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July 8th - According to CNN, citing three sources familiar with the decision-making process, prior to the February 28th attacks on Iranian targets, senior U.S. military commanders ignored warnings in key databases that intelligence regarding potential Iranian targets was severely outdated and approved multiple strikes, including an attack on an Iranian girls school that killed nearly 200 children and adults. The sources stated that the system contained warnings indicating that the intelligence was based on data from years ago and needed to be reviewed, and that adding targets to the strike list required approval from senior officers. Two of the sources indicated that senior commanders ignored the warnings for "efficiency reasons," as identifying targets was urgently needed in the early stages of a war, but this directly led to the mistaken bombing of the school. This attack is one of the deadliest civilian casualties in recent U.S. military operations.July 8th - According to Iranian state television today (July 8th), the US attack on Sirik in southern Iran has resulted in multiple injuries. Iranian President Pezechzian, who had just arrived in the Iraqi Shiite holy city of Najaf a few hours earlier, has left Iraq and returned home ahead of schedule. Pezechzian was scheduled to attend the funeral service for the late Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in Iraq today.Bahrains Foreign Ministry condemned Irans attacks on Saudi and Qatari oil tankers, calling the incidents a "serious violation of international law" and a threat to maritime security and global energy supplies.1. All three major U.S. stock indexes closed lower. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.25% to 52,925.15 points, the S&P 500 fell 0.45% to 7,503.85 points, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.16% to 25,818.69 points. Caterpillar fell more than 3%, Honeywell International fell more than 2%, leading the decline in chip stocks, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index falling 4.65% and Intel falling more than 9%. The Wind U.S. Tech Big Seven Index fell 0.01%, Tesla fell more than 4%, Facebook rose more than 2%, and SpaceX fell nearly 7%. 2. The three major European stock indexes closed mixed. The German DAX fell 1.37% to 25,465.25 points; the French CAC40 fell 0.51% to 8,436.24 points; and the UK FTSE 100 rose 0.13% to 10,665.88 points. 3. The WTI crude oil futures contract rose 5.32% to $72.2 per barrel; the Brent crude oil futures contract rose 5.49% to $75.94 per barrel. 4. International precious metals futures generally closed lower. COMEX gold futures fell 1.22% to $4116.60 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures fell 3.09% to $60.41 per ounce. 5. Most London base metals fell. LME aluminum rose 0.75% to $3139.0 per tonne, LME lead rose 0.40% to $1887.5 per tonne, LME tin fell 0.12% to $53000.0 per tonne, LME copper fell 0.51% to $13334.5 per tonne, LME zinc fell 0.56% to $3571.0 per tonne, and LME nickel fell 0.90% to $16275.0 per tonne.According to Iranian state television, Iranian President Peshizian has left Iraq and returned to Iran after the United States launched airstrikes on southern Iran.

WTI struggles at $87 as recession worries probe OPEC's forecast and supply deficit fears intensify

Daniel Rogers

Sep 14, 2022 11:42

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After reverting from the weekly high, WTI crude oil traders seek clear direction around $87.50 during Wednesday's Asian session. However, the present hesitation in the price of black gold may be attributable to the mixed concerns regarding the demand-supply matrix.

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) indicated in a monthly report that oil consumption will climb by 3,1 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2022 and by 2,7 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2023, which is unchanged from last month. Despite obstacles such as rising prices, the news also highlighted indications that major economies were performing better than projected.

 

The news that the United States intends to replenish its emergency oil reserves, as well as the German and European move to control Russian oil and gas prices, could also be favorable for energy prices. In addition, rumors that the Western oil deal with Iran is a long way off are bolstering fears of a supply bottleneck and should have helped energy bulls.

 

Tuesday's US inflation statistics revived concerns about the Federal Reserve's fast rate hike and exacerbated recession concerns. Also acting as downward drivers for WTI crude oil are expectations of economic slowdown due to China and Russia-related concerns.

 

In spite of this, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August increased by 8.3% year-over-year, surpassing market expectations by 0.1%. However, the monthly data increased to 0.1%, exceeding the -0.1% projected and the 0.0% shown in previous assessments. The core CPI, or CPI excluding food and energy, likewise exceeded the 6.1% consensus and 5.9% prior to printing at 6.3% for the month in question.

 

It should be mentioned that the weekly prints of the American Petroleum Institute's (API) industry inventory report also contributed to the commodity's downfall. The API Weekly Crude Oil Stock climbed to 6,035 million during the week ending September 9, up from 3,645,000 the previous week.

 

In the future, the price of black gold may stay under pressure due to a stronger US dollar and economic troubles. Before today's official weekly inventory data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, however, the supply crisis concerns could test the bears (EIA). Thursday's US Retail Sales for the month of August and Friday's preliminary reading of the September Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will also warrant close attention.

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