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On March 15th, Matt Reed, Vice President of the geopolitical and energy consultancy Foreign Reports, stated that an attack on Kharg Island could trigger Iranian retaliation against Gulf oil-producing countries. He said, "Iran will retaliate in kind." The United States warned on Friday that if Iran continues to block the Strait of Hormuz, Kharg Islands oil facilities could become the next target. Reed warned that the longer the conflict continues, the harder it will be to find alternative energy supplies. "At least 10 million barrels of oil are trapped in the Gulf every day, plus more than 4 million barrels of refined petroleum products and tens of billions of cubic feet of liquefied natural gas, with no easy alternatives." The International Energy Agency has announced the largest emergency oil reserve release in history, with 32 member countries planning to release approximately 400 million barrels of oil. However, Reed believes this measure will have limited effect, stating, "By the time the oil gets to the market, it may be too little, too late." He described it as nothing more than a "band-aid."On March 15th, local time, the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued a statement saying that in the past 48 hours, the US and Israel had launched attacks on several civilian industrial facilities in Iran, resulting in the deaths of several workers. The statement said that after setbacks in its confrontation with Iran, the US and Israel have turned to attacking non-military industrial facilities. Iran warned that US companies in the region should withdraw from their facilities and urged nearby residents to stay away from industrial areas with US capital involvement to avoid potential attacks.The Swiss government has discussed the US request for military overflight. In accordance with the principle of neutrality, the Federal Council rejected two requests related to the war with Iran.Local officials said operations at the Lanaz refinery in Iraq’s Erbil province have been suspended until the fire is extinguished and the damage is assessed.On March 15th, Colombian Energy Minister Edwin Palma posted on the X platform that Venezuelas state-owned oil company PDVSA intends to terminate its contract with Colombias state-owned oil company Ecopetrol regarding the Antonio Ricardo pipeline, citing insufficient investment in its maintenance. Palma stated that the Colombian government plans to meet with the US government next Monday to discuss lifting sanctions in an effort to normalize commercial relations with Venezuela. Palma also indicated that Colombia has approved a license to resume imports of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) from Venezuela at a rate of 1.26 million gallons per month.

EUR/GBP Price Analysis: Pound Bulls Retain the 200-Day Exponential Moving Average at 0.8350

Drake Hampton

Apr 22, 2022 09:50

In early Tokyo, the EUR/GBP pair is bouncing within a narrow range of 0.8311-0.8320 following a tremendous slaughter. The pair fell during the New York session after failing to establish a price over 0.8350. The cross saw a steep decline on Thursday, giving up the majority of its intraday gains.

 

Sterling's durability against the shared currency has been bolstered following the cross's two kissing of the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.8372 and 0.8350. The pair is still trading above the 20-period short-term exponential moving average (EMA) at 0.8312, indicating that momentum oscillators have not yet turned bearish. The trendline drawn from the low on April 14 at 0.8250 and intersecting the lows on April 19 and 20 at 0.8280 and 0.8283, respectively, will operate as minor support for the counter.

 

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is under heavy pressure as it attempts to break through the 60.00 level. This indicates the pound bulls' strength and a possible negative move coming forward.

 

A break below the trendline at 0.8296 will drive the cross towards the low of April 14 at 0.8250, followed by the low of March 4 at 0.8231.

 

On the other hand, euro bulls may reclaim control if the currency exceeds Thursday's high of 0.8367, which would take the currency towards round-level resistance at 0.8400. If the latter is breached, the cross will accelerate toward the April 4 high of 0.8431.

Four-Hour EUR/GBP Scale

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