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February 13 – Australian Treasurer Charles Chalmers has appointed Bruce Preston to the Reserve Bank of Australias (RBA) interest rate setting committee, replacing Alison Watkins, whose term is expiring. Preston, currently a professor of economics at the University of New South Wales, previously served as a senior advisor to the RBA and the Treasury. Chalmers stated in a statement on Friday that Prestons five-year term will begin on March 1. This personnel change is closely watched amid heightened uncertainty about the current economic outlook. The appointment comes at a crucial time for the RBA, which has become the first major central bank globally to raise interest rates this year due to persistently strong inflation. This week, Governor Bullock and his deputy Hauser have both expressed a hawkish stance on inflation on various occasions, stating that further policy tightening may be necessary if price pressures prove to be deeply entrenched. For global investors, the addition of a senior academic with experience in central banks and the Treasury signals continuity in technocratic decision-making as Australia navigates external risks from weak productivity, a tight labor market, and broader geopolitical uncertainty.Conflict Situation: 1. Russia—① Russian Ministry of Defense: Russian forces launched a cluster attack on energy facilities used by the Ukrainian armed forces. Between 8:00 AM and 12:00 PM Moscow time, air defense systems intercepted and destroyed 13 Ukrainian-type unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs). ② Two sources stated that the Volgograd oil refinery in Russia has ceased oil processing following a drone attack on Wednesday. ③ The governor of Belgorod, Russia, stated that the enemy attack resulted in power outages for over 220,000 people. 2. Ukraine—① The Ukrainian Air Force warned that Russia might launch medium-range ballistic missiles. The mayor of Kyiv stated that 2,600 more buildings in the city lost heating following the Russian attack. ② The Ukrainian military: Attacked the Lukoil oil refinery in the Komi region of Russia, as well as a factory in the Tambov region that produces high-tech aviation and missile equipment. ③ Ukrainian air defense forces: Russian forces launched intensive nighttime strikes on Thursday against major Ukrainian cities including Kyiv, Kharkiv, Odessa, and Dnipropetrov, damaging some residential buildings; most of the 24 ballistic missiles and 219 drones that attacked were intercepted. ④ Zelensky: Russia launched another large-scale attack on Ukraines energy sector. Last night, 24 ballistic missiles, 1 cruise missile, and more than 200 drones attacked, a significant number of which were successfully shot down. Other developments: 1. Kremlin: The next round of Russia-Ukraine peace talks is expected to be held soon. 2. British Defense Secretary Healy: Has pledged $35 billion in military aid to Ukraine. 3. Ukrainian Defense Minister calls on allies to urgently deploy Patriot PAC-3 missiles from its warehouses for air defense. 4. Secretary of the Ukrainian Security and Defense Council stated that Ukrainian military product manufacturers have obtained the first batch of wartime export licenses. 5. Ukrainian Foreign Ministry: Due to the attacks launched by Russia, the transport of Russian oil to Europe via the "Friendship" pipeline in Ukraine has been suspended since January 27. 6. An internal Russian memo shows that Russia has put forward seven suggestions for economic cooperation with the US to win Trumps support, including returning to the dollar system and joint plans in the energy, mineral, and fossil fuel sectors.Foreign central banks held $14.12 billion in U.S. Treasury securities in the week ending February 13, compared with a previous weeks figure of -$4.002 billion.February 13th - Electric vehicle manufacturer Rivian warned that its losses this year may be higher than expected as it works to control costs during the critical period leading up to the launch of its next-generation SUV. In releasing its fourth-quarter earnings report, Rivian projected an adjusted EBITDA loss of $1.8 billion to $2.1 billion for 2026. While the final figure in this range represents an improvement over last years loss, it exceeded analysts previous expectations of a loss of approximately $1.8 billion. This forecast indicates that Rivians path to profitability remains bumpy, facing weak demand for electric vehicles, high raw material costs, and the loss of regulatory credit revenue following the Republican-led repeal of electric vehicle-friendly policies. Rivian also stated that its highly anticipated R2 mid-size electric SUV will go on sale as planned in the second quarter. This model is crucial for Rivian to achieve higher production volumes and improved profitability, as it will be launched at a lower price.Rivian (RIVN.O) reported fourth-quarter revenue of $1.286 billion, compared to market expectations of $1.263 billion.

The USD/JPY crosses the 135.00 mark as the DXY rises ahead of US inflation

Daniel Rogers

Aug 10, 2022 11:32

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The USD/JPY pair is climbing northward during the Asian session in an attempt to retake its two-week high at 135.58. The asset's price turned positive on Monday as a result of the abundance of bids that occurred near 134.50. The USD/JPY pair's two-day consolidated activity shows that market participants are anxiously awaiting the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI).

 

Investors expect a decrease in price pressures this time, thus the release of the US inflation report is crucial. The investment community is aware that the crisis between Russia and Ukraine sharply increased oil prices, which continued to be essential to pressures on global costs.

 

A more than 11% drop in oil prices in July contributed to the black gold's continued sluggishness and lowered inflation expectations. The market anticipates that the inflation rate will decrease from 9.1% to 8.7%. The core CPI, which does not include food and oil, is anticipated to increase to 6.1% from the previously announced 5.9%. It appears that the demand for durable goods is rapidly increasing again. The US dollar index (DXY) is currently aiming to surpass the 106.40 immediate barrier.

 

The yen bulls are circling Tokyo as a result of Japan's government reorganization. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki will probably remain in the cabinet after this week's reorganization by Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida. All eyes will now be on the Japanese government's efforts to raise the labor cost index, which is essential for keeping inflation over 2%.