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According to Politico: U.S. Army Secretary Dan Driscoll has arrived in the UAE to meet with U.S. Middle East envoy Witkov and Trumps son-in-law Jared Kushner.January 23 - According to foreign media reports, production at Kazakhstans massive Tengiz oil field remains suspended. A Chevron spokesperson stated on Friday that the field has been shut down since the shutdown was announced on Monday. Chevron holds a 50% stake in Tengiz Chevroil (TCO), the operator of the Tengiz oil field. The shutdown began on Sunday with a fire in the power unit. The cause of the fire is currently unclear, and a Kazakh government commission is investigating. This incident exacerbates the difficulties facing Kazakhstans oil industry, which had previously encountered bottlenecks at its main Black Sea export gateway due to Ukrainian drone attacks. Three industry sources indicated on Tuesday that the shutdown at the Tengiz oil field could last 7 to 10 days. JPMorgan Chase noted on Friday that the Tengiz oil field, which accounts for nearly half of Kazakhstans production, may remain shut down for the remainder of the month. Kazakhstans average daily crude oil production in January is expected to be only 1 million to 1.1 million barrels, compared to a normal level of approximately 1.8 million barrels.January 23 - Due to unusually cold weather, Europes reliance on natural gas reserves has increased significantly this winter, with withdrawals this month reaching a five-year high. As pipeline gas and liquefied natural gas (LNG) inflows cannot meet the increased energy demand, daily net withdrawals have reached approximately 730 million cubic meters, while LNG imports are less than half that level. Gas prices have surged by over 30% so far this month, influenced by the cold weather reversing market sentiment and triggering a sharp reversal of short positions. Current inventory levels are less than half full, far below the same period in previous years, and Wood Mackenzie predicts that inventories will fall to 20% by the end of winter. Furthermore, the unfavorable price spread between summer and winter contracts has weakened the economics of gas storage, repeating a previous scenario that led to inventory shortages. Senior analyst Patricio Alvarez points out that inventory withdrawals are not only weather-driven but also reflect the economic game between using stored gas and importing flexible LNG. When spot prices are high, the attractiveness of liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports decreases because their prices fluctuate with the market and include transportation and regasification costs; in contrast, stockpiled gas is purchased in advance at a lower price and can be withdrawn quickly with lower marginal costs.Ukrainian President Zelensky: The format of the talks will be decided on the fly, and we are in contact with the negotiating team in Abu Dhabi.As of 8:30 PM Beijing time, WTI crude oil futures rose 1.92%, and US natural gas futures rose 1.35%.

NZD/USD falls rapidly from 0.6260 when the RBNZ announces a decline in inflation projections to 3.07 percent

Daniel Rogers

Aug 08, 2022 12:00

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The NZD/USD pair has encountered selling pressure while attempting to surpass the immediate resistance level of 0.6260. The asset has seen bids after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) announced inflation estimates at 3.07 percent, down from 3.29 percent previously. It could be an indication of waning price pressure, but additional evidence is still needed to support the argument.

 

Price pressures in the New Zealand economy are increasing and have not yet shown signs of weariness. A June report indicates that an inflation rate of 7.3% is adequate to generate headwinds for families. The RBNZ is consistently escalating its policy tightening measures to combat the same. RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr has already increased the Official Cash Rate by 2.50 percentage points.

 

On the front of the US dollar, the US dollar index (DXY) has returned all intraday gains and is currently trading near the day's open at 106.60. While attempting to break over the crucial resistance level of 106.80, the DXY has encountered selling pressure. This week, investors' attention is centered on Wednesday's release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI).

 

The annual inflation rate is projected to continue at 8.7 percent, down from 9.1 percent in the previous report. Oil prices have been on a downward trend in July, which may be the determining factor for a significant decline in the price increase index. While the US CPI excluding volatile food and oil prices may increase from 5.9 percent to 6.1 percent, the previous reading was 5.9 percent.