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Iranian President Pezhichyan: All measures must be aimed at maintaining national unity. Through unity, we will overcome any crisis.June 18, Capital.com analyst Daniela Hathorn said in a report that the latest inflation data in the UK is unlikely to affect the Bank of England to resume cutting interest rates. The annual rate of CPI in the UK slowed down moderately to 3.4% in May from 3.5% in April. Although not catastrophic, these data did not impress those who hoped for a stronger trend of inflation decline. The market generally expects the Bank of England to keep the interest rate unchanged at 4.25% in Thursdays interest rate decision.June 18th, John Velis, macro strategist for the Americas at Bank of New York Mellon, said that no interest rate changes are expected at the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, but the new Summary of Economic Projections may affect the market. The dot plot will indicate that the rate cut in 2025 will be lower than previously expected. Given that the market expects nearly two rate cuts this year, a more hawkish dot plot may disrupt the market. The Federal Reserve has become increasingly cautious about cutting interest rates in 2025, noting that inflation remains the top priority for most members who have shared their ideas. Given the continued uncertainty in policy, the Federal Reserve is unlikely to soften its interest rate views. After June, there are only four Federal Reserve meetings left this year, and it seems increasingly unlikely that there will be time for aggressive easing during the year.Hong Kongs Hang Seng Index closed at 23,710.69 points on June 18 (Wednesday), down 269.61 points, or 1.12%. Hong Kongs Hang Seng Tech Index closed at 5,214.41 points on June 18 (Wednesday), down 77.44 points, or 1.46%. The CSI 300 Index closed at 8,594.19 points on June 18 (Wednesday), down 100.48 points, or 1.16%. The H-share Index closed at 4,091.13 points on June 18 (Wednesday), down 36.17 points, or 0.88%.June 18, ING Bank commodity strategists said that the biggest concern in the oil market is the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which will affect the flow of oil in the Persian Gulf. Nearly one-third of the worlds seaborne oil trade passes through this choke point. Severe disruptions in oil circulation are enough to push oil prices up to $120 a barrel. They predict that in this case, OPECs spare capacity will not help ease market tensions, as most of the spare capacity is located in the Persian Gulf. In this case, governments may have to use their strategic oil reserves, although this is only a temporary solution.

Forecast for the Gold Price: The XAU/USD pair continues to struggle below $1,850 as investors await FOMC minutes

Daniel Rogers

Jan 04, 2023 15:03

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After clearing the $1,800.00 barrier, the gold price (XAU/USD) has leveled off around $1,844.00 in the early European session. The precious metal continues to struggle to surpass the important resistance level of $1,850. Following the release of United States ISM Manufacturing PMI data, the gold price is anticipated to demonstrate a significant move.

 

S&P500 futures tried a recovery rise in the Asian session following a two-day decline, but require more filters to draw a responsive purchasing action, indicating cautious optimism. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is fighting to hold above the 104.20 threshold as 10-year US Treasury yields decline below 3.73 percent.

 

The ISM Manufacturing PMI is likely to decline further to 48.5, from 49.0 in November, according to forecasts. The Federal Reserve (Fed) could be compelled to scale down its policy tightening measures as a result of weakening manufacturing activity in the United States, which are anticipated to herald a further decline in inflation estimates. Thursday's release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes will provide investors with greater insight into the prospects for monetary policy.