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On September 19th, CNN reported on September 18th that sources said the US military narrowly avoided an incident after using an AI-generated false intelligence report. The report stated that this spring, during the war with Iran, an intelligence report circulating among US military personnel raised concerns. The report claimed that a Chinese ship was transporting components for a nuclear weapons program in the Middle East. Four sources familiar with the incident said the US military quickly initiated a plan to intercept the ship. Two of the sources indicated that US military personnel were preparing to board. One source and another informed source stated that US military aircraft had been scrambled. However, just as the planned operation was about to begin, US officials thoroughly examined the report, compiled by analysts from the US Special Operations Command, and discovered that it was generated using AI. The chatbot used by the analyst had incorrectly identified the cargo.Commander of U.S. Central Command: We are forming a new coalition attack drone force.Commander of U.S. Central Command: The U.S. is working with partners to increase shipping volume through the Strait of Hormuz.Commander of U.S. Central Command: The main passageways of the Strait of Hormuz have not been affected by mines.On September 19th, MS NOW stated that its reporters were denied entry to the White House premises earlier that day. MS NOW stated, "The White House belongs to the American people, and decisions made within the White House are supported by our taxpayer money." The media outlet indicated that MS NOW plans to take all necessary measures to uphold its First Amendment rights and the vital role of independent journalism in a democratic system. This comes after US President Trump announced an immediate ban on CNN, MS NOW, and Politico from entering the White House, citing their long-standing practice of publishing "fake news."

WTI falls further below $77.00 as China's Covid crisis stalls the rebound

Alina Haynes

Jan 04, 2023 15:01

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West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) have experienced a straight decline after testing the previous week's high at $81, accompanied by minimal buying demand. As investors fret over China's sluggish economic recovery, the oil price has plummeted to a level close to $77.00 and is likely to continue falling.

 

The market anticipates a sluggish recovery in China's economic operations following a surge of Covid-19 cases caused by the administration's rapid reopening efforts. The Covid situation is becoming increasingly precarious as medical authorities lose control over the management of sick patients.

 

According to historical evidence, the reopening of an economy results in pent-up demand for commodities, which accelerates inflationary pressures dramatically. Analysts at Danske Bank opine, "A Chinese rebound will have a favorable influence on the global economy, but its effect on commodity prices would be inflationary."

 

In the meantime, the oil price was not supported by Caixin Manufacturing PMI data that exceeded expectations. IHS Markit provided economic statistics of 49.0, which is greater than the consensus estimate of 48.8 but less than the previous release of 49.4.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is able to hold above the crucial support level of 104.00. The oil price is likely to remain on edge until the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes are released. Despite the fact that the bulk of inflation indicators indicate lower demand and indications that inflation has peaked, the labor market is exceptionally tight and the inflation rate is still much above the objective of 2%. The FOMC minutes will provide the forecast for monetary policy in CY2023.

 

More policy tightening by the Federal Reserve (Fed) could raise the possibility of recession, which is susceptible to oil demand and could have a big impact on oil prices.


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