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Russian Ministry of Defense: Air defense system shot down 45 Ukrainian drones overnight.Silver prices have hit record highs recently. Data from the Korea Gold Exchange showed that on October 17th, the price of silver reached 2,467 won (approximately 12 yuan) per gram, a year-to-date increase of nearly 70%, exceeding the increase in gold over the same period. This surge in demand for silver among South Korean investors has led to tight market supply. So far this year, major South Korean commercial banks have generated cumulative silver bar sales of 10.4 billion won (approximately 52.08 million yuan), 13 times higher than the same period last year. Due to the shortage of silver bars in the market, South Korean commercial banks and major precious metals sales platforms have announced that they will suspend silver bar sales starting on the 20th of this month.1. October 24th – Federal employees, whether furloughed or working, will miss their first full paycheck, forcing lawmakers to act. They have already missed partial paychecks, placing significant financial strain on over 2 million employees and their families. 2. October 31st – The Trump administration this week deployed $8 billion in unused research and development funds from fiscal year 2025 to ensure 1.3 million active-duty military personnel receive their October 15th paycheck. However, whether this can be done again before Halloween (November 1st) remains uncertain. 3. October 31st and November 5th – Senate clerks will miss their first full paycheck on October 20th (paid on the 5th and 20th of each month). House clerks will miss their paychecks at the end of October (paid at the end of each month) and, if they do, will not receive their paychecks until after Thanksgiving, creating significant financial hardship. 4. November 1st – Open enrollment for the Affordable Care Act. Healthcare is a primary concern for the shutdown, with Democrats aiming to pressure Republicans to reach an agreement on strengthening subsidies for Obamacare before open enrollment begins. 5. November 21 – If the shutdown continues into late November, it could lead to TSA staffing shortages and air traffic control issues for Americans during the busy Thanksgiving travel week. Air traffic control chaos in early 2019 was a key factor in forcing the government to end the longest shutdown in history.On October 19th, local time, Pakistani Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Dar welcomed the ceasefire agreement reached between Pakistan and Afghanistan in Doha, Qatar, on the evening of the 18th on social media, calling it "the first step in the right direction." Dar also expressed hope that at the next round of meetings hosted by Turkey, a concrete and verifiable monitoring mechanism would be established to address the threat of attacks from Afghanistan into Pakistan. On the same day, Afghan government spokesman Zabiullah Mujahid issued a statement announcing that negotiations between Afghan and Pakistani representatives in Qatar had concluded with the signing of a bilateral agreement. Neither side will take any hostile actions against the other, nor will they support groups that attack the Pakistani government. Both sides will refrain from targeting each others security forces, civilians, or critical infrastructure. A mechanism will be established to review bilateral positions and ensure the effective implementation of the agreement, mediated by an intermediary.The General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces: In the past day, the Russian army lost about 1,000 soldiers, as well as 3 armored personnel carriers, 45 artillery systems and other equipment.

Forecast for the price of gold: XAU/USD upward to $1,745 with positive RSI divergence and weaker USD

Daniel Rogers

Sep 09, 2022 17:13

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Around $1,720 is where the gold price (XAU/USD) is currently leading early on Friday morning in Europe. In doing so, the yellow metal applauds widespread US dollar weakening and cautious market confidence. Technical signs can work in the buyers' advantage.

 

By press time, the US Dollar Index (DXY) had pared its largest daily loss in a month and was still near the one-week low. In doing so, the greenback indicator fails to support the aggressive remarks made by Fed Chair Jerome Powell the day before while emphasizing the stronger sentiment in the market.

 

Market confidence is influenced by tougher remarks made late Thursday by US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, which indicate that US-China trade relations are expected to improve. Recent stronger US statistics and optimism that global central bankers can combat inflation-driven blow with a comprehensive strategy and higher rates also appeared to have helped the market's sentiment. It should be noted that discussions about potential difficulties for Chinese technology companies and unfavorable inflation data for China recently seemed to test the XAU/USD bulls.

 

The US 10-year Treasury yields, which are indicative of the mood, are behind after a good day at around 3.32%, while the S&P 500 Futures tracks Wall Street's advances at about 4,020. The stocks in the Asia-Pacific region are also still firmer, it should be noted, as cautious optimism grows during a sluggish session.

 

The XAU/USD prices are probably going to finish the week on a high note given the risk-on mindset and depressed US dollar. The final round of Fedspeak before the blackout period, which begins this weekend, should nevertheless be paid heed to for new inspiration. Conversations on US inflation ahead of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) statistics the following week will be crucial.