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February 14th - With the Spring Festival holiday approaching, the demand for returning home to visit relatives and traveling is increasing daily. The 9-day holiday has led many to choose self-driving travel, causing a surge in the pre-holiday car rental market. With the continuous improvement of civil aviation and railway transportation networks, the "comprehensive transportation + on-site car rental" model, with its efficiency and flexibility, is widely favored by families traveling and returning home. Data shows that this years Spring Festival car rental market is characterized by early start, long rental periods, and high growth, with both rental orders and user scale achieving year-on-year growth. In terms of vehicle selection, many consumers prefer intelligent and green new energy vehicles. Data shows that during this years Spring Festival travel rush, the number of new energy vehicle rental bookings increased sixfold year-on-year.February 14th - On February 13th, Hang Seng Indexes Company Limited announced the results of its quarterly review of the Hang Seng Indexes series, with Dio & Co. (06090.HK), the parent company of the maternal and infant brand BeBeBus, being included in the Hang Seng Composite Index. This constituent stock adjustment will be implemented after the market closes on March 6th and will officially take effect on March 9th. At that time, the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges will simultaneously adjust the scope of investable stocks through the Stock Connect program, and Dio & Co. will be included in the Stock Connect program.Natco Pharma: Approved by the Indian drug regulatory agency to manufacture and sell smegglutide products.February 14th - According to data from the official website of the Beijing Municipal Commission of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, on February 13th, 85 new homes were registered online in Beijing, with a total area of 10,855.75 square meters, including 43 residential units with a total area of 5,395.44 square meters; 220 existing homes were registered online, with a total area of 19,413.37 square meters, including 195 residential units with a total area of 18,062.41 square meters.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially reported that a magnitude 3.1 earthquake occurred at 12:06 on February 14 in Yecheng County, Kashgar Prefecture, Xinjiang (36.63 degrees north latitude, 77.10 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 96 kilometers.

WTI crude oil climbs above $80.00 as NFP and recession fears contend with an OPEC+ surprise

Daniel Rogers

Apr 07, 2023 11:36

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As energy markets celebrate the Good Friday holiday, WTI crude oil prices remain stable around $80.50, poised for a three-week uptrend. In doing so, black gold defends the week-beginning gains provided by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, headed by Russia, known as OPEC+, who announced a surprise output cut. However, concerns of a recession and a cautious disposition ahead of the March US employment report have recently posed a challenge to the energy benchmark.

 

The OPEC+ group startled the market with a voluntary output decline of nearly 1.66 million barrels per day. The International Energy Agency (IEA) stated, in response to the OPEC+ announcements, that the OPEC+ decision to reduce oil output risks aggravating a stressed market by driving up oil prices in response to inflationary pressures.

 

On the other hand, the US Dollar's weakness, bolstered by disappointing US data, supported the recovery of the black gold.

 

In spite of this, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has a four-day losing streak and is currently trading around 102.000.

 

Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 31 increased to 228K from 200K expected and an upwardly revised 246K the previous week. Notable is that the Challenger Job Cuts for the given month increased from 77,77K to 89,703K. Previously, US JOLTS Job Openings fell to a 19-month low in February, and March's ADP Employment Change figures of 145K also disappointed markets. In addition, the US ISM Services PMI for March decreased to 51.2 compared to 54.5 anticipated and 55.1 previously.

 

China's optimism for economic development and optimistic activity data from the dragon nation could also support the oil price. Pan Gongsheng, the director of China's State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE), stated on Friday that Beijing "will defend itself against external financial market shocks and risks."

 

It should be noted, however, that recent calls for a recession pose a challenge to WTI crude oil purchasers, and more signs of economic decline should be monitored for direction, particularly when commodity prices trade near the key short-term resistance line.

 

In addition to the news about the recession, the March US employment report will be crucial to monitor for direction. Analysts anticipate a decline in headline Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) to 240K from 311K previously, with the unemployment rate remaining unchanged at 3.6%. However, the contradictory forecasts for Average Hourly Wages make the outcome even more intriguing.


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