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New York silver futures rose above $82 per ounce, up 6.64% on the day.1. Market Trends: Platinum and palladium futures rebounded sharply. The main platinum contract is currently up over 10%, and the main palladium contract is up over 7%. Geopolitical risks remain unresolved, coupled with positive statements from Federal Reserve officials, leading to a rebound in precious metals, with platinum and palladium following suit. 2. Peoples Bank of China: Chinas gold reserves at the end of January were 74.19 million ounces (approximately 2307.567 tons), an increase of 40,000 ounces (approximately 1.24 tons) month-on-month. At the end of December, they were 74.15 million ounces (approximately 2306.323 tons), marking the 15th consecutive month of increases. 3. Federal Reserve Governor Milan stated that interest rate cuts of more than 100 basis points are needed this year, and he is looking forward to Warshs performance. The US House of Representatives passed a funding agreement negotiated by President Trump and Senate Democrats, potentially ending the partial US government shutdown. 4. Geopolitically, tensions in the Gulf region remain high. Negotiations between the US, Iran, and Oman failed to reach an effective consensus, and the possibility of future conflict between the two countries remains. 5. Nan Hua Futures View: In the medium to long term, the foundation for a platinum and palladium bull market remains intact. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will maintain its loose monetary policy stance in the first half of 2026. Central bank gold purchases, safe-haven demand, and increased investment demand will continue to push precious metal prices higher. 6. Guoxin Futures view: Against the backdrop of a global sell-off in risk assets and market risk aversion shifting towards cash rather than gold, the safe-haven premium in the precious metals sector has temporarily subsided. Looking ahead, the short-term trend of platinum and palladium will continue to passively follow the overall sentiment of the precious metals sector. 7. Xinhu Futures view: In the medium to long term, the platinum market has experienced physical shortages for several consecutive years, with limited mine capacity and insufficient capital expenditure. While demand is hampered by sales of traditional gasoline vehicles, we expect the structural gap to persist, driving prices steadily upward. Palladium supply will remain scarce in the medium term, with inventories below multi-year lows and weak buffering capacity. Low inventory + high supply concentration + potential investment inflows make palladium a highly volatile speculative product. (The above content is compiled from publicly available market data and is for reference only, not investment advice.)According to Interfax news agency, the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) stated that the assassination attempt on General Alexeyev was ordered by Ukraine with the involvement of Poland.Musk: NASA (contracts) only account for about 5% of SpaceXs revenue this year. The vast majority of SpaceXs revenue comes from the commercial Starlink system.February 9th - Spot gold and silver continued their upward trend on Monday, with gold rising slightly above $5,000, driven by a weaker dollar. Investors are focused on key employment and inflation data to be released this week. OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong stated, "This could be due to the short-term intraday correlation between the dollar and gold and silver prices." KCM chief analyst Tim Waterer noted, "Bargain buying also pushed gold prices back above $5,000." Investors anticipate at least two 25-basis-point rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026, with the first cut potentially occurring in June.

Gold Price Prediction: The XAU/USD pair will fall below $1870 as yields rise ahead of Fed Chair Powell's speech

Alina Haynes

Jan 10, 2023 14:55

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In the Tokyo session, the gold price (XAU/USD) has fallen below the immediate resistance of $1,870.00. The precious metal has broken through the consolidation formed in the band of $1,870.00-1,881.50 as demand for US government bonds deteriorates ahead of the speech by Federal Reserve (Fed) chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday.

 

The 10-year US Treasury yields have risen beyond 3.54 percent, dampening risk appetite. Meanwhile, S&P500 futures have become volatile following a sell-off late in Monday's session, signaling caution in establishing positions in risky assets. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is anticipated to attempt a break above the immediate resistance of 103.00 into the auction area.

 

Investors anticipate Fed Powell's speech for fresh cues, as it will provide a head start for the entirety of CY2023. Despite a sharp reduction in December wage inflation, some Fed policymakers continue to endorse a terminal rate prediction of 5.00-5.25%.

 

Mary Daly, president of the San Francisco Fed Bank, argued that interest rates between 5% and 5.25 percent are fair. Also, the president of the Atlanta Federal Reserve bank, Raphael Bostic, anticipates an interest rate peak in the range of 5% to 5.25 percent and the continuation of higher interest rates through CY2023.