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On May 24th, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Kocher stated that the ECB will face an interest rate hike next month unless a sustainable peace agreement is reached between the US and Iran. Eurozone inflation this year may be higher than previously expected, while countries are still grappling with previous price shocks. Meanwhile, the economy has shown considerable resilience. "There are always some extremely low-probability scenarios that could lead to different assessments of the situation, but currently, all indications suggest we will have to decide between maintaining interest rates and raising them," Kocher said. "And it is clear to me that if the situation does not improve, we will have to focus our discussions on taking action." He also stated that it is not appropriate to make any commitments now, and doing so would be meaningless. Uncertainty is high, so too many options should not be ruled out prematurely. Of course, positive developments are hoped for.On May 24, the Russian Ministry of Defense stated that the Russian military used multiple types of missiles, including the Hazel, Iskander, Kinzhal, and Zircon, as well as attack drones, to hit targets including Ukrainian military-industrial complexes, military infrastructure, the headquarters of the Army General Staff, the headquarters of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense, and other Ukrainian military command posts. No civilian facilities were planned or targeted.German Chancellor Merz: Russia has once again used the Hazel missile system to attack Ukraine. The German government strongly condemns this reckless escalation.German Foreign Minister: Russia’s missile attack on Ukraine is shocking; the use of Hazel missiles marks yet another escalation.On May 24th, news circulated in the market that Yirendai, a leading domestic loan facilitation institution, is conducting a "orderly liquidation" of its fixed-income-like products. An investor contacted Yirendais official customer service for verification, and the information was confirmed to be true. The platforms official customer service stated that after careful consideration and reporting to relevant departments, the company decided to begin an orderly liquidation of fixed-income-like products starting May 22nd. Currently, the company is compiling data, and after the plan is finalized and reported to the relevant authorities, it is expected to announce the orderly liquidation plan within 4 to 6 weeks and sign agreements with each customer.

In a risk-on environment with a weaker US dollar, WTI consolidates weekly losses above $83,000

Alina Haynes

Sep 09, 2022 17:17

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The price of WTI crude oil is higher for the second day in a row while paring the weekly losses at the eight-month low on Friday during the Asian session. However, by the time of publication, the black gold has reached a new intraday high of around $83.50.

 

Recent news reports from the US Treasury Department regarding the oil price cap appear to have helped drive up energy prices together with stronger sentiment and a weaker US dollar. According to the US Treasury source, "the oil price cap should be set above the marginal production cost, taking into account past Russian oil prices."

 

In other news, stronger sentiment and slow US Treasury yields cause the US Dollar Index (DXY) to fall intraday by 0.55%, to 109.05 at the latest. It's interesting to see that after a solid day, the US 10-year Treasury yields are still stuck around 3.32%, while the S&P 500 Futures tracks Wall Street's gains at approximately 4,020.

 

Recent market sentiment appeared to be aided by remarks made by US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, which suggested that trade relations between the US and China were set to improve. The market's attitude also appeared to have been aided by recently stronger US statistics and expectations that global central bankers will be able to offset the shock caused by inflation with a comprehensive strategy and higher rates. The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) article, on the other hand, raises some concerns about the future of China's technological enterprises and casts some doubt on the optimism.

 

A price document examined by Reuters on Friday revealed that Kuwait has decreased the official selling prices for its oil grades for the month of October from the previous month. Before the present program ends in October, US Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm said the administration of US President Joe Biden is considering whether additional releases of crude oil from the country's emergency stockpiles are necessary. Prior to that, a Department of Energy official reportedly told Reuters that the White House was only considering releasing the 180 million barrels from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) that the president had already stated.

 

It should be highlighted that the recent decline in China's inflation data, coupled with the hawkish central bank activities, presents a challenge to oil purchasers. Both China's Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) show unfavorable results for August. However, compared to 2.8% market expectations and 2.7% in the prior year, the headline CPI declined to 2.5% YoY, and the PPI fell to 2.3% from 3.1% projected and 4.2% in the preceding year.


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