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On January 24th, it was reported that on December 24th of last year, four departments, including the Beijing Municipal Commission of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, issued the "Notice on Further Optimizing and Adjusting Relevant Policies of Beijing Real Estate," which involved adjustments to purchase restrictions and credit optimization. Overall, since the implementation of the new policy a month ago, transaction volume has been steadily increasing. Data from Centaline Property shows that since the release of the notice, the average daily number of new home sales contracts has increased by 44.6% month-on-month, with improved housing projects outside the Fifth Ring Road performing particularly well. In the secondary market, after the new policy, the average daily number of viewings at real estate agencies has increased by more than 20% compared to normal, and the average daily transaction volume of secondary homes has exceeded 500 units.January 24th - The Fourth Session of the 14th Beijing Municipal Committee of the Chinese Peoples Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) solemnly opened at the Beijing Conference Center at 9:00 AM today (January 24th). The opening session will review and adopt the "Agenda of the Fourth Session of the 14th Beijing Municipal Committee of the CPPCC," hear the "Work Report of the Standing Committee of the 14th Beijing Municipal Committee of the CPPCC," and hear the "Report of the Standing Committee of the Beijing Municipal Committee of the CPPCC on the Work of Proposals Since the Third Session of the 14th CPPCC."DownDetector, a network monitoring website, reports user complaints that social media platform “X” is experiencing issues.January 24th - The market is widely focused on when the window for reserve requirement ratio (RRR) and interest rate cuts will open. Ming Ming, chief economist at CITIC Securities, stated that based on past experience, a reduction in the relending rate opens up corresponding room for overall interest rate cuts. With a large number of fixed deposits maturing in the first quarter, the pressure on bank interest rate spreads is easing, and the timing of a policy rate cut is expected in the second quarter. "A RRR cut is expected to be implemented in the first quarter, but a comprehensive interest rate cut still needs to wait," analyzed a research report from Galaxy Securities. The report suggests that with fiscal policy taking the lead and monetary policy actively cooperating with fiscal policy, a 50 basis point RRR cut is likely to be implemented. A comprehensive interest rate cut still needs to wait for the right opportunity; it is expected that there will be one to two interest rate cuts throughout the year, totaling a reduction of 10 to 20 basis points in the policy rate, thereby guiding the LPR (Loan Prime Rate) downward, which will then be transmitted to further reduce loan and deposit rates.On January 24th, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer said on the 23rd that US President Donald Trumps remarks about NATO allies not being on the front lines in the Afghan war were "insulting and shocking," and that Trump should apologize. In an interview in Davos, Switzerland, Trump claimed that the US "never needed" NATO, and that NATO allies "would say they sent troops to Afghanistan…they did, but in a slightly back position, a bit off the front lines." Starmer said Trumps remarks deeply hurt the families of British casualties, adding, "If I had said those things, I would certainly apologize." Earlier that day, the British Prime Ministers office issued a statement saying that British troops have been fighting alongside US troops, and that Trump "wrongly" downplayed the role of NATO forces, including British troops, in the Afghan war.

NZD/USD falls rapidly from 0.6260 when the RBNZ announces a decline in inflation projections to 3.07 percent

Daniel Rogers

Aug 08, 2022 12:00

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The NZD/USD pair has encountered selling pressure while attempting to surpass the immediate resistance level of 0.6260. The asset has seen bids after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) announced inflation estimates at 3.07 percent, down from 3.29 percent previously. It could be an indication of waning price pressure, but additional evidence is still needed to support the argument.

 

Price pressures in the New Zealand economy are increasing and have not yet shown signs of weariness. A June report indicates that an inflation rate of 7.3% is adequate to generate headwinds for families. The RBNZ is consistently escalating its policy tightening measures to combat the same. RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr has already increased the Official Cash Rate by 2.50 percentage points.

 

On the front of the US dollar, the US dollar index (DXY) has returned all intraday gains and is currently trading near the day's open at 106.60. While attempting to break over the crucial resistance level of 106.80, the DXY has encountered selling pressure. This week, investors' attention is centered on Wednesday's release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI).

 

The annual inflation rate is projected to continue at 8.7 percent, down from 9.1 percent in the previous report. Oil prices have been on a downward trend in July, which may be the determining factor for a significant decline in the price increase index. While the US CPI excluding volatile food and oil prices may increase from 5.9 percent to 6.1 percent, the previous reading was 5.9 percent.