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On September 21, Fox News reported that when White House National Economic Council Director Hassett was asked in an interview on Sunday about the specific timeline for Trumps earlier promise of a "reverse rocket drop" in oil prices, he did not provide a timeline, only stating that the US government had taken measures to ensure that the impact on energy prices was "far less than expected." Hassett stated that after the escalation of the conflict between Iran and the Houthis, the US has ensured the transport of oil through the Strait of Hormuz through naval escorts, with "billions of barrels of oil already passing through the strait" to minimize the impact of supply disruptions on oil prices. He indicated that initially, the market expected oil prices to rise to $150 or $200 per barrel, but this did not occur. Hassett also stated that "President Trump will decide when it ends," and that if the US did not take action, it could have serious consequences for "the global economy and human civilization."On September 21, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that he spoke with US President Donald Trump that day, and the two agreed to meet in New York. Zelenskyy said that this meeting "could bring about important changes," and that the diplomatic process is currently underway.On September 21, the Wall Street Journal reported that the Trump administration is preparing broader sanctions against the International Criminal Court (ICC) to expand its previous pressure campaign against the institution. According to documents, the new measures could prohibit most transactions with the ICC after a six- to seven-month grace period and may restrict its use of the US dollar, thus affecting its participation in the global financial system. The report, citing officials, stated that the final decision and announcement date are yet to be determined, but could be announced as early as this week during the UN General Assembly or in the following days. A State Department spokesperson did not disclose specific sanctions but stated that Secretary of State Marco Rubio believes the ICC poses a threat to US sovereignty. Previously, the US has sanctioned several ICC officials, including former Chief Prosecutor Karim Khan, ICC President Tomoko Akane, and several judges and prosecutors. The proposed measures would expand from targeting individuals to targeting transactions with the court as a whole. The deterioration in US relations with the ICC is linked to the courts 2024 arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Galant.On September 21, U.S. President Donald Trump will meet with New York City Mayor Nancy Mamdani at Gracie Mansion, the official residence of the New York City mayor, on Monday. Mamdanis office stated that the talks will focus on issues affecting New York City and its residents, but did not release a specific agenda or meeting arrangements. White House officials confirmed the meeting plans but did not provide further details. This will be Mamdanis third face-to-face meeting with Trump since being elected mayor.According to the Wall Street Journal, the Trump administration is preparing to impose sanctions on the International Criminal Court.

WTI struggles at $87 as recession worries probe OPEC's forecast and supply deficit fears intensify

Daniel Rogers

Sep 14, 2022 11:42

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After reverting from the weekly high, WTI crude oil traders seek clear direction around $87.50 during Wednesday's Asian session. However, the present hesitation in the price of black gold may be attributable to the mixed concerns regarding the demand-supply matrix.

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) indicated in a monthly report that oil consumption will climb by 3,1 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2022 and by 2,7 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2023, which is unchanged from last month. Despite obstacles such as rising prices, the news also highlighted indications that major economies were performing better than projected.

 

The news that the United States intends to replenish its emergency oil reserves, as well as the German and European move to control Russian oil and gas prices, could also be favorable for energy prices. In addition, rumors that the Western oil deal with Iran is a long way off are bolstering fears of a supply bottleneck and should have helped energy bulls.

 

Tuesday's US inflation statistics revived concerns about the Federal Reserve's fast rate hike and exacerbated recession concerns. Also acting as downward drivers for WTI crude oil are expectations of economic slowdown due to China and Russia-related concerns.

 

In spite of this, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August increased by 8.3% year-over-year, surpassing market expectations by 0.1%. However, the monthly data increased to 0.1%, exceeding the -0.1% projected and the 0.0% shown in previous assessments. The core CPI, or CPI excluding food and energy, likewise exceeded the 6.1% consensus and 5.9% prior to printing at 6.3% for the month in question.

 

It should be mentioned that the weekly prints of the American Petroleum Institute's (API) industry inventory report also contributed to the commodity's downfall. The API Weekly Crude Oil Stock climbed to 6,035 million during the week ending September 9, up from 3,645,000 the previous week.

 

In the future, the price of black gold may stay under pressure due to a stronger US dollar and economic troubles. Before today's official weekly inventory data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, however, the supply crisis concerns could test the bears (EIA). Thursday's US Retail Sales for the month of August and Friday's preliminary reading of the September Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will also warrant close attention.

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