3.76%, from roughly 3.411% and 3.745%, respectively. In addition, the US stock market experienced its largest daily decline in over two years following the announcement of the US CPI, which thrilled metal bearish.

 

In addition to the rush toward deeper ties with China, US Vice President Joe Biden's efforts to raise China's troubles contribute to Sino-American tensions. In addition, worries that Russia will retaliate harshly after retreating from certain regions of Ukraine weighed on market mood and the price of gold.

 

A light schedule ahead of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) may keep XAU/USD on the precarious floor, but bears are likely to maintain control until Thursday's US Retail Sales for the month of August and Friday's preliminary reading of the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for September.

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