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On August 24th, it was learned from the Cold Chain Professional Committee of the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing that the total demand for food cold chain logistics in the first half of the year reached 200 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 4.7%, with the growth rate accelerating by 0.3 percentage points compared to the same period last year; the total revenue of food cold chain logistics service companies was 290.18 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.7%. The penetration of new energy refrigerated trucks accelerated, and the proportion of green transportation capacity reached a new high. It is estimated that refrigerated truck sales in the first half of the year reached 42,111 units, a year-on-year increase of 42.9%; among them, sales of new energy refrigerated trucks reached 20,285 units, a year-on-year increase of 92.3%, maintaining a high-speed growth trend. The penetration rate of new energy refrigerated trucks reached 48.2%, an increase of 12.4 percentage points compared to the same period last year. The penetration rate in the second quarter rose to 54.7%, showing an accelerating penetration trend. For the first time in a quarterly dimension, the penetration rate of new energy refrigerated trucks surpassed that of traditional fuel vehicles, indicating that the greening process of cold chain transportation has entered an accelerated development stage.August 24 - According to Iranian media reports, Iranian Oil Minister Mohsen Paknejhad announced on the 23rd that Iran has discovered a new gas field in the southern Fars province with natural gas reserves exceeding 7.5 trillion cubic feet (approximately 212.4 billion cubic meters), of which approximately 5.7 trillion cubic feet (approximately 161.4 billion cubic meters) are recoverable.August 24th - Bank of Japan (BOJ) officials will soon have multiple opportunities to confirm or dampen increasingly aggressive market bets on a September rate hike. Market pricing indicates an approximately 82% probability of a September rate hike. Since the July 2024 rate hike decision faced fierce criticism, the BOJ governor has emphasized strengthening communication with the market. The yen is another key factor prompting the BOJ to signal its policy intentions. Kento Minami, senior economist at Daiwa Securities, stated, "The BOJ is unlikely to explicitly state that the next rate hike will be in September. Instead, officials may hint at the need for an earlier rate hike by emphasizing upside risks to inflation. The market will interpret this as confirmation of a September rate hike." However, if the BOJ repeatedly emphasizes uncertainty, the need for further data observation, or the need to assess the impact of previous rate hikes, the market may interpret this as a signal to maintain interest rates unchanged in September.According to Greek media reports, Athens deployed an air defense system to Crete after Iran threatened US military bases in Europe.The China Earthquake Networks Center automatically determined that an earthquake of approximately magnitude 4.9 occurred near Changning County, Yibin City, Sichuan Province at 08:26 on August 24. The final result is subject to the official rapid report.

WTI struggles at $87 as recession worries probe OPEC's forecast and supply deficit fears intensify

Daniel Rogers

Sep 14, 2022 11:42

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After reverting from the weekly high, WTI crude oil traders seek clear direction around $87.50 during Wednesday's Asian session. However, the present hesitation in the price of black gold may be attributable to the mixed concerns regarding the demand-supply matrix.

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) indicated in a monthly report that oil consumption will climb by 3,1 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2022 and by 2,7 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2023, which is unchanged from last month. Despite obstacles such as rising prices, the news also highlighted indications that major economies were performing better than projected.

 

The news that the United States intends to replenish its emergency oil reserves, as well as the German and European move to control Russian oil and gas prices, could also be favorable for energy prices. In addition, rumors that the Western oil deal with Iran is a long way off are bolstering fears of a supply bottleneck and should have helped energy bulls.

 

Tuesday's US inflation statistics revived concerns about the Federal Reserve's fast rate hike and exacerbated recession concerns. Also acting as downward drivers for WTI crude oil are expectations of economic slowdown due to China and Russia-related concerns.

 

In spite of this, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August increased by 8.3% year-over-year, surpassing market expectations by 0.1%. However, the monthly data increased to 0.1%, exceeding the -0.1% projected and the 0.0% shown in previous assessments. The core CPI, or CPI excluding food and energy, likewise exceeded the 6.1% consensus and 5.9% prior to printing at 6.3% for the month in question.

 

It should be mentioned that the weekly prints of the American Petroleum Institute's (API) industry inventory report also contributed to the commodity's downfall. The API Weekly Crude Oil Stock climbed to 6,035 million during the week ending September 9, up from 3,645,000 the previous week.

 

In the future, the price of black gold may stay under pressure due to a stronger US dollar and economic troubles. Before today's official weekly inventory data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, however, the supply crisis concerns could test the bears (EIA). Thursday's US Retail Sales for the month of August and Friday's preliminary reading of the September Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will also warrant close attention.

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