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1. U.S. stock indexes closed mixed. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.29% to 51,712.71 points, the S&P 500 fell 0.37% to 7,472.79 points, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.32% to 26,166.6 points. Caterpillar rose more than 3%, and Amgen rose more than 2%, leading the Dow. The Wind U.S. Tech Big Seven Index fell 2.33%, with Google falling more than 5% and Amazon falling more than 4%. SpaceX fell more than 16%, wiping out $400 billion in market value and falling below its first-day closing price. 2. European stock indexes closed mixed. The German DAX rose 0.62% to 25,139.69 points; the French CAC40 fell 0.25% to 8,400.11 points; and the UK FTSE 100 rose 0.72% to 10,437.85 points. 3. US Treasury yields rose across the board. The 2-year Treasury yield rose 5.31 basis points to 4.226%, the 3-year Treasury yield rose 5.36 basis points to 4.246%, the 5-year Treasury yield rose 5.86 basis points to 4.287%, the 10-year Treasury yield rose 5.55 basis points to 4.509%, and the 30-year Treasury yield rose 4.97 basis points to 4.948%. 4. The most active US crude oil futures contract closed down 3.21% at $74.08 per barrel; the most active Brent crude oil futures contract fell 2.8% to $77.81 per barrel. 5. International precious metals futures generally closed higher. COMEX gold futures rose 0.88% to $4209.70 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures rose 0.42% to $65.19 per ounce. 6. Most London base metals rose, with LME zinc up 1.28% to $3,602.0/ton, LME nickel up 0.74% to $17,710.0/ton, LME copper up 0.56% to $13,671.0/ton, LME lead up 0.56% to $1,965.0/ton, LME tin down 0.11% to $53,235.0/ton, and LME aluminum down 1.07% to $3,360.0/ton.UK grid operator: Ample power supply expected this winter.June 23 - Asian stocks are poised for a higher open as market optimism about progress in US-Iran peace talks boosts oil prices, offsetting weakness in Wall Street stocks after declines in several tech giants dragged down benchmark indices. Stock index futures suggest gains in Sydney, Hong Kong, and Tokyo markets. SpaceX shares plunged 16% on Monday after announcing a large-scale investment-grade bond issuance. Market expectations of a US-Iran agreement, coupled with a recovery in AI trade and robust corporate earnings, have propelled the S&P 500 nearly 20% from its war-induced lows. UBSs Chief Investment Office stated that while geopolitical developments may remain a major source of market volatility in the short term, shifts in investor confidence regarding the sustainability of the AI rally could also cause market fluctuations.Air raid sirens have been issued in Kyiv, Ukraine, and the government is urging residents to seek refuge.June 23 – According to CNN, citing a source familiar with the matter, a large-scale layoff initiated by Bill Pulte, acting Director of National Intelligence appointed by US President Trump, began on Monday. The source stated, "The purge of the deep state has begun," but declined to specify the number of positions to be cut. Previously, sources indicated that Pulte was considering cutting hundreds of positions in the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI). The source said that Pulte arrived at his post the day before his official start date last week and requested a complete list of all office staff, a move that even caught outgoing Director of National Intelligence Gabbard off guard. Another source indicated that the National Counterterrorism Center and the National Counterintelligence and Security Center are expected to be the primary targets of the layoffs.

WTI crude oil drifts above $80.00 amidst a US Dollar rebound and supply shortage concerns

Alina Haynes

Apr 10, 2023 14:16

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In the early hours of Monday, purchasers of WTI crude oil struggled to maintain the price above $80.70 as risk aversion and hawkish Fed forecasts bolstered the US Dollar. However, threats to Oil supplies, primarily emanating from China and OPEC+, appear to keep purchasers of black gold optimistic.

 

US Dollar Index (DXY) reverses a four-day downtrend near 102.25 despite the inability of US Treasury bond yields to recover due to recession concerns. However, US 10-year and 2-year Treasury bond yields remain under pressure near 3.37 percent and 3.95 percent, respectively. In doing so, the benchmark bond coupons extend the previous day's losses and illustrate the market's flight to protection in response to concerns of an economic decline.

 

In spite of this, the recent disappointing US data reignite concerns of a recession in the world's largest economy and challenge the optimists in the energy sector. However, the positive US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data enabled Fed hawks to return to the table and renew demands for a 0.25 percentage point rate hike in May. The same constrains the value of the US dollar and stimulates demand for WTI crude oil.

 

On the other hand, geopolitical concerns surrounding China, particularly after the dragon nation's military exercises near Taiwan, combine with last week's unexpected OPEC+ production cut to keep Oil purchasers optimistic.

 

China's willingness to defend the global economy through robust monetary and fiscal easing at home also enables Oil purchasers to maintain optimism in the face of optimism among the world's largest Oil consumers.

 

The Easter Monday holiday in spot markets may limit Oil price movements, but the investors appear to be out of steam, so US inflation and Fed Minutes will be closely monitored for signs of a pullback.


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