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June 7th - As the conflict with Iran triggers global inflationary pressures, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points next week, becoming the first major central bank among the G7 to tighten monetary policy. Markets anticipate at least one more rate hike this year. In contrast, the Bank of Canada is likely to keep its rates unchanged, while the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England are expected to remain on hold this month, observing the impact of the Iranian conflict. ECB officials aim to ensure that inflation in the Eurozone does not become deeply entrenched, but a rate hike would come at the cost of further dragging down an already weak economy. ECB President Christine Lagarde is likely to provide a clearer signal on the next steps at the press conference following the decision. Meanwhile, the ECB will also release its quarterly economic forecasts, assessing different scenarios of the energy shocks impact on the regional economy.On June 7th, Willie Walsh, Director General of the International Air Transport Association (IATA), stated that rising jet fuel prices are expected to lead to more airline bankruptcies and industry consolidation. He pointed out that a merger between United Airlines and American Airlines is unlikely due to regulatory hurdles. Walsh also stated that once the Middle East conflict subsides, airlines and hubs in the Gulf region will regain market share. Furthermore, despite disappointing progress in clean fuels, IATA remains committed to its 2050 net-zero emissions target.The Russian Ministry of Defense stated that its air defense forces intercepted 339 Ukrainian drones in multiple regions, including Moscow, within 13 hours.On June 7th, local time, the Russian Ministry of Defense stated on the 6th that Russian forces had seized control of the Shevchenko settlement in Kharkiv Oblast and struck 153 areas in Ukraine. These included production, storage, and launch sites for long-range drones; fuel, transportation, and port infrastructure; and temporary deployment points for Ukrainian armed forces and foreign mercenaries. The General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces stated on the 6th that Ukrainian forces attacked targets including Russian personnel assembly areas, drone control points, and artillery systems.Ukrainian Foreign Minister Kuleba: Russian forces attacked two civilian search and rescue vessels in Ukrainian waters, causing casualties.

The USD/JPY crosses the 135.00 mark as the DXY rises ahead of US inflation

Daniel Rogers

Aug 10, 2022 11:32

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The USD/JPY pair is climbing northward during the Asian session in an attempt to retake its two-week high at 135.58. The asset's price turned positive on Monday as a result of the abundance of bids that occurred near 134.50. The USD/JPY pair's two-day consolidated activity shows that market participants are anxiously awaiting the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI).

 

Investors expect a decrease in price pressures this time, thus the release of the US inflation report is crucial. The investment community is aware that the crisis between Russia and Ukraine sharply increased oil prices, which continued to be essential to pressures on global costs.

 

A more than 11% drop in oil prices in July contributed to the black gold's continued sluggishness and lowered inflation expectations. The market anticipates that the inflation rate will decrease from 9.1% to 8.7%. The core CPI, which does not include food and oil, is anticipated to increase to 6.1% from the previously announced 5.9%. It appears that the demand for durable goods is rapidly increasing again. The US dollar index (DXY) is currently aiming to surpass the 106.40 immediate barrier.

 

The yen bulls are circling Tokyo as a result of Japan's government reorganization. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki will probably remain in the cabinet after this week's reorganization by Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida. All eyes will now be on the Japanese government's efforts to raise the labor cost index, which is essential for keeping inflation over 2%.


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