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July 7 – The World Bank released its latest China Economic Brief in Beijing on July 7. The report states that despite facing strong supply and weak demand, as well as global energy supply shocks, Chinas economic growth has remained generally resilient. The report projects Chinas economy to grow by 4.4% in 2026, unchanged from the previous brief released in December last year.July 7 – Japanese Economy, Trade and Industry Minister Minoru Jonouchi stated that media reports claiming the government of Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi was attempting to lower interest rates were completely inaccurate. At a regular press conference in Tokyo on Tuesday, Jonouchi said, “Reports that the government is encouraging low interest rates as part of its fiscal expansion policy are baseless. If our intentions have not been accurately conveyed, we will work harder to improve understanding.” Jonouchi’s remarks come as financial markets closely watch how Takaichi will implement her economic strategy through large-scale investment without exacerbating the already heavy debt burden. Last month, Jonouchi represented the Japanese government at a Bank of Japan board meeting, where policymakers raised the benchmark interest rate to 1%, the highest level in 31 years.July 7th - It was learned today that the State Administration for Market Regulation has decided to conduct a centralized review of national metrological technical specifications from July to September. Through periodic reviews and dynamic monitoring, the review aims to promote the upgrading and optimization of metrological technical specifications. The centralized review covers currently effective national metrological technical specifications, focusing on issues such as outdated specifications, lagging content, and insufficient adaptability. It will conduct a thorough review from four dimensions: legality and compliance, scientific validity, applicability, and coordination. The review will benchmark against domestic regulations and standards and advanced international metrological technologies to comprehensively identify shortcomings and weaknesses in the system. Participating units are encouraged to submit optimization suggestions, and exemplary national metrological technical specifications will be selected to guide improvements in the quality and supply capacity of metrological technical specifications.Sources indicate that USD/KRW foreign exchange trading related to the SK Hynix ADR listing is expected to take place around July 15.July 7th - Abhijit Suria, senior Asia-Pacific economist at Capital Economics, stated that the slowdown in Japanese wage growth in May is unlikely to prevent the Bank of Japan from further interest rate hikes. He pointed out that preliminary data released earlier showed that the growth rate of Japanese labor cash income slowed to 3.2% in May from 3.6% in April. Suria said, "Despite the recent slowdown, various indicators of basic wage growth remain well above the 2025 average and are still high relative to historical levels." He added, "We believe that todays data is unlikely to change the Bank of Japans fundamental assessment that the labor market remains tight." Capital Economics maintains its view that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates to 2% by the end of 2027.

Analysis of the NZD/USD Price indicates a continuation of gains towards 0.65

Daniel Rogers

Jan 18, 2023 15:02

 NZD:USD.png

 

The NZD/USD pair is oscillating within a narrow range near 0.6430 in the early Asian session. Despite the market's risk aversion, the New Zealand dollar has traded sideways after reclaiming the monthly high of 0.6437. In reaction to Tom Barkin's hawkish comments about the Richmond Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank, S&P500 futures are exhibiting greater losses, indicating investors' diminishing appetite for risk.

 

Following a V-shaped recovery, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has turned sideways at 102,000 and is expected to extend gains on a risk aversion theme. In addition, higher 10-year US Treasury yields would certainly provide safe-haven investments a new lease of life.

 

After one hour of consolidation, the NZD/USD pair has broken out of the Bullish Pennant chart pattern, indicating that the rising trend will continue. Participants typically initiate long positions during the consolidation period of a chart pattern, preferring to enter an auction once a bullish bias has been established.

 

Adding to the upward filters, the 20-period and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) have resumed their upward trend at 0.6415 and 0.6401, respectively.

 

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (14) continues to struggle to enter the positive zone between 60.00 and 80.00. The occurrence of a similar event will produce bullish momentum.

 

For greater gains, the Kiwi asset must beat Tuesday's high of 0.6439, which will rocket it to December 15's high of 0.6470, then December 13's high of 0.6514.

 

Alternately, a breach below Monday's low of 0.6361 will weaken the New Zealand Dollar and push the Kiwi asset towards January 12's low of 0.6304. A breach below this level will expose the asset to more losses approaching the low of 0.6263 on December 28.

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