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According to The Information, OpenAI founder Altman stated that OpenAI plans to postpone other initiatives, such as its advertising business.On December 2nd, Intel announced an additional investment of RM860 million (US$208 million) to make Malaysia its assembly and testing operations hub, a move Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim stated would boost the Southeast Asian nations key role in the global semiconductor supply chain. He added that Intels decision was based on confidence in Malaysias long-term plans. Anwar stated that Intel already has operations in Malaysia, including a RM12 billion advanced packaging plant in Penang, which is 99% complete. In 2021, the US company pledged a US$7 billion investment to establish a manufacturing base in Penang. Malaysia accounts for approximately 13% of the global chip packaging, assembly, and testing (the final step in semiconductor manufacturing) market, an industry that drives 40% of Malaysias export output. As major governments race to strengthen their semiconductor capabilities, Malaysia has been striving to elevate its position in the global supply chain.Futures News, December 2nd: As of December 1st, the mainstream benzene market price in East China closed at 5320 yuan/ton, down 110 yuan/ton from 5430 yuan/ton at the beginning of November. From a fundamental perspective, December arrivals in East China are concentrated, and major ports in East China will enter a period of continuous inventory accumulation. In addition, with the weather turning colder, insufficient end-user orders and low downstream operating enthusiasm continue to put pressure on price recovery across the industry chain. However, on the cost side, geopolitical tensions threaten market supply, and European and American crude oil futures rose 1.3%. Under the interplay of bullish and bearish factors, the benzene market is expected to trade within a range.On December 2nd, futures market news reported that crude oil prices traded higher yesterday, primarily driven by the return of two major geopolitical risk premiums. Firstly, the slow progress of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, coupled with Ukraines attacks on European oil ports and pipelines; secondly, the USs air traffic control over a South American country over the weekend, leading to the breakdown of peace talks and heightened tensions in South America. Zhuochuang Information predicts that the return of geopolitical risks has led to an increase in oil prices. However, whether this upward trend can continue depends on close monitoring of developments. If the conflict escalates, oil prices will continue to rise; otherwise, if the situation remains manageable, oil prices will likely experience wider fluctuations. In the short term, the geopolitical risk premium remains high, and oil prices are expected to remain relatively strong.Fitch: Penalties imposed on South Korean banks highlight non-financial risks.

Forecast for Gold Price: XAU/USD licks US inflation-related wounds near $1,700

Alina Haynes

Sep 14, 2022 11:39

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Gold price (XAU/USD) is under pressure near $1,700 as bears take a pause following the largest daily decline in two weeks due to US inflation. However, it should be noted that a lack of important data/events appeared to limit bullion's quick movements throughout Wednesday's Asian session.

 

Tuesday's US inflation statistics rekindled fears about the Federal Reserve's fast rate hike and exacerbated recession concerns. Also acting as factors for a decline in the XAU/USD are geopolitical concerns over China and Russia.

 

In August, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) surpassed market expectations by increasing 8.3% year-over-year (YOY), compared to 8.8% previously. However, the monthly data increased to 0.1%, exceeding the -0.1% anticipated and 0.0% previous estimates. The core CPI, which excludes food and energy, likewise exceeded the 6.1% consensus and 5.9% prior to printing at 6.3% for the month in question.

 

Following the release of US inflation statistics, wagers on the Fed's next move became further aggressive, with a 75 basis point (bps) raise next week appearing nearly probable. There is a 25% possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce a complete 1% hike in the benchmark Fed rate at its meeting on September 21.

 

It should be mentioned that the yield inversion expanded after US inflation data and fueled recession concerns, which in turn weighed on the XAU/USD values due to the pair's reputation as a risk-barometer. However, following the release of the data, rates on 10-year US Treasury notes rose to 3.412% and those on 2-year bonds rose to 3.76%, from roughly 3.411% and 3.745%, respectively. In addition, the US stock market experienced its largest daily decline in over two years following the announcement of the US CPI, which thrilled metal bearish.

 

In addition to the rush toward deeper ties with China, US Vice President Joe Biden's efforts to raise China's troubles contribute to Sino-American tensions. In addition, worries that Russia will retaliate harshly after retreating from certain regions of Ukraine weighed on market mood and the price of gold.

 

A light schedule ahead of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) may keep XAU/USD on the precarious floor, but bears are likely to maintain control until Thursday's US Retail Sales for the month of August and Friday's preliminary reading of the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for September.