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On December 19th, Federal Reserve Chairman Williams stated on Friday that certain "technical factors" may have distorted the November Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, causing it to be lower than actual levels. Williams said, "There are some specific real factors related to their inability to collect data in October and the first half of November. Because of this, I think certain categories of data were distorted, which could have pulled the CPI data down by about 0.1 percentage points." Williams also stated that the U.S. economy is currently in "good shape" and hinted that he "will eventually see" interest rates decline. However, he emphasized that he is in no hurry to adjust monetary policy.On December 19th, the State Administration for Market Regulation issued the "Guidelines for Compliance of Pricing Behavior of Urban Water, Electricity, and Gas Supply Utilities," further regulating the pricing behavior of urban public utilities. The pricing behavior of these utilities directly affects the vital interests of the people and the order of fair market competition. Addressing issues that have drawn strong public criticism, such as failure to comply with government-set prices, passing on operating costs, and charging unreasonable fees, the "Guidelines" clarify the purpose, scope of application, and price definitions. It emphasizes that the pricing behavior of water, electricity, and gas supply utilities must comply with laws, regulations, rules, and relevant policies. The guidelines guide water, electricity, and gas supply utilities and their affiliated or entrusted engineering and installation companies to conduct pricing activities in accordance with laws and regulations, protecting the legitimate rights and interests of users and promoting the healthy and sustainable development of the water, electricity, and gas supply industries. This includes clarifying the operating principles of public utilities, strictly implementing price standards, standardizing pricing behavior for self-priced projects, establishing and improving internal systems, and strengthening risk management.On December 19th, Russian President Vladimir Putin stated that "European political elites siding with the Democratic Party" interfered in the 2024 US presidential election. At his annual press conference, Putin explained that direct European interference in the US election was "obvious, conspicuous, and open." He emphasized that the continental European elites support Kamala Harris, therefore the current state of relations between EU officials and US President Trump is "not surprising." Putin denied allegations of Russian interference in the 2016 US election, noting that "all congressional investigations have come to nothing." On the other hand, Europeans supported Harris "quite directly, even brazenly."Federal Reserves Williams: I think interest rates will eventually fall.Federal Reserves Williams: The Feds current asset purchases are not intended to influence long-term interest rates.

With traders awaiting UK Retail Sales and US PMI, GBP/USD is meeting resistance at 1.2000

Daniel Rogers

Jul 22, 2022 14:46

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The British pound has been under selling pressure against the US dollar throughout the Asian trading session as the pair attempts to break through the crucial 1.2000 barrier. The cable had previously seen a vertical up trend after buyers indicated interest from Thursday's low of 1.1890. The asset is expecting a correction, but this does not necessitate a bearish reversal.

 

The US dollar index (DXY) has experienced strong buying demand in the first hour of trading as investors bet on a rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) next week. Given the recent drop in US long-term inflation projections, the probability of a 100 bps rate hike has unquestionably increased. However, the current pricing pressures must be handled quickly lest they have a catastrophic impact. That's why the Fed may do nothing or declare a rate hike of 75 basis points.

 

The US S&P PMI data will be the focus of investors for the whole of today's session. In this update, the Global Composite data stands at 51.7, down from 52.3 in the last release. It's possible that the Manufacturing PMI may fall from 52.7 to 52. There is hope that the Services PMI would rise to 52.6 from 52.7. This will keep the DXY in a weak position.

 

With regards to the pound, all eyes will be on the latest Retail Sales report. The economy is -5.3 percent more vulnerable than it was in the last report, which was -4.7 percent, according to a preliminary evaluation. Sales at stores have been on the rise even before the recent spike in energy costs. Due to out-of-control inflation, the forecast for retail sales should have been raised. A smaller consensus, on the other hand, indicates that demand is poor across the board and that prices will not rise over their prior level regardless of pricing pressures.