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The head of Irans Energy Optimization Organization stated that, as part of three ongoing proposals to manage Irans gasoline supply, Iran is considering a proposal to allocate 30 liters of gasoline per person per month, with the quota being transferable and tradable.August 16th - Next week, UK consumer prices will be the focus of media attention, while the shortage of AI-powered memory chips and rising energy costs are keeping the Bank of England on high alert. Data to be released on Wednesday is expected to show inflation accelerating for the first time in four months, with a survey of economists showing a median forecast of a 2.9% jump in July. This marks the beginning of an upward trend expected to continue into the second half of the year, ending a period of positive news regarding price pressures. As the impact of the Iran war on prices becomes increasingly apparent – especially given the still strong economic performance – this data could further unsettle Bank of England policymakers. While the inflation outlook is largely dependent on developments in the Middle East, artificial intelligence is emerging as a potential "dark horse." The Bank of England has warned that the rapid expansion of AI computing power is driving up the cost of memory chips used in mobile phones, laptops, and game consoles. Data from the British Retail Consortium in July indicates that rising chip costs are being passed on to the prices of electronic products.OpenAI Codex Product Manager: Let Sol manage a high-performing team of Luna agents for you. These models know each other very well and can work together to achieve goals with amazing speed and efficiency.Market sources say that some units at the Libyan power company have stopped operating after the explosion.On August 16th, ahead of Nvidias (NVDA.O) highly anticipated $500 billion financing deal this week, investors were already concerned about approximately $70 billion in "shadow liabilities" that werent on the balance sheets of major AI companies but could surface in the worst-case scenario. With Nvidias latest move, the company may be providing tens of billions of dollars in so-called "residual value support" for debt transactions related to AI infrastructure development—essentially using its high credit rating to help control customers financing costs. With computing power demand surging, such guarantees are practically a "free lunch" for giants like Nvidia and Broadcom: they can expand sales to customers and AI companies without having to include the related debt on their balance sheets. These arrangements typically involve multiple stages: a special purpose entity borrows to purchase chips, the loan supported by cash flow generated from contracts with companies that will use the technology in the future. If the company stops making payments, the assets are re-leased or sold to repay the remaining debt. If a funding gap still exists, the guarantor makes up the difference. Theoretically, this process carries extremely low risk. However, some havent fully grasped this logic. DoubleLine portfolio manager Mariya Entina stated, "Its like playing the rules; youre trying to get special treatment from rating agencies to get the highest possible rating. Were entering an era of financial engineering. Thats one of my concerns: when financial engineering prevails, the true financial situation gets obscured."

WTI struggles at $87 as recession worries probe OPEC's forecast and supply deficit fears intensify

Daniel Rogers

Sep 14, 2022 11:42

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After reverting from the weekly high, WTI crude oil traders seek clear direction around $87.50 during Wednesday's Asian session. However, the present hesitation in the price of black gold may be attributable to the mixed concerns regarding the demand-supply matrix.

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) indicated in a monthly report that oil consumption will climb by 3,1 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2022 and by 2,7 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2023, which is unchanged from last month. Despite obstacles such as rising prices, the news also highlighted indications that major economies were performing better than projected.

 

The news that the United States intends to replenish its emergency oil reserves, as well as the German and European move to control Russian oil and gas prices, could also be favorable for energy prices. In addition, rumors that the Western oil deal with Iran is a long way off are bolstering fears of a supply bottleneck and should have helped energy bulls.

 

Tuesday's US inflation statistics revived concerns about the Federal Reserve's fast rate hike and exacerbated recession concerns. Also acting as downward drivers for WTI crude oil are expectations of economic slowdown due to China and Russia-related concerns.

 

In spite of this, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August increased by 8.3% year-over-year, surpassing market expectations by 0.1%. However, the monthly data increased to 0.1%, exceeding the -0.1% projected and the 0.0% shown in previous assessments. The core CPI, or CPI excluding food and energy, likewise exceeded the 6.1% consensus and 5.9% prior to printing at 6.3% for the month in question.

 

It should be mentioned that the weekly prints of the American Petroleum Institute's (API) industry inventory report also contributed to the commodity's downfall. The API Weekly Crude Oil Stock climbed to 6,035 million during the week ending September 9, up from 3,645,000 the previous week.

 

In the future, the price of black gold may stay under pressure due to a stronger US dollar and economic troubles. Before today's official weekly inventory data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, however, the supply crisis concerns could test the bears (EIA). Thursday's US Retail Sales for the month of August and Friday's preliminary reading of the September Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will also warrant close attention.

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