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On May 5th, at approximately 8:54 AM local time, an earthquake with a maximum intensity of 3 was observed in Iwate Prefecture, Japan. The Japan Meteorological Agency stated that the epicenter was located off the coast of the Sanriku region, at a depth of approximately 30 kilometers, and the estimated magnitude was 5.2. There is no risk of a tsunami.According to Nikkei, Japans JSR Corporation plans to establish its first semiconductor materials manufacturing plant in Taiwan and supply raw materials to TSMC.May 5th - Meta Platforms (META.O) is developing a financing plan for a data center in El Paso, Texas, with a total value potentially reaching approximately $13 billion. According to sources familiar with the matter, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan Chase are leading the process. These sources stated that the majority of the financing is expected to be in the form of debt, with the remainder being equity financing. The sources indicated that discussions are still in the early stages and the specific terms are still being refined.Conflict Situation: 1. Market News: Russian attacks on the Kharkiv region of Ukraine have resulted in 5 deaths and 18 injuries. 2. Russian Ministry of Defense: A ceasefire will be implemented from May 8th to 9th, 2026, and Russia hopes that Ukraine will reciprocate. 3. Russian Ministry of Defense: If Ukraine attempts to disrupt Victory Day celebrations, a large-scale retaliatory missile attack will be launched on the center of Kyiv. 4. Zelensky: Ukraine has not received any proposals regarding a ceasefire on May 9th, and will implement a unilateral ceasefire starting at midnight on the 6th. Other Situations: 1. NATO stated it will continue to provide Ukraine with anti-missile missiles. 2. Zelensky called for European participation in the Ukraine-Russia negotiations. 3. The Russian Federal Security Service arrested 150 underground weapons manufacturers. 4. Zelensky: Ukraine and Europe agreed to accelerate the implementation of the drone cooperation agreement. 5. Austria announced the expulsion of three Russian diplomats; Russia stated it will respond strongly to Austrias decision.Market news: Meta Platforms (META.O) is developing a financing plan for a data center in El Paso, Texas, with a total amount potentially reaching approximately $13 billion. According to sources familiar with the matter, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan Chase are leading the process.

Forecast for the price of gold: XAU/USD tussles with $1,730 resistance before US inflation

Daniel Rogers

Sep 13, 2022 10:57

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As traders anticipate the crucial US Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Tuesday, the price of gold (XAU/USD) grinds higher above a fortnight peak after a two-day advance to $1,725 per ounce. The market's optimism and anticipated preparations for today's inflation data may be responsible for the metal's most recent increases.

 

The market's cautious optimism appears to have been supported by rumors that Ukraine is succeeding in driving the Russian troops away from some of its conflict zones, even though this also increased concerns about Russia's strong response. The expectation of additional stimulus from powerful economies like China, the US, the UK, and Europe might be on the same lines. It's important to keep in mind that a Chinese holiday and a light schedule may have contributed to the XAU/recovery USD's because Beijing's lack of political or economic problems may have supported metal prices. In addition, recent news from the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) that US gas prices have fallen for a 13th week in a row helped to relieve market pressure and encouraged a risk-taking attitude that was favorable to the gold price.

 

However, the recent easing of the headline economics and the inflation expectations seems to have pushed back the gold bears despite a light schedule, even though the policymakers from the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank (ECB) remain hawkish elsewhere.

 

In the midst of these maneuvers, Wall Street posted another day of profits despite rising US Treasury yields, which at the time were up five basis points (bps) to 3.36%. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which fell for a second straight day to the lowest levels in a fortnight, eventually dipped to approximately 108.30, was affected by the same factors.

 

Moving on, the US CPI for August is critical in light of the most recent easing of pricing pressure. According to the projections, the headline figure will decline to -0.1% MoM from 0.0% the previous month, while the CPI excluding food and energy is expected to hold steady at 0.3% MoM. The US dollar may continue to decline if the inflation numbers are weaker, which might support the XAU/continued USD's gain.

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