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August 23 - Following the 5.8 magnitude earthquake that struck Honshu, Japan, numerous injuries have been reported. As of 4:00 AM local time, nine people were injured in Saitama Prefecture, and as of 5:00 AM local time, three people were injured in Kanagawa Prefecture. Additionally, some people in Tokyo sustained cuts from broken glass. According to the Tokyo Fire Department, approximately 30 earthquake-related calls had been received as of 3:00 AM local time on the 23rd.On August 23, according to the New York Times, U.S. Trade Representative Greer revealed previously undisclosed trade proposals to Canada on Saturday, stating that these measures would grant Canada the most favorable treatment among all its trading partners. Greer stated that the Trump administration had promised to eliminate the 10% softwood lumber tariff imposed last year under Section 232, and also proposed reducing the 25% auto tariff imposed by Trump last year. Furthermore, because Canada could receive further tax reductions if its vehicles contain any U.S. parts, the auto tariff could have been reduced to 7%. The U.S. also proposed reducing metal tariffs, one of Canadas top concerns. The U.S. proposed reducing tariffs on most Canadian steel exports to the U.S. from 50% to 25% under the so-called tariff quota system, and for aluminum, the U.S. would reduce tariffs from 50% to 25%, without quota restrictions. For downstream products using steel and aluminum as raw materials, the U.S. proposed reducing tariffs by 10 to 25 percentage points, with a minimum of 15%. He also stated that the Trump administration had originally planned to suspend the 50% tariffs imposed on Canadian dairy products, wine, hockey sticks, and other goods that would begin early Saturday morning, while also cooperating on other issues such as key minerals and cargo transshipment. Greer refuted Canadian Prime Minister Carneys claim that "the U.S. is asking for too much and giving too little," stating that the U.S. proposal would "continue to provide them with the best market access and further improve those conditions."U.S. Trade Representative Greer: The United States could have postponed the 50% tariffs imposed on Canadian dairy products and wine.U.S. Trade Representative Greer: The U.S. has proposed lowering tariffs on most Canadian steel products to 25% and reducing tariffs on aluminum products from 50% to 25%.U.S. Trade Representative Greer: The United States has proposed eliminating the 10% tariff on softwood lumber.

Forecast for Gold Price: XAU/USD licks US inflation-related wounds near $1,700

Alina Haynes

Sep 14, 2022 11:39

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Gold price (XAU/USD) is under pressure near $1,700 as bears take a pause following the largest daily decline in two weeks due to US inflation. However, it should be noted that a lack of important data/events appeared to limit bullion's quick movements throughout Wednesday's Asian session.

 

Tuesday's US inflation statistics rekindled fears about the Federal Reserve's fast rate hike and exacerbated recession concerns. Also acting as factors for a decline in the XAU/USD are geopolitical concerns over China and Russia.

 

In August, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) surpassed market expectations by increasing 8.3% year-over-year (YOY), compared to 8.8% previously. However, the monthly data increased to 0.1%, exceeding the -0.1% anticipated and 0.0% previous estimates. The core CPI, which excludes food and energy, likewise exceeded the 6.1% consensus and 5.9% prior to printing at 6.3% for the month in question.

 

Following the release of US inflation statistics, wagers on the Fed's next move became further aggressive, with a 75 basis point (bps) raise next week appearing nearly probable. There is a 25% possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce a complete 1% hike in the benchmark Fed rate at its meeting on September 21.

 

It should be mentioned that the yield inversion expanded after US inflation data and fueled recession concerns, which in turn weighed on the XAU/USD values due to the pair's reputation as a risk-barometer. However, following the release of the data, rates on 10-year US Treasury notes rose to 3.412% and those on 2-year bonds rose to 3.76%, from roughly 3.411% and 3.745%, respectively. In addition, the US stock market experienced its largest daily decline in over two years following the announcement of the US CPI, which thrilled metal bearish.

 

In addition to the rush toward deeper ties with China, US Vice President Joe Biden's efforts to raise China's troubles contribute to Sino-American tensions. In addition, worries that Russia will retaliate harshly after retreating from certain regions of Ukraine weighed on market mood and the price of gold.

 

A light schedule ahead of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) may keep XAU/USD on the precarious floor, but bears are likely to maintain control until Thursday's US Retail Sales for the month of August and Friday's preliminary reading of the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for September.

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