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The main contract for 2-year Treasury bond futures (TS) rose 0.02%, the main contract for 5-year Treasury bond futures (TF) rose 0.06%, the main contract for 10-year Treasury bond futures (T) rose 0.15%, and the main contract for 30-year Treasury bond futures (TL) rose 0.56%.On May 19th, Harumi Taguchi, an economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, stated that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise its policy rate from the current 0.75% to 1.0% in July, with further rate hikes in December and 2027, bringing the policy rate to 1.5%. Taguchi noted that if rising oil prices and a weaker yen exacerbate concerns about the second-round effects of inflation, the BOJ may raise rates further. Taguchi added that given the continued high oil prices driving up demand for the dollar, rising market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike, and concerns about Japans fiscal expansion, the yen is unlikely to appreciate in the short term.On May 19th, according to Iranian sources, Iranian President Pezechzian, during a meeting with officials from the Ministry of Cooperation, Labor and Social Welfare, stated that economic and social problems should be addressed at their root through structural and sustainable planning. Pezechzian stated that those who lost their jobs during the war should not rely solely on unemployment insurance, but rather on creating sustainable employment opportunities. He also emphasized the need for targeted support programs to maintain existing jobs. Pezechzian further stated that controlling consumption and avoiding waste are "necessary measures at the national level" under the current circumstances, and that government agencies should play a leading role in related areas. Regarding electronic consumption vouchers, Pezechzian stated that priority should be given to low-income and vulnerable groups, and related support policies should aim to increase household purchasing power and alleviate the living pressures on low-income groups.Futures News, May 19th: Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) Energy and Chemical Warehouse Receipts and Changes: 1. Pulp futures warehouse receipts: 205,945 tons, down 1,930 tons from the previous trading day; 2. Pulp futures mill warehouse receipts: 20,000 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 3. Offset paper futures warehouse receipts: 957 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 4. Offset paper futures mill warehouse receipts: 6,560 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 5. Fuel oil futures warehouse receipts: 47,160 tons. 6. Petroleum asphalt futures warehouse receipts: 21,120 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 7. Petroleum asphalt futures factory warehouse receipts: 31,220 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 8. Medium-sulfur crude oil futures warehouse receipts: 3,511,000 barrels, unchanged from the previous trading day; 9. Low-sulfur fuel oil futures warehouse receipts: 1,540 tons, a decrease of 500 tons from the previous trading day; 10. Low-sulfur fuel oil futures factory warehouse receipts: 0 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day.On May 19, a spokesperson for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced that, at the invitation of Wang Yi, member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Minister of Foreign Affairs, Moldovan Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Popsoui will pay an official visit to China from May 21 to 25.

In a risk-on environment with a weaker US dollar, WTI consolidates weekly losses above $83,000

Alina Haynes

Sep 09, 2022 17:17

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The price of WTI crude oil is higher for the second day in a row while paring the weekly losses at the eight-month low on Friday during the Asian session. However, by the time of publication, the black gold has reached a new intraday high of around $83.50.

 

Recent news reports from the US Treasury Department regarding the oil price cap appear to have helped drive up energy prices together with stronger sentiment and a weaker US dollar. According to the US Treasury source, "the oil price cap should be set above the marginal production cost, taking into account past Russian oil prices."

 

In other news, stronger sentiment and slow US Treasury yields cause the US Dollar Index (DXY) to fall intraday by 0.55%, to 109.05 at the latest. It's interesting to see that after a solid day, the US 10-year Treasury yields are still stuck around 3.32%, while the S&P 500 Futures tracks Wall Street's gains at approximately 4,020.

 

Recent market sentiment appeared to be aided by remarks made by US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, which suggested that trade relations between the US and China were set to improve. The market's attitude also appeared to have been aided by recently stronger US statistics and expectations that global central bankers will be able to offset the shock caused by inflation with a comprehensive strategy and higher rates. The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) article, on the other hand, raises some concerns about the future of China's technological enterprises and casts some doubt on the optimism.

 

A price document examined by Reuters on Friday revealed that Kuwait has decreased the official selling prices for its oil grades for the month of October from the previous month. Before the present program ends in October, US Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm said the administration of US President Joe Biden is considering whether additional releases of crude oil from the country's emergency stockpiles are necessary. Prior to that, a Department of Energy official reportedly told Reuters that the White House was only considering releasing the 180 million barrels from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) that the president had already stated.

 

It should be highlighted that the recent decline in China's inflation data, coupled with the hawkish central bank activities, presents a challenge to oil purchasers. Both China's Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) show unfavorable results for August. However, compared to 2.8% market expectations and 2.7% in the prior year, the headline CPI declined to 2.5% YoY, and the PPI fell to 2.3% from 3.1% projected and 4.2% in the preceding year.