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May 6th - Bond traders are increasing their bets that the Federal Reserves next policy move will likely be a rate hike rather than a rate cut. Swap contracts linked to central bank interest rate decisions currently show that the market expects a greater than 50% probability of a Fed rate hike before April next year, prior to any rate cut. More and more traders are also increasing their positions to hedge against the risk of a rising probability of a rate hike before the end of the year. This shift in market conditions comes as policymakers appear increasingly divided on the interest rate outlook. Lawrence Gillum, chief fixed income strategist at LPL Financial, believes that the possibility of a rate cut this year still exists, but this probability will gradually decrease as the conflict with Iran continues. He stated, "Theres no doubt that Warshs path forward will be challenging."Lucid Group (LCID.O) executives: Due to geopolitical conflicts, there were some delays in the delivery of equipment to the Saudi factory, but the team has successfully mitigated the situation.According to the UAEs national news agency, the UAE president received phone calls from several leaders, including Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, who condemned Irans attack on the UAE and expressed their support for the measures the UAE has taken to maintain security.AMD (AMD.O) shares rose more than 11% in after-hours trading.ChatGPT has announced its availability as a plugin for Excel and Google Sheets. ChatGPT states that it helps analyze messy data, write formulas, update spreadsheets, and explain the steps involved—all without leaving the spreadsheet interface. The service will be powered by GPT-5.5.

Despite an increase in US official oil stock statistics, WTI extends its rebound to near $79.00

Daniel Rogers

Dec 30, 2022 11:20

 截屏2022-12-29 下午4.54.13_1024x576.png

 

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) have continued their recovery move over the important resistance level of $78.50 during the Tokyo morning session. As a result of supply concerns due to a prohibition on oil sales from Russia to G7 nations and the European Union and anticipation of a recovery in demand predictions in China as a result of reopening steps, the oil price experienced buying activity around $77.00.

 

Russia has no intention of supplying fossil fuels at prices lower than those prevailing on the market, therefore oil supply is projected to remain a key concern. Without a question, western nations are actively seeking alternatives to Russia to meet their oil demand, but their reliance on Russian oil will keep them in agony in the medium run.

 

Meanwhile, the sheer velocity of reopening steps by the Chinese government in Beijing has caused short-term chaos owing to a sharp increase in the number of infections; however, Covid-19 may have reached its peak and the economy will restore its forward momentum.

 

According to a letter from Goldman Sachs economists, "For oil prices, we remain bullish on oil prices in the immediate future given the possibility for increasing China demand, and reduced supply growth from US shale due to discipline/tight service markets, and OPEC+ quota reduction."

 

The United States Energy Information Administration (EIA) stated on Thursday, for the week ending December 23, that the oil price rebounded following a short decline due to an increase in oil stockpiles. The official US agency reported an increase of 0.718,000 million barrels in oil inventories, whereas the market had anticipated a decrease of 1.52 million barrels.

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