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① Iran 1. Today (June 7th) marks the 100th day since the outbreak of the Iran-Israel war. Disagreements remain between Iran and the US regarding negotiations, and mutual trust persists. 2. Iran claims to have attacked another key facility of the US Fifth Fleet. 3. A military advisor to Irans Supreme Leader warned the US of potential "heavy losses." 4. Iranian delegation: Attacks on nuclear facilities should not be normalized. ② US 1. US Central Command: Intercepted missiles and drones launched by Iran. 2. US Central Command: There are currently no reports of US personnel injured, and Irans claim that it damaged the US Fifth Fleet headquarters in Bahrain is untrue. ③ Israel 1. The Israeli military says it is investigating an attack on Lebanese government forces vehicles. 2. The Israeli military claims to have struck approximately 150 Hezbollah targets in southern Lebanon. 3. The Israeli military says two soldiers died while on a mission in southern Lebanon. 4. According to Israels Channel 12, the number of Israeli soldiers killed since the ceasefire in Lebanon has risen to 16. 5. Israeli airstrikes in multiple locations in Gaza resulted in numerous deaths and injuries. ④ Strait of Hormuz 1. Rosneft CEO Igor Sechin: Blocking the Strait of Hormuz is an attempt to change the rules of the global energy market to benefit the United States. 2. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard issued a statement saying that if the United States "foolish" actions continue, the United States will have to bear responsibility for the consequences of a complete closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the obstruction of oil and gas exports. 3. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard stated that it has fired on four oil tankers attempting to cross the Strait of Hormuz without its permission. 4. According to the New York Times: A US official said that in the past month, the US military has assisted in coordinating the passage of more than 100 merchant ships through the Strait of Hormuz to and from the Persian Gulf. ⑤ Ceasefire Negotiations 1. Pakistans Interior Minister visited Iran on Saturday with new proposals aimed at breaking the US-Iran deadlock and reaching a temporary agreement. 2. Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister: Any agreement reached with the United States must include provisions for the release of half of the frozen Iranian assets. 3. Saudi media: Sources say Iran has requested three months of negotiations on the details of its nuclear documents. Trump informed mediators that he would not engage in negotiations for more than 60 days and demanded a swift response from Iran. 4. The Iranian Foreign Ministry issued a statement regarding the continued US violation of the ceasefire. ⑥ Other situations: 1. The US Department of Defense raised its counterintelligence alert level against Israel. 2. Bahrain condemned Irans missile attacks on its territory and Kuwait. 3. The Kuwaiti military stated that the Iranian attacks caused material damage but no casualties. 4. The Lebanese president accused Iran of using the country as a bargaining chip; Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi retorted: "If Lebanon were Irans bargaining chip, we would have reached an agreement long ago." 5. Rosneft CEO Sechin warned that if the Strait of Hormuz were closed, other global shipping lanes such as the Bab el-Mandeb Strait and the Strait of Gibraltar could also face disruption. 6. The Iranian ambassador to Mexico stated that World Cup teams would enter and leave the US on match days. 7. The US may use Iranian assets to compensate its Gulf allies; US Treasury Secretary Bessenter has instructed his team to "assess the relevant situation in Gulf allies and calculate the cost of repairing damage caused by Iran." 8. The Iraqi Prime Minister revealed that he plans to pay an official visit to the United States soon.Alaska Airlines chief financial officer stated that the company expects to remain an Airbus operator for the long term.Alaska Airlines chief financial officer stated that refining margins on the West Coast are a more pressing issue than crude oil prices.Alaska Airlines chief financial officer stated that earnings guidance will not be resumed until fuel prices stabilize more.Alaska Airlines CFO stated that corporate bookings for the next 90 days are up 20% to 30% year-over-year.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD struggles to extend gains on encouraging ADP Employment data from the United States

Daniel Rogers

Jan 06, 2023 11:12

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After falling to almost $1,825.00 during the late New York session, the gold price (XAU/USD) has tried a recovery. The precious metal is battling to continue its rebound as robust United States Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment Change data has prompted the risk of the Federal Reserve (Fed) maintaining higher interest rate stability for an extended duration.

 

S&P500 suffered a major sell-off from the market participants, displaying a risk-aversion theme, as bigger additions of fresh payrolls in the United States job market will require the Fed to sustain its aggressive position on interest rates for a longer term. This has also caused a possibility of recession in the US economy. The Employment Change (Dec) jumped to 235K in contrast to the predicted 150K and the previous release of 127K. In addition, the weekly Initial Jobless Claims (IJC) have decreased to 204K compared to the expected 225K.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) achieved a roaring rally after sustaining above the important resistance of 104.00 and rose to reach 105.00. In addition, 10-year US Treasury yields detected demand and rose to approximately 3.72 percent.

 

Investors will closely monitor Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data on Friday. After noticing optimistic signals from ADP Employment Change, it is quite likely that the US NFP will report data that exceeds expectations. The unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 3.7%.


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