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On May 20th, according to Irans Tasnim News Agency, Iranian military spokesman Mohammad Akraminia emphasized the armys state of readiness in a speech on Tuesday. He stated that the army has treated the "ceasefire period" as a "wartime period" and has used this opportunity to enhance its combat capabilities. Regarding hostile forces, the spokesman stated that Iran will never be besieged or defeated. He warned that if the enemy makes another foolish move and falls into the Jewish trap again, launching another invasion of Iran, then the country will open new fronts to confront them through new means and methods. At the same time, he emphasized the Iranian armed forces control of the Strait of Hormuz, stating that the situation in this strategic waterway cannot return to its previous state. He said, "The only way out for the enemy is to respect the Iranian nation and respect Irans legitimate rights."On May 20th, Cornwall Insights, a UK-based energy consultancy, released a report on May 19th forecasting household energy price ceilings for July to September 2026. The report stated that rising energy prices due to the Middle East conflict could increase the annual energy expenditure ceiling for UK households by 13%. According to the final forecast, a UK household using both gas and electricity could see its annual energy bill reach as high as £1,850 (approximately US$1.339 per pound), up from a previous forecast of £1,641. The report points out that the main reason for the energy price increase is the sharp rise in global energy prices following the outbreak of the Middle East conflict. Although the temporary ceasefire has somewhat mitigated market volatility, prices remain high. The report predicts that even if the conflict ends immediately, the damage to infrastructure and supply chain disruptions will have a lasting impact, making it difficult for the UK household energy cost ceiling to fall back to April levels this autumn.On May 20th, both WTI and Brent crude oil prices fell by more than 2% on Wednesday, as US President Trump reiterated that the war with Iran would soon end. However, investors remained cautious about the outcome of the peace talks due to continued supply disruptions in the Middle East. Emril Jamil, senior oil research analyst at the London Stock Exchange Group, said that benchmark oil prices softened due to the possibility of an agreement as the market weighed the geopolitical situation. However, even if an agreement is reached, oil prices may still have some room to rise, as supply is unlikely to immediately return to pre-war levels. Toshitaka Tazawa, an analyst at Fujitomi Securities, said that investors are closely watching whether the US and Iran can truly find common ground and reach a peace agreement, given the possibility of another US strike against Iran and the fact that even if a peace agreement is reached, crude oil supply will not quickly return to pre-war levels, oil prices are likely to remain high.WHO Director-General: A U.S. citizen has been diagnosed with Ebola.WHO Director-General: The committee unanimously agreed that the Ebola outbreak constitutes a Public Health Emergency of International Concern, but not a pandemic.

WTI advances toward $75.00 as China-related demand optimism offsets recession fears

Daniel Rogers

Jan 09, 2023 11:55

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In the early hours of Monday, WTI steadily climbs near the intraday high of $74.70 as bullish emotion competes with economic slowdown worries. Despite this, the weaker US Dollar and a light schedule allow buyers of black gold to maintain control following Friday's mixed performance.

 

In spite of this, the risk profile remains elevated in light of China's reopening of its borders after a three-year closure. On the same line, Guo Shuqing, party secretary of the People's Bank of China, made his remarks (PBOC).

 

Reuters, transmitting China unlock news, claimed that "about 2 billion journeys are anticipated this season, roughly doubling the volume of previous year, and recovering to 70% of 2019 levels," citing a statement from the Chinese government.

 

On the other side, PBOC's Shuqing stated, "The world's second-largest economy is likely to recover rapidly due to the country's optimal Covid-19 response and the continued implementation of its economic policies."

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell the most in three weeks the day before, down 0.20% intraday to 103.70 as of press time, as the US employment report failed to excite greenback purchasers and the US activity numbers stoked fears of an economic slowdown. It's worth mentioning that the previous day's disappointing US wage growth, ISM Services PMI, and Factory Orders weighed on Treasury bond yields and the DXY.

 

On a different page, reports regarding a delay in the restoration of the colonial pipeline and the Russia-Ukraine conflict appear to also benefit energy buyers. Traders fear additional rate hikes ahead of the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December from China and the United States on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively, which tests the positive momentum.