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UBS Group: Global oil demand is expected to see further seasonal growth in the coming months as the US driving season arrives and temperatures rise in the United States and the Middle East.May 5th news, on May 5th, the report released by CRIC Real Estate Research Center showed that the property market stopped falling and stabilized in the first quarter of 2025. Comparing the total transaction volume of new and second-hand houses in 30 typical cities in the first quarter of previous years, it can be seen that the first quarter of 2025 is basically at the median level in the past six years. In the first quarter of 2025, the transaction area of first-hand and second-hand houses reached 82.04 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 17%. At the new home level, thanks to the continued fermentation of the favorable new policies in the core first-tier cities, the transaction area of commercial housing in 115 key cities in the first quarter was 51.31 million square meters, the same as last year. From the monthly trend, since February 2024, the year-on-year decline in new home transactions has continued to narrow. By March 2025, the monthly new home transaction volume was the same as in 2024, and the signs of stopping the decline and stabilizing have begun to appear.May 5, - Swiss inflation unexpectedly fell to a low of 0% in April, government data showed on Monday, increasing the chances that the Swiss National Bank will cut interest rates again next month. Consumer prices did not rise last month compared with the same period last year, down from 0.3% increases in February and March, and at the bottom of the Swiss National Banks 0-2% target range. The data was lower than the 0.2% predicted in a Reuters poll, raising the chances that the Swiss National Bank will cut its policy rate from the current 0.25% at its next meeting to prevent inflation from falling below its 0-2% target range. Before the data was released, markets expected a 93% chance that the Swiss National Bank would cut interest rates to 0% at its June 19 meeting. There was also a 95% chance that interest rates would fall below 0% later this year.Switzerlands CPI monthly rate in April was 0%, in line with expectations of 0.20% and the previous value of 0.00%.Switzerlands CPI annual rate in April was 0%, in line with expectations of 0.20% and the previous value of 0.30%.

GBP/JPY Surpasses 161.00 Due to Firmer Rates, Discussions of UK Tax Cuts, and Concentration on BoE

Daniel Rogers

Jan 30, 2023 15:32

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GBP/JPY demonstrates moderate gains near 161.00 as it reflects the market's cautious disposition at the beginning of a key week that includes multiple monetary policy meetings and important data. Despite this, the cross-currency pair sustains its two-week recovery on the back of rising US Treasury bond yields and hawkish Bank of England forecasts (BoE).

 

Despite a tiny bid at press time, 10-year US Treasury rates remain uninspired about 3.51% after reversing a two-week decline last Friday. Concerns surrounding the Bank of England's 0.50 percentage point interest rate increase to contain inflation appear to keep GBP/JPY purchasers optimistic.

 

Notably, concerns regarding the United Kingdom's opposition to tax cuts appear to help the pair's upward momentum. Reuters quotes British finance minister Jeremy Hunt as saying on Friday that he plans to prioritize corporate tax cuts whenever public finances permit.

 

GBP/JPY sellers, on the other hand, are hopeful due to the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) continuing efforts to defend the Yield Curve Control (YCC) with recently higher inflation data from Tokyo. Japan's foundations may be on par with those of the United Kingdom, despite the former's greater stability.

 

The GBP/JPY exchange rate may experience a short-term rebound in the near future as a result of cautious optimism on the market and reduced fears of UK worker strikes. Nonetheless, the Bank of England's (BoE) rate hike and efforts to limit inflation without harming productivity will draw considerable attention.