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Major European and American stock index futures fell, with Nasdaq 100 futures down more than 1% and S&P 500 futures down 0.5%; Euro Stoxx 50 futures and German DAX futures fell 0.7% and UK FTSE futures fell 0.8%.On June 23, TA Securities analyst Shazma Juliana Abu Bakar stated in a report that the recent diesel subsidy reform in Malaysia is likely to have a negligible direct impact on inflation, as most eligible diesel users will continue to receive subsidized fuel, and logistics operators will also be protected. From July 1st, Malaysia will set diesel prices nationwide at market rates, allowing eligible citizens to purchase subsidized diesel at RM2.10 per liter. The analyst expects transportation costs and broader price pressures to remain manageable, noting that diesel accounts for only 0.2% of the Consumer Price Index (CPI). She added that the reform should help maintain household purchasing power, but its impact on overall consumption may be limited due to the relatively small beneficiary group. TA Securities maintains its 2026 inflation forecast for Malaysia at 2.1%-2.6% and GDP growth forecast at 4.3%-4.7%.Alibabas Hong Kong-listed shares (09988.HK) fell below HK$100, hitting a new low since April 2025, and are currently down more than 3%.The Hang Seng Tech Index fell by more than 2%, with MINIMAX-W (00100.HK) falling by more than 12% and Zhipu (02513.HK) falling by more than 9%.June 23 - Matthew Lynn, a financial columnist for The Daily Telegraph, stated that the US-Israeli military action against Iran was a perfect storm for the energy market, with experts vying to issue the most extreme oil price predictions. However, disaster did not occur. Oil prices did surge, but in real terms, they didnt even reach record highs. In 2008, oil prices reached $147 per barrel, equivalent to $224 today. Now, no one expects emergency measures to curb energy consumption, nor is anyone worried about interest rates soaring to 13% or unemployment skyrocketing. The era of what could be called a "long-term oil crisis," from 1973 to 2026, has ended. This will have three profound impacts. First, the importance of the Middle East will significantly decrease. Second, inflation will be contained. The US is likely to see prices remain almost unchanged year-on-year for the next decade or even longer. Third, and most importantly, the global economy will become more stable. The importance of oil as a commodity has been diminishing over the years. Of course, oil remains very important, but it will be much harder for it to dominate headlines again. Its era has passed, and the world will become more stable as a result.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD struggles to extend gains on encouraging ADP Employment data from the United States

Daniel Rogers

Jan 06, 2023 11:12

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After falling to almost $1,825.00 during the late New York session, the gold price (XAU/USD) has tried a recovery. The precious metal is battling to continue its rebound as robust United States Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment Change data has prompted the risk of the Federal Reserve (Fed) maintaining higher interest rate stability for an extended duration.

 

S&P500 suffered a major sell-off from the market participants, displaying a risk-aversion theme, as bigger additions of fresh payrolls in the United States job market will require the Fed to sustain its aggressive position on interest rates for a longer term. This has also caused a possibility of recession in the US economy. The Employment Change (Dec) jumped to 235K in contrast to the predicted 150K and the previous release of 127K. In addition, the weekly Initial Jobless Claims (IJC) have decreased to 204K compared to the expected 225K.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) achieved a roaring rally after sustaining above the important resistance of 104.00 and rose to reach 105.00. In addition, 10-year US Treasury yields detected demand and rose to approximately 3.72 percent.

 

Investors will closely monitor Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data on Friday. After noticing optimistic signals from ADP Employment Change, it is quite likely that the US NFP will report data that exceeds expectations. The unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 3.7%.