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September 5th - According to Axios, Republican confidence in the economy has plummeted at an unprecedented rate since the pandemic began over the past six months, a decline comparable to that during the global financial crisis nearly two decades ago. Typically, the ruling party is more optimistic about the economy, while the opposition is far more pessimistic. However, the current situation is unusual; even with Republicans in the White House, Republican voters are increasingly negative about the economy this year. With only two months left until Election Day, this adds another ominous sign for Trump. The director of the University of Michigans consumer survey stated that most of the time, Republican and Democratic confidence in the economy moves roughly in parallel, but this is not the case now. Republicans initially had very positive expectations for the governments economic policies (including tariffs), but they have seen neither a slowdown in inflation, let alone the price reductions promised by Trump.September 5th - The U.S. military stated on the 4th that it has shot down more than 300 drug cartel drones along the U.S.-Mexico border this year. The U.S. Northern Command issued a statement that day saying that the U.S. military has used both kinetic and non-kinetic systems to shoot down more than 300 drones this year to support U.S. Customs and Border Protection, including more than 100 in August. The U.S. military began using the Army Multipurpose High Energy Laser (MLLS) system in border operations on August 24th, and as of September 4th, it had used the system to shoot down 11 drug cartel drones. The U.S. military began using the Army Multipurpose High Energy Laser (MLLS) system in border operations on August 24, and as of September 4, it had used the system to shoot down 11 drug cartel drones.September 5th - Just earlier this year, France completed the domestic consolidation of all its official gold reserves, completely clearing out its custodial holdings in the United States. Eric Monnet, a professor at the Paris School of Economics, stated that this operation not only standardized the quality and specifications of its gold reserves, but also effectively mitigated inflation arising from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, while highlighting considerations for national sovereignty and asset security amidst geopolitical changes. Currently, many countries in Europe, South Asia, Southeast Asia, and the Middle East are reassessing the risks of overseas custody. With rising geopolitical and financial market uncertainty, a new round of adjustments to gold reserve allocations is underway globally.German Chancellor Merz: (Regarding the attempted drone attack at the airport) The attribution is very clear and has a full legal basis.According to Interfax news agency, the Russian Ministry of Defense stated that Russia struck two ships carrying military cargo at the port of Chernomorsk in Ukraine. Russia also attacked a cargo ship near the port of Odessa in Ukraine.

In a risk-on environment with a weaker US dollar, WTI consolidates weekly losses above $83,000

Alina Haynes

Sep 09, 2022 17:17

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The price of WTI crude oil is higher for the second day in a row while paring the weekly losses at the eight-month low on Friday during the Asian session. However, by the time of publication, the black gold has reached a new intraday high of around $83.50.

 

Recent news reports from the US Treasury Department regarding the oil price cap appear to have helped drive up energy prices together with stronger sentiment and a weaker US dollar. According to the US Treasury source, "the oil price cap should be set above the marginal production cost, taking into account past Russian oil prices."

 

In other news, stronger sentiment and slow US Treasury yields cause the US Dollar Index (DXY) to fall intraday by 0.55%, to 109.05 at the latest. It's interesting to see that after a solid day, the US 10-year Treasury yields are still stuck around 3.32%, while the S&P 500 Futures tracks Wall Street's gains at approximately 4,020.

 

Recent market sentiment appeared to be aided by remarks made by US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, which suggested that trade relations between the US and China were set to improve. The market's attitude also appeared to have been aided by recently stronger US statistics and expectations that global central bankers will be able to offset the shock caused by inflation with a comprehensive strategy and higher rates. The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) article, on the other hand, raises some concerns about the future of China's technological enterprises and casts some doubt on the optimism.

 

A price document examined by Reuters on Friday revealed that Kuwait has decreased the official selling prices for its oil grades for the month of October from the previous month. Before the present program ends in October, US Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm said the administration of US President Joe Biden is considering whether additional releases of crude oil from the country's emergency stockpiles are necessary. Prior to that, a Department of Energy official reportedly told Reuters that the White House was only considering releasing the 180 million barrels from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) that the president had already stated.

 

It should be highlighted that the recent decline in China's inflation data, coupled with the hawkish central bank activities, presents a challenge to oil purchasers. Both China's Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) show unfavorable results for August. However, compared to 2.8% market expectations and 2.7% in the prior year, the headline CPI declined to 2.5% YoY, and the PPI fell to 2.3% from 3.1% projected and 4.2% in the preceding year.


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