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French industrial production rose 0.1% month-on-month in June, below the expected 0.3% and the previous reading of -0.10%.Eugene Investment Securities: Sets target price of 500,000 won for Samsung SDI.On August 5th, news broke that Zhipingfang is considering an initial public offering (IPO) in Hong Kong. According to media reports citing sources familiar with the matter, Zhipingfang has already hired investment banking advisors to prepare for the listing, and the IPO process could begin as early as 2027. However, the source stated that discussions regarding the listing are still ongoing, and specific details such as the listing timeline may still change. When contacted for confirmation regarding the IPO news, Zhipingfang had not responded as of press time.Frances June industrial production figures will be released in ten minutes.Futures Commentary by Everbright Futures: Geopolitical tensions eased again, and overnight London spot gold rose 0.57%, while SHFE gold closed up 0.87%. The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz raised concerns, causing oil prices to fall rapidly. Additionally, the US June JOLTS job openings fell more than expected. Gold may maintain a bottoming-out trend in the short term, with attention focused on Fridays non-farm payroll data. On the macroeconomic front, US June JOLTS job openings fell to 7.36 million from 7.54 million in May, below the expected 7.45 million, indicating a relatively stable labor market. The president of the Philadelphia Fed, a 2026 voting member of the Federal Reserve, stated that he remains open to the direction of monetary policy, and whether core inflation can continue to decline is a key factor in his judgment. Geopolitically, US-Iran negotiations continued to release easing signals, and expectations for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz increased. While the US-Iran geopolitical situation continued to ease, the US dollar weakened, and although gold performed relatively strongly, it still exhibited a weak bottoming-out trend, failing to give the market stronger confidence. This may stem from investors apprehension about the upcoming non-farm payroll data.

WTI struggles at $87 as recession worries probe OPEC's forecast and supply deficit fears intensify

Daniel Rogers

Sep 14, 2022 11:42

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After reverting from the weekly high, WTI crude oil traders seek clear direction around $87.50 during Wednesday's Asian session. However, the present hesitation in the price of black gold may be attributable to the mixed concerns regarding the demand-supply matrix.

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) indicated in a monthly report that oil consumption will climb by 3,1 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2022 and by 2,7 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2023, which is unchanged from last month. Despite obstacles such as rising prices, the news also highlighted indications that major economies were performing better than projected.

 

The news that the United States intends to replenish its emergency oil reserves, as well as the German and European move to control Russian oil and gas prices, could also be favorable for energy prices. In addition, rumors that the Western oil deal with Iran is a long way off are bolstering fears of a supply bottleneck and should have helped energy bulls.

 

Tuesday's US inflation statistics revived concerns about the Federal Reserve's fast rate hike and exacerbated recession concerns. Also acting as downward drivers for WTI crude oil are expectations of economic slowdown due to China and Russia-related concerns.

 

In spite of this, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August increased by 8.3% year-over-year, surpassing market expectations by 0.1%. However, the monthly data increased to 0.1%, exceeding the -0.1% projected and the 0.0% shown in previous assessments. The core CPI, or CPI excluding food and energy, likewise exceeded the 6.1% consensus and 5.9% prior to printing at 6.3% for the month in question.

 

It should be mentioned that the weekly prints of the American Petroleum Institute's (API) industry inventory report also contributed to the commodity's downfall. The API Weekly Crude Oil Stock climbed to 6,035 million during the week ending September 9, up from 3,645,000 the previous week.

 

In the future, the price of black gold may stay under pressure due to a stronger US dollar and economic troubles. Before today's official weekly inventory data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, however, the supply crisis concerns could test the bears (EIA). Thursday's US Retail Sales for the month of August and Friday's preliminary reading of the September Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will also warrant close attention.

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