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May 3 - A draft OPEC+ statement indicates that seven OPEC+ countries have agreed to raise their June oil production target by approximately 188,000 barrels per day, marking the third consecutive month of increases. This move aims to demonstrate the organizations readiness to increase supply after the war. Sources say that despite the UAEs withdrawal from the organization this week, OPEC+ will continue to pursue its production increase plan. The seven member countries meeting on Sunday are Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Oman. A report from OPEC last month stated that the average daily crude oil production of all OPEC+ members in March was 35.06 million barrels, a decrease of 7.7 million barrels per day from February, with Iraq and Saudi Arabia experiencing the largest production cuts due to export restrictions. The draft statement indicates that the seven member countries will meet again on June 7.The draft statement indicates that OPEC+ plans to increase its oil production target by 188,000 barrels per day starting in June.On May 3rd, rumors circulated online that "starting May 1st, ETC will no longer be used on highways; passengers can enter without a card simply by showing their license plate." This rumor sparked heated discussion online, with some netizens even considering removing their ETC devices from their cars. However, after verification with multiple sources, reporters confirmed that no such "new regulation" has been issued by relevant departments. Industry experts stated that these rumors represent a one-sided and inaccurate interpretation of the "mobile phone+" cardless passage technology and constitute exaggerated advertising.British Prime Minister Starmer: We will work together to build a stronger Britain.On May 3, it was reported that in the first quarter of this year, the China Development Bank (CDB), based on its institutional characteristics, coordinated special resources and carried out extensive cooperation with other banks, issuing a total of RMB 28.54 billion in special relending loans to stabilize foreign trade, supporting more than 6,500 small and micro foreign trade enterprises. The weighted average interest rate of the borrowers was lower than the national average interest rate for newly issued inclusive small and micro loans during the same period, effectively helping relevant enterprises alleviate financing difficulties and high financing costs, stabilize orders, expand markets, and stabilize employment.

WTI struggles at $87 as recession worries probe OPEC's forecast and supply deficit fears intensify

Daniel Rogers

Sep 14, 2022 11:42

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After reverting from the weekly high, WTI crude oil traders seek clear direction around $87.50 during Wednesday's Asian session. However, the present hesitation in the price of black gold may be attributable to the mixed concerns regarding the demand-supply matrix.

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) indicated in a monthly report that oil consumption will climb by 3,1 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2022 and by 2,7 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2023, which is unchanged from last month. Despite obstacles such as rising prices, the news also highlighted indications that major economies were performing better than projected.

 

The news that the United States intends to replenish its emergency oil reserves, as well as the German and European move to control Russian oil and gas prices, could also be favorable for energy prices. In addition, rumors that the Western oil deal with Iran is a long way off are bolstering fears of a supply bottleneck and should have helped energy bulls.

 

Tuesday's US inflation statistics revived concerns about the Federal Reserve's fast rate hike and exacerbated recession concerns. Also acting as downward drivers for WTI crude oil are expectations of economic slowdown due to China and Russia-related concerns.

 

In spite of this, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August increased by 8.3% year-over-year, surpassing market expectations by 0.1%. However, the monthly data increased to 0.1%, exceeding the -0.1% projected and the 0.0% shown in previous assessments. The core CPI, or CPI excluding food and energy, likewise exceeded the 6.1% consensus and 5.9% prior to printing at 6.3% for the month in question.

 

It should be mentioned that the weekly prints of the American Petroleum Institute's (API) industry inventory report also contributed to the commodity's downfall. The API Weekly Crude Oil Stock climbed to 6,035 million during the week ending September 9, up from 3,645,000 the previous week.

 

In the future, the price of black gold may stay under pressure due to a stronger US dollar and economic troubles. Before today's official weekly inventory data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, however, the supply crisis concerns could test the bears (EIA). Thursday's US Retail Sales for the month of August and Friday's preliminary reading of the September Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will also warrant close attention.

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