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May 18th - The sharp rise in US Treasury yields this month may have neared its peak. JPMorgan analysts stated, "We no longer believe the risks are tilted towards higher yields." They added, "The policy outcome priced into the money market is more hawkish than our baseline scenario, and valuations have already corrected." According to CME data, the market largely expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged, but the likelihood of a rate hike is also increasing. Long-term bonds appear undervalued. JPMorgan stated, "We believe this bearish repricing provides an opportunity to increase duration."On May 18th, the 2026 International Hydrogen Energy Development Forum was held in Hong Kong, aiming to promote global cooperation and innovation in the hydrogen energy field. The forum focused on five main topics: establishing a hydrogen energy safety regulatory framework, establishing a global certification system for green and low-carbon hydrogen energy, unlocking the application potential of liquid hydrogen, building high-quality infrastructure for hydrogen energy development, and promoting scientific education on hydrogen energy utilization. It provided a platform for hydrogen energy industry experts and practitioners to exchange the latest technological advancements, engineering solutions, and future development trends. Acting Secretary for the Environment and Ecology of the Hong Kong SAR Government, Ms. Wong Suk-han, stated that this hydrogen energy exchange activity will build a platform for sharing industry experience and discussing technological innovations. Hong Kong strives to halve its total carbon emissions from 2005 levels by 2035 and move towards achieving carbon neutrality by 2050.The Ukrainian Foreign Ministry condemned Belarus for conducting nuclear weapons exercises. Ukraine called on its allies to increase sanctions against Moscow and Minsk.The Iraqi Foreign Ministry stated that Iraq is investigating the launch of a drone from its territory towards Saudi Arabia. Iraq has requested that Saudi authorities share information related to the attack. Our air defense systems did not detect the drone launch previously.Turkish President Erdogan: Economic management is taking measures to minimize the impact of regional tensions on the economy and will continue to do so.

Gold Price Prediction: The XAU/USD pair will fall below $1870 as yields rise ahead of Fed Chair Powell's speech

Alina Haynes

Jan 10, 2023 14:55

截屏2023-01-09 下午5.31.06_1024x576.png

 

In the Tokyo session, the gold price (XAU/USD) has fallen below the immediate resistance of $1,870.00. The precious metal has broken through the consolidation formed in the band of $1,870.00-1,881.50 as demand for US government bonds deteriorates ahead of the speech by Federal Reserve (Fed) chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday.

 

The 10-year US Treasury yields have risen beyond 3.54 percent, dampening risk appetite. Meanwhile, S&P500 futures have become volatile following a sell-off late in Monday's session, signaling caution in establishing positions in risky assets. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is anticipated to attempt a break above the immediate resistance of 103.00 into the auction area.

 

Investors anticipate Fed Powell's speech for fresh cues, as it will provide a head start for the entirety of CY2023. Despite a sharp reduction in December wage inflation, some Fed policymakers continue to endorse a terminal rate prediction of 5.00-5.25%.

 

Mary Daly, president of the San Francisco Fed Bank, argued that interest rates between 5% and 5.25 percent are fair. Also, the president of the Atlanta Federal Reserve bank, Raphael Bostic, anticipates an interest rate peak in the range of 5% to 5.25 percent and the continuation of higher interest rates through CY2023.