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Both WTI and Brent crude oil fell by $0.70 to $75.07 and $79.61 per barrel, respectively.On August 5th, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, a 2026 FOMC voting member, stated in an interview with CNBC on Wednesday that the Federal Reserve should now "start gradually raising" interest rates to reduce inflation and avoid the need for larger rate hikes in the future. Kashkari was one of three voting members who supported a 25-basis-point rate hike at last weeks FOMC meeting. He stated that with strong corporate earnings, resilient consumer and labor markets, and no evidence that monetary policy has become significantly restrictive, its time to begin gradually raising rates. He emphasized that this does not advocate for large rate hikes, but rather a desire for "small steps" to avoid being forced into aggressive policy tightening once inflation becomes deeply entrenched. He added that its uncertain what action the FOMC will take in September, and future data will play a crucial role. Meanwhile, Kashkari stated that Fed Chairman Warsh did not pressure him, telling him, "Do what you think is right for the economy."A Goto survey shows that 30% of American employees say they can no longer live without artificial intelligence.Shopify (SHOP.N): Global transaction volume grew by 37% in the second quarter.On August 5th, Federal Reserve Chairman Neel Kashkari, in an interview with CNBC, stated that he remains open to future policy options and does not advocate for significant interest rate hikes. He believes that most recent inflation stems from supply shocks, coupled with some demand-side factors. Kashkari stated in the CNBC interview, "My goal is not to slow the economy, but to reduce inflation." He believes now is the time to begin gradually raising interest rates, but he does not support a significant increase. Kashkari emphasized the value of continuing the tradition of explaining the Feds policy response mechanism to the public. He stated, "Dont think theres some magic number of meetings (to decide policy actions)."

WTI struggles at $87 as recession worries probe OPEC's forecast and supply deficit fears intensify

Daniel Rogers

Sep 14, 2022 11:42

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After reverting from the weekly high, WTI crude oil traders seek clear direction around $87.50 during Wednesday's Asian session. However, the present hesitation in the price of black gold may be attributable to the mixed concerns regarding the demand-supply matrix.

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) indicated in a monthly report that oil consumption will climb by 3,1 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2022 and by 2,7 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2023, which is unchanged from last month. Despite obstacles such as rising prices, the news also highlighted indications that major economies were performing better than projected.

 

The news that the United States intends to replenish its emergency oil reserves, as well as the German and European move to control Russian oil and gas prices, could also be favorable for energy prices. In addition, rumors that the Western oil deal with Iran is a long way off are bolstering fears of a supply bottleneck and should have helped energy bulls.

 

Tuesday's US inflation statistics revived concerns about the Federal Reserve's fast rate hike and exacerbated recession concerns. Also acting as downward drivers for WTI crude oil are expectations of economic slowdown due to China and Russia-related concerns.

 

In spite of this, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August increased by 8.3% year-over-year, surpassing market expectations by 0.1%. However, the monthly data increased to 0.1%, exceeding the -0.1% projected and the 0.0% shown in previous assessments. The core CPI, or CPI excluding food and energy, likewise exceeded the 6.1% consensus and 5.9% prior to printing at 6.3% for the month in question.

 

It should be mentioned that the weekly prints of the American Petroleum Institute's (API) industry inventory report also contributed to the commodity's downfall. The API Weekly Crude Oil Stock climbed to 6,035 million during the week ending September 9, up from 3,645,000 the previous week.

 

In the future, the price of black gold may stay under pressure due to a stronger US dollar and economic troubles. Before today's official weekly inventory data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, however, the supply crisis concerns could test the bears (EIA). Thursday's US Retail Sales for the month of August and Friday's preliminary reading of the September Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will also warrant close attention.

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