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Frances June industrial production figures will be released in ten minutes.Futures Commentary by Everbright Futures: Geopolitical tensions eased again, and overnight London spot gold rose 0.57%, while SHFE gold closed up 0.87%. The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz raised concerns, causing oil prices to fall rapidly. Additionally, the US June JOLTS job openings fell more than expected. Gold may maintain a bottoming-out trend in the short term, with attention focused on Fridays non-farm payroll data. On the macroeconomic front, US June JOLTS job openings fell to 7.36 million from 7.54 million in May, below the expected 7.45 million, indicating a relatively stable labor market. The president of the Philadelphia Fed, a 2026 voting member of the Federal Reserve, stated that he remains open to the direction of monetary policy, and whether core inflation can continue to decline is a key factor in his judgment. Geopolitically, US-Iran negotiations continued to release easing signals, and expectations for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz increased. While the US-Iran geopolitical situation continued to ease, the US dollar weakened, and although gold performed relatively strongly, it still exhibited a weak bottoming-out trend, failing to give the market stronger confidence. This may stem from investors apprehension about the upcoming non-farm payroll data.Japans Topix index rose 2%.SpaceX shares fell 7% on Tradegate, roughly in line with its after-hours performance on the US stock market.On August 5th, the Shanghai Headquarters of the Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) held its 2026 second-half work conference on August 4th. The conference emphasized that the PBOC Shanghai Headquarters should earnestly implement the moderately loose monetary policy and actively encourage financial institutions to tap into effective credit demand. It should make good use of various structural monetary policy tools. It should implement the "Five Major Articles" (1+N) series of financial policies. It should promote the continued effectiveness of the "Technology Board" in the bond market in Shanghai. It should steadily deepen financial reform and opening up, and build a sound foreign exchange management system. It should implement new policies on high-level opening up of cross-border trade and investment financing, overseas lending, and overseas listing. It should enhance the exchange rate hedging capabilities of SMEs. It should coordinate the promotion of cross-border finance and offshore finance, and accelerate the implementation and effectiveness of the comprehensive reform pilot program for offshore business financial services. It should promote the application of digital RMB scenarios and the construction of its ecosystem. It should continue to carry out local legislation in the financial field. It should continuously improve the systemic risk prevention and mitigation mechanism. It should strengthen the crackdown on illegal financial activities. It should continuously improve the macro-prudential management mechanism framework. It should comprehensively improve the level of cross-border financial risk monitoring.

The USD/JPY crosses the 135.00 mark as the DXY rises ahead of US inflation

Daniel Rogers

Aug 10, 2022 11:32

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The USD/JPY pair is climbing northward during the Asian session in an attempt to retake its two-week high at 135.58. The asset's price turned positive on Monday as a result of the abundance of bids that occurred near 134.50. The USD/JPY pair's two-day consolidated activity shows that market participants are anxiously awaiting the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI).

 

Investors expect a decrease in price pressures this time, thus the release of the US inflation report is crucial. The investment community is aware that the crisis between Russia and Ukraine sharply increased oil prices, which continued to be essential to pressures on global costs.

 

A more than 11% drop in oil prices in July contributed to the black gold's continued sluggishness and lowered inflation expectations. The market anticipates that the inflation rate will decrease from 9.1% to 8.7%. The core CPI, which does not include food and oil, is anticipated to increase to 6.1% from the previously announced 5.9%. It appears that the demand for durable goods is rapidly increasing again. The US dollar index (DXY) is currently aiming to surpass the 106.40 immediate barrier.

 

The yen bulls are circling Tokyo as a result of Japan's government reorganization. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki will probably remain in the cabinet after this week's reorganization by Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida. All eyes will now be on the Japanese government's efforts to raise the labor cost index, which is essential for keeping inflation over 2%.