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1. All three major U.S. stock indexes closed higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.48% to 46,565.74 points, the S&P 500 rose 0.72% to 6,575.32 points, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.16% to 21,840.95 points. Boeing rose more than 4%, and Caterpillar rose more than 3%, leading the Dow Jones gains. The Wind U.S. Tech Big Seven Index rose 1.13%, with Google rising more than 3% and Tesla rising more than 2%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose 0.31%, with Zai Lab rising more than 8% and Hesai Technology rising more than 7%. 2. All three major European stock indexes closed higher. The German DAX rose 2.73% to 23,298.89 points, the French CAC40 rose 2.1% to 7,981.27 points, and the UK FTSE 100 rose 1.85% to 10,364.79 points. The rapid easing of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East boosted European stock markets and led to a decline in oil prices, alleviating inflationary pressures and energy cost concerns. This provided room for the European Central Bank to adjust its monetary policy and enhanced the attractiveness of risk assets. 3. Most US Treasury yields rose: the 2-year yield rose 1.01 basis points to 3.803%, the 3-year yield rose 1.73 basis points to 3.830%, the 5-year yield rose 1.22 basis points to 3.953%, the 10-year yield rose 0.20 basis points to 4.319%, and the 30-year yield fell 1.33 basis points to 4.899%. 4. The WTI crude oil futures contract closed down 2.44% at $98.91 per barrel; the Brent crude oil futures contract fell 3.59% to $100.24 per barrel. First, market expectations for a US-Iran ceasefire and the withdrawal of US troops from Iran have increased, significantly easing concerns about supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, which had previously supported oil price increases. Second, US crude oil inventories rose far more than expected last week, reaching near-record highs, further pressuring oil prices due to expectations of ample supply. Third, the US plan to release strategic petroleum reserves also put downward pressure on oil prices. 5. International precious metals futures generally closed higher, with COMEX gold futures rising 2.27% to $4784.60 per ounce and COMEX silver futures rising 0.38% to $75.20 per ounce. Crude oil prices retreated from their highs, easing inflationary pressures. Meanwhile, the US dollar index fell for the second consecutive day to around 99.4, making dollar-denominated precious metals more attractive to holders of non-US currencies. 6. London base metals rose across the board. LME lead rose 1.89% to $1,939.0/ton, LME zinc rose 1.77% to $3,283.5/ton, LME aluminum rose 1.75% to $3,527.5/ton, LME tin rose 1.50% to $47,450.0/ton, LME copper rose 1.11% to $12,472.5/ton, and LME nickel rose 1.02% to $17,285.0/ton.Japan Meteorological Agency: Following the earthquake near Indonesia, there may be slight sea level changes along the Japanese coast, but no tsunami is expected.The U.S. tsunami warning system warned that following the earthquake, some coastal areas of Indonesia may experience tsunami waves 0.3 to 1 meter above the tide level.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially reported that a 7.4-magnitude earthquake occurred in the Maluku Strait of Indonesia at 06:48 on April 2, with a focal depth of 30 kilometers.The U.S. tsunami warning system warns that tsunami waves triggered by the earthquake may occur along the coasts of Indonesia, the Philippines, and Malaysia within 1,000 kilometers of the epicenter.

Forecast for the price of gold: XAU/USD tussles with $1,730 resistance before US inflation

Daniel Rogers

Sep 13, 2022 10:57

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As traders anticipate the crucial US Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Tuesday, the price of gold (XAU/USD) grinds higher above a fortnight peak after a two-day advance to $1,725 per ounce. The market's optimism and anticipated preparations for today's inflation data may be responsible for the metal's most recent increases.

 

The market's cautious optimism appears to have been supported by rumors that Ukraine is succeeding in driving the Russian troops away from some of its conflict zones, even though this also increased concerns about Russia's strong response. The expectation of additional stimulus from powerful economies like China, the US, the UK, and Europe might be on the same lines. It's important to keep in mind that a Chinese holiday and a light schedule may have contributed to the XAU/recovery USD's because Beijing's lack of political or economic problems may have supported metal prices. In addition, recent news from the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) that US gas prices have fallen for a 13th week in a row helped to relieve market pressure and encouraged a risk-taking attitude that was favorable to the gold price.

 

However, the recent easing of the headline economics and the inflation expectations seems to have pushed back the gold bears despite a light schedule, even though the policymakers from the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank (ECB) remain hawkish elsewhere.

 

In the midst of these maneuvers, Wall Street posted another day of profits despite rising US Treasury yields, which at the time were up five basis points (bps) to 3.36%. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which fell for a second straight day to the lowest levels in a fortnight, eventually dipped to approximately 108.30, was affected by the same factors.

 

Moving on, the US CPI for August is critical in light of the most recent easing of pricing pressure. According to the projections, the headline figure will decline to -0.1% MoM from 0.0% the previous month, while the CPI excluding food and energy is expected to hold steady at 0.3% MoM. The US dollar may continue to decline if the inflation numbers are weaker, which might support the XAU/continued USD's gain.

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