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Market news: A U.S. judge will hold a closed-door "settlement meeting" on Friday regarding the Trump tariff refund case, meeting with relevant parties.On March 6th, Nicholas Gwee, portfolio strategist at RBC Wealth Management, stated that Japan faces greater challenges than other countries in the region given the Middle East conflict, as Japan is a net importer of oil. He noted, "Over 90% of Japans imported crude oil comes from the Middle East, with over 60% transported through the Strait of Hormuz. Japan also relies on Middle Eastern supplies of liquefied natural gas and naphtha." Gwee stated that if the conflict continues, the sectors most affected include banking and financial services, aviation and transportation, shipping, energy-intensive manufacturing, refining and petrochemicals, as well as electronics and export-oriented industries. He added, "If the conflict drags on and restricts energy supplies, the Japanese stock market will continue to be under pressure."The Indian government has mandated that all refineries operating in India should maximize the production of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) from propane and butane fractions and supply it to IOCL, HPCL, and BPCL.On March 6th, Futures reported that gold prices rose and then fell this week. As of March 5th, the domestic 99.99% spot gold price was 1151.26 yuan/gram. The evolution of the Middle East geopolitical situation has a mixed impact on gold. Firstly, the escalating geopolitical fragmentation has led to a decrease in market risk appetite, supporting gold and thus driving up precious metal prices. Meanwhile, rising oil prices may lead to increased global energy costs, which in turn will push up inflation through the supply chain. Gold, due to its natural monetary characteristics, serves as a hedge against inflation and receives price support. Secondly, this event represents Trumps move to strengthen the dollars dominance in the global oil trade system, stimulating the US dollar index and indirectly putting downward pressure on gold prices. Looking ahead, the macroeconomic outlook remains mixed. It is recommended to pay attention to the power struggle between Trump and the Supreme Court over global tariffs and tariff refunds, US non-farm payroll and CPI data, and further developments in the Middle East geopolitical situation. Gold is expected to experience wide fluctuations in the short term.March 6th Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: Gold prices recently rose intraday, attempting to escape the clearly oversold condition on the Relative Strength Index (RSI), especially with the emergence of positive overlapping signals, gold prices gained some upward momentum and recorded cautious gains. However, downward pressure remains due to trading consistently below the EMA50, hindering its short-term recovery and impacting its ability to break through the short-term upward trend line.

WTI advances toward $75.00 as China-related demand optimism offsets recession fears

Daniel Rogers

Jan 09, 2023 11:55

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In the early hours of Monday, WTI steadily climbs near the intraday high of $74.70 as bullish emotion competes with economic slowdown worries. Despite this, the weaker US Dollar and a light schedule allow buyers of black gold to maintain control following Friday's mixed performance.

 

In spite of this, the risk profile remains elevated in light of China's reopening of its borders after a three-year closure. On the same line, Guo Shuqing, party secretary of the People's Bank of China, made his remarks (PBOC).

 

Reuters, transmitting China unlock news, claimed that "about 2 billion journeys are anticipated this season, roughly doubling the volume of previous year, and recovering to 70% of 2019 levels," citing a statement from the Chinese government.

 

On the other side, PBOC's Shuqing stated, "The world's second-largest economy is likely to recover rapidly due to the country's optimal Covid-19 response and the continued implementation of its economic policies."

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell the most in three weeks the day before, down 0.20% intraday to 103.70 as of press time, as the US employment report failed to excite greenback purchasers and the US activity numbers stoked fears of an economic slowdown. It's worth mentioning that the previous day's disappointing US wage growth, ISM Services PMI, and Factory Orders weighed on Treasury bond yields and the DXY.

 

On a different page, reports regarding a delay in the restoration of the colonial pipeline and the Russia-Ukraine conflict appear to also benefit energy buyers. Traders fear additional rate hikes ahead of the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December from China and the United States on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively, which tests the positive momentum.