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On September 13, the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA) reported, citing local Iranian officials, that an Iranian container ship was attacked by an unidentified projectile in the waters near the Strait of Hormuz, resulting in one death and four injuries.On September 13th, market observers stated that Anthropic executives call to slow down technological development could drag down chipmaker and supply chain stocks in the short term, but the long-term impact is likely to be limited as spending on computing infrastructure remains strong. Semiconductor manufacturers and other AI-related stocks are likely to be hit hardest in Mondays initial sell-off as investors assess whether a more cautious approach to developing advanced models will dampen earnings. However, given that demand for chips, energy, and computing power continues to outpace supply, any weakness is likely to be temporary. Investors, including Gary Tan, portfolio manager at Singapore-based Allspring Global Investments, are skeptical about a lasting impact on the industry. "This could create some short-term pressure, but its unlikely to derail the long-term AI deal. AI development is still in its relatively early stages, and Im not sure if the rest of the ecosystem is willing to accept the current hierarchy and slow down while the technology is still evolving so rapidly," he said.On September 13th, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy posted on social media that Russia had launched approximately 2,100 drones (many of which were Shahed drones) at Ukraine this week alone. In addition, Russia used nearly 1,700 glide bombs and 78 rockets of various types in an attempt to paralyze the Ukrainian economy and disrupt peoples lives. This night and this morning, energy, Ukrainian railways, businesses, and ordinary residences were attacked. The Russian military attacked Odessa with rockets and drones. Recovery work is still underway in many western regions following the nights attacks.On September 13, Russian State Atomic Energy Corporation (Rosatoburo) CEO Likhachev stated that Ukrainian forces deliberately attacked a convoy of oil tankers carrying diesel fuel for the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant at 2:28 PM on September 11. The attack resulted in the deaths of two Russian soldiers and injuries to several others. Likhachev said that Ukraines deliberate provocation regarding the nuclear power plant has unpredictable consequences. Ukraine has not yet responded.The U.S. National Hurricane Center reports that Norbert has strengthened slightly and is expected to dissipate east of Hawaii by mid-next week.

WTI crude oil drifts above $80.00 amidst a US Dollar rebound and supply shortage concerns

Alina Haynes

Apr 10, 2023 14:16

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In the early hours of Monday, purchasers of WTI crude oil struggled to maintain the price above $80.70 as risk aversion and hawkish Fed forecasts bolstered the US Dollar. However, threats to Oil supplies, primarily emanating from China and OPEC+, appear to keep purchasers of black gold optimistic.

 

US Dollar Index (DXY) reverses a four-day downtrend near 102.25 despite the inability of US Treasury bond yields to recover due to recession concerns. However, US 10-year and 2-year Treasury bond yields remain under pressure near 3.37 percent and 3.95 percent, respectively. In doing so, the benchmark bond coupons extend the previous day's losses and illustrate the market's flight to protection in response to concerns of an economic decline.

 

In spite of this, the recent disappointing US data reignite concerns of a recession in the world's largest economy and challenge the optimists in the energy sector. However, the positive US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data enabled Fed hawks to return to the table and renew demands for a 0.25 percentage point rate hike in May. The same constrains the value of the US dollar and stimulates demand for WTI crude oil.

 

On the other hand, geopolitical concerns surrounding China, particularly after the dragon nation's military exercises near Taiwan, combine with last week's unexpected OPEC+ production cut to keep Oil purchasers optimistic.

 

China's willingness to defend the global economy through robust monetary and fiscal easing at home also enables Oil purchasers to maintain optimism in the face of optimism among the world's largest Oil consumers.

 

The Easter Monday holiday in spot markets may limit Oil price movements, but the investors appear to be out of steam, so US inflation and Fed Minutes will be closely monitored for signs of a pullback.


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