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GFZ (German Center for Geosciences): A 6.27-magnitude earthquake struck the South Sandwich Islands region.On January 29th, the Ministry of Commerce held a regular press conference. At the Ministry of Commerces regular press conference on December 25th last year, it was reported that TikTok had signed agreements with three investors to establish a new TikTok US joint venture to ensure its continued operation in the US. What is the spokespersons comment on this? He Yongqian stated that, in order to implement the important consensus reached during the phone call between the leaders of China and the US, the economic and trade teams of both sides had previously reached a basic framework consensus on properly resolving issues such as TikTok through cooperation, based on mutual respect and equal consultation. The Chinese government hopes that companies will reach solutions that comply with Chinese laws and regulations and balance interests. It hopes that the US will work with China in the same direction, earnestly fulfill its corresponding commitments, provide a fair, open, transparent, and non-discriminatory business environment for the continued and stable operation of Chinese companies in the US, and promote the stable, healthy, and sustainable development of China-US economic and trade relations.On January 29th, Richard Flynn, Managing Director of Charles Schwab UK, noted in a report that unless there is a substantial shift in inflation or labor market dynamics, the Federal Reserve is likely to maintain its data-driven approach until at least May 2026. However, he stated that this is an extraordinary period for US monetary policy. "The increasingly open struggle between monetary independence and fiscal power makes the Feds institutional credibility a more acute focus," he pointed out. Flynn stated that this independence remains the cornerstone of global confidence in the dollar, US Treasuries, and the broader US capital markets.On January 29th, Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Guo Jiakun held a regular press conference. It was reported that China has approved the import of the first batch of Nvidias H200 AI chips. Can the Foreign Ministry confirm this? What signal does this send to China-US relations? "We have responded to relevant questions on multiple occasions. For specific questions, we suggest inquiring with the relevant Chinese authorities," Guo Jiakun said.On January 29th, JPMorgan Chase issued a research report stating that New Oriental Education & Technology Group Co., Ltd. (09901.HK) reported better-than-expected results for its second fiscal quarter of 2026, leading to an upward revision of its guidance for the first time in two years. Managements optimistic outlook prompted the bank to raise its operating profit forecasts for fiscal years 2026 and 2027 by 7%. The report indicated that New Oriental has returned to a high-quality compound growth trajectory and is expected to continue exceeding expectations and raising guidance. The bank reiterated its "Overweight" rating and top pick status for New Oriental, raising its target price from HK$53 to HK$55.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD anticipates additional gains ahead of China and U.S. inflation

Alina Haynes

Jan 11, 2023 11:54

Gold price (XAU/USD) demonstrates usual pre-data concern as it approaches $1,875 on Wednesday morning, exploring a three-day rally around the highest levels since May 2022. In doing so, gold demonstrates the market's faith in the traditional safe-haven, even if the US Dollar recovers from its multi-day low. The uncertainty surrounding the next steps of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the pessimistic economic forecasts of the World Bank (WB), not to mention cautious optimism towards China, may be to blame.

 

Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell's remarks at Riksbank's International Symposium on Central Bank Independence were unable to provide additional clarification on the US central bank's monetary policy outlook, which prompted a stampede for gold in the face of uncertainty. In his most recent public appearances, the policymaker lauded the US central bank's latest steps while emphasizing the Fed's independence and lack of commitment to climate control. Notably, Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman seemed hawkish when she stated that additional rate hikes are required to combat excessive inflation, which should have pressured the XAU/USD bulls in the aftermath.

 

Notably, the recent softening of hawkish bets on the Fed's next moves, as well as lower US data, appear to keep gold investors optimistic, despite the Federal Reserve's efforts to defend its tight monetary policy. Tuesday, the US NFIB Business Optimism Index for December fell to its lowest level since 2013 if various anxieties caused by the worldwide Covid wave are disregarded. In addition, US Wholesale Inventories for November stayed constant at 1.0% growth.

 

Alternatively, a rebound in the US Dollar Index (DXY) from the seven-month low appears to pose a threat to the Gold price, due to the inverse link between the XAU/USD and the dollar's index against the six main currencies. Tuesday marked the conclusion of a two-day downturn for the DXY as it rebounded from the multiday low to settle at 103.30. In doing so, the US Dollar Index tracked the firmer US 10-year Treasury note yields, which increased 10 basis points (bps) to 3.61 percent, falling one basis point (bp) to 3.60 percent at the latest.

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