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Ceasefire Negotiations 1. Iran – ① Iranian Foreign Ministry: No final conclusion has been reached on the Iran-US agreement. All matters concerning the agreement are speculation. ② Iranian media: There is a high probability that Iran will approve the text. ③ Iranian Armed Forces: If the US attacks again, it will suffer a more violent response. 2. United States – ① Trump: The agreement is expected to be signed this weekend. The Supreme Leader has agreed to reach an agreement, and all parties in Iran have approved the US-Iran agreement; he refused to set a deadline for the agreement; once the agreement is signed, the US will lift the blockade. ② US media: The three major differences have been narrowed under Qatars mediation. 3. Israel – ① Israel: Trump promised that Iran would limit missile production and stop regional support. ② Israel was surprised by Trumps post. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu learned of this during a cabinet meeting. 4. Others – ① Sources say that dialogue on Lebanon and regional security will continue after the US-Iran agreement is reached. ② Pakistan, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Turkey gathered to assess mediation efforts regarding the US-Iran situation. Strait of Hormuz 1. Iran – ① Iranian Foreign Ministry: The strait remains closed. 2. The United States—① U.S. Central Command: Since imposing the blockade on April 13, it has crippled 9 ships and forced another 135 to change course. ② Trump: The strait may open on Saturday or next Monday. ③ U.S. military: The Strait of Hormuz remains open to traffic. 3. Others—① Indian Ministry of Shipping: 13 Indian-flagged ships ran aground in the Strait of Hormuz; Indian Ministry of External Affairs: All three ships attacked were carried out by the U.S. Navy. Other situations: 1. Kuwait Civil Aviation Authority announced that flights suspended due to the Iranian attack have resumed. 2. According to Axios: The Israeli government expects to allocate more than $350 million over several years to relocate 61 newly approved settlements. 3. Bessant: Any damage to Gulf allies will be paid for with Iranian funds, and Iran will lose its ongoing zero-sum game. If necessary, the U.S. will withdraw funds from Iranian accounts.On June 12, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Baghae stated on the 11th that all matters concerning the US-Iran agreement were speculation. To date, Iran has not reached a final conclusion on the agreement. Baghae also stated that the situation in the Strait of Hormuz has become more insecure due to US actions. Baghae further stated that Qatar and Pakistan are actively playing a mediating role, but US actions have affected the diplomatic process. He said that Iran was aware of the progress of the negotiations from the beginning, and most of the text of the agreement was completed, but the US has continuously changed its position. Iran has proven that it will never compromise on issues that it considers "red lines."June 12 - According to a report by Iranian state television on the 11th, a spokesperson for the Iranian Foreign Ministry stated that Iran has not yet reached a final conclusion on the Iran-US agreement, and all reports from the outside world regarding the agreement are speculation, with no details yet finalized.Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: Once we reach a conclusion that the text of the memorandum of understanding can safeguard the interests of the Iranian people, we will release it.Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman: If Iran intended to abandon its principled position under pressure and threats, we would have done so a year ago.

NZD/USD falls rapidly from 0.6260 when the RBNZ announces a decline in inflation projections to 3.07 percent

Daniel Rogers

Aug 08, 2022 12:00

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The NZD/USD pair has encountered selling pressure while attempting to surpass the immediate resistance level of 0.6260. The asset has seen bids after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) announced inflation estimates at 3.07 percent, down from 3.29 percent previously. It could be an indication of waning price pressure, but additional evidence is still needed to support the argument.

 

Price pressures in the New Zealand economy are increasing and have not yet shown signs of weariness. A June report indicates that an inflation rate of 7.3% is adequate to generate headwinds for families. The RBNZ is consistently escalating its policy tightening measures to combat the same. RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr has already increased the Official Cash Rate by 2.50 percentage points.

 

On the front of the US dollar, the US dollar index (DXY) has returned all intraday gains and is currently trading near the day's open at 106.60. While attempting to break over the crucial resistance level of 106.80, the DXY has encountered selling pressure. This week, investors' attention is centered on Wednesday's release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI).

 

The annual inflation rate is projected to continue at 8.7 percent, down from 9.1 percent in the previous report. Oil prices have been on a downward trend in July, which may be the determining factor for a significant decline in the price increase index. While the US CPI excluding volatile food and oil prices may increase from 5.9 percent to 6.1 percent, the previous reading was 5.9 percent.