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Both WTI and Brent crude oil opened about 1% higher on Monday, currently trading at $102.57 per barrel and $107.15 per barrel, respectively.On March 30th, Jefferies stated that Australian refineries can only meet a small fraction of domestic fuel demand. The conflict in Iran has led to rising petrol and diesel prices, and Australias competition regulator has expressed concern about supply issues in areas including suburban areas, regional towns, and remote regions. Jefferies estimates that Australian refinery output can meet approximately 37% of petrol demand and about 14% of diesel demand. This conclusion is based on an analysis of Australian oil statistics from last year. "Even in Queensland and Victoria, where Ampore and Viva Energy respectively own refineries, the output of Litton and Geelong is insufficient to meet the states total demand for petrol or diesel," said analyst Michael Simotas.According to Iranian state media, a petrochemical plant in Tabriz, a city in northwestern Iran, was attacked.1. Ukrainian Armed Forces: Russian troops lost approximately 1,360 soldiers yesterday. 2. RIA Novosti: Russia claims to have captured the village of Kivsharivka in Kharkiv Oblast, Ukraine. 3. Russia warns South Korea that it will retaliate if it provides lethal weapons to Ukraine. 4. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov: Russian-American relations have fallen to a historic low in recent years; Russia is willing to develop relations with the US. 5. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky: Following the Ukrainian attack, oil refineries in Leningrad Oblast, Russia, are operating at only 40% capacity. 6. Governor of Leningrad Oblast: A fire broke out at the Baltic port of Ust-Luga, Russia, caused by a Ukrainian drone attack; the fire is now under control.On March 30th, economist Rory Robertson stated that the Australian economy may have already experienced a downturn due to the oil price shock and threats to energy supplies. If the economy did not actually contract in March, the constraints imposed on numerous industries by the sudden surge in fuel prices (especially diesel) and reduced supply could force a slight contraction in economic activity in April. Robertson stated that the economic outlook depends on whether the problems can be resolved as quickly as they appeared. He added that historical experience shows that sudden and prolonged oil price shocks often turn into economic disasters.

The USD/JPY crosses the 135.00 mark as the DXY rises ahead of US inflation

Daniel Rogers

Aug 10, 2022 11:32

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The USD/JPY pair is climbing northward during the Asian session in an attempt to retake its two-week high at 135.58. The asset's price turned positive on Monday as a result of the abundance of bids that occurred near 134.50. The USD/JPY pair's two-day consolidated activity shows that market participants are anxiously awaiting the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI).

 

Investors expect a decrease in price pressures this time, thus the release of the US inflation report is crucial. The investment community is aware that the crisis between Russia and Ukraine sharply increased oil prices, which continued to be essential to pressures on global costs.

 

A more than 11% drop in oil prices in July contributed to the black gold's continued sluggishness and lowered inflation expectations. The market anticipates that the inflation rate will decrease from 9.1% to 8.7%. The core CPI, which does not include food and oil, is anticipated to increase to 6.1% from the previously announced 5.9%. It appears that the demand for durable goods is rapidly increasing again. The US dollar index (DXY) is currently aiming to surpass the 106.40 immediate barrier.

 

The yen bulls are circling Tokyo as a result of Japan's government reorganization. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki will probably remain in the cabinet after this week's reorganization by Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida. All eyes will now be on the Japanese government's efforts to raise the labor cost index, which is essential for keeping inflation over 2%.