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On November 20th, a CLSA research report indicated that Kingsoft Corporation (03888.HK) reported lower-than-expected revenue in the third quarter, dragged down by its gaming business. Gaming revenue declined by 47% year-on-year, 8% lower than the reports forecast, due to pressure from the exceptionally high base of major titles last year. Office software revenue growth accelerated, rising 26% year-on-year, driven by progress in government IT application innovation and WPS 365. Individual paying user growth remained solid, and average revenue per user stabilized. The report believes the gaming business will continue to face pressure in the coming quarters, but the office software business may maintain strong momentum. The report lowered its 2025 and 2026 revenue forecasts by 3% and 4% respectively, and its net profit forecasts by 15% and 18% respectively. The target price was lowered from HK$37.8 to HK$35.5, while maintaining an "Outperform" rating.On November 20th, Nomura reported that Pinduoduos (PDD.O) overseas business may have recovered. Following the US governments termination of small-amount exemptions in May, Pinduoduos Temu platform changed its strategy and increased its recruitment efforts for US sellers. Temu is also rapidly expanding in markets outside the US. These moves have helped Temus business recover. Nomura maintains a neutral rating on Pinduoduo ADR with a target price of $136.On November 20th, Bernstein analysts stated in a report that the current upward cycle in memory chips is expected to squeeze camera budgets for low-end Android smartphones next year, but will have minimal impact on flagship Android models and Apples supply chain. After two consecutive years of growth, the Android phone market may level off next year. Smartphone manufacturers need to find a balance between product specifications, sales volume, and their own and their suppliers profitability. For low-end models, manufacturers are renegotiating prices, and camera specification upgrades may be delayed. However, a trend of industry-wide configuration reductions similar to that of 2022 is not expected.November 20th, Futures.com analysts latest view: Spot gold prices rose during the session, benefiting from the continuation of the main bullish trend, and its movement is along the short-term support secondary trendline, indicating that spot gold is attempting to break through the negative pressure from the EMA50 again. Previously, the EMA50 had hindered the price recovery.November 20th, Futures.com analysts latest view: WTI crude oil futures prices rose slightly, attempting to recover some of the previous losses, mainly benefiting from its attempt to correct the clearly oversold state on the Relative Strength Index (RSI). In particular, positive overlapping signals supporting price movements appeared in the short term, providing support for prices. This intraday rebound indicates that prices are in a brief respite after the previous wave of declines.

The USD/JPY advances somewhat above 134.00 as negative sentiment and Fed worries combine with rising interest rates

Daniel Rogers

Feb 20, 2023 11:18

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USD/JPY establishes an intraday high towards the middle of 134.00 as it gains bids to reverse the previous day's decline from a multi-day high on Monday morning. In doing so, the Yen pair reflects the broad US Dollar gain amid fairly gloomy sentiment and the US and Canadian vacations.

 

Nonetheless, geopolitical concerns about China, North Korea, and Russia have recently weighed on market sentiment, despite the short calendar and absence of US/Canadian traders restraining momentum.

 

North Korea fired two ballistic missiles toward Japan over the weekend, reviving concerns that the hermit kingdom is up to something that could endanger the global economy. This is partly owing to the fact that both rockets were classified as tactical nuclear assault weapons.

 

In a similar vein, the most recent meeting between US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and China's top diplomat Wang Yi did not appear to have repaired US-China relations. Possible cause is a comment by a Chinese envoy that the United States must change course and restore the damage caused to Sino-American ties by the indiscriminate use of force. Ambassador Linda Thomas-Greenfield, US representative to the United Nations, declared on Sunday that China would cross a "red line" if it opted to provide lethal military aid to Russia for its invasion of Ukraine.

 

Meanwhile, better-than-expected readings of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Retail Sales followed earlier positive readings of employment and output statistics and raised US Treasury bond yields and the US Dollar. The hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) views and the aforementioned risk-negative factors may be comparable.

 

Fed Governor Michelle Bowman recently observed, as reported by Reuters, "We are observing an abundance of contradictory economic data." As reported by Reuters, Thomas Barkin, president of the Richmond Federal Reserve, claimed that they are detecting some inflationary progress due to the normalization of demand.

 

It should be underlined that the mixed leaning for the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) new monetary policy board and chatters of more inflation in Japan likely to place a floor under the Yen.

 

Among these trades, the S&P 500 Futures print small losses even as Wall Street closed neutral. It’s worth noting that the US 10-year Treasury bond yields jumped to the highest levels since early November in the last week and helped the DXY to register a three-week advance.

 

For forward, Japan’s National Core Inflation figures will join the second reading of the US fourth quarter (Q4) Gross Domestic Product to steer immediate USD/JPY fluctuations. Yet, the most attention will be paid to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes.