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The China Earthquake Networks Center automatically determined that an earthquake of approximately magnitude 3.1 occurred near Beichuan County, Mianyang City, Sichuan Province at 11:01 on February 8. The final result is subject to the official rapid report.February 8th - Danish officials stated on the 7th that despite the commencement of diplomatic dialogue with the United States, negotiations between Denmark and the US regarding Greenland have not met expectations. On the same day, Danish Foreign Minister Rasmussen, Greenlandic Foreign Minister Vivian Mozfeldt, and Canadian Foreign Minister Anita Anand held a joint press conference in Nuuk, the capital of Greenland, to celebrate the official opening of the Canadian Consulate in Nuuk on the 6th. Mozfeldt said that the current situation has "improved somewhat" compared to a month ago, mainly due to the establishment of direct diplomatic channels of dialogue with the United States, but Greenland has not achieved the expected results in the negotiations. She said, "There is still a long way to go, so it is too early to say what the outcome will be."On February 8th, Lu Zhe, chief economist at Dongwu Securities, pointed out that from a medium- to long-term price structure perspective, gold has been in a continuous upward trend since 2020, but the recent price movement has changed. The time it took for London gold to rise from $2,000/ounce to $3,000/ounce, from $3,000/ounce to $4,000/ounce, and from $4,000/ounce to $5,000/ounce has shortened, and the price increase slope shows an accelerating characteristic. He believes this phenomenon reflects that against the backdrop of rising macroeconomic uncertainty and increased risk premiums, the way funds price gold has gradually shifted from "trend-driven allocation" to "emotion and expectation-driven," and the price is reacting to positive factors faster than in previous periods. This accelerated price movement, while strengthening the medium- to long-term upward trend, also means increased sensitivity to external disturbances in the short term.Conflict Status: 1. Russian troops have captured the settlement of Chukyuevka in eastern Ukraine. 2. Ukrainian General Staff: Attacked an oil depot in Russias Saratov region. 3. Russian Ministry of Defense: Russian forces launched a large-scale attack on Ukrainian military energy and transportation infrastructure. 4. Zelensky: Russia launched more than 400 drones and about 40 missiles to attack Ukraines energy sector. 5. The governor of the Kursk region of Russia stated that 47 Ukrainian drones were shot down in the region in the past 24 hours. 6. Ukrainian General Staff: Ukrainian forces are continuously wearing down Russian forces along the entire front and in the rear, repelling multiple Russian attacks in the Leman and Pokrovsk directions. Peace Negotiations: 1. Trump said the US-Russia-Ukraine talks "could go wrong." 2. Zelensky: Does not support a peace agreement that violates the Ukrainian constitution. 3. Zelensky: The US seeks to push for a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by June. 4. Zelensky: The possibility of holding a trilateral summit to discuss thorny issues has been proposed. 5. Zelensky: The US proposed a meeting between Russian and Ukrainian delegations in Miami in a week, and Ukraine has agreed. Other developments: 1. Energy facilities attacked; Ukraine says it has requested emergency electricity assistance from Poland. 2. Two suspects arrested in the attack on the Russian lieutenant general; the Ukrainian Foreign Minister denies any Ukrainian involvement in the attack. 3. International Atomic Energy Agency: Following a new round of military activity affecting power substations, Ukrainian nuclear power plants again reduced power output this morning. 4. Ukrainian Foreign Minister: Ukraine supports calls for a truce with Russia during the Winter Olympics, following proposals from Italy and the Pope. 5. Polish Army Operations Command: Polish air operations related to Russian airstrikes on Ukraine have ended. No violations of Polish airspace occurred. Southeastern Polish airspace was briefly closed previously.On February 8th, Fujian Province issued the "Implementation Opinions on Promoting High-Quality Urban Development," which proposes to systematically advance the construction of "good houses." This includes accelerating the construction of a new real estate development model and improving the "market + guarantee" housing supply system. The document also calls for implementing a housing quality improvement project to enhance the entire housing chain, from design and construction to maintenance and services, and vigorously promoting the construction of safe, comfortable, green, and smart "good houses." Furthermore, it aims to build a modern industrial system for residential construction. The document also emphasizes steadily advancing the renovation of urban villages and dilapidated housing, supporting the independent renewal and reconstruction of old housing, continuously promoting the renovation of old urban residential communities, and implementing an action plan to improve the quality of property services.

WTI fluctuates near $87.00 due to contradictory demand-supply data

Alina Haynes

Sep 13, 2022 10:54

 截屏2022-08-04 下午5.10.59_1024x576.png

 

After reclaiming the weekly high, the price of WTI crude oil remained stagnant at approximately $87.80, amidst mixed concerns regarding the supply and demand of black gold. In addition to the market's hesitance ahead of critical US inflation data and the weekly industry report on oil inventories, the commodity prices could be affected by the market's disposition.

 

In October, oil production in the Permian Region in Texas and New Mexico, the largest U.S. shale oil basin, is expected to increase by 66,000 barrels per day (bpd) to a record 5.413 million bpd, according to a study released by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Monday. During the past week, the United States stopped releasing more oil from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), signaling a significant improvement in the supply situation. Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm is quoted by Reuters as saying, "The Biden administration is assessing the need for more SPR releases after the present program concludes in October."

 

Reuters, citing statistics from the US Department of Energy (DOE), reports that emergency oil inventories in the United States plummeted to their lowest level since October 1984, falling 8.4 million barrels to 434.1 million barrels in the week ending September 9. In the same vein are the rumors concerning the European Union's oil embargo and the oil price cap imposed by Western leaders on Moscow's energy exports.

 

In addition to the probable increase in China's stimulus, uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran oil deal and the likely retribution of Russia after retreating from portions of Ukraine further support the oil's upward movement.

 

Notable is the correlation between the risk-on sentiment and the dollar's depreciation, which helps oil purchasers. In spite of this, the US Dollar Index (DXY) fell for a second straight day to levels not seen in two weeks, near 108.30 at the latest.

 

After the most recent softening in price pressure, the US CPI for August becomes key. The projections indicate that the headline number will decrease to -0.1% MoM from 0.0% previously, while the CPI excluding food and energy will likely remain steady at 0.3% MoM. Also significant will be the previous 3.645M Weekly Crude Oil Stock data from the American Petroleum Institute (API).

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