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August 1st - According to the Washington Post, multiple officials stated that Admiral Alexus Grynkewich, Commander of U.S. European Command, privately warned the Pentagon this week of a lack of sufficient naval power to continue protecting Israel from ballistic missile attacks, highlighting the resource pressures on the U.S. military from the ongoing conflict with Iran. The commander stated that if he could not acquire another destroyer, he would be forced to choose between defending the U.S. "homeland" and defending Israel. A U.S. defense official stated that Grynkewichs warning was consistent with previous briefings from senior U.S. military officers to the Pentagon when they perceived risks requiring U.S.-level consideration. The official said such situations can occur when theater commanders compete for limited resources and weapons.Ukrainian President Zelensky: The Ukrainian military attacked a sanctioned Russian container ship named YANINA, which has a deadweight tonnage of over 100,000 tons.According to Interfax news agency, Russian troops have also taken control of the village of Lyubitsk in the Zaporizhzhia region of Ukraine.According to Interfax news agency, Russian troops have taken control of the village of Olgievka in the Kharkiv region of Ukraine.August 1st - According to US sources on July 31st, during his recent visit to the US, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy requested that US President Donald Trump and other US officials persuade SpaceX founder Elon Musk to allow the Ukrainian military to use SpaceXs Starlink satellite internet system to strike ballistic missile launchers within Russia. Currently, Russia has begun deploying a low-orbit satellite system similar to Starlink. On July 31st, multiple sources indicated that Zelenskyy held a closed-door meeting with Trump at the White House on July 28th, making the aforementioned request in person. According to Zelenskyy, Ukraine needs to conduct "more precise strikes" against Russian ballistic missile launchers before winter to prevent Russia from launching a winter offensive and intensifying its attacks on Ukrainian energy facilities.

WTI struggles at $87 as recession worries probe OPEC's forecast and supply deficit fears intensify

Daniel Rogers

Sep 14, 2022 11:42

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After reverting from the weekly high, WTI crude oil traders seek clear direction around $87.50 during Wednesday's Asian session. However, the present hesitation in the price of black gold may be attributable to the mixed concerns regarding the demand-supply matrix.

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) indicated in a monthly report that oil consumption will climb by 3,1 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2022 and by 2,7 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2023, which is unchanged from last month. Despite obstacles such as rising prices, the news also highlighted indications that major economies were performing better than projected.

 

The news that the United States intends to replenish its emergency oil reserves, as well as the German and European move to control Russian oil and gas prices, could also be favorable for energy prices. In addition, rumors that the Western oil deal with Iran is a long way off are bolstering fears of a supply bottleneck and should have helped energy bulls.

 

Tuesday's US inflation statistics revived concerns about the Federal Reserve's fast rate hike and exacerbated recession concerns. Also acting as downward drivers for WTI crude oil are expectations of economic slowdown due to China and Russia-related concerns.

 

In spite of this, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August increased by 8.3% year-over-year, surpassing market expectations by 0.1%. However, the monthly data increased to 0.1%, exceeding the -0.1% projected and the 0.0% shown in previous assessments. The core CPI, or CPI excluding food and energy, likewise exceeded the 6.1% consensus and 5.9% prior to printing at 6.3% for the month in question.

 

It should be mentioned that the weekly prints of the American Petroleum Institute's (API) industry inventory report also contributed to the commodity's downfall. The API Weekly Crude Oil Stock climbed to 6,035 million during the week ending September 9, up from 3,645,000 the previous week.

 

In the future, the price of black gold may stay under pressure due to a stronger US dollar and economic troubles. Before today's official weekly inventory data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, however, the supply crisis concerns could test the bears (EIA). Thursday's US Retail Sales for the month of August and Friday's preliminary reading of the September Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will also warrant close attention.

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