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Gold prices fell to a two-week low on Thursday as signs of easing trade tensions boosted risk appetite and reduced golds safe-haven appeal, while a stronger dollar also weighed on gold prices. "The market remains confident that the United States will soon sign a lower tariff agreement with other countries, and this optimism, coupled with a stronger dollar, is weighing on gold prices," said Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS. Investors are waiting for Fridays non-farm payrolls report to gain further insight into the Feds policy direction. "A weak jobs report should support the Feds calls for further rate cuts this year and push gold prices back to $3,500 an ounce in the coming months," said Giovanni Staunovo.On May 1, institutional analysis pointed out that gold futures plummeted due to easing trade tensions and declining safe-haven demand. The strengthening of the US dollar further dampened enthusiasm for gold as a safe-haven asset and made dollar-denominated commodities more expensive for international buyers. The United States is likely to reach a trade agreement, and market optimism and risk appetite are rising. However, further losses may be limited because expectations of interest rate cuts have also been raised after the United States released a series of weak economic data. The US economy contracted by 0.3% in the first quarter. Lower interest rates usually stimulate demand for non-interest-bearing gold.Ukraines Foreign Minister: The EUs top diplomat has been informed of the mineral agreement reached with the United States.According to the Wall Street Journal: Citigroup hired Trumps former trade chief Robert Lighthizer.According to the Wall Street Journal: The U.S. government has commissioned L3Harris to completely transform a Boeing 747 once used by the Qatari government.

The XAU/USD pair attempts to regain $1,730 prior to Fed Chair Powell's address

Alina Haynes

Sep 08, 2022 16:58

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Gold price (XAU/USD) gains bids to reestablish intraday high at $1,718 as the US dollar retreats ahead of Thursday's big events. In doing so, the yellow metal extends yesterday's recovery from the one-week low amid weaker yields and a mixed risk profile.

 

US 10-year Treasury yields extend Wednesday's fall from the highest levels since mid-June to 3.23%, which weighs on the US Dollar Index (DXY), which retreats to 109.50, extending yesterday's losses from the 20-year high.

 

The recent decline in yields may be attributable to the market's rush into bonds prior to the crucial European Central Bank (ECB) Monetary Policy Meeting and Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech. However, rumors about Japan's probable involvement to preserve the home currency via the bond market appear to have depressed yields.

 

Due to Beijing's role as one of the world's largest gold buyers, contradictory news from China should have also contributed to the XAU/USD's comeback.

 

Three persons with knowledge of the situation were cited by Reuters when they reported encouraging news for China's property sector. Reuters said that "Zhengzhou pledged to restart all halted housing projects within 30 days by utilizing special financing, requiring developers to refund misused funds, and encouraging certain real estate businesses to file for bankruptcy."

 

Nonetheless, the risk-negative news regarding covid and Taiwan appeared to impose downward pressure on metal prices. The South China Morning Post (SCMP) previously reported, "Shenzhen lowers Hong Kong visitors' admission quota." Reuters' report that Taiwan and the United States are preparing for closer ties further dampens the mood.

 

While reflecting market sentiment, S&P 500 Futures post modest gains, whilst Asia-Pacific equities remain divided.

 

In conclusion, the ECB's 75 bps rate hike can limit a short-term decline in the XAU/USD before a new decline, if Powell sounds hawkish. As the ECB's ability to tighten monetary policy is restricted compared to the Fed's, the gold price is likely to remain in the bears' sights. Also, economic concerns originating from Europe are not ruled out, giving gold bears cause for optimism.


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