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The Ukrainian military says it attacked an oil refinery in Russia’s Saratov region last night.On March 21, He Lifeng, member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Vice Premier of the State Council, met with executives from renowned multinational corporations including HSBC, UBS, Louis Dreyfus, Siemens Healthineers, Schneider Electric, Rio Tinto, Prudential, Investor Services, Standard Chartered, Syzygium, and T.C. Pharmaceutical Industries at the Diaoyutai State Guesthouse. He Lifeng stated that Chinas economy is currently progressing steadily and towards new and better development. During the 15th Five-Year Plan period, China will unswervingly expand high-level opening-up and promote high-quality development, which will create broader market opportunities for multinational corporations. He welcomed multinational corporations to increase their investment in China and continuously deepen mutually beneficial cooperation.On March 21, a spokesperson for the Hatem Anbia Central Headquarters of the Iranian Armed Forces stated that the United States and Israel are now targeting private vessels and passenger transport in the Persian Gulf. The Iranian Armed Forces warned the US and Israel that if such actions occur again, Iran will take strong and reciprocal retaliatory action.On March 21, local time, the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued a statement saying that at 3:45 a.m. that day, Irans new air defense system struck down Israels third F-16 fighter jet in central Iran. It is claimed that in the first three weeks of the conflict, Iran successfully intercepted and destroyed more than 200 aircraft, including drones, cruise missiles, refueling aircraft, and top-tier fighter jets.On March 21st, HSBC stated that the Federal Reserve maintained its policy rate at 3.50%-3.75% at its March meeting, hinting at a "wait-and-see" approach. Persistent inflation and rising geopolitical risks have created uncertainty for the Fed. We maintain our previous view that the Fed will keep rates unchanged in 2026 and 2027. Inflation risks have increased, particularly due to soaring energy prices, while labor market risks have slightly decreased. Energy price volatility and geopolitical risks should continue to support safe-haven demand and a stronger dollar.

Gold price prediction: XAU/USD expects to reach $1,770 before the combined US ISM data

Alina Haynes

Aug 01, 2022 11:45

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The optimism shown last week in the Asian session for Gold Price (XAU/USD) is anticipated to continue as escalating recession worries in the US economy have fueled demand for the precious metal. The yellow metal moved sideways after setting a new three-week high at $1,768, but despite intense pricing pressures in the US economy, further gains are still justified.

 

The US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) for Friday came in at 6.8%, above estimates and the previous release of 6.7% and 6.3%, respectively. Well, a 50 basis point increase in the Federal Reserve's (Fed) favored inflation gauge shows no symptoms of a price pressures weariness. However, anxiety over the recession has suddenly increased.

 

Investors will be watching the US Institute of Supply Management (ISM) data release in today's session. The ISM Manufacturing PMI is probably going to drop from its previous reading of 53 to 52. A decline in the Manufacturing PMI suggests that the Fed's aggressive increase in interest rates has begun to show its effects, but inflation has not yet been fully contained, which is a major cause for concern. Although the economic data is now higher at 52 compared to the previous release of 49.2, the New Orders Index still warrants a respectable improvement. This demonstrates that despite skyrocketing prices, consumer spending is rising quickly.