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July 13 (Futures News) – According to foreign media reports, soybean oil futures on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) surged in the week ending July 10, 2026, with the benchmark contract closing up 5.4%, mainly reflecting a strong rebound in international crude oil futures and a strengthening external vegetable oil market. The USDAs soybean oil supply and demand data had a relatively neutral impact on the market. The soybean oil/fuel oil price spread was 153.05 cents per gallon, compared to 164 cents a week earlier, reflecting improved biofuel margins. The USDAs supply and demand report released on Friday showed that the 2026/27 US soybean oil supply and demand remained unchanged, with production at 32.59 billion pounds, a 5.6% increase year-on-year. Soybean oil usage in biofuel production was 17.8 billion pounds, a 22.3% increase year-on-year. Exports were 400 million pounds, significantly lower than the previous years 1 billion pounds. The average annual price was 70 cents per pound, higher than the previous years 64 cents per pound.1. Monday: ① Data: Chinas June M2 money supply annual rate (TBD). ② Event: OPEC releases its monthly oil market report (specific release time to be determined, generally around 6-9 PM Beijing time). 2. Tuesday: ① Data: US June NFIB Small Business Confidence Index, ADP Employment Change, US June CPI and Core CPI data; Chinas June trade balance. ② Event: Fed Governor Waller speaks; State Council Information Office holds a press conference on import and export situation in the first half of 2026; Fed Chairman Warsh attends the House Financial Services Committee hearing on the "Federal Reserves Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report" [simultaneous interpretation]. ③ Earnings Reports: JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo (pre-market). 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US API crude oil inventory weekly report, EIA crude oil inventory weekly report, US June PPI year-on-year and month-on-month rates, US July New York Fed Manufacturing Index; Chinas Q2 GDP year-on-year rate, June retail sales of consumer goods year-on-year, June industrial value-added of enterprises above designated size year-on-year, Chinas June total electricity consumption (tentative); Eurozone May industrial production month-on-month rate; Canadas May wholesale sales month-on-month rate, Bank of Canada interest rate decision until July 15. ② Events: The National Energy Administration releases monthly electricity consumption data around the 15th of each month; Chicago Fed President Goolsby, a 2027 FOMC voting member, participates in a fireside chat; Bank of England Governor Bailey delivers a speech; the National Bureau of Statistics releases a monthly report on residential sales prices in 70 major and medium-sized cities; the State Council Information Office holds a press conference on the national economic situation; FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams delivers a speech; the Bank of Canada releases its interest rate decision and monetary policy report; Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh attends a hearing on the "Federal Reserves Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report" before the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee [simultaneous interpretation]; Bank of Canada Governor Macklem and Senior Deputy Governor Rogers hold a monetary policy press conference. ③ Earnings Reports: Morgan Stanley, ASML, Johnson & Johnson, BlackRock (pre-market). 4. Thursday: ① Data: South Koreas central bank interest rate decision to July 16; UKs May three-month GDP month-on-month rate, May manufacturing output month-on-month rate, May seasonally adjusted goods trade balance, May industrial production month-on-month rate; Eurozones May seasonally adjusted trade balance; US initial jobless claims for the week ending July 11, June retail sales month-on-month rate, July Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, July NAHB Housing Market Index, May business inventories month-on-month rate, June pending home sales index month-on-month rate, EIA natural gas weekly report. ② Events: The Federal Reserve releases its Beige Book on economic conditions; 2028 FOMC voting member and St. Louis Fed President Musalaim speaks; Changxin Technology begins its IPO subscription. ③ Earnings Reports: TSMC (pre-market), Netflix, Alcoa (after-market). 5. Friday: ① Data: Eurozone May seasonally adjusted current account, June final CPI annual rate; US June annualized housing starts, June building permits, June import price index month-on-month, June industrial production month-on-month, July preliminary one-year inflation rate expectations, July preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment index. ② Events: Domestic refined oil prices will enter a new round of adjustment window; Dallas Fed President Logan, 2026 FOMC voting member, will speak; Fed Vice Chairman Jefferson will speak on the economy and monetary policy; the World Artificial Intelligence Conference (WAIC 2026) will be held in Shanghai from July 17 to July 20. ③ Market Closure: Seoul Stock Exchange in South Korea will be closed for one day. 6. Saturday: ① Data: US total number of oil rigs for the week ending July 17. July 13 - According to Iranian sources on the 13th, the deputy governor of Khuzestan province in southwestern Iran stated that at 1:35 AM that day, two locations near Ahvaz, the capital of Khuzestan province, were attacked by US artillery fire. Furthermore, several other cities and counties in the province were also targeted by US forces.1. A new device enables "programmable" thermal radiation. 2. Zhipu and MiniMax released internal memos one after the other. 3. Apple sues OpenAI for stealing trade secrets in a major lawsuit. 4. Samsung Electronics plans to advance the start of production at its first chip factory in Yongin to 2029. 5. Musk: In some software benchmark tests, Grok 4.5 even slightly outperformed the high-performance Fable large model. According to a previous report by The New York Times, citing a U.S. official, the U.S. strikes on Iranian military targets on Sunday evening local time (morning of the 13th Beijing time) may have been larger than those earlier that day.

In a risk-on environment with a weaker US dollar, WTI consolidates weekly losses above $83,000

Alina Haynes

Sep 09, 2022 17:17

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The price of WTI crude oil is higher for the second day in a row while paring the weekly losses at the eight-month low on Friday during the Asian session. However, by the time of publication, the black gold has reached a new intraday high of around $83.50.

 

Recent news reports from the US Treasury Department regarding the oil price cap appear to have helped drive up energy prices together with stronger sentiment and a weaker US dollar. According to the US Treasury source, "the oil price cap should be set above the marginal production cost, taking into account past Russian oil prices."

 

In other news, stronger sentiment and slow US Treasury yields cause the US Dollar Index (DXY) to fall intraday by 0.55%, to 109.05 at the latest. It's interesting to see that after a solid day, the US 10-year Treasury yields are still stuck around 3.32%, while the S&P 500 Futures tracks Wall Street's gains at approximately 4,020.

 

Recent market sentiment appeared to be aided by remarks made by US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, which suggested that trade relations between the US and China were set to improve. The market's attitude also appeared to have been aided by recently stronger US statistics and expectations that global central bankers will be able to offset the shock caused by inflation with a comprehensive strategy and higher rates. The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) article, on the other hand, raises some concerns about the future of China's technological enterprises and casts some doubt on the optimism.

 

A price document examined by Reuters on Friday revealed that Kuwait has decreased the official selling prices for its oil grades for the month of October from the previous month. Before the present program ends in October, US Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm said the administration of US President Joe Biden is considering whether additional releases of crude oil from the country's emergency stockpiles are necessary. Prior to that, a Department of Energy official reportedly told Reuters that the White House was only considering releasing the 180 million barrels from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) that the president had already stated.

 

It should be highlighted that the recent decline in China's inflation data, coupled with the hawkish central bank activities, presents a challenge to oil purchasers. Both China's Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) show unfavorable results for August. However, compared to 2.8% market expectations and 2.7% in the prior year, the headline CPI declined to 2.5% YoY, and the PPI fell to 2.3% from 3.1% projected and 4.2% in the preceding year.