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Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Hawkesby: The committee is more comfortable with inflation expectations than earlier this year.On November 26th, US President Trump stated on social media on November 25th that the USs new "28-point" plan to end the Ukraine crisis has been further refined. Currently, disagreements remain regarding some clauses, and the US will send representatives to communicate separately with both Russia and Ukraine on the plan. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy stated on the same day that he was willing to meet with Trump to discuss some issues related to the "peace plan." Furthermore, Ukrainian negotiators also denied on the 25th US media reports that Ukraine had "agreed in principle" to the US "peace plan."November 26th - According to a report in the Yomiuri Shimbun on Wednesday, Japans opposition parties are stepping up preparations in case Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi announces a snap election. Some analysts believe that a snap election could occur as early as January next year, which would affect the governments economic policies, including the deliberation of Japans annual long-term fiscal blueprint, which is expected to be released around June next year. Depending on the timing of the election, it could also affect the pace and timing of the Bank of Japans interest rate hikes. The Bank of Japan typically avoids making major policy adjustments before elections. Jun Azumi, secretary-general of Japans largest opposition party, the Constitutional Democratic Party, said on Tuesday that the party would cooperate with other parties to win back seats from the ruling coalition.New York silver futures rose 1.00% on the day, currently trading at $52.15 per ounce.The yield on Japans 40-year government bonds rose 1.5 basis points to 3.705%.

Gold Price Prediction: The XAU/USD pair will fall below $1870 as yields rise ahead of Fed Chair Powell's speech

Alina Haynes

Jan 10, 2023 14:55

截屏2023-01-09 下午5.31.06_1024x576.png

 

In the Tokyo session, the gold price (XAU/USD) has fallen below the immediate resistance of $1,870.00. The precious metal has broken through the consolidation formed in the band of $1,870.00-1,881.50 as demand for US government bonds deteriorates ahead of the speech by Federal Reserve (Fed) chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday.

 

The 10-year US Treasury yields have risen beyond 3.54 percent, dampening risk appetite. Meanwhile, S&P500 futures have become volatile following a sell-off late in Monday's session, signaling caution in establishing positions in risky assets. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is anticipated to attempt a break above the immediate resistance of 103.00 into the auction area.

 

Investors anticipate Fed Powell's speech for fresh cues, as it will provide a head start for the entirety of CY2023. Despite a sharp reduction in December wage inflation, some Fed policymakers continue to endorse a terminal rate prediction of 5.00-5.25%.

 

Mary Daly, president of the San Francisco Fed Bank, argued that interest rates between 5% and 5.25 percent are fair. Also, the president of the Atlanta Federal Reserve bank, Raphael Bostic, anticipates an interest rate peak in the range of 5% to 5.25 percent and the continuation of higher interest rates through CY2023.