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December 3rd Futures News: 1. WTI crude oil futures trading volume was 632,371 lots, an increase of 57,604 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 1,914,990 lots, a decrease of 741 lots from the previous trading day. 2. Brent crude oil futures trading volume was 121,090 lots, an increase of 23,692 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 222,700 lots, a decrease of 26,788 lots from the previous trading day. 3. Natural gas futures trading volume was 577,531 lots, a decrease of 49,396 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 1,523,889 lots, an increase of 12,785 lots from the previous trading day.December 3rd - According to Shenzhen Beike Research Institute, from January to November 2025, the transaction volume of new and second-hand homes in Shenzhen reached 111,519 units, an increase of 12% compared with the same period last year, setting a new high for the same period in the past five years.Airbus: The company now targets approximately 790 commercial aircraft deliveries by 2025.December 3rd - Data shows that the UK and Japan are responding to investor demand by increasing short-term borrowing. This strategic shift reduces government interest payments but also exposes them to potential high-cost interest rate volatility when rolling over debt. This year, the UK drastically reduced its sales of long-term bonds to a record low and is now considering expanding its ultra-short-term note market. In Japan, the government is heeding calls to increase short-term debt issuance after a sell-off in long-term bonds. "The risk is that if interest rates rise, your interest payments could suddenly increase dramatically," said Evelyne, a strategist at Mizuho Securities. These increases also reflect inflationary pressures and weakening demand for long-term debt from traditional buyers. For decades, UK income-generating pension funds have purchased long-term bonds to match their liabilities, allowing the UK to extend the average maturity of its bond issuances far beyond its peers. Now, many of these programs are fading.The yield on Japans 30-year government bonds rose 5 basis points to 3.425%, a record high.

Forecast for the Gold Price: XAU/USD moves up above $1,850 as yields fall following FOMC minutes

Daniel Rogers

Jan 05, 2023 15:01

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In the late New York session, the gold price (XAU/USD) has attracted buying activity following a corrective move to approach the critical support of $1,850. After failing to sustain above $1,860.00, the precious metal declined; however, the corrective move is light and does not indicate a serious reversal.

 

After a decline in the U.S. Manufacturing PMI bolstered indications of further deceleration in the U.S. Consumer Price Index, market participants' demand for risk-perceived assets such as the S&P 500 increased (CPI). In response to a decrease in product demand, corporations may be compelled to reduce the price of factory items.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell below the 104.00 level as yields on 10-year US Treasuries were subjected to intense pressure and plummeted to roughly 3.69 percent. Safe-haven assets are under pressure due to the anticipation of a further fall in inflationary pressures. After remaining aggressive throughout the entire year, Federal Reserve (Fed) head Jerome Powell changed to a slowing scenario in December regarding an interest rate hike. Undoubtedly, the inflation rate is still a significant distance from the 2% target; yet, the presence of factors that support a further deceleration in the price index weighs on safe-haven assets.