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On August 9th, Cypriot Energy Minister Michael Damianos stated in an interview with US media that Cyprus is expected to begin supplying natural gas from the Eastern Mediterranean to Europe as early as March 2028. Damianos told the Associated Press that the Ukraine crisis and the Middle East conflict have destabilized global energy markets, prompting European countries to diversify their energy sources, and offshore gas fields in the Eastern Mediterranean are increasingly becoming an alternative supply route.On August 9th, a Reuters poll of economists predicted that the U.S. overall CPI annual rate would fall to 3.4% in July from 3.5% in June, while the core CPI annual rate would fall to 2.5% from 2.6% in the previous month. Economists at Citigroup believe that, as expected, if inflation readings soften for the second consecutive month, it would mean that more than one months data points to easing inflationary pressures, essentially ruling out a September rate hike. However, economists also expect core services inflation to rise slightly in July, with prices increasing by 0.3% month-on-month. This figure was flat in May and June. Bank of America analysts stated that the rebound in core services indicators may keep a September rate hike on the table. Analyst Kate Duguid said that if the latter view prevails, and inflation data is lower than expected, then the Feds rate hike may be postponed until December or later.According to Sky News: Yemeni sources say the Houthi rebels fourth wave of missile and drone attacks targeted government positions in the port of Mocha and its outskirts.According to the Syrian state news agency, the Syrian Foreign Ministry stated that Syria and Russia will begin restructuring Russias presence along the Syrian coast within the framework of a memorandum.Hamas senior official Bassem Naim: It is expected that mediators and the United States will pressure Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and his government to adhere to the roadmap.

WTI struggles at $87 as recession worries probe OPEC's forecast and supply deficit fears intensify

Daniel Rogers

Sep 14, 2022 11:42

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After reverting from the weekly high, WTI crude oil traders seek clear direction around $87.50 during Wednesday's Asian session. However, the present hesitation in the price of black gold may be attributable to the mixed concerns regarding the demand-supply matrix.

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) indicated in a monthly report that oil consumption will climb by 3,1 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2022 and by 2,7 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2023, which is unchanged from last month. Despite obstacles such as rising prices, the news also highlighted indications that major economies were performing better than projected.

 

The news that the United States intends to replenish its emergency oil reserves, as well as the German and European move to control Russian oil and gas prices, could also be favorable for energy prices. In addition, rumors that the Western oil deal with Iran is a long way off are bolstering fears of a supply bottleneck and should have helped energy bulls.

 

Tuesday's US inflation statistics revived concerns about the Federal Reserve's fast rate hike and exacerbated recession concerns. Also acting as downward drivers for WTI crude oil are expectations of economic slowdown due to China and Russia-related concerns.

 

In spite of this, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August increased by 8.3% year-over-year, surpassing market expectations by 0.1%. However, the monthly data increased to 0.1%, exceeding the -0.1% projected and the 0.0% shown in previous assessments. The core CPI, or CPI excluding food and energy, likewise exceeded the 6.1% consensus and 5.9% prior to printing at 6.3% for the month in question.

 

It should be mentioned that the weekly prints of the American Petroleum Institute's (API) industry inventory report also contributed to the commodity's downfall. The API Weekly Crude Oil Stock climbed to 6,035 million during the week ending September 9, up from 3,645,000 the previous week.

 

In the future, the price of black gold may stay under pressure due to a stronger US dollar and economic troubles. Before today's official weekly inventory data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, however, the supply crisis concerns could test the bears (EIA). Thursday's US Retail Sales for the month of August and Friday's preliminary reading of the September Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will also warrant close attention.

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