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On September 18, Bloomberg reported on the 17th that a Spirit Airlines passenger plane had an "uncomfortably close encounter" with Air Force One, the plane carrying President Trump, on the 16th. The report said that Trumps plane was en route to London when it encountered the Spirit Airlines plane over New York City. The two planes were approximately 10 to 13 kilometers apart, about to exceed the safe distance limit, and their flight paths intersected. A recording of an air-to-ground conversation cited in the report showed that the air traffic controller urgently called out to the pilot of the budget airliner, asking him to adjust his course, but the pilot did not respond in time. The air traffic controller then reminded the pilot, "Pay attention to the 747 a few miles away. I believe you can recognize it." Because the pilot did not respond in time, the air traffic controller also scolded the pilot, "Be careful, stop playing with your iPad!"Futures data from September 18th showed a significant downward pressure on copper prices, likely driven by risk aversion ahead of the Federal Reserves interest rate meeting. With expectations of a rate cut materializing and the Feds overall neutral stance, copper prices retreated from their highs during the US trading session. The Fed cut rates as expected, but Powell, in a post-meeting statement, stated the move was a risk management decision, adding that he saw no need for a rapid rate adjustment. While global raw material tightening has eased, supply-side pressures have yet to materialize. Demand for end-consumption remains uncertain, along with the macroeconomic environment. In the short term, copper prices are looking for a breakout driver after hitting the upper limit of volatility, with the market fluctuating between "recession" and soft landing scenarios. The September Fed meeting was uneventful, and while a major upward macro driver has yet to materialize, the long-term supply-demand imbalance remains the primary concern. For now, high volatility is likely to persist until real conditions improve. Trading remains cautious regarding changes in demand and the overseas macroeconomic environment.On September 18th, Meta Platforms (META.O) announced the launch of a new generation of Ray-Ban smart glasses, with significantly longer battery life and 3K video recording capabilities. The technical name of this new pair of glasses is Ray-Ban Meta Gen 2, with a starting price of US$379. At the same time, Meta also launched its first glasses with a built-in display. The latest model is Meta Ray-Ban Display, with a starting price of US$799. The glasses have a built-in screen in the right lens, which can display text messages, video calls, turn-by-turn map navigation, and visual query results of Meta AI services. These glasses also introduce a new control system. Although users can still operate them by swiping along the frame like previous models, the main interface is controlled by a wristband worn on the hand that recognizes gestures. At the same time, Meta also announced the launch of Oakley Vanguard smart glasses, which are targeted at athletes.Meta Platforms (META.O) announced the establishment of Meta Horizon Studio.Meta Platforms (META.O): Ray-Ban Display smart glasses start at $799 and will be available starting September 30.

Forecast for the price of gold: XAU/USD bulls target $1,732-33 barrier, focusing on US data, Fed

Alina Haynes

Jul 26, 2022 11:58

 截屏2022-07-26 上午11.42.53.png

 

As bulls again approach the 100-SMA barrier during Tuesday's Asian session after failing to breach it the previous two days, gold price (XAU/USD) consolidates the week-start losses. However, as of the time of writing, the yellow metal shows modest increases of about $1,725.

 

The recent advances in bullion may be related to the weaker US currency, which is being accompanied by low Treasury rates and recession worries in the US. The US Dollar Index (DXY) therefore declines for the fourth day in a row, down 0.18 percent intraday at roughly 106.30 as of the time of publication. Reversing the previous day's rally to 2.81 percent, the US 10-year Treasury rates are now down 3.5 basis points to 2.78 percent. Additionally, the US S&P Global PMIs for July, released on Friday, and the Chicago Fed National Activity Index for June on Monday, both increased global economic concerns regarding the US. Recent downgrades in growth projections for the US, the Eurozone, and both failed to strengthen the US dollar.

 

Additionally, Bloomberg's study indicates that the lower USD and the metal's historical role as a safe haven support the XAU/USD comeback and are supported by worries about the Chinese recession that are teasing the global economic downturn.

 

In a similar vein, Walmart's reduction in profit projections and concerns about future consumer spending declines are further drivers that support the risk-off mindset during a slow day. A further strain on risk appetite is the downgrading of the US and European GDP predictions by the global rating juggernaut Moody's.

 

While these maneuvers are going on, the S&P 500 Futures retreat to 3,955, down 0.40 percent intraday, failing to follow Wall Street.

 

Nevertheless, a light schedule in Europe may limit the movements of the gold price. However, the important indicator for pair traders to keep an eye on is today's US CB Consumer Confidence for July, which was previous to 98.7. The US New Home Sales for June, the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index for July, and the May House Price Index data will all be crucial. The pre-Fed conversations and growth-related conversations will be especially important to monitor for clear instructions.

 

From the 50-SMA, gold continues to rise until it reaches the 100-SMA barrier at $1,732-33. However, slow MACD suggests that the metal may still be ground between the important 100-SMA and the 50-SMA, which are close to $1,732-33 and $1,712 in that order.

 

It's important to keep in mind that the swing high from July 2008 and a downward-sloping resistance line from the beginning of June, which are around $1,752 and $1,766 in that order, might potentially provide obstacles for XAU/USD buyers over $1,733.

 

On the other hand, eight-day horizontal support at $1,698-97 may stop the metal's decline from moving past the 50-SMA. The most recent multi-month low at $1,680 and the 61.8 percent Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of July 04-22 downward, around $1,656, might entice the bears should the price go below $1,698.


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