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July 5th - OPEC+, comprised of OPEC and other oil-producing nations, will hold its monthly meeting later today. An informed source indicated that OPEC+ has agreed in principle to increase crude oil production quotas by 188,000 barrels per day in August. Two other sources stated that this increase is the most likely decision.July 5th - The Malian military reported on the 4th that military positions in multiple locations across Mali were subjected to a new round of coordinated attacks by armed groups. The military successfully repelled all attacks, and the attacked positions remain under its "complete control." The report stated that these attacks occurred in Agailok, Anefisse, Gao in northern Mali, and Sevare in central Mali. A local official in Gao said that before dawn on the 4th, militants launched a fierce attack on military camps with guns and rockets. A local resident said, "This morning, no one can leave their homes... The Malian armed forces have blocked all the streets. The gunfire was so intense, it felt like the roofs were about to collapse."July 5th - According to Israeli sources on the 5th local time, Israeli Transportation Minister Miri Regev confirmed that Israel deployed an Iron Dome air defense system to the United Arab Emirates in the early stages of the US-Israel-Iran conflict. This marks the first time the Iron Dome has been deployed to a country outside of Israel and the United States. Reportedly, this is the first time an Israeli government official has publicly acknowledged deploying the Iron Dome system to the UAE. Previously, related reports had been confirmed by US officials.OPEC+ sources: OPEC+ has agreed in principle to increase its oil production target by 188,000 barrels per day starting in August.On July 5th, at the 2026 Global Digital Economy Conference Results Release Conference, Lu Ya, Vice President of the Beijing Academy of Social Sciences, released the "Beijing Digital Economy Development Report (2025-2026)" blue book. The report shows that in 2025, Beijings digital economy added value exceeded 2.4 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.7%, accounting for 46.4% of GDP. It ranked second in the global digital economy benchmark city index evaluation, with a development index value of 0.770, firmly maintaining its position as a "global leading city." Lu Ya introduced that Beijings status as the "No. 1 city for artificial intelligence" continues to be consolidated. In 2025, the core artificial intelligence industry scale reached approximately 450 billion yuan, attracting over 2,500 related enterprises. As of April 2026, 225 large-scale models had been registered. Innovation and industry application of large-scale models are accelerating in both directions, rapidly empowering industrial upgrading, technological innovation, and public services. The market-oriented reform of data elements is being deepened, and breakthroughs have been achieved in the construction of "one zone and three centers." The on-exchange transaction volume of the Beijing International Big Data Exchange increased by 150% year-on-year, and the circulation of trusted data space is deepening around key areas such as healthcare and audiovisual media.

WTI crude oil drifts above $80.00 amidst a US Dollar rebound and supply shortage concerns

Alina Haynes

Apr 10, 2023 14:16

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In the early hours of Monday, purchasers of WTI crude oil struggled to maintain the price above $80.70 as risk aversion and hawkish Fed forecasts bolstered the US Dollar. However, threats to Oil supplies, primarily emanating from China and OPEC+, appear to keep purchasers of black gold optimistic.

 

US Dollar Index (DXY) reverses a four-day downtrend near 102.25 despite the inability of US Treasury bond yields to recover due to recession concerns. However, US 10-year and 2-year Treasury bond yields remain under pressure near 3.37 percent and 3.95 percent, respectively. In doing so, the benchmark bond coupons extend the previous day's losses and illustrate the market's flight to protection in response to concerns of an economic decline.

 

In spite of this, the recent disappointing US data reignite concerns of a recession in the world's largest economy and challenge the optimists in the energy sector. However, the positive US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data enabled Fed hawks to return to the table and renew demands for a 0.25 percentage point rate hike in May. The same constrains the value of the US dollar and stimulates demand for WTI crude oil.

 

On the other hand, geopolitical concerns surrounding China, particularly after the dragon nation's military exercises near Taiwan, combine with last week's unexpected OPEC+ production cut to keep Oil purchasers optimistic.

 

China's willingness to defend the global economy through robust monetary and fiscal easing at home also enables Oil purchasers to maintain optimism in the face of optimism among the world's largest Oil consumers.

 

The Easter Monday holiday in spot markets may limit Oil price movements, but the investors appear to be out of steam, so US inflation and Fed Minutes will be closely monitored for signs of a pullback.


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