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The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission has approved fuel giants to coordinate under certain conditions to ensure fuel supply; however, the sharing of price information or the reaching of price agreements among fuel suppliers has not been authorized or approved.On March 20th, Jussi Hiljanen, Chief Interest Rate Strategist at Nordea Bank, stated in a report that a European Central Bank (ECB) rate hike is a risk, but June is a more likely date if the Middle East conflict continues. He expects market expectations for an ECB rate hike to remain tilted towards further upward revisions, which would push up the front of the German bond yield curve. However, for a rate hike to occur in April, energy prices need to remain at current levels (or higher), market inflation expectations need to rise further, and the consumer inflation expectations survey at the end of April needs to show a significant rebound. Nordea Bank predicts that the two-year German bond yield will rise from Thursdays closing level of 2.585% to around 2.70%-2.80% over the next three months.ECB Governing Council member Mueller: The current situation is not unprecedented.Citigroup: The Bank of England is expected to keep interest rates unchanged in 2026, compared with previous forecasts of 25 basis point cuts in June and September respectively.March 20th Futures News: 1. WTI crude oil futures trading volume was 2,370,308 lots, an increase of 534,316 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 2,046,634 lots, a decrease of 52,152 lots from the previous trading day. 2. Brent crude oil futures trading volume was 490,682 lots, an increase of 161,603 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 289,113 lots, a decrease of 2,756 lots from the previous trading day. 3. Natural gas futures trading volume was 731,316 lots, an increase of 173,707 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 1,515,573 lots, a decrease of 14,440 lots from the previous trading day.

WTI advances toward $75.00 as China-related demand optimism offsets recession fears

Daniel Rogers

Jan 09, 2023 11:55

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In the early hours of Monday, WTI steadily climbs near the intraday high of $74.70 as bullish emotion competes with economic slowdown worries. Despite this, the weaker US Dollar and a light schedule allow buyers of black gold to maintain control following Friday's mixed performance.

 

In spite of this, the risk profile remains elevated in light of China's reopening of its borders after a three-year closure. On the same line, Guo Shuqing, party secretary of the People's Bank of China, made his remarks (PBOC).

 

Reuters, transmitting China unlock news, claimed that "about 2 billion journeys are anticipated this season, roughly doubling the volume of previous year, and recovering to 70% of 2019 levels," citing a statement from the Chinese government.

 

On the other side, PBOC's Shuqing stated, "The world's second-largest economy is likely to recover rapidly due to the country's optimal Covid-19 response and the continued implementation of its economic policies."

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell the most in three weeks the day before, down 0.20% intraday to 103.70 as of press time, as the US employment report failed to excite greenback purchasers and the US activity numbers stoked fears of an economic slowdown. It's worth mentioning that the previous day's disappointing US wage growth, ISM Services PMI, and Factory Orders weighed on Treasury bond yields and the DXY.

 

On a different page, reports regarding a delay in the restoration of the colonial pipeline and the Russia-Ukraine conflict appear to also benefit energy buyers. Traders fear additional rate hikes ahead of the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December from China and the United States on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively, which tests the positive momentum.