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On August 2, Russias First Deputy Permanent Representative to the United Nations, Konstantin Polyansky, stated at a Security Council meeting that UN staff were unwilling to take seriously the Ukrainian militarys attack on Russian civilian facilities, which undermined the UNs authority. He said: "In this case, the relevant staff of the UN Secretariat acted with extreme hypocrisy, feigning ignorance and evading responsibility by claiming they could not verify the authenticity of the information about Ukrainian crimes. All of this clearly undermined the authority of our global organization."On August 2nd, a full year since the Bank of England began its interest rate-cutting cycle, despite four consecutive rate cuts and the likelihood of further cuts, British households continue to face the highest borrowing costs in a generation. Analysis of Bank of England savings and mortgage data shows that Britons are spending £11 billion (US$14.5 billion) less annually than in July of last year. This loss stems primarily from two factors: First, the rate cuts have hit savers hard, significantly reducing the returns on their savings. Second, many homeowners have yet to benefit from the rate cuts, as they are still waiting for mortgages locked in during periods of high interest rates to expire. Edward Allenby, an economist at Oxford Economics, said: "Against the backdrop of slowing real wage growth and tighter fiscal policy, the lagged impact of past rate hikes on mortgage holders will continue to dampen consumption. The Bank of Englands rate-cutting cycle is unlikely to provide a significant boost to business investment and consumer spending over the next few years."DeepBlue Auto: Global deliveries of 27,169 vehicles in July, a year-on-year increase of 62%.On August 2, CNN reported that the United States plans to conduct the first large-scale test of its Golden Dome missile defense system before the 2028 presidential election, allowing the current administration to promote it as a political achievement during the campaign. The report indicated that the test is tentatively scheduled for the fourth quarter of 2028. An unnamed US Department of Defense official stated that this timeline indicates that Republicans want to have a demonstration to show during the November election. He also noted that completing the systems test preparations within such a tight timeframe is an "extremely challenging task," especially given the high technical complexity of deploying a new missile interceptor system. This test may only be the first phase of the Golden Dome project, and full deployment will take much longer.YouGov poll: Most Americans believe tariffs hurt American consumers; only 22% blame foreign manufacturers.

Gold rallies in the aftermath of a dismal US GDP yield slump as WTI fails in its attempt to push beyond $100 and reverses lower

Daniel Rogers

Jul 29, 2022 10:47

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In an effort to follow the rise in global equity markets, front-month WTI futures prices tried to push back above $100 per barrel on Thursday. However, they have since reversed down into the $96.00s, where they are currently trading in the negative for the day. After statistics revealed that the US economy unexpectedly declined for a second consecutive quarter in Q2, proving the country is in a technical recession, traders of the American benchmark for sweet light crude oil appeared to turn their focus back to a deteriorating demand picture.

 

Copper prices were unable to maintain their previous session highs over $3.50, but they did continue to move favorably upward in the later portion of the US trading day around the $3.48 region as prices rose in international equities markets. On Thursday, traders speculated that new indications of US economic weakness would persuade the Fed to proceed cautiously with rate rises in the upcoming quarters, lowering the medium-term negative risk of higher interest rates. Stocks rose and bond yields decreased in the US and Europe.

 

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Currently trading at close to three-week highs, copper is up more than 4.5 percent for the week on expectations of further stimulus in China to help infrastructure projects and the country's struggling real estate market. According to a Thursday Financial Times article, China would lend $148.2 billion to struggling real estate developers. According to rumors from earlier in the week, China would establish a more than $44 billion infrastructure fund. The world's top user of copper is China.

 

The unfavorable Q2 US GDP growth data on Thursday provided further gasoline for the recent rally in US bond markets, which has pushed rates higher. As a result, rate-sensitive precious metals markets have seen further gains. Spot gold prices increased by another 1.0 percent on Thursday, pushing their advances since their $1,680 lows last week to over 4.0 percent.

 

Following the latest dovish Fed meeting and Thursday's weak statistics, US 10-year TIPS rates (the US 10-year real yield) are currently down roughly 50 bps from earlier monthly highs. The so-called opportunity cost of storing non-yielding precious metals is decreased by lower actual returns. On the theory that a less hawkish Fed would lead to a better economy in the long run, break-even inflation forecasts have also risen dramatically in recent days. This may be increasing demand for precious metals as an inflation hedge.