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Energy consultants say U.S. drivers could see gas prices rise to $4 a gallon this weekend.British Defense Secretary Healy: We have eight fighter jets in Qatar.On March 10, Russian President Vladimir Putin urged the countrys oil and gas producers to take advantage of soaring commodity prices to reduce debt, as the price surge is only temporary. Speaking at a meeting with government officials and energy company executives, Putin stated that oil production relying on the Strait of Hormuz, which is "effectively closed" due to the Middle East conflict, "could potentially come to a complete halt within a month." He added that restoring liquefied natural gas (LNG) production in the region would take "weeks or even a month," and that "it is impossible to quickly make up for lost production." Putin stated that Russia "must understand that the current high commodity prices are certainly only temporary" and should act accordingly. "The change in the supply and demand balance of hydrocarbons will inevitably bring about a new price stabilization. This is inevitable, therefore, Russian energy companies must seize the current opportunity, including using additional export revenue to reduce their debt burden on Russian banks."Market news: Iran loaded 2 million barrels of crude oil from the Jask export terminal, marking the first time crude oil shipments have bypassed the Strait of Hormuz since the escalation of the US-Iran conflict.On March 10, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy posted on his official social media platform that the priorities and full attention of Ukraines partner countries are currently focused on the situation in the Middle East, therefore the meeting originally scheduled for this week at the suggestion of the United States has been postponed. Zelenskyy stated that he held a meeting with the Ukrainian negotiating team that day and instructed them to communicate with the US negotiating representatives: firstly, to reaffirm Ukraines willingness to engage in strategic cooperation on security issues, particularly in the defense of drones; and secondly, to reaffirm Ukraines willingness to undertake substantive work to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

Forecast for the price of gold: XAU/USD tussles with $1,730 resistance before US inflation

Daniel Rogers

Sep 13, 2022 10:57

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As traders anticipate the crucial US Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Tuesday, the price of gold (XAU/USD) grinds higher above a fortnight peak after a two-day advance to $1,725 per ounce. The market's optimism and anticipated preparations for today's inflation data may be responsible for the metal's most recent increases.

 

The market's cautious optimism appears to have been supported by rumors that Ukraine is succeeding in driving the Russian troops away from some of its conflict zones, even though this also increased concerns about Russia's strong response. The expectation of additional stimulus from powerful economies like China, the US, the UK, and Europe might be on the same lines. It's important to keep in mind that a Chinese holiday and a light schedule may have contributed to the XAU/recovery USD's because Beijing's lack of political or economic problems may have supported metal prices. In addition, recent news from the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) that US gas prices have fallen for a 13th week in a row helped to relieve market pressure and encouraged a risk-taking attitude that was favorable to the gold price.

 

However, the recent easing of the headline economics and the inflation expectations seems to have pushed back the gold bears despite a light schedule, even though the policymakers from the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank (ECB) remain hawkish elsewhere.

 

In the midst of these maneuvers, Wall Street posted another day of profits despite rising US Treasury yields, which at the time were up five basis points (bps) to 3.36%. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which fell for a second straight day to the lowest levels in a fortnight, eventually dipped to approximately 108.30, was affected by the same factors.

 

Moving on, the US CPI for August is critical in light of the most recent easing of pricing pressure. According to the projections, the headline figure will decline to -0.1% MoM from 0.0% the previous month, while the CPI excluding food and energy is expected to hold steady at 0.3% MoM. The US dollar may continue to decline if the inflation numbers are weaker, which might support the XAU/continued USD's gain.

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