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Taiwans M2 money supply annual growth rate was 7.83% in May, compared to 6.45% in the previous month.On June 18th, Mike Shedlock, a registered investment advisor at SitkaPacific Capital Management, stated that Warsh was Trumps best choice among all his appointments. In his debut as Federal Reserve Chairman, Warsh didnt rush in with preconceived notions, but instead promised to research better data collection methods. Warsh disliked the "dot plot" guidance, but instead of immediately repealing it, he chose not to submit forecasts. Greenspan, Bernanke, Yellen, and Powell, on the other hand, were all "disasters." Bernanke was the worst, implementing massive quantitative easing, paying interest on reserves, and being a staunch advocate of forward guidance. Warsh wanted to repeal the "paying interest on reserves" policy, a legacy of Bernankes policies. This is a welcome change. Warshs slow and meticulous research-based reform approach is more likely to gain consensus quickly than forceful implementation. At least, Warsh brought about necessary changes. However, not everything is perfect. I strongly criticize Warshs proposed "cut-off mean inflation" indicator, which removes more inflation data than it retains. I also have doubts about his so-called "market-based measure of inflation".Russian President Vladimir Putins secretary, Kobyakov, said: "The energy shortage will only worsen in the coming years."Swiss National Bank President: We take the overall situation into account when we intervene. The Swiss franc has depreciated slightly since the last meeting.International Energy Agency Executive Director Fatih Birol: I hope that lasting peace can be achieved between Iran and the United States, and that the Straits can be opened.

WTI struggles at $87 as recession worries probe OPEC's forecast and supply deficit fears intensify

Daniel Rogers

Sep 14, 2022 11:42

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After reverting from the weekly high, WTI crude oil traders seek clear direction around $87.50 during Wednesday's Asian session. However, the present hesitation in the price of black gold may be attributable to the mixed concerns regarding the demand-supply matrix.

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) indicated in a monthly report that oil consumption will climb by 3,1 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2022 and by 2,7 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2023, which is unchanged from last month. Despite obstacles such as rising prices, the news also highlighted indications that major economies were performing better than projected.

 

The news that the United States intends to replenish its emergency oil reserves, as well as the German and European move to control Russian oil and gas prices, could also be favorable for energy prices. In addition, rumors that the Western oil deal with Iran is a long way off are bolstering fears of a supply bottleneck and should have helped energy bulls.

 

Tuesday's US inflation statistics revived concerns about the Federal Reserve's fast rate hike and exacerbated recession concerns. Also acting as downward drivers for WTI crude oil are expectations of economic slowdown due to China and Russia-related concerns.

 

In spite of this, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August increased by 8.3% year-over-year, surpassing market expectations by 0.1%. However, the monthly data increased to 0.1%, exceeding the -0.1% projected and the 0.0% shown in previous assessments. The core CPI, or CPI excluding food and energy, likewise exceeded the 6.1% consensus and 5.9% prior to printing at 6.3% for the month in question.

 

It should be mentioned that the weekly prints of the American Petroleum Institute's (API) industry inventory report also contributed to the commodity's downfall. The API Weekly Crude Oil Stock climbed to 6,035 million during the week ending September 9, up from 3,645,000 the previous week.

 

In the future, the price of black gold may stay under pressure due to a stronger US dollar and economic troubles. Before today's official weekly inventory data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, however, the supply crisis concerns could test the bears (EIA). Thursday's US Retail Sales for the month of August and Friday's preliminary reading of the September Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will also warrant close attention.

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