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On May 28th, Tencents Hunyuan announced the official launch of Hy-Memory. According to reports, this is a memory plugin specifically designed for long-term collaborative agents like Openclaw, truly becoming the agents "second brain."On May 28th, Federal Reserve Chairman Mohamed Mussaleem stated that policymakers cannot expect a potential productivity boom driven by artificial intelligence to alleviate persistently high inflation. Mussaleem noted, "I think it would be risky to rely on improved future productivity growth prospects to solve our current inflation problem." The conflict with Iran has reignited upward pressure on prices and prompted more policymakers to warn that further interest rate hikes may be necessary if inflation remains high. Mussaleem warned that, after adjusting for inflation, the Feds benchmark interest rate is currently below the so-called "neutral level"—a level that neither inhibits nor stimulates the economy. He also pointed out that the labor market remains stable, inflation is "significantly above" the Feds 2% target, and long-term inflation expectations are "gradually rising."The U.S. EIA natural gas storage figures for the week ending May 22 will be released in ten minutes.US Treasury bonds continued to rise; the 10-year yield fell 5 basis points to 4.43%.On May 28th, according to two US officials speaking to Axios, US and Iranian negotiators have reached an agreement on a 60-day memorandum of understanding aimed at extending the ceasefire and initiating negotiations on Irans nuclear program; however, Trump has not yet given final approval, requesting a few days to consider it. Signing the memorandum of understanding would be the most significant diplomatic breakthrough since the outbreak of the war, but further intensive negotiations are still needed to reach a final agreement addressing Trumps nuclear demands. US officials stated that the 60-day memorandum of understanding will stipulate that navigation in the Strait of Hormuz will be "unrestricted." One US official said this means no tolls will be charged, and no harassment will be carried out; Iran must clear all mines from the strait within 30 days. Another US official stated that the US maritime blockade will also be lifted, but this process will proceed in proportion to the progress of the resumption of commercial shipping. Officials indicated that the memorandum of understanding will include a commitment from Iran not to develop nuclear weapons. The memorandum will also stipulate that the primary negotiating topic during the 60-day window will be how to handle Irans highly enriched uranium and how to respond to Irans uranium enrichment activities. As part of the negotiations, the United States pledged to discuss lifting sanctions and unfreezing Iranian funds. The memorandum of understanding will also include discussions on establishing a mechanism to help Iran begin receiving material and humanitarian aid.

In a risk-on environment with a weaker US dollar, WTI consolidates weekly losses above $83,000

Alina Haynes

Sep 09, 2022 17:17

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The price of WTI crude oil is higher for the second day in a row while paring the weekly losses at the eight-month low on Friday during the Asian session. However, by the time of publication, the black gold has reached a new intraday high of around $83.50.

 

Recent news reports from the US Treasury Department regarding the oil price cap appear to have helped drive up energy prices together with stronger sentiment and a weaker US dollar. According to the US Treasury source, "the oil price cap should be set above the marginal production cost, taking into account past Russian oil prices."

 

In other news, stronger sentiment and slow US Treasury yields cause the US Dollar Index (DXY) to fall intraday by 0.55%, to 109.05 at the latest. It's interesting to see that after a solid day, the US 10-year Treasury yields are still stuck around 3.32%, while the S&P 500 Futures tracks Wall Street's gains at approximately 4,020.

 

Recent market sentiment appeared to be aided by remarks made by US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, which suggested that trade relations between the US and China were set to improve. The market's attitude also appeared to have been aided by recently stronger US statistics and expectations that global central bankers will be able to offset the shock caused by inflation with a comprehensive strategy and higher rates. The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) article, on the other hand, raises some concerns about the future of China's technological enterprises and casts some doubt on the optimism.

 

A price document examined by Reuters on Friday revealed that Kuwait has decreased the official selling prices for its oil grades for the month of October from the previous month. Before the present program ends in October, US Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm said the administration of US President Joe Biden is considering whether additional releases of crude oil from the country's emergency stockpiles are necessary. Prior to that, a Department of Energy official reportedly told Reuters that the White House was only considering releasing the 180 million barrels from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) that the president had already stated.

 

It should be highlighted that the recent decline in China's inflation data, coupled with the hawkish central bank activities, presents a challenge to oil purchasers. Both China's Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) show unfavorable results for August. However, compared to 2.8% market expectations and 2.7% in the prior year, the headline CPI declined to 2.5% YoY, and the PPI fell to 2.3% from 3.1% projected and 4.2% in the preceding year.


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