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SPACEX shares continued their decline, falling 2% in pre-market trading.Wedbush: Raises target price for Micron Technology (MU.O) from $550 to $1,300.June 18th - Analyst Divyang Shah stated that, as widely expected, the Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged at 3.75% at its June meeting. The statements guidance remained unchanged, with the Bank of England reiterating its "standby to act if necessary" to curb inflationary pressures. The voting results also introduced a degree of surprise. At the April meeting, only Chief Economist Peale supported a rate hike; at this meeting, Monetary Policy Committee member Green also joined the pro-rate-hike camp, with both voting in favor of a rate increase.Text of the US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding: Following the signing of the memorandum of understanding, the United States will soon grant waivers for Iranian oil exports.On June 18th, the Bank of England held its fourth consecutive meeting, keeping interest rates unchanged at 3.75%, believing that a rate hike was premature given the unclear strength of rising inflationary pressures. The Monetary Policy Committee voted 7-2 to maintain the rate, in line with market expectations. Monetary Policy Committee member Green and Chief Economist Peale advocated a 25 basis point hike. Most other members largely maintained Governor Baileys stance of "actively maintaining the status quo." Bailey argued that this stance itself constituted an effective tightening compared to market expectations of a rate cut before the conflict. Both Peale and Green stated that a rate hike now would help curb household expectations of future inflation. According to the banks quarterly survey, household inflation expectations have risen to their highest level since at least 2009. The preliminary ceasefire agreement reached between the US and Iran is expected to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and lower oil prices. Given the UKs heavy reliance on imported natural gas, maintaining the agreement would be beneficial to the UK. However, Governor Bailey stated, "Regardless of what the future holds, the higher energy prices of the past four months already indicate that some inflationary pressures are building." The Bank of England expects inflation to rise above 3.25% in the fourth quarter, up from 2.8% in May, but down from the 3.6% to 3.7% forecast in April under two of the three main scenarios. The outlook for economic growth is also slightly more optimistic, with potential growth projected at 0.2% per quarter, up from 0.1% in the previous forecast.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD falls toward $1,920 as the Fed appears poised to increase interest rates further

Daniel Rogers

Jan 31, 2023 16:13

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During the Asian session, the gold price (XAU/USD) is falling towards the immediate support of $1,920.00. The precious metal has been demonstrating a topsy-turvy move with increased traction for the US Dollar Index (DXY) ahead of the interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which is slated for Wednesday. The Gold price is currently bidding in the range of $1,922-1,933 and is anticipated to continue volatile in the near future.

 

S&P500 futures have added some gains following a massive sell-off on Monday, indicating confidence as the Fed is anticipated to pause the pace of increasing interest rates. Despite market pessimism, the USD Index is seeking to continue its breakout above the 101.80 resistance to near 102.00. In addition, the market participants' risk aversion is supporting the 10-year US Treasury yields, which have risen above 3.54 percent.

 

In addition to the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy, the release of United States Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment data will heighten market volatility. The economic data is anticipated to be 170K, a decrease from the previous report of 235K.

 

The US labor market has remained exceptionally tight in CY2022 but the continuing of interest rate hikes by Fed chair Jerome Powell is denting the expression of optimism in producers. As a result of the bleak economic outlook, businesses are halting their recruitment efforts in an effort to maximize the utilization of their current workforce.