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On May 1, institutional analysis pointed out that gold futures plummeted due to easing trade tensions and declining safe-haven demand. The strengthening of the US dollar further dampened enthusiasm for gold as a safe-haven asset and made dollar-denominated commodities more expensive for international buyers. The United States is likely to reach a trade agreement, and market optimism and risk appetite are rising. However, further losses may be limited because expectations of interest rate cuts have also been raised after the United States released a series of weak economic data. The US economy contracted by 0.3% in the first quarter. Lower interest rates usually stimulate demand for non-interest-bearing gold.Ukraines Foreign Minister: The EUs top diplomat has been informed of the mineral agreement reached with the United States.According to the Wall Street Journal: Citigroup hired Trumps former trade chief Robert Lighthizer.According to the Wall Street Journal: The U.S. government has commissioned L3Harris to completely transform a Boeing 747 once used by the Qatari government.May 1, Swissquote analyst Ipek Ozkardeskaya said Microsofts third-quarter data showed that despite concerns about oversupply, demand for artificial intelligence remains strong. Microsofts Azure cloud computing business revenue grew 35% year-on-year in constant exchange rates in the quarter ending March, higher than analysts expectations of 31%. Ozkardeskaya said the strong growth of the companys cloud business confirms that demand for artificial intelligence remains solid.

Forecast for the Gold Price: The XAU/USD pair continues to struggle below $1,850 as investors await FOMC minutes

Daniel Rogers

Jan 04, 2023 15:03

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After clearing the $1,800.00 barrier, the gold price (XAU/USD) has leveled off around $1,844.00 in the early European session. The precious metal continues to struggle to surpass the important resistance level of $1,850. Following the release of United States ISM Manufacturing PMI data, the gold price is anticipated to demonstrate a significant move.

 

S&P500 futures tried a recovery rise in the Asian session following a two-day decline, but require more filters to draw a responsive purchasing action, indicating cautious optimism. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is fighting to hold above the 104.20 threshold as 10-year US Treasury yields decline below 3.73 percent.

 

The ISM Manufacturing PMI is likely to decline further to 48.5, from 49.0 in November, according to forecasts. The Federal Reserve (Fed) could be compelled to scale down its policy tightening measures as a result of weakening manufacturing activity in the United States, which are anticipated to herald a further decline in inflation estimates. Thursday's release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes will provide investors with greater insight into the prospects for monetary policy.


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