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The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits for the week ending September 5 was 206,000, compared with expectations of 205,000 and a revised figure of 207,000 for the previous week.On September 10th, North American Blue Energy Partners (NABEP), a Venezuelan oil driller backed by the Trump administration, plans to more than double its crude oil production in just over two years. NABEP aims to increase its daily production from the current approximately 200,000 barrels to 500,000 barrels by the end of 2028. The company stated that supply growth has so far been funded by internal cash flow, and any external investment would help accelerate growth. NABEP has gained prominence in recent weeks following the Trump administrations signing of what it calls the largest oil deal in world history. Under the terms of the agreement, NABEP received 100-year concessions to exploit 17 oil fields with estimated proven reserves of 65 billion barrels. The company stated that the agreement with the U.S. government simply accelerates the trajectory of NABEPs growth plans.The Stoxx Europe 600 index fell further to 0.5%.On September 10th, the European Central Bank (ECB) raised interest rates for the second time since the start of the war with Iran in February, in response to signals that inflation would well exceed 2%. On Thursday, the deposit rate was raised by 25 basis points to 2.5%, in line with the forecasts of almost all economists surveyed. The ECB reiterated that it would not pre-commit to further action, but would decide on a case-by-case basis based on data. In its statement, it said: "The conflict in the Middle East continues to exert inflationary pressures, and inflation will remain well above target for an extended period. The outlook remains highly uncertain, with upside risks to inflation and downside risks to economic growth." Thursdays move puts Eurozone policymakers further ahead of their peers in addressing soaring energy prices—which have caused the fastest inflation in nearly three years. Traders believe the ECB will take further action, expecting two more rate hikes by mid-2027. This contrasts with the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, which have not yet tightened monetary policy due to the Middle East conflict and are likely to remain on hold next week.Eurozone government bond yields rose after the European Central Bank raised interest rates.

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Bearish Dollar Pressure Exposes a Drop to Near 1.2500

Daniel Rogers

Apr 27, 2022 09:51

The GBP/USD pair has been collapsing like a house of cards since Friday, when it fell below the two-week-old resistance level of 1.2973. The asset has declined by around 3.70 percent during the last four trading sessions and shows no signs of reversal at the moment.

 

On a daily basis, the negative break of the Falling Channel has bolstered the greenback bulls. The chart pattern's top boundary is drawn from the June 2021 highs of 1.4249, while the lower boundary is drawn from the April 2021 low of 1.3669. When the Falling Channel is broken, volume expands and ticks get wider.

 

The 10- and 20-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are going down at 1.2838 and 1.2945, respectively, adding to the downside filters.

 

Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has moved into the negative zone of 20.00-40.00, indicating the possibility of a new downward impulsive wave.

 

Following a colossal decline, a pullback appears imminent. As a result, investors should wait for a fall to reach the 1.2800 round level roadblock before initiating new short positions. Responsive selling at 1.2800 will pull the asset towards the 1.2600 and 1.2500 round level supports, respectively.

 

On the other hand, if the asset surpasses the psychological resistance level of 1.3000, the cable may perform nicely. This will push the pair closer to Thursday's high of 1.3090, and then to a three-week high of 1.3147.

Daily GBP/USD Chart

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