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On April 11, Iranian First Vice President Aref posted on social media that if Iran negotiates with the "America First" US representatives in Islamabad, Pakistan, it is likely to reach an agreement beneficial to both sides and the world. However, if facing the "Israel First" US representatives, no agreement will be reached, and "we will inevitably continue to defend ourselves more resolutely than ever before, and the world will pay a greater price."Market news: Local authorities said that drone debris crashed at night in an area of an oil depot in Russias Krasnodar Krai, causing a fire that has been extinguished.April 11th - According to foreign media reports, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer has decided to increase UK defense spending at a faster pace than currently planned in an effort to counter potential leadership challenges. The UKs defense spending has fallen behind allies such as Germany, and the government had previously set a target of increasing core defense spending to 3.5% of economic output by 2035. The decision to increase defense spending is essentially finalized, but specific details are still pending. The UK Treasury insists that any significant increase in defense spending must be achieved through tax increases or spending cuts.On April 11, the Japanese government approved an additional subsidy of 631.5 billion yen (approximately US$4 billion) to accelerate Rapiduss entry into the highly competitive field of artificial intelligence chip manufacturing. This funding aims to support Rapiduss business operations for IT company Fujitsu. The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry stated on Saturday that the additional funding brings the total amount of government funding and investment in the startup to 2.6 trillion yen (approximately US$16.3 billion) in the current fiscal year (ending March 2027). The ministry said an external committee has inspected Rapiduss wafer fab in northern Hokkaido and approved its technological progress. The newly established chipmaker began developing wafers using 2-nanometer technology last year, aiming to mass-produce cutting-edge semiconductors by 2027 and help Japan reduce its reliance on industry leader TSMC.April 11th - A Bank of America research report indicates that the Eurozone is far more sensitive to oil prices than the United States. The study found that a 10% shock to oil prices would have an inflationary impact of approximately 40 basis points and a corresponding growth impact of over 10 basis points. Both of these effects are roughly twice that in the United States. We believe this result is due to the higher proportion of energy in Europes consumption basket and the regions status as a net importer of oil.

Natural Gas Price Prediction: XNG/USD depicts corrective rebound near $2.15, 20-month low

Daniel Rogers

Apr 10, 2023 14:21

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Natural Gas (XNG/USD) gains bids to consolidate recent losses near $2.17, gaining 0.55% intraday on Monday. In doing so, the energy source recovers from its lowest levels in twenty months, recorded the previous day, amidst fears of a supply crunch emanating from China and Russia.

 

The visit of Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen to the United States has sparked a new round of tensions between the United States and China, as China conducts large-scale military exercises near the Taiwan Strait. The same could be considered a risk-negative and a major challenge for Gas transportation, allowing the XNG/USD to lick its wounds near levels not seen since August 2020. The island's defense ministry reported multiple air force sorties and was monitoring China's missile forces, as reported by Reuters.

 

On the other hand, the four-week downward trend of the US Dollar and rumors encircling the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate reduction in late 2023 appear to support the corrective rebound of the quote, due to its inverse relations with the USD.

 

In addition, the beginning of the summer travel season in Europe and Russia's willingness to heighten geopolitical concerns about Ukraine by employing nuclear weapons in the multi-month-long conflict with Kyiv both favor XNG/USD purchasers.

 

The price of Natural Gas is impacted by concerns of a dismal winter in the West and Russia's inability to capitalize on its gas monopoly. In a similar vein could be the recession concerns, which are largely supported by the most recent negative US data.

 

Nonetheless, the ebullient US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) numbers released on Friday bolster hawkish Fed wagers. With this, the CME’s FedWatch Tool suggests 69% odds of the 0.25% rate rise in May, versus 55% before the US employment report.

 

While portraying the atmosphere, S&P 500 Futures print modest losses around 4,132 while snapping a two-day uptrend whereas the US 10-year and two-year Treasury bond yields remain pressured near 3.37% and 3.95% respectively. In doing so, the benchmark bond coupons extend the previous day’s losses and depict the market’s stampede toward the risk-safety amid economic slowdown concerns. Further, the US Dollar Index (DXY) nurses its wounds around a two-month low while the WTI crude oil rises to $80.80 by the press time.

 

Looking forward, the Easter Monday holiday can restrict the market’s intraday moves. However, updates from the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes will be crucial for near-term directions as speculative assets seem losing their appeal. It’s worth mentioning that the commencement of earnings season will also be essential for traders to monitor amid recession woes.


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