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On October 21st, Sim Moh Siong, a foreign exchange strategist at Bank of Singapore, said in a research note that investors may continue to be keen to increase their gold allocations amidst a pullback in gold prices. The recent rise in gold prices may have been a bit too much, too fast. However, concerns about G10 fiscal sustainability and central bank independence will persist until 2026, making it difficult to predict whether gold will peak soon. Bank of Singapore raised its gold price forecast for the next 12 months to $4,600 per ounce.On October 21st, Japanese Economy, Trade and Industry Minister Yoshiharu Muto, when asked about Russian energy imports, stated on Tuesday that Japan will take appropriate actions based on national interests while maintaining close coordination with the international community. Last week, U.S. Treasury Secretary Benson Benson said he told Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato that the Trump administration wants Japan to stop importing Russian energy. Muto told reporters, "Since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Japan has been steadily reducing its dependence on Russian energy." He added, "We recognize that LNG from the Sakhalin-2 project plays an extremely important role in Japans energy security," noting that it contributes approximately 3% of total electricity generation. He also stated that Japan intends to continue to maintain close coordination with the international community, including the G7.Gold prices fell slightly on Tuesday, October 21, as investors took profits after gold prices hit a new high in the previous trading day. Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade, said, "Profit-taking and weakening safe-haven inflows have weakened the advantage of gold prices today... Any pullback in gold will be seen as a buying opportunity, and the Federal Reserve is still on the track of interest rate cuts. If the US CPI data released later this week does not bring any unpleasant upward surprises, then the current gold price rally has further room to rise."Insurers managing $23 trillion plan to further increase their holdings of private market assets to achieve smooth long-term returns, according to a BlackRock survey.On October 21st, the overnight Shibor (Shibor) rate was at 1.3170%, unchanged from the previous trading day. The 7-day Shibor rate was at 1.4260%, up 0.80 basis points; the 14-day Shibor rate was at 1.5040%, up 3.60 basis points; the January Shibor rate was at 1.5570%, unchanged from the previous trading day; and the March Shibor rate was at 1.5860%, up 0.40 basis points.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD will fall to $1,900 due to a strengthening US Dollar and mixed investor attitude

Alina Haynes

Jan 31, 2023 16:09

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In advance of Tuesday's European session, the gold market (XAU/USD) maintains its decline as sellers hit a crucial support level near $1,920. In doing so, the precious metal reverses the mid-Asian session retracement off the stated trend line support.

 

The metal's weakness may be attributable to the contradictory information contained in International Monetary Fund (IMF) updates, as the global lender acknowledged inflation risks while expressing optimism for economic growth. Recent action by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to defend the Yield Curve Control (YCC), which in turn puts a floor under global yields and weighs on the Gold price, may fall along the same line.

 

In addition, Monday's positive US data and expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will do everything it takes to defend its hawkish monetary policy actions appear to impose downward pressure on the XAU/USD exchange rate.

 

Notably, the probable conclusion of Covid-led activity restrictions in the United States on May 11 and positive China PMIs previously drove the XAU/USD bounce from the $1,920 level.

 

US 10-year Treasury yields struggle to prolong a three-day rally near 3.54%, as the US Dollar Index (DXY) falls to 102.20 at the latest, reflecting the prevailing sentiment. In addition, both S&P 500 Futures and stocks in the Asia-Pacific area remain moderately available.

 

The US Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting will garner the lion's share of attention from Gold traders.