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May 8th - U.S. job growth may have slowed in April as the boost from temporary factors such as warmer weather and striking healthcare workers returning to work faded, but this does not signify a substantial change in the labor market, with the unemployment rate expected to remain stable at 4.3%. Data is also expected to show faster wage growth last month, further reinforcing financial market expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until 2027. A Reuters poll shows economists attribute the volatility in employment data in part to adjustments this year to the "birth-death model," which estimates the number of jobs gained or lost due to business openings and closures. Some say that the large turnover of businesses has made it difficult for the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which compiles the employment report, to estimate job creation associated with new businesses. In addition, weather, strikes, government layoffs, and significant labor force shifts caused by the Trump administrations crackdown on illegal immigration have also exacerbated the volatility. Economists recommend referring to a three-month moving average of employment data for a better understanding of the labor market. Citigroup economist Veronica Clark stated that averaging the data from recent months still shows moderate positive job growth. Given that significant changes in immigration flows have already led to a sharp decline in average job growth this year, this alone is not a cause for concern.Toyota: Toyota will work with its suppliers to deal with the U.S. tariff issue, but in the past fiscal year, the actual burden fell mainly on Toyota.Toyota: Hybrid vehicle sales are expected to exceed 5 million units for the first time this fiscal year, with total electric vehicle sales reaching approximately 6 million units.According to Al Arabiya: Saudi Arabia has stated that it has not allowed other countries to use its airspace for offensive operations.JPMorgan Chase raised its target price for Airbnb (ABNB.O) from $130 to $140.

Gold Price Prediction: The XAU/USD pair will fall below $1870 as yields rise ahead of Fed Chair Powell's speech

Alina Haynes

Jan 10, 2023 14:55

截屏2023-01-09 下午5.31.06_1024x576.png

 

In the Tokyo session, the gold price (XAU/USD) has fallen below the immediate resistance of $1,870.00. The precious metal has broken through the consolidation formed in the band of $1,870.00-1,881.50 as demand for US government bonds deteriorates ahead of the speech by Federal Reserve (Fed) chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday.

 

The 10-year US Treasury yields have risen beyond 3.54 percent, dampening risk appetite. Meanwhile, S&P500 futures have become volatile following a sell-off late in Monday's session, signaling caution in establishing positions in risky assets. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is anticipated to attempt a break above the immediate resistance of 103.00 into the auction area.

 

Investors anticipate Fed Powell's speech for fresh cues, as it will provide a head start for the entirety of CY2023. Despite a sharp reduction in December wage inflation, some Fed policymakers continue to endorse a terminal rate prediction of 5.00-5.25%.

 

Mary Daly, president of the San Francisco Fed Bank, argued that interest rates between 5% and 5.25 percent are fair. Also, the president of the Atlanta Federal Reserve bank, Raphael Bostic, anticipates an interest rate peak in the range of 5% to 5.25 percent and the continuation of higher interest rates through CY2023.