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February 13th - Citigroup has increased CEO Sergey Fraziers 2025 compensation to $42 million, placing her among the highest-paid bank leaders in the United States. According to a filing on Thursday, this 22% increase follows a strong 66% rise in Citigroups stock price over the past year—a rise exceeding that of any other major Wall Street bank. This raise brings Fraziers total annual compensation package to just $1 million less than that of JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon. The compensation package includes a $1.5 million base salary, $6.1 million in cash awards, and the remaining stock awards. In addition, Frazier received a retention bonus worth $25 million at the time, which will vest fully after five years, when she was appointed chair of the banks board in October 2025. Citigroup stated in the filing that the compensation package "reflects her work in significantly enhancing Citigroups performance during 2025, her strategic vision and execution, and her bold decisions for the companys future growth."February 13 – Australian Treasurer Charles Chalmers has appointed Bruce Preston to the Reserve Bank of Australias (RBA) interest rate setting committee, replacing Alison Watkins, whose term is expiring. Preston, currently a professor of economics at the University of New South Wales, previously served as a senior advisor to the RBA and the Treasury. Chalmers stated in a statement on Friday that Prestons five-year term will begin on March 1. This personnel change is closely watched amid heightened uncertainty about the current economic outlook. The appointment comes at a crucial time for the RBA, which has become the first major central bank globally to raise interest rates this year due to persistently strong inflation. This week, Governor Bullock and his deputy Hauser have both expressed a hawkish stance on inflation on various occasions, stating that further policy tightening may be necessary if price pressures prove to be deeply entrenched. For global investors, the addition of a senior academic with experience in central banks and the Treasury signals continuity in technocratic decision-making as Australia navigates external risks from weak productivity, a tight labor market, and broader geopolitical uncertainty.Conflict Situation: 1. Russia—① Russian Ministry of Defense: Russian forces launched a cluster attack on energy facilities used by the Ukrainian armed forces. Between 8:00 AM and 12:00 PM Moscow time, air defense systems intercepted and destroyed 13 Ukrainian-type unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs). ② Two sources stated that the Volgograd oil refinery in Russia has ceased oil processing following a drone attack on Wednesday. ③ The governor of Belgorod, Russia, stated that the enemy attack resulted in power outages for over 220,000 people. 2. Ukraine—① The Ukrainian Air Force warned that Russia might launch medium-range ballistic missiles. The mayor of Kyiv stated that 2,600 more buildings in the city lost heating following the Russian attack. ② The Ukrainian military: Attacked the Lukoil oil refinery in the Komi region of Russia, as well as a factory in the Tambov region that produces high-tech aviation and missile equipment. ③ Ukrainian air defense forces: Russian forces launched intensive nighttime strikes on Thursday against major Ukrainian cities including Kyiv, Kharkiv, Odessa, and Dnipropetrov, damaging some residential buildings; most of the 24 ballistic missiles and 219 drones that attacked were intercepted. ④ Zelensky: Russia launched another large-scale attack on Ukraines energy sector. Last night, 24 ballistic missiles, 1 cruise missile, and more than 200 drones attacked, a significant number of which were successfully shot down. Other developments: 1. Kremlin: The next round of Russia-Ukraine peace talks is expected to be held soon. 2. British Defense Secretary Healy: Has pledged $35 billion in military aid to Ukraine. 3. Ukrainian Defense Minister calls on allies to urgently deploy Patriot PAC-3 missiles from its warehouses for air defense. 4. Secretary of the Ukrainian Security and Defense Council stated that Ukrainian military product manufacturers have obtained the first batch of wartime export licenses. 5. Ukrainian Foreign Ministry: Due to the attacks launched by Russia, the transport of Russian oil to Europe via the "Friendship" pipeline in Ukraine has been suspended since January 27. 6. An internal Russian memo shows that Russia has put forward seven suggestions for economic cooperation with the US to win Trumps support, including returning to the dollar system and joint plans in the energy, mineral, and fossil fuel sectors.Foreign central banks held $14.12 billion in U.S. Treasury securities in the week ending February 13, compared with a previous weeks figure of -$4.002 billion.February 13th - Electric vehicle manufacturer Rivian warned that its losses this year may be higher than expected as it works to control costs during the critical period leading up to the launch of its next-generation SUV. In releasing its fourth-quarter earnings report, Rivian projected an adjusted EBITDA loss of $1.8 billion to $2.1 billion for 2026. While the final figure in this range represents an improvement over last years loss, it exceeded analysts previous expectations of a loss of approximately $1.8 billion. This forecast indicates that Rivians path to profitability remains bumpy, facing weak demand for electric vehicles, high raw material costs, and the loss of regulatory credit revenue following the Republican-led repeal of electric vehicle-friendly policies. Rivian also stated that its highly anticipated R2 mid-size electric SUV will go on sale as planned in the second quarter. This model is crucial for Rivian to achieve higher production volumes and improved profitability, as it will be launched at a lower price.

Analysis of the NZD/USD Price indicates a continuation of gains towards 0.65

Daniel Rogers

Jan 18, 2023 15:02

 NZD:USD.png

 

The NZD/USD pair is oscillating within a narrow range near 0.6430 in the early Asian session. Despite the market's risk aversion, the New Zealand dollar has traded sideways after reclaiming the monthly high of 0.6437. In reaction to Tom Barkin's hawkish comments about the Richmond Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank, S&P500 futures are exhibiting greater losses, indicating investors' diminishing appetite for risk.

 

Following a V-shaped recovery, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has turned sideways at 102,000 and is expected to extend gains on a risk aversion theme. In addition, higher 10-year US Treasury yields would certainly provide safe-haven investments a new lease of life.

 

After one hour of consolidation, the NZD/USD pair has broken out of the Bullish Pennant chart pattern, indicating that the rising trend will continue. Participants typically initiate long positions during the consolidation period of a chart pattern, preferring to enter an auction once a bullish bias has been established.

 

Adding to the upward filters, the 20-period and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) have resumed their upward trend at 0.6415 and 0.6401, respectively.

 

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (14) continues to struggle to enter the positive zone between 60.00 and 80.00. The occurrence of a similar event will produce bullish momentum.

 

For greater gains, the Kiwi asset must beat Tuesday's high of 0.6439, which will rocket it to December 15's high of 0.6470, then December 13's high of 0.6514.

 

Alternately, a breach below Monday's low of 0.6361 will weaken the New Zealand Dollar and push the Kiwi asset towards January 12's low of 0.6304. A breach below this level will expose the asset to more losses approaching the low of 0.6263 on December 28.