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Futures Market News, August 31st: Aluminum prices have recently rebounded after fluctuating. The main reasons are: 1. The US Treasury announced an expansion of its long-term bond repurchase program, leading to a decline in long-term interest rates and improved market risk appetite, resulting in a rebound in aluminum prices; the US July PCE price index slightly exceeded expectations, but the market reaction was limited; Nvidias second-quarter earnings report exceeded expectations, driving continued strong growth in related computing power and power investment. 2. While aluminum prices rose, downstream demand cooled slightly, while aluminum exports and the recycling sector maintained steady consumption. Looking ahead, considering the hawkish signals released by the Wash-Jackson Hole symposium and the remaining geopolitical uncertainties, aluminum prices may continue to fluctuate between 23,800-24,300 yuan/ton.On the morning of August 31 local time, Kyrgyz President Sadyr Japarov held talks with Chinese President Xi Jinping at the Harmony Palace in Bishkek. Xi Jinping pointed out that China and Kyrgyzstan should deepen practical cooperation, implement the intergovernmental economic and trade cooperation plan, enrich trade categories, and expand new growth points such as digital trade and cross-border e-commerce; build the China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan railway, a vital transportation artery carrying the hopes of the regions people, with high quality; modernize border crossings; and deepen "soft connectivity" in systems, standards, and rules; implement more landmark projects in renewable energy and resource recycling; implement green mineral cooperation documents; and carry out cooperation across the entire industrial chain; jointly build the Belt and Road Initiative joint laboratory; strengthen cooperation in areas such as artificial intelligence; and empower and enhance bilateral cooperation through technological innovation; further promote people-to-people exchanges; strengthen cooperation in youth, media, tourism, sports, healthcare, and local areas; and continuously consolidate the social and public opinion foundation for China-Kyrgyzstan friendship.On August 31, Japans Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) announced a record budget request of 7.8 trillion yen (approximately US$49 billion) to accelerate investment in semiconductors, artificial intelligence, and other strategic industries at the heart of Prime Minister Sanae Takaichis economic growth agenda. The METI submitted the budget request on Monday, with funds earmarked for the fiscal year beginning April 2027. This follows Takaichis call for a combined 370 trillion yen in public and private sector investment over the next 14 years in key industries. This unusually large budget request reflects reforms to Japans budgeting process. Under the new process, ministries can submit proposals with no spending caps in a single budget request round. The Japanese government hopes this will reduce its reliance on supplementary budgets. Of the 7.8 trillion yen requested, 6.31 trillion yen is planned for investment under the "Strong and Prosperous Japan" category, reflecting Takaichis initiative to promote economic recovery. This includes approximately 2 trillion yen for artificial intelligence, semiconductors, and robotics; 680 billion yen to secure the supply of key minerals, including rare earth elements; 220 billion yen to strengthen naphtha supply capacity; and 180 billion yen to cooperate with the Ministry of Defense to enhance defense and dual-use capabilities.UAE Presidents Advisor: We need to take a more pragmatic approach, rather than simply signing a memorandum of understanding that fails to provide a practical and acceptable roadmap.UAE Presidents advisor: A political solution must begin with de-escalation and the restoration of normal shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.

In a risk-on environment with a weaker US dollar, WTI consolidates weekly losses above $83,000

Alina Haynes

Sep 09, 2022 17:17

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The price of WTI crude oil is higher for the second day in a row while paring the weekly losses at the eight-month low on Friday during the Asian session. However, by the time of publication, the black gold has reached a new intraday high of around $83.50.

 

Recent news reports from the US Treasury Department regarding the oil price cap appear to have helped drive up energy prices together with stronger sentiment and a weaker US dollar. According to the US Treasury source, "the oil price cap should be set above the marginal production cost, taking into account past Russian oil prices."

 

In other news, stronger sentiment and slow US Treasury yields cause the US Dollar Index (DXY) to fall intraday by 0.55%, to 109.05 at the latest. It's interesting to see that after a solid day, the US 10-year Treasury yields are still stuck around 3.32%, while the S&P 500 Futures tracks Wall Street's gains at approximately 4,020.

 

Recent market sentiment appeared to be aided by remarks made by US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, which suggested that trade relations between the US and China were set to improve. The market's attitude also appeared to have been aided by recently stronger US statistics and expectations that global central bankers will be able to offset the shock caused by inflation with a comprehensive strategy and higher rates. The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) article, on the other hand, raises some concerns about the future of China's technological enterprises and casts some doubt on the optimism.

 

A price document examined by Reuters on Friday revealed that Kuwait has decreased the official selling prices for its oil grades for the month of October from the previous month. Before the present program ends in October, US Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm said the administration of US President Joe Biden is considering whether additional releases of crude oil from the country's emergency stockpiles are necessary. Prior to that, a Department of Energy official reportedly told Reuters that the White House was only considering releasing the 180 million barrels from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) that the president had already stated.

 

It should be highlighted that the recent decline in China's inflation data, coupled with the hawkish central bank activities, presents a challenge to oil purchasers. Both China's Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) show unfavorable results for August. However, compared to 2.8% market expectations and 2.7% in the prior year, the headline CPI declined to 2.5% YoY, and the PPI fell to 2.3% from 3.1% projected and 4.2% in the preceding year.