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U.S. stocks continued their decline, with the Nasdaq falling more than 1%, the S&P 500 down 0.65%, and the Dow Jones down 0.55%.On May 12, a senior U.S. Department of Defense official estimated the latest cost of the war with Iran at approximately $29 billion, an increase of about $4 billion from an estimate made less than two weeks earlier. Acting Comptroller General Jules Hearst told a House Appropriations Subcommittee on Tuesday that the total cost of the war is "close to $29 billion," due to the additional operational costs of maintaining U.S. military deployments in the Middle East and the costs of updating equipment repair and replacement. This figure is about 16% higher than his estimate of $25 billion when he testified before the House Armed Services Committee on April 29. Hearst also hinted that the cost figure may continue to change in the future.A spokesman for Iran’s Ministry of Defense warned that if its enemies do not accept Iran’s demands through diplomatic means, they should be prepared to “fail again” in any future confrontation.New York City Mayor Mamdani has cancelled the planned increase in New York City property taxes in the revised budget.On May 12th, Futures News reported that, according to foreign media, German analysis firm Oil World stated on Tuesday that EU canola production is projected to increase to 20.97 million tons in 2026/27 from 20.52 million tons in 2025/26, while imports will decrease to 6.5 million tons from 6.9 million tons this year. The firm forecasts Canadian canola production at 21.4 million tons in 2026, down from 21.8 million tons in 2025/26. Canadian canola exports are expected to decrease to 7.6 million tons in 2026/27 from 8.3 million tons this year. Global biodiesel production is projected to increase to 67.1 million tons from 61.3 million tons in 2025, with EU biodiesel production rising from 14.9 million tons to 15.3 million tons.

In a risk-on environment with a weaker US dollar, WTI consolidates weekly losses above $83,000

Alina Haynes

Sep 09, 2022 17:17

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The price of WTI crude oil is higher for the second day in a row while paring the weekly losses at the eight-month low on Friday during the Asian session. However, by the time of publication, the black gold has reached a new intraday high of around $83.50.

 

Recent news reports from the US Treasury Department regarding the oil price cap appear to have helped drive up energy prices together with stronger sentiment and a weaker US dollar. According to the US Treasury source, "the oil price cap should be set above the marginal production cost, taking into account past Russian oil prices."

 

In other news, stronger sentiment and slow US Treasury yields cause the US Dollar Index (DXY) to fall intraday by 0.55%, to 109.05 at the latest. It's interesting to see that after a solid day, the US 10-year Treasury yields are still stuck around 3.32%, while the S&P 500 Futures tracks Wall Street's gains at approximately 4,020.

 

Recent market sentiment appeared to be aided by remarks made by US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, which suggested that trade relations between the US and China were set to improve. The market's attitude also appeared to have been aided by recently stronger US statistics and expectations that global central bankers will be able to offset the shock caused by inflation with a comprehensive strategy and higher rates. The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) article, on the other hand, raises some concerns about the future of China's technological enterprises and casts some doubt on the optimism.

 

A price document examined by Reuters on Friday revealed that Kuwait has decreased the official selling prices for its oil grades for the month of October from the previous month. Before the present program ends in October, US Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm said the administration of US President Joe Biden is considering whether additional releases of crude oil from the country's emergency stockpiles are necessary. Prior to that, a Department of Energy official reportedly told Reuters that the White House was only considering releasing the 180 million barrels from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) that the president had already stated.

 

It should be highlighted that the recent decline in China's inflation data, coupled with the hawkish central bank activities, presents a challenge to oil purchasers. Both China's Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) show unfavorable results for August. However, compared to 2.8% market expectations and 2.7% in the prior year, the headline CPI declined to 2.5% YoY, and the PPI fell to 2.3% from 3.1% projected and 4.2% in the preceding year.


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