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Samsung Electronics rose 10%, and SK Hynix rose 9%.June 12 (CNN) – President Trump claimed today (June 11, Eastern Time) that the United States has “ended” its war with Iran, after declaring that the two sides had agreed to a “very strong memorandum of understanding” to stop the fighting. Speaking at a phone rally supporting Georgia Lieutenant Governor Burt Jones’s gubernatorial campaign, Trump said, “I don’t know if you’ve heard, but today we ended the war with Iran. They’ve agreed never to have nuclear weapons. That’s what we’re sticking to, that’s the whole goal, that’s 95% of the agreement.” Trump’s remarks came earlier today after he canceled further strikes against Iran, hinting at an agreement on Real Social Media without elaborating on its terms. Iran has not confirmed any agreement.Futures News, June 12th - According to foreign media reports, Malaysian crude palm oil futures on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange (BMD) are likely to open lower on Friday morning, following the decline in external markets. International crude oil futures fell after US President Trump announced on Thursday the cancellation of plans to strike Iran. In electronic trading on Friday, Brent crude futures fell further, coupled with a lower close in Chicago soybean oil futures, which will drag down the early performance of Malaysian crude palm oil futures. Malaysian palm oil inventories exceeding market expectations are also unfavorable for prices. Data from the Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) shows that Malaysian palm oil inventories at the end of May were 2.428 million tons, a 5.15% increase month-on-month, higher than analysts forecasts of 2.36 million tons. However, El Niño weather may lead to drier conditions in Southeast Asia than normal, threatening palm oil production and potentially providing support for palm oil prices.On June 12th, according to foreign media reports, Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) soybean futures closed lower on Thursday, with the benchmark contract down 0.7%, hitting a four-month low. This was mainly due to generally favorable weather in U.S. soybean producing regions, lower crude oil prices, and a lack of positive news. Stormy weather in the Midwest agricultural region brought widespread rainfall, which will promote early crop growth. Following U.S. President Trumps announcement on Thursday of the cancellation of the "strike on Iran" plan, international crude oil futures fell, also putting downward pressure on the soybean and soybean oil markets. The U.S. Department of Agricultures supply and demand report showed that the 2025/26 and 2026/27 U.S. soybean ending stocks forecasts remained unchanged at 340 million bushels and 310 million bushels, respectively. Analysts had previously expected a slight downward revision to this years soybean ending stocks.On June 12, the Russian Ministry of Defense announced on the 11th that Russian forces had taken control of two settlements in the Donetsk and Kharkiv regions. The announcement stated that Russian forces launched an offensive in northern Donetsk, and urban warfare was underway in Konstantinovka. Russian forces had completely taken control of the eastern part of the city. Meanwhile, the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces announced on the 11th that Ukrainian forces launched strikes against multiple military, logistical, and industrial facilities within Russia from the early morning of the 10th to the 11th, targeting oil refineries, Russian unmanned systems production facilities, and military command posts.

Gold Price Prediction: The XAU/USD pair will fall below $1870 as yields rise ahead of Fed Chair Powell's speech

Alina Haynes

Jan 10, 2023 14:55

截屏2023-01-09 下午5.31.06_1024x576.png

 

In the Tokyo session, the gold price (XAU/USD) has fallen below the immediate resistance of $1,870.00. The precious metal has broken through the consolidation formed in the band of $1,870.00-1,881.50 as demand for US government bonds deteriorates ahead of the speech by Federal Reserve (Fed) chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday.

 

The 10-year US Treasury yields have risen beyond 3.54 percent, dampening risk appetite. Meanwhile, S&P500 futures have become volatile following a sell-off late in Monday's session, signaling caution in establishing positions in risky assets. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is anticipated to attempt a break above the immediate resistance of 103.00 into the auction area.

 

Investors anticipate Fed Powell's speech for fresh cues, as it will provide a head start for the entirety of CY2023. Despite a sharp reduction in December wage inflation, some Fed policymakers continue to endorse a terminal rate prediction of 5.00-5.25%.

 

Mary Daly, president of the San Francisco Fed Bank, argued that interest rates between 5% and 5.25 percent are fair. Also, the president of the Atlanta Federal Reserve bank, Raphael Bostic, anticipates an interest rate peak in the range of 5% to 5.25 percent and the continuation of higher interest rates through CY2023.