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December 1 – U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said that providing Kyiv with long-term security guarantees would be the ideal outcome of the Ukraine-Ukraine mediation negotiations. Speaking after talks with the Ukrainian delegation in Florida, Rubio said, “We not only want an end to the war, but also permanent security for Ukraine.” He noted that the negotiations “concern not only with the conditions for ending the fighting, but also with the conditions for Ukraine’s long-term prosperity.”On December 1, Venezuelan Vice President Rodriguez stated on his social media that Venezuela had submitted an official letter signed by President Maduro to the Secretary-General of OPEC and all OPEC and OPEC+ members, accusing the United States of attempting to control Venezuelas largest oil reserves in the world through military intervention.December 1st - A new round of talks between US and Ukrainian delegations regarding the Russia-Ukraine "peace plan" has concluded. US Secretary of State Rubio stated after the talks that the meeting with the Ukrainians was "productive." "We still have more work to do," he said. "We maintain contact with the Russian side at varying levels."On November 30th, OPEC+ stated in a press release that OPEC+ countries agreed at their meeting on Sunday to maintain the group-wide oil production quotas for 2026 and to establish a mechanism to assess the maximum oil production capacity of member countries. The OPEC+ meeting, which accounts for half of the worlds oil production, comes as the United States is working to broker a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine, and an easing of US sanctions against Russia could increase oil supplies. According to another statement, the eight OPEC+ countries that previously announced additional voluntary production adjustments in April and November 2023—Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, the UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman—held an online meeting today to assess the global market situation and outlook. These eight countries reaffirmed their decision of November 2, 2025, to suspend production increases in January, February, and March 2026 due to seasonal factors.OPEC+ representative: OPEC+ has confirmed its plan to suspend production increases in the first quarter of next year.

Analysis of the NZD/USD Price indicates a continuation of gains towards 0.65

Daniel Rogers

Jan 18, 2023 15:02

 NZD:USD.png

 

The NZD/USD pair is oscillating within a narrow range near 0.6430 in the early Asian session. Despite the market's risk aversion, the New Zealand dollar has traded sideways after reclaiming the monthly high of 0.6437. In reaction to Tom Barkin's hawkish comments about the Richmond Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank, S&P500 futures are exhibiting greater losses, indicating investors' diminishing appetite for risk.

 

Following a V-shaped recovery, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has turned sideways at 102,000 and is expected to extend gains on a risk aversion theme. In addition, higher 10-year US Treasury yields would certainly provide safe-haven investments a new lease of life.

 

After one hour of consolidation, the NZD/USD pair has broken out of the Bullish Pennant chart pattern, indicating that the rising trend will continue. Participants typically initiate long positions during the consolidation period of a chart pattern, preferring to enter an auction once a bullish bias has been established.

 

Adding to the upward filters, the 20-period and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) have resumed their upward trend at 0.6415 and 0.6401, respectively.

 

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (14) continues to struggle to enter the positive zone between 60.00 and 80.00. The occurrence of a similar event will produce bullish momentum.

 

For greater gains, the Kiwi asset must beat Tuesday's high of 0.6439, which will rocket it to December 15's high of 0.6470, then December 13's high of 0.6514.

 

Alternately, a breach below Monday's low of 0.6361 will weaken the New Zealand Dollar and push the Kiwi asset towards January 12's low of 0.6304. A breach below this level will expose the asset to more losses approaching the low of 0.6263 on December 28.