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January 11 - Recently, the Hainan Provincial Department of Natural Resources and Planning and the Hainan Provincial Forestry Bureau jointly issued the "Implementation Opinions (Trial, Revised) on Promoting the Joint Approval System for Land Use, Forestry Use and Sea Use in the Province". The reform will promote the joint approval system for land use, forestry use and sea use throughout the province, deepen the integration of the departments business, further improve the efficiency of land use, forestry use and sea use factor guarantee for major projects, and reduce the cost of doing business for enterprises.On January 11th, US President Trump claimed on the 9th that the US needs Greenland, and if a deal cannot be reached "easily" on Greenland, he will have to take "difficult measures." These remarks have sparked concern among some NATO member states and European countries. According to reports from British media outlets such as the Daily Telegraph, military leaders from several European countries are drafting a possible NATO mission plan to counter Trumps threats. However, the reports also mention that the EU is drafting sanctions against US companies in case Trump rejects NATO deployment proposals. Tech giants like Meta, Google, Microsoft, and X, as well as US banks and financial companies, could be restricted from operating in Europe. Furthermore, a more extreme option could be expelling US troops from their bases in Europe, depriving them of key transit points for operations in the Middle East and elsewhere.On January 11th, Zhao Wei, Chief Economist of Shenwan Hongyuan Securities, stated at the China Chief Economist Forum Annual Meeting that the RMB has entered an appreciation cycle by 2025. He boldly predicts that starting in 2026, the RMB may maintain an appreciation rate of at least two to three percentage points annually over the next few years, resulting in a total appreciation of over 30% within approximately ten years. The stock market will also benefit during this process.On January 11, the South Korean presidential office, Cheong Wa Dae, stated regarding North Koreas claim of a South Korean drone intrusion that the government will investigate the facts and promptly release the results. Cheong Wa Daes National Security Office emphasized that the South Korean government reiterates that it has "no intention of provoking or provokering North Korea" and will continue to take concrete measures to ease tensions and enhance mutual trust between the two Koreas.January 11 - According to multiple US media reports on the 10th, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio spoke with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that day. Several sources familiar with the matter told these media outlets that Rubio and Netanyahu discussed the situation in Iran, Syria, and the Gaza peace agreement during their call.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD struggles to extend gains on encouraging ADP Employment data from the United States

Daniel Rogers

Jan 06, 2023 11:12

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After falling to almost $1,825.00 during the late New York session, the gold price (XAU/USD) has tried a recovery. The precious metal is battling to continue its rebound as robust United States Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment Change data has prompted the risk of the Federal Reserve (Fed) maintaining higher interest rate stability for an extended duration.

 

S&P500 suffered a major sell-off from the market participants, displaying a risk-aversion theme, as bigger additions of fresh payrolls in the United States job market will require the Fed to sustain its aggressive position on interest rates for a longer term. This has also caused a possibility of recession in the US economy. The Employment Change (Dec) jumped to 235K in contrast to the predicted 150K and the previous release of 127K. In addition, the weekly Initial Jobless Claims (IJC) have decreased to 204K compared to the expected 225K.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) achieved a roaring rally after sustaining above the important resistance of 104.00 and rose to reach 105.00. In addition, 10-year US Treasury yields detected demand and rose to approximately 3.72 percent.

 

Investors will closely monitor Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data on Friday. After noticing optimistic signals from ADP Employment Change, it is quite likely that the US NFP will report data that exceeds expectations. The unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 3.7%.