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On May 28, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Baghae issued a statement strongly condemning the US military attack on parts of Bandar Abbas in southern Iran early that morning. Baghae stated that this act was a blatant violation of Irans territorial integrity and national sovereignty, and a serious breach of international law and the UN Charter. Baghae pointed out that the UN Security Council has a responsibility to fulfill its legal obligations and hold the US accountable.On May 28th, according to Investinglive, gold prices fell to a two-month low this week due to a lack of substantial progress on the US-Iran issue and the risk of a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve. Despite market expectations of an imminent agreement and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, no official confirmation has been released. Currently, there is only a lot of noise and rumors. Furthermore, in the past few days, both the US and Iran have conducted limited military strikes, but the US continues to maintain that the ceasefire agreement remains in effect. Regarding the Federal Reserve, a growing number of policymakers are now advocating abandoning the dovish bias, so we can expect this to happen at the June FOMC meeting. Moreover, if there are no changes in the US-Iran situation before then, with persistently high inflation and resilient US data, the market may see a hawkish surprise. In the short term, if the situation is resolved and the Strait reopens, lower oil prices and rising expectations of interest rate cuts may support gold prices. However, if the Strait remains closed for a longer period and oil prices remain high, the risk of the Federal Reserve being forced to raise interest rates will increase.Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman: Iran expresses solidarity with Oman following “threats from U.S. officials.”According to RIA Novosti, the head of Russias Foreign Intelligence Service stated that the European Union is accelerating its military buildup and is evolving into a military alliance against Russia.On May 28th, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde stated on Thursday that governments may be inclined to strengthen control over monetary authorities, making the maintenance of central bank independence even more crucial amidst an increasingly challenging global order. Lagarde said, "In an increasingly difficult world, the challenge is no longer just maintaining legal independence, but more importantly, maintaining the credibility needed to exercise that independence." "History has taught us a very clear lesson: building trust takes a long time, but losing it takes only a moment." Lagarde noted that over the past decade, the "de facto independence" of central banks in nearly half of the countries representing approximately 75% of global GDP has deteriorated. She also emphasized that policymakers face an increasingly unfavorable environment, including more frequent supply shocks, rising fiscal pressures, and declining public trust in public institutions. In this context, credibility earned through action is becoming increasingly decisive.

WTI advances toward $75.00 as China-related demand optimism offsets recession fears

Daniel Rogers

Jan 09, 2023 11:55

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In the early hours of Monday, WTI steadily climbs near the intraday high of $74.70 as bullish emotion competes with economic slowdown worries. Despite this, the weaker US Dollar and a light schedule allow buyers of black gold to maintain control following Friday's mixed performance.

 

In spite of this, the risk profile remains elevated in light of China's reopening of its borders after a three-year closure. On the same line, Guo Shuqing, party secretary of the People's Bank of China, made his remarks (PBOC).

 

Reuters, transmitting China unlock news, claimed that "about 2 billion journeys are anticipated this season, roughly doubling the volume of previous year, and recovering to 70% of 2019 levels," citing a statement from the Chinese government.

 

On the other side, PBOC's Shuqing stated, "The world's second-largest economy is likely to recover rapidly due to the country's optimal Covid-19 response and the continued implementation of its economic policies."

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell the most in three weeks the day before, down 0.20% intraday to 103.70 as of press time, as the US employment report failed to excite greenback purchasers and the US activity numbers stoked fears of an economic slowdown. It's worth mentioning that the previous day's disappointing US wage growth, ISM Services PMI, and Factory Orders weighed on Treasury bond yields and the DXY.

 

On a different page, reports regarding a delay in the restoration of the colonial pipeline and the Russia-Ukraine conflict appear to also benefit energy buyers. Traders fear additional rate hikes ahead of the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December from China and the United States on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively, which tests the positive momentum.