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August 28th - Data released on Friday showed that Tokyos core CPI rose 1.8% year-on-year in August, gradually approaching the central banks 2% target, indicating that price pressures from the Middle East conflict are widening. Previously, the Bank of Japan raised its main interest rate to a 31-year high of 1% in June, and kept it unchanged in July, but issued its strongest statement to date regarding escalating inflation risks. Analysts pointed out that the recent sharp rise in wholesale prices, reaching 7.2% year-on-year in July, highlights the increasing price pressures from the Middle East conflict, which may push up consumer prices in the future.SEOUL, Aug. 28 (Yonhap) -- A ship carrying petroleum products caught fire Thursday evening in waters near Incheon, west of Seoul, the South Korean Coast Guard said. The fire has been extinguished. The Coast Guard said the 7,000-ton vessel caught fire at around 10:38 p.m. Thursday. There were 18 crew members on board; two died, and the remaining 16 were rescued and are in stable condition. Initial suspicions suggest the fire originated in the engine room but did not spread to the fuel storage tanks.On August 28th, Futures News reported that, according to foreign media, sources revealed that US President Trump and his energy, environment, and agriculture officials met on Wednesday to discuss a plan to expand exemptions for small refineries to blend biofuels. The proposal aims to double the number of exemptions from the current 990 million renewable fuel credits (RINs) to as many as 1.8 billion, with a final decision expected by the end of August. This move aims to curb soaring gasoline prices caused by the six-month-long US-Israel war in Iraq, helping Republicans maintain control of Congress in the November midterm elections, but has already triggered a strong backlash from the US agricultural sector. US renewable fuel identification numbers (RINs) have also fallen sharply due to market expectations of weakening biofuel demand. On Thursday, an agricultural and biofuel industry consortium, including the US Renewable Fuels Association, Growth Energy, and the National Farmers Union, wrote to Trump urging him to reject the exemption expansion plan, warning that a significant increase in small refinery exemptions would weaken demand for crops such as corn and soybean oil, as well as renewable fuels, severely damaging the rural economy.Japans Tokyo unadjusted CPI rose 0.4% month-on-month in August, unchanged from the previous month.Japans Tokyo CPI rose 1.9% year-on-year in August, below the expected 1.90% and the previous figure revised from 2.00% to 1.80%.

WTI struggles at $87 as recession worries probe OPEC's forecast and supply deficit fears intensify

Daniel Rogers

Sep 14, 2022 11:42

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After reverting from the weekly high, WTI crude oil traders seek clear direction around $87.50 during Wednesday's Asian session. However, the present hesitation in the price of black gold may be attributable to the mixed concerns regarding the demand-supply matrix.

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) indicated in a monthly report that oil consumption will climb by 3,1 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2022 and by 2,7 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2023, which is unchanged from last month. Despite obstacles such as rising prices, the news also highlighted indications that major economies were performing better than projected.

 

The news that the United States intends to replenish its emergency oil reserves, as well as the German and European move to control Russian oil and gas prices, could also be favorable for energy prices. In addition, rumors that the Western oil deal with Iran is a long way off are bolstering fears of a supply bottleneck and should have helped energy bulls.

 

Tuesday's US inflation statistics revived concerns about the Federal Reserve's fast rate hike and exacerbated recession concerns. Also acting as downward drivers for WTI crude oil are expectations of economic slowdown due to China and Russia-related concerns.

 

In spite of this, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August increased by 8.3% year-over-year, surpassing market expectations by 0.1%. However, the monthly data increased to 0.1%, exceeding the -0.1% projected and the 0.0% shown in previous assessments. The core CPI, or CPI excluding food and energy, likewise exceeded the 6.1% consensus and 5.9% prior to printing at 6.3% for the month in question.

 

It should be mentioned that the weekly prints of the American Petroleum Institute's (API) industry inventory report also contributed to the commodity's downfall. The API Weekly Crude Oil Stock climbed to 6,035 million during the week ending September 9, up from 3,645,000 the previous week.

 

In the future, the price of black gold may stay under pressure due to a stronger US dollar and economic troubles. Before today's official weekly inventory data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, however, the supply crisis concerns could test the bears (EIA). Thursday's US Retail Sales for the month of August and Friday's preliminary reading of the September Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will also warrant close attention.

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