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On March 15th, Matt Reed, Vice President of the geopolitical and energy consultancy Foreign Reports, stated that an attack on Kharg Island could trigger Iranian retaliation against Gulf oil-producing countries. He said, "Iran will retaliate in kind." The United States warned on Friday that if Iran continues to block the Strait of Hormuz, Kharg Islands oil facilities could become the next target. Reed warned that the longer the conflict continues, the harder it will be to find alternative energy supplies. "At least 10 million barrels of oil are trapped in the Gulf every day, plus more than 4 million barrels of refined petroleum products and tens of billions of cubic feet of liquefied natural gas, with no easy alternatives." The International Energy Agency has announced the largest emergency oil reserve release in history, with 32 member countries planning to release approximately 400 million barrels of oil. However, Reed believes this measure will have limited effect, stating, "By the time the oil gets to the market, it may be too little, too late." He described it as nothing more than a "band-aid."On March 15th, local time, the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued a statement saying that in the past 48 hours, the US and Israel had launched attacks on several civilian industrial facilities in Iran, resulting in the deaths of several workers. The statement said that after setbacks in its confrontation with Iran, the US and Israel have turned to attacking non-military industrial facilities. Iran warned that US companies in the region should withdraw from their facilities and urged nearby residents to stay away from industrial areas with US capital involvement to avoid potential attacks.The Swiss government has discussed the US request for military overflight. In accordance with the principle of neutrality, the Federal Council rejected two requests related to the war with Iran.Local officials said operations at the Lanaz refinery in Iraq’s Erbil province have been suspended until the fire is extinguished and the damage is assessed.On March 15th, Colombian Energy Minister Edwin Palma posted on the X platform that Venezuelas state-owned oil company PDVSA intends to terminate its contract with Colombias state-owned oil company Ecopetrol regarding the Antonio Ricardo pipeline, citing insufficient investment in its maintenance. Palma stated that the Colombian government plans to meet with the US government next Monday to discuss lifting sanctions in an effort to normalize commercial relations with Venezuela. Palma also indicated that Colombia has approved a license to resume imports of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) from Venezuela at a rate of 1.26 million gallons per month.

GBP/USD is Testing 1.3020 and is Under Pressure at the Hourly Resistance Level

Drake Hampton

Apr 22, 2022 09:55

GBP/USD is flat in Asia at 1.3029, pressured by an hourly barrier, and has traded in a narrow range between 1.3022 and 1.3035. However, the pound has been losing ground against a strong euro, while remaining relatively stable against the US dollar in the late afternoon on Wednesday.

 

Overnight, investors focused on hawkish comments from European Central Bank officials, which fueled speculation that the central bank will soon boost interest rates, sending the euro to a one-week high. It was also solid in anticipation of French President Emmanuel Macron's reelection victory on Sunday following yesterday's debate.

 

Joachim Nagel, president of Germany's Bundesbank, joined a chorus of experts in predicting an ECB rate hike in the third quarter. Meanwhile, traders have remained focused on the Bank of England's future monetary policy course.

 

The Bank of England modified its rhetoric last month on the necessity for additional interest rate hikes while emphasizing the economy's downside risks. Catherine Mann, a Bank of England monetary policymaker, provided an in-depth and counterbalancing assessment of the MPC's issues.

 

"The critical aspect was the need to combat inflation," analysts at Westpac said, adding that the latter was viewed as more worrying and exhibiting signs of spreading to pricing schemes (second-round effects), including front-loaded rate hikes. "While tightening may be reconsidered if demand deteriorates, the converse may also be true if the economy continues to perform well and inflation remains persistent.' By the end of 2022, money markets are pricing in 160 basis points of BoE rate hikes.

GBP/USD

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