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On June 29, Tuhu (09690.HK) announced on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange that it has confidentially submitted a draft F-1 registration statement to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission regarding the proposed initial public offering and listing of American Depositary Shares representing the companys Class A ordinary shares in the United States, and has filed with the relevant Chinese regulatory authorities in accordance with applicable Chinese laws and regulations regarding the proposed overseas offering and listing.1. Musk announced that Grok 4.5 is in internal testing and its performance may surpass Anthropics Opus. 2. US media: Zhipu GLM-5.2 is comparable to Mythos in vulnerability finding. 3. South Korean media: Samsung and SK Group are expected to announce an investment plan of up to 2,000 trillion won. 4. Momenta plans to issue 19.93 million shares in its Hong Kong listing, with an issue price of HK$295.6 per share. 5. British media: The UK is considering gradually replacing traditional destroyers to accelerate its transformation to unmanned warfare. June 29th - According to a survey released by Invesco, concerns about the US dollar are "widespread and deepening," with 61% of surveyed central banks stating that US debt levels negatively impact the dollars long-term status as a reserve asset, compared to 20% in 2024. While the Iran war has boosted the dollar by 3% this year, analysts say that US policy uncertainty and high debt levels suggest the dollar may weaken in the long term. Although any shift towards reducing dollar investments is likely to be gradual due to the lack of credible alternatives, the Invesco survey shows that 29% of respondents believe the dollars reserve currency status will weaken within five years, up from 12% in 2022. Invesco also noted that several institutions have reported reassessing their reliance on US custodians, counterparties, and clearing infrastructure due to geopolitical tensions. Meanwhile, one-third of respondents indicated they intend to increase their gold holdings in response to the trend of investment diversification.Conflict Status: 1. Zelensky: Ukraine attacked Russian oil refineries in the Krasnodar and Yaroslavl regions. 2. Russian Ministry of Defense: We shot down 590 Ukrainian drones in the past 24 hours. 3. Russia claims Ukrainian forces attacked the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant multiple times in the past 24 hours. 4. Putin: Russia recommends that both Russia and Ukraine cease striking targets deep within each others territory. 5. Zelensky: Ukrainian Flamingo missiles attacked a weapons manufacturing plant in the Volgograd region of Russia. 6. Gazprom, the State Gas Corporation of Ukraine, claims that Russia attacked its production facilities in the Poltava and Kharkiv regions, causing damage. 7. Russian Ministry of Defense: In the past day, Russian forces continued to strike Ukrainian forces in the directions of Sumy, Kharkiv, Donetsk, Dnipropetrovsk, and Zaporizhia. 8. General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces: Ukrainian forces continued long-range strikes against Russian military and energy infrastructure in the early hours of the day, targeting facilities including two oil refineries, a railway bridge, and an ammunition depot. Other developments: 1. Putin: Russia will firmly defend its fundamental interests. 2. Putin acknowledged a fuel shortage in Russia, and a complete ban on diesel exports is one of the options currently under discussion.Japans seasonally adjusted retail sales rose 1.9% month-on-month in May, compared with expectations of a -0.60% decline and a revised 2.10% increase in the previous month (originally 1.30%).

Analysis of the NZD/USD Price indicates a continuation of gains towards 0.65

Daniel Rogers

Jan 18, 2023 15:02

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The NZD/USD pair is oscillating within a narrow range near 0.6430 in the early Asian session. Despite the market's risk aversion, the New Zealand dollar has traded sideways after reclaiming the monthly high of 0.6437. In reaction to Tom Barkin's hawkish comments about the Richmond Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank, S&P500 futures are exhibiting greater losses, indicating investors' diminishing appetite for risk.

 

Following a V-shaped recovery, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has turned sideways at 102,000 and is expected to extend gains on a risk aversion theme. In addition, higher 10-year US Treasury yields would certainly provide safe-haven investments a new lease of life.

 

After one hour of consolidation, the NZD/USD pair has broken out of the Bullish Pennant chart pattern, indicating that the rising trend will continue. Participants typically initiate long positions during the consolidation period of a chart pattern, preferring to enter an auction once a bullish bias has been established.

 

Adding to the upward filters, the 20-period and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) have resumed their upward trend at 0.6415 and 0.6401, respectively.

 

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (14) continues to struggle to enter the positive zone between 60.00 and 80.00. The occurrence of a similar event will produce bullish momentum.

 

For greater gains, the Kiwi asset must beat Tuesday's high of 0.6439, which will rocket it to December 15's high of 0.6470, then December 13's high of 0.6514.

 

Alternately, a breach below Monday's low of 0.6361 will weaken the New Zealand Dollar and push the Kiwi asset towards January 12's low of 0.6304. A breach below this level will expose the asset to more losses approaching the low of 0.6263 on December 28.

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