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On August 16th, according to a report by the U.S. military newspaper Stars and Stripes on the 14th, the U.S. Navy recently discovered an unidentified drone at its largest base in Italy and implemented base-wide security measures. The report stated that the small drone was discovered on the 13th at a support point at the U.S. naval base, prompting security forces to take precautionary measures. Before and after the drones discovery, the U.S. naval base issued a brief shelter-in-place order at a location approximately 13 miles (21 kilometers) from the incident site. It is currently unclear whether this shelter-in-place order was related to the drone discovery, or whether a similar order was issued at the support point.August 16th - At 12:10 PM Beijing time on August 16, 2026, my country successfully launched 24 low-Earth orbit satellites for its satellite internet service using a Long March-12 carrier rocket from the Hainan Commercial Space Launch Site. The satellites successfully entered their predetermined orbits, and the launch mission was a complete success.According to the Jerusalem Post: The Israel Defense Forces killed senior Hezbollah commander Abu Hassan Alaa in a weekend attack on the Deir Zahrani region in southern Lebanon.August 16th - The 2026 Wenchang International Aerospace Forum will be held in Wenchang, Hainan from August 24th to 26th, showcasing the latest achievements of Hainans aerospace industry. The forum aims to seize the new opportunities presented by the industrialization of reusable rockets, gather global aerospace resources, and help strengthen the rocket, satellite, and data chains, as well as the "aerospace+" industry, building a comprehensive and multi-layered aerospace industry ecosystem. Hainan will fully promote the implementation of key projects, accelerate the formation of high-density, high-reliability, and low-cost commercial launch capabilities, and efficiently support the "hundreds of rockets, thousands of satellites" mission.August 16th - According to Indonesian rescue official Shafii, as of 9:00 AM on the 16th, the death toll from the 7.7 magnitude earthquake in Indonesia has risen to 51. According to the China Earthquake Networks Center, a 7.7 magnitude earthquake struck off the coast of Flores Island, Indonesia, on the morning of the 15th local time, with a focal depth of 20 kilometers. The tsunami warning triggered by the earthquake has been lifted. According to the Chinese Consulate General in Denpasar, the earthquake caused minor injuries to three Chinese citizens.

WTI struggles at $87 as recession worries probe OPEC's forecast and supply deficit fears intensify

Daniel Rogers

Sep 14, 2022 11:42

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After reverting from the weekly high, WTI crude oil traders seek clear direction around $87.50 during Wednesday's Asian session. However, the present hesitation in the price of black gold may be attributable to the mixed concerns regarding the demand-supply matrix.

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) indicated in a monthly report that oil consumption will climb by 3,1 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2022 and by 2,7 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2023, which is unchanged from last month. Despite obstacles such as rising prices, the news also highlighted indications that major economies were performing better than projected.

 

The news that the United States intends to replenish its emergency oil reserves, as well as the German and European move to control Russian oil and gas prices, could also be favorable for energy prices. In addition, rumors that the Western oil deal with Iran is a long way off are bolstering fears of a supply bottleneck and should have helped energy bulls.

 

Tuesday's US inflation statistics revived concerns about the Federal Reserve's fast rate hike and exacerbated recession concerns. Also acting as downward drivers for WTI crude oil are expectations of economic slowdown due to China and Russia-related concerns.

 

In spite of this, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August increased by 8.3% year-over-year, surpassing market expectations by 0.1%. However, the monthly data increased to 0.1%, exceeding the -0.1% projected and the 0.0% shown in previous assessments. The core CPI, or CPI excluding food and energy, likewise exceeded the 6.1% consensus and 5.9% prior to printing at 6.3% for the month in question.

 

It should be mentioned that the weekly prints of the American Petroleum Institute's (API) industry inventory report also contributed to the commodity's downfall. The API Weekly Crude Oil Stock climbed to 6,035 million during the week ending September 9, up from 3,645,000 the previous week.

 

In the future, the price of black gold may stay under pressure due to a stronger US dollar and economic troubles. Before today's official weekly inventory data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, however, the supply crisis concerns could test the bears (EIA). Thursday's US Retail Sales for the month of August and Friday's preliminary reading of the September Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will also warrant close attention.

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