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On December 10th, analyst Neil Keane stated in a report that the risks surrounding Wednesdays Federal Reserve policy meeting lean towards less hawkish rhetoric and a willingness to further cut interest rates, which will weaken the dollar. Keane indicated that the dollar will decline, but will also be supported by seasonal factors and year-end fund flows, while stocks and metals should rise. Currently, the market widely expects a 25 basis point cut to the federal funds target rate to 3.50%-3.75%.On December 10th, analysts at First Abu Dhabi Bank stated in a report that the main point of contention at the current Federal Reserve meeting is likely how far the Fed is from ending its current easing cycle. They indicated that consensus will remain lacking on this point. Fed Chair Hassett, a leading candidate, may garner support for rate cuts, but calls for relatively stable interest rates in the coming months are growing louder. Hassett has stated that he will use his own judgment, but has also said that there is currently "ample room" for rate cuts.On December 10th, Telink Microelectronics announced on its interactive platform that it has launched specific project collaborations with Google in multiple fields, including smart home and audio. The partnership has evolved from a simple supplier of remote control chips to a deep collaboration covering audio, smart home, and edge AI. Telinks TL-EdgeAI platform, based on the TL721X series chips, supports Googles LiteRT and TVM open-source models and is currently the worlds lowest power consumption smart IoT connectivity protocol platform. Telinks chips have already been adopted in Googles Pixel Buds Pro 2 smart earphone solution. The company will continue to deepen its cooperation with Google.Market news: Ukraine and Poland are negotiating the transfer of MiG-29 fighter jets from Poland to the Ukrainian Armed Forces. In exchange, Poland is demanding that Ukraine provide certain drone and missile technologies.Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov: Russia and the United States have agreed to continue working on the Ukraine issue.

Forecast for the Gold Price: XAU/USD moves up above $1,850 as yields fall following FOMC minutes

Daniel Rogers

Jan 05, 2023 15:01

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In the late New York session, the gold price (XAU/USD) has attracted buying activity following a corrective move to approach the critical support of $1,850. After failing to sustain above $1,860.00, the precious metal declined; however, the corrective move is light and does not indicate a serious reversal.

 

After a decline in the U.S. Manufacturing PMI bolstered indications of further deceleration in the U.S. Consumer Price Index, market participants' demand for risk-perceived assets such as the S&P 500 increased (CPI). In response to a decrease in product demand, corporations may be compelled to reduce the price of factory items.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell below the 104.00 level as yields on 10-year US Treasuries were subjected to intense pressure and plummeted to roughly 3.69 percent. Safe-haven assets are under pressure due to the anticipation of a further fall in inflationary pressures. After remaining aggressive throughout the entire year, Federal Reserve (Fed) head Jerome Powell changed to a slowing scenario in December regarding an interest rate hike. Undoubtedly, the inflation rate is still a significant distance from the 2% target; yet, the presence of factors that support a further deceleration in the price index weighs on safe-haven assets.