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On April 28th, it was reported that on April 24th, the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) and the Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) convened an inter-ministerial joint meeting and work deployment meeting on the construction of the social credit system. Officials from 48 member units of the inter-ministerial joint meeting attended the meeting. Li Chunlin, Vice Chairman of the NDRC, and Zou Lan, Vice Governor of the PBOC, attended and addressed the meeting. The meeting emphasized strengthening government integrity, accelerating the process of credit legislation, promoting the construction of a high-level credit economy, improving the level of public credit evaluation, perfecting the incentive mechanism for trustworthy behavior, deepening credit information sharing, and pushing the construction of the social credit system to a new level.The main fuel oil contract surged 4.00% intraday, currently trading at 4269.00 yuan/ton.On April 28th, the "Outline of the 15th Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development of Guangdong Province" was officially released. It mentions a major consumption upgrade initiative. This includes promoting a model of "fiscal subsidies + corporate concessions + financial support," increasing support for trade-ins of durable consumer goods such as automobiles and home appliances, and continuing to implement consumption-promoting policies such as the "Guangdong Premium Products Purchase" program. It also includes implementing policies for automobile replacement and scrapping, encouraging eligible cities to issue subsidies for new car purchases. Furthermore, it aims to expand aftermarket consumption such as automobile modification and leasing, accelerate the construction of recycling systems for automobiles, electronic products, home appliances, and furniture, and actively, steadily, and orderly promote the transformation of urban villages under a new model, expand the supply of affordable housing, and better meet housing consumption needs.On April 28th, the "Outline of the 15th Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development of Guangdong Province" was officially released. It mentions the development of core intelligent industries. Focusing on basic software such as intelligent operating systems and development frameworks, and key core technologies such as high-end training and inference chips and edge computing chips, the plan aims to cultivate competitive software and hardware products and digital industry clusters. It promotes the research and development and industrialization of industrial robots, service robots, special robots, and general-purpose intelligent high-end products. It accelerates the development of intelligent connected vehicles, constructs intelligent connected vehicle testing zones and vehicle-road cooperative facilities. It expands the market for consumer-grade intelligent products, improves the performance of public service-grade intelligent products, innovates categories of industry-application intelligent products, develops high-end intelligent terminal products, and cultivates intelligent terminal and equipment industry clusters. It strengthens the integration and collaboration of "big brain" and "small brain" technologies, promotes intelligent agent collaboration and large-scale application, and drives comprehensive reconstruction with AI native drivers. It establishes a dual-pole framework of an innovation center in the field of intelligent agents and an innovation center in the field of intelligent terminals to support the creation of the Guangdong Provincial Artificial Intelligence Innovation Center.On April 28th, the "Outline of the 15th Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development of Guangdong Province" was officially released. It mentions enhancing the fundamental capabilities of large-scale models. This includes supporting multi-path technology exploration, algorithm optimization, and model infrastructure innovation, strengthening collaborative innovation across "model, chip, cloud, and application." It also calls for the coordinated development of large-scale model training and inference facilities, building a Guangdong-characteristic embodied intelligence training ground system. Furthermore, it aims to create high-level general-purpose large-scale models, develop trillion-parameter models, and construct multimodal and world models. The plan emphasizes developing vertical large-scale models in advantageous fields, focusing on areas such as financial services, peoples livelihood, and governance, cultivating vertical models adapted to complex scenarios and integrating multimodal data. It also calls for developing small-scale models for specific scenarios, targeting scenarios such as technology and healthcare, and launching lightweight and secure scenario-level model products such as intelligent agents and MaaS. Finally, it encourages exploring new forms of model applications, improving the ability to handle complex tasks, optimizing interactive experiences, and promoting technological innovation in multimodal, intelligent agent, embodied intelligence, and swarm intelligence. Finally, it establishes and improves model capability assessment and security assessment systems to promote effective iterative improvement of model capabilities.

Forecast for the price of gold: XAU/USD tussles with $1,730 resistance before US inflation

Daniel Rogers

Sep 13, 2022 10:57

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As traders anticipate the crucial US Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Tuesday, the price of gold (XAU/USD) grinds higher above a fortnight peak after a two-day advance to $1,725 per ounce. The market's optimism and anticipated preparations for today's inflation data may be responsible for the metal's most recent increases.

 

The market's cautious optimism appears to have been supported by rumors that Ukraine is succeeding in driving the Russian troops away from some of its conflict zones, even though this also increased concerns about Russia's strong response. The expectation of additional stimulus from powerful economies like China, the US, the UK, and Europe might be on the same lines. It's important to keep in mind that a Chinese holiday and a light schedule may have contributed to the XAU/recovery USD's because Beijing's lack of political or economic problems may have supported metal prices. In addition, recent news from the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) that US gas prices have fallen for a 13th week in a row helped to relieve market pressure and encouraged a risk-taking attitude that was favorable to the gold price.

 

However, the recent easing of the headline economics and the inflation expectations seems to have pushed back the gold bears despite a light schedule, even though the policymakers from the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank (ECB) remain hawkish elsewhere.

 

In the midst of these maneuvers, Wall Street posted another day of profits despite rising US Treasury yields, which at the time were up five basis points (bps) to 3.36%. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which fell for a second straight day to the lowest levels in a fortnight, eventually dipped to approximately 108.30, was affected by the same factors.

 

Moving on, the US CPI for August is critical in light of the most recent easing of pricing pressure. According to the projections, the headline figure will decline to -0.1% MoM from 0.0% the previous month, while the CPI excluding food and energy is expected to hold steady at 0.3% MoM. The US dollar may continue to decline if the inflation numbers are weaker, which might support the XAU/continued USD's gain.

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