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Israeli Defense Minister Katz warned the Lebanese government that it must disarm Hezbollah or it would "pay an extremely heavy price."On March 7, Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the CPC Central Committee, President of the Peoples Republic of China, and Chairman of the Central Military Commission, emphasized at a plenary meeting of the delegation of the Peoples Liberation Army and the Armed Police Force to the Fourth Session of the 14th National Peoples Congress that in order to achieve the centenary goal of the Peoples Liberation Army and advance the modernization of national defense and the armed forces on schedule during the 15th Five-Year Plan period, it is essential to uphold, utilize, and develop the important magic weapon of building the military politically, unswervingly uphold and strengthen the Partys absolute leadership over the military, give full play to the unique advantages of building the military politically, and concentrate efforts to promote the steady and long-term modernization of national defense and the armed forces.On March 7, Pan Gongsheng, Governor of the Peoples Bank of China, responded to a question about whether a liquidity support mechanism for non-bank institutions would be introduced at the Zhejiang delegations residence, stating that it was "under study."According to the Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting (IRIB): Iran launched a new wave of missiles at US and Israeli targets.On March 7, Iraqi Border Force Commander Mohammed Sakhr issued a statement saying that Iraqs borders with all its neighbors are "secure and reliable, under strict security control," and he denied any infiltration or border crossing activities currently taking place in the countrys border regions. Sakhr reiterated that reports of Iraqi personnel infiltrating the Iranian border are untrue. The Iraqi border force commander maintains continuous coordination and communication with Iranian counterparts.

Positive China PMI and IMF growth forecasts pressure mid-0.7000s bears

Daniel Rogers

Jan 31, 2023 16:55

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Due to risk-positive data from China and the International Monetary Fund, AUD/USD challenges the two-day downtrend while gaining bids off the intraday low (IMF). Despite this, purchasers appear to be having difficulty regaining control ahead of this week's high-level central bank summit. Despite this, the AUD/USD pair rose to 0.7055 in the early morning hours of Tuesday, following a recent comeback from the intraday low of 0.7038.

 

Recently, the IMF increased its global growth forecasts and predicted that the growth slowdown in developing markets bottomed out in 2022. The global lender also noted a slight improvement in the global GDP forecast for 2023, citing "particularly resilient" demand in the United States and Europe, a reduction in energy prices, and the reopening of China's economy after Beijing abandoned its stringent COVID-19 laws.

 

Prior to that, China's NBS Manufacturing PMI rose to 50.1, compared to 49.7 market expectations and 47.0 previously, while China's Non-Manufacturing PMI rose to 54.4, compared to 51.0 market forecasts and 41.6 previously.

 

The recent risk-on profile may have been bolstered by the declaration that the administration of US President Joe Biden is prepared to withdraw the Covid-led emergencies beginning on May 11. Monday, Reuters reported that China's Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) claimed, "China's current wave of COVID-19 infections is nearing a conclusion, and there was no significant increase in cases during the Lunar New Year holiday."

 

Earlier in the day, the AUD/USD exchange rate was impacted by dismal Australian Retail Sales for December and a cautious stance ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) monetary policy meeting. The fact that Australian Retail Sales declined 3.9% in December, as opposed to the projected -0.3% decline and the previous figure of 1.9%, is noteworthy.

 

S&P 500 Futures exhibit small increases despite Wall Street's lackluster performance, while 10-year Treasury yields decline to 3.54% after three consecutive days of gains.

 

The US Employment Cost Index (ECI) for the fourth quarter (Q4) and the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence index for January will be widely monitored for direction in the near future. According to the market consensus, the US Consumer Mood Index may rise, but a forecast lower print of the US ECI, to 1.1% from 1.2%, might bolster the Fed's dovish stance and bring back AUD/USD buyers.


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