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September 7th - Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Baghae stated: "The Strait of Hormuz was completely unobstructed until February 28th, when the US and Israel invaded Iran. Washington launched an illegal and barbaric war, disrupting normal commercial shipping; oil tankers stopped sailing, trade was interrupted, and energy prices soared. The US started the war, yet expects the whole world to pay for it, while portraying Iran as the instigator of this chaos. This is utterly absurd."September 7th - According to the Financial Times, citing multiple Western defense and intelligence officials, Europe has failed to effectively deter Russias "hybrid warfare" against the continent and must quickly develop new methods to curb Moscows actions against NATO member states, or risk escalating conflict with the Kremlin. Western officials stated that last months thwarted drone strike on Leipzig/Halle airport, carrying military-grade explosives, highlighted Russias brazenness in its aggressive practices against NATO and the ineffectiveness of existing deterrents. They added that a collective action from European countries is needed to address the issue. A senior Western defense official stated, "It is clear that we are doing far too little to deter provocations that do not violate NATOs Article 5." They added, "The deterrent force we provide is sufficient to prevent Russia from escalating conventional and nuclear warfare. But we really need to rethink our strategy for dealing with hybrid warfare."Ukrainian President Zelensky: We may prefer certain forms of negotiation, but worse is that there are no forms of negotiation at all. I want to thank U.S. Special Envoy for the Middle East, Witkov, and Trumps son-in-law, Kushner, for their roles in restarting the negotiation process today. It is very important that the U.S. team met with the Russian leaders and then with me today to discuss all possibilities. We held trilateral talks with European representatives, as well as a meeting of national security advisors, and I believe we will do everything we can to resume negotiations.Alternative for Germany (AfD) leader Johann Sebastian Weidel: We need to maintain good relations with Russia, and especially with the United States. We are now seeing the US sending representatives to Moscow to mediate between Moscow and Kyiv. This was a role that Germany could have played.Alternative for Germany (AfD) leader Michel Weidel: (Regarding the Russia-Ukraine conflict) We have always maintained an open attitude towards diplomatic channels. We need to keep open channels of communication with Russia in order to reach an understanding and find a peaceful solution.

WTI struggles at $87 as recession worries probe OPEC's forecast and supply deficit fears intensify

Daniel Rogers

Sep 14, 2022 11:42

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After reverting from the weekly high, WTI crude oil traders seek clear direction around $87.50 during Wednesday's Asian session. However, the present hesitation in the price of black gold may be attributable to the mixed concerns regarding the demand-supply matrix.

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) indicated in a monthly report that oil consumption will climb by 3,1 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2022 and by 2,7 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2023, which is unchanged from last month. Despite obstacles such as rising prices, the news also highlighted indications that major economies were performing better than projected.

 

The news that the United States intends to replenish its emergency oil reserves, as well as the German and European move to control Russian oil and gas prices, could also be favorable for energy prices. In addition, rumors that the Western oil deal with Iran is a long way off are bolstering fears of a supply bottleneck and should have helped energy bulls.

 

Tuesday's US inflation statistics revived concerns about the Federal Reserve's fast rate hike and exacerbated recession concerns. Also acting as downward drivers for WTI crude oil are expectations of economic slowdown due to China and Russia-related concerns.

 

In spite of this, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August increased by 8.3% year-over-year, surpassing market expectations by 0.1%. However, the monthly data increased to 0.1%, exceeding the -0.1% projected and the 0.0% shown in previous assessments. The core CPI, or CPI excluding food and energy, likewise exceeded the 6.1% consensus and 5.9% prior to printing at 6.3% for the month in question.

 

It should be mentioned that the weekly prints of the American Petroleum Institute's (API) industry inventory report also contributed to the commodity's downfall. The API Weekly Crude Oil Stock climbed to 6,035 million during the week ending September 9, up from 3,645,000 the previous week.

 

In the future, the price of black gold may stay under pressure due to a stronger US dollar and economic troubles. Before today's official weekly inventory data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, however, the supply crisis concerns could test the bears (EIA). Thursday's US Retail Sales for the month of August and Friday's preliminary reading of the September Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will also warrant close attention.

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