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On April 18th, the International Air Transport Association (IATA) warned that the Middle East conflict could trigger aviation fuel rationing measures, with flight cancellations in Europe potentially starting as early as the end of May. IATA urged governments to develop coordinated and comprehensive response plans as soon as possible to mitigate the impact on flight operations. According to Lianhe Zaobao, IATA Director General Walsh stated on Friday (April 17th) that the International Energy Agencys earlier assessment that European aviation fuel shortages could begin within about six weeks should be taken very seriously. Walsh said, "Based on the current situation, Europe could begin canceling flights due to aviation fuel shortages as early as the end of May, and similar situations have already occurred in parts of Asia."On April 18, Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Saeed Khatibzadeh stated that Iran will never accept a US blockade of its ports or any other "orders" issued by the US. "There will never be any blockades in the future," he said. "The era of colonialism must end," he added. The US "cannot dictate to other countries."The UK Maritime Trade Operations Office has received reports of an incident occurring 20 nautical miles northeast of Oman.April 18th - While Hong Kongs IPO market is booming, some companies seeking to list are submitting substandard or overly embellished listing documents. Liu Ying, Co-Head of Initial Public Offering Review at the Hong Kong Stock Exchanges Listing Division, stated in an interview that companies seeking to expedite the approval process must ensure their information disclosure is truthful, accurate, comprehensive, and concise. The Hong Kong Stock Exchange is currently reforming its listing mechanism, allowing applicants to submit materials confidentially, but simultaneously upgrading its penalty mechanisms. If the materials fail to meet standards, the names of the sponsor, law firm, accountants, and other professional teams will be publicly disclosed. She reminded the market that thorough preparation is the fastest path to listing.April 18 - According to the Iraqi National News Agency, the Iraqi Ministry of Oil stated that oil exports from all oil fields will resume in the coming days. Four energy sources said that after a disruption of more than a month due to shipping blockages in the Strait of Hormuz, Iraq resumed oil exports from the south on Friday, with one tanker already loading crude oil.

Gold Price Prediction: The XAU/USD pair will fall below $1870 as yields rise ahead of Fed Chair Powell's speech

Alina Haynes

Jan 10, 2023 14:55

截屏2023-01-09 下午5.31.06_1024x576.png

 

In the Tokyo session, the gold price (XAU/USD) has fallen below the immediate resistance of $1,870.00. The precious metal has broken through the consolidation formed in the band of $1,870.00-1,881.50 as demand for US government bonds deteriorates ahead of the speech by Federal Reserve (Fed) chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday.

 

The 10-year US Treasury yields have risen beyond 3.54 percent, dampening risk appetite. Meanwhile, S&P500 futures have become volatile following a sell-off late in Monday's session, signaling caution in establishing positions in risky assets. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is anticipated to attempt a break above the immediate resistance of 103.00 into the auction area.

 

Investors anticipate Fed Powell's speech for fresh cues, as it will provide a head start for the entirety of CY2023. Despite a sharp reduction in December wage inflation, some Fed policymakers continue to endorse a terminal rate prediction of 5.00-5.25%.

 

Mary Daly, president of the San Francisco Fed Bank, argued that interest rates between 5% and 5.25 percent are fair. Also, the president of the Atlanta Federal Reserve bank, Raphael Bostic, anticipates an interest rate peak in the range of 5% to 5.25 percent and the continuation of higher interest rates through CY2023.