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On September 14th, US media reported on the 13th that FBI Director Kash Patel was questioned for mistakenly announcing a "suspect in custody" in the assassination of Charlie Kirk, a political ally of US President Trump. Following the shooting on the 10th, local police in Utah quickly arrested one person, and Patel announced the arrest on social media. However, it was later confirmed that police had arrested the wrong person, with the shooter still at large. Patel will face questioning from lawmakers about this case and broader issues at a congressional hearing next week.On September 14th, five US F-35 fighter jets were spotted landing in Puerto Rico on Saturday, just as Trump ordered an additional 10 stealth fighter jets to the Caribbean last week to combat drug cartels and address tensions with Venezuela. Photos show the aircraft landing at the former Roosevelt Roads military base in Ceiva, Puerto Rico. US helicopters, Osprey transport aircraft, other transport planes, and US military personnel have also been spotted at the base in recent days. When asked about the situation, a Pentagon duty press officer stated, "We do not have any force deployment changes to announce at this time." Sources reported last week that the Trump administration had ordered the deployment of 10 F-35 fighter jets to Puerto Rico to carry out operations against drug cartels.A fire has broken out at an oil refinery in Russias Bashkortostan and firefighting is underway, with the production site suffering minor damage, the regional governor said.British retailer Sainsburys confirmed it is in discussions to sell its Argos subsidiary to JD.com (JD.O).The Cyberspace Administration of China is soliciting public opinions on the "Regulations on Promoting and Standardizing the Application of Electronic Documents (Draft for Comments)".

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD anticipates additional gains ahead of China and U.S. inflation

Alina Haynes

Jan 11, 2023 11:54

Gold price (XAU/USD) demonstrates usual pre-data concern as it approaches $1,875 on Wednesday morning, exploring a three-day rally around the highest levels since May 2022. In doing so, gold demonstrates the market's faith in the traditional safe-haven, even if the US Dollar recovers from its multi-day low. The uncertainty surrounding the next steps of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the pessimistic economic forecasts of the World Bank (WB), not to mention cautious optimism towards China, may be to blame.

 

Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell's remarks at Riksbank's International Symposium on Central Bank Independence were unable to provide additional clarification on the US central bank's monetary policy outlook, which prompted a stampede for gold in the face of uncertainty. In his most recent public appearances, the policymaker lauded the US central bank's latest steps while emphasizing the Fed's independence and lack of commitment to climate control. Notably, Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman seemed hawkish when she stated that additional rate hikes are required to combat excessive inflation, which should have pressured the XAU/USD bulls in the aftermath.

 

Notably, the recent softening of hawkish bets on the Fed's next moves, as well as lower US data, appear to keep gold investors optimistic, despite the Federal Reserve's efforts to defend its tight monetary policy. Tuesday, the US NFIB Business Optimism Index for December fell to its lowest level since 2013 if various anxieties caused by the worldwide Covid wave are disregarded. In addition, US Wholesale Inventories for November stayed constant at 1.0% growth.

 

Alternatively, a rebound in the US Dollar Index (DXY) from the seven-month low appears to pose a threat to the Gold price, due to the inverse link between the XAU/USD and the dollar's index against the six main currencies. Tuesday marked the conclusion of a two-day downturn for the DXY as it rebounded from the multiday low to settle at 103.30. In doing so, the US Dollar Index tracked the firmer US 10-year Treasury note yields, which increased 10 basis points (bps) to 3.61 percent, falling one basis point (bp) to 3.60 percent at the latest.