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On January 11th, US President Trump claimed on the 9th that the US needs Greenland, and if a deal cannot be reached "easily" on Greenland, he will have to take "difficult measures." These remarks have sparked concern among some NATO member states and European countries. According to reports from British media outlets such as the Daily Telegraph, military leaders from several European countries are drafting a possible NATO mission plan to counter Trumps threats. However, the reports also mention that the EU is drafting sanctions against US companies in case Trump rejects NATO deployment proposals. Tech giants like Meta, Google, Microsoft, and X, as well as US banks and financial companies, could be restricted from operating in Europe. Furthermore, a more extreme option could be expelling US troops from their bases in Europe, depriving them of key transit points for operations in the Middle East and elsewhere.On January 11th, Zhao Wei, Chief Economist of Shenwan Hongyuan Securities, stated at the China Chief Economist Forum Annual Meeting that the RMB has entered an appreciation cycle by 2025. He boldly predicts that starting in 2026, the RMB may maintain an appreciation rate of at least two to three percentage points annually over the next few years, resulting in a total appreciation of over 30% within approximately ten years. The stock market will also benefit during this process.On January 11, the South Korean presidential office, Cheong Wa Dae, stated regarding North Koreas claim of a South Korean drone intrusion that the government will investigate the facts and promptly release the results. Cheong Wa Daes National Security Office emphasized that the South Korean government reiterates that it has "no intention of provoking or provokering North Korea" and will continue to take concrete measures to ease tensions and enhance mutual trust between the two Koreas.January 11 - According to multiple US media reports on the 10th, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio spoke with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that day. Several sources familiar with the matter told these media outlets that Rubio and Netanyahu discussed the situation in Iran, Syria, and the Gaza peace agreement during their call.Yoshimura, head of Japans coalition partners: Whether to dissolve parliament and hold an early election is up to the prime minister, but we are ready to run at any time.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD anticipates additional gains ahead of China and U.S. inflation

Alina Haynes

Jan 11, 2023 11:54

Gold price (XAU/USD) demonstrates usual pre-data concern as it approaches $1,875 on Wednesday morning, exploring a three-day rally around the highest levels since May 2022. In doing so, gold demonstrates the market's faith in the traditional safe-haven, even if the US Dollar recovers from its multi-day low. The uncertainty surrounding the next steps of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the pessimistic economic forecasts of the World Bank (WB), not to mention cautious optimism towards China, may be to blame.

 

Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell's remarks at Riksbank's International Symposium on Central Bank Independence were unable to provide additional clarification on the US central bank's monetary policy outlook, which prompted a stampede for gold in the face of uncertainty. In his most recent public appearances, the policymaker lauded the US central bank's latest steps while emphasizing the Fed's independence and lack of commitment to climate control. Notably, Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman seemed hawkish when she stated that additional rate hikes are required to combat excessive inflation, which should have pressured the XAU/USD bulls in the aftermath.

 

Notably, the recent softening of hawkish bets on the Fed's next moves, as well as lower US data, appear to keep gold investors optimistic, despite the Federal Reserve's efforts to defend its tight monetary policy. Tuesday, the US NFIB Business Optimism Index for December fell to its lowest level since 2013 if various anxieties caused by the worldwide Covid wave are disregarded. In addition, US Wholesale Inventories for November stayed constant at 1.0% growth.

 

Alternatively, a rebound in the US Dollar Index (DXY) from the seven-month low appears to pose a threat to the Gold price, due to the inverse link between the XAU/USD and the dollar's index against the six main currencies. Tuesday marked the conclusion of a two-day downturn for the DXY as it rebounded from the multiday low to settle at 103.30. In doing so, the US Dollar Index tracked the firmer US 10-year Treasury note yields, which increased 10 basis points (bps) to 3.61 percent, falling one basis point (bp) to 3.60 percent at the latest.

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