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ECB Governing Council member Mueller: I expect inflation to accelerate in the coming months.ECB Governing Council member Mueller: Current interest rates are already at a roughly neutral level, leaving room for a wait-and-see approach.Futures News, May 4th: Economies.com analysts latest view: Spot gold prices came under pressure and fell in the latest intraday trading, after encountering resistance near the 50-day EMA, triggering selling pressure and pushing prices further lower. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) showed a negative crossover, an early signal of potential bearish divergence, which, if confirmed, could exacerbate downward pressure on spot gold. With the main downtrend continuing to dominate, the bearish scenario for spot gold remains valid for some time, especially if prices fail to break through the current dynamic resistance level. This further strengthens the probability of continued declines in gold prices, or at least maintains negative pressure until stronger technical signals emerge to support any rebound attempt.May 4th Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: WTI crude oil futures prices have been fluctuating recently, stabilizing above the key support level of $98.00, effectively curbing the previous decline. This stability is attributed to the price finding support near the 50-day EMA, providing a positive boost to oil prices and helping them rebound quickly. With the short-term bullish trend dominating, the probability of WTI crude oil futures continuing their rebound is increasing, especially after the Relative Strength Index (RSI) showed a positive golden cross signal after reaching oversold territory. These technical signals further strengthen market expectations for a continued rebound in oil prices, and investors are closely watching whether prices can hold the current support level and further release the positive momentum already gained.May 4th Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: Brent crude oil futures closed lower in recent intraday trading, but the market is attempting to find a higher low as a base to help it gain the necessary upward momentum for a rebound. In the short term, the main bullish trend remains dominant, and the prices continued trading above the EMA50 moving average, forming dynamic support, further strengthens the likelihood of a rebound in the near future. In particular, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has shown a positive overlap signal after reaching oversold levels, providing strong support for a potential rebound.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD Weakness Dependent on $1,920 Breakout and Fed Decision - Confluence Detector

Daniel Rogers

Jan 30, 2023 15:27

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Gold price (XAU/USD) maintains a defensive stance near $1,930, posting modest gains ahead of Monday's European session, as traders begin the crucial week including the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy and the January US employment report. China's return after a one-week holiday might bolster the cautious optimism of XAU/USD traders, as could prospects for a dovish raise from the Fed and disappointing Nonfarm Payrolls data (NFP).

 

Notably, a slower start to a pivotal week with a high economic data load also appears to underpin the Gold prices' corrective rebound from a short-term major support confluence. However, the metal's short-term movements depend on the Fed's ability to push back the dovish inclination despite the confirmation of the impending policy shift.