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The chairmen of the U.S. Senate and House Armed Services Committees expressed deep concern over the U.S. decision to withdraw a brigade-sized force from Germany.On May 3, when asked when and how he would insure ships in the Strait of Hormuz, Berkshire Hathaways Vice Chairman for Insurance, Ajit Jain, gave a concise answer: "The short answer is—it depends on the price." Jain stated, "We do have a small stake in an established project to insure ships in the Strait of Hormuz. But no deals have been finalized yet." Jain also pointed out that U.S. Navy escort for the ships would be a key prerequisite for the projects coverage conditions. "If we can meet our own coverage conditions, we will insure this type of risk at a price level that we deem appropriate."On May 3, Qazem Gharibabadi, Irans Deputy Foreign Minister in charge of legal and international affairs, met with ambassadors from various countries stationed in Tehran on Saturday to discuss what he called Irans proposals to end the war and aggression launched by the US and Israel. Gharibabadi stated that Iran is fully prepared to defend itself against any attacks against its people, and that Tehran remains committed to diplomatic mediation based on national interests. He said that Iran has submitted a proposal through Pakistan as a mediator to permanently end this imposed war, and that the initiative now rests with the US, which must choose between a diplomatic path or a continued confrontational stance. He added that Iran is prepared for both scenarios to safeguard its national interests and security, while remaining pessimistic and distrustful of the US and its diplomatic sincerity.On May 3, local time, the Ukrainian presidential website announced that President Zelenskyy had signed a presidential decree approving the National Security and Defense Councils decision to impose targeted sanctions on five individuals. The sanctions were reportedly imposed because the actions of these individuals threatened Ukraines national interests, security, sovereignty, and territorial integrity. The five individuals targeted are a Ukrainian lawyer, a Ukrainian businessman, a Russian businessman, and two Russian sports promoters.Iraqs Deputy Oil Minister stated that two oil tankers are ready, with two more to be deployed depending on the situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Following the resolution of the Hormuz crisis, Iraq could restore its oil production and exports to normal levels within seven days.

WTI struggles at $87 as recession worries probe OPEC's forecast and supply deficit fears intensify

Daniel Rogers

Sep 14, 2022 11:42

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After reverting from the weekly high, WTI crude oil traders seek clear direction around $87.50 during Wednesday's Asian session. However, the present hesitation in the price of black gold may be attributable to the mixed concerns regarding the demand-supply matrix.

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) indicated in a monthly report that oil consumption will climb by 3,1 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2022 and by 2,7 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2023, which is unchanged from last month. Despite obstacles such as rising prices, the news also highlighted indications that major economies were performing better than projected.

 

The news that the United States intends to replenish its emergency oil reserves, as well as the German and European move to control Russian oil and gas prices, could also be favorable for energy prices. In addition, rumors that the Western oil deal with Iran is a long way off are bolstering fears of a supply bottleneck and should have helped energy bulls.

 

Tuesday's US inflation statistics revived concerns about the Federal Reserve's fast rate hike and exacerbated recession concerns. Also acting as downward drivers for WTI crude oil are expectations of economic slowdown due to China and Russia-related concerns.

 

In spite of this, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August increased by 8.3% year-over-year, surpassing market expectations by 0.1%. However, the monthly data increased to 0.1%, exceeding the -0.1% projected and the 0.0% shown in previous assessments. The core CPI, or CPI excluding food and energy, likewise exceeded the 6.1% consensus and 5.9% prior to printing at 6.3% for the month in question.

 

It should be mentioned that the weekly prints of the American Petroleum Institute's (API) industry inventory report also contributed to the commodity's downfall. The API Weekly Crude Oil Stock climbed to 6,035 million during the week ending September 9, up from 3,645,000 the previous week.

 

In the future, the price of black gold may stay under pressure due to a stronger US dollar and economic troubles. Before today's official weekly inventory data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, however, the supply crisis concerns could test the bears (EIA). Thursday's US Retail Sales for the month of August and Friday's preliminary reading of the September Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will also warrant close attention.

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