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On May 21st, Tesla officially announced its latest plans for a supervised version of Full Self-Driving (FSD), mentioning that this version can be used in China. Recently, Tesla China posted several job openings related to autonomous driving testing, sparking speculation within the industry about the accelerated rollout of FSD in the Chinese market. A reporter, posing as a consumer, contacted Teslas official customer service, who replied: "The 64,000 RMB Autopilot feature is not compatible with all vehicles; some are only compatible with the 32,000 RMB Enhanced Autopilot feature. The company is actively pursuing the approval process in accordance with relevant national regulations, and will push the approval to domestic customers as soon as possible."Futures Commentary by Everbright Futures: On May 20th, COMEX gold initially fell before rising, surging intraday to close at $4546.2 per ounce, a gain of 0.78%. Domestic SHFE gold futures opened higher and continued to rise in the night session, closing at 995.92 yuan per gram, a gain of 0.88%. 1. Geopolitically, Trump stated on Wednesday that negotiations between the US and Iran had entered the "final stage," reiterating that war would be "very rapid." Meanwhile, media reports indicated that some oil tankers had begun to re-enter the Strait of Hormuz. According to reports, the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy stated on Wednesday that 26 ships, including oil tankers, container ships, and other merchant vessels, had passed through the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours, coordinated with Iran. Influenced by this news, the US dollar and US Treasury yields fell slightly, providing support for gold. However, given the relatively volatile geopolitical news, the impact of further developments on gold prices should be closely monitored. 2. The minutes of the Federal Reserves April policy meeting, released yesterday, showed that participants generally believed that given persistently high inflation data and the uncertainty surrounding the duration of the Middle East conflict and its economic impact, the period of remaining on hold might exceed previous expectations. If the US-Iran conflict keeps inflation high, a rate hike might indeed be necessary. However, since previous expectations for a rate hike had already been partially priced in, the impact on gold prices was limited. Looking ahead, the assessment of the US-Iran conflict remains the dominant factor for gold. Until these uncertainties are effectively resolved, investors should lower their expectations for gold prices in the first half of the year.According to Nippon Television News, Japan is considering proposing a supplementary budget of approximately 3 trillion yen.Hong Kong-listed tech stocks performed poorly, with Bilibili (09626.HK) falling more than 5%, Baidu (09888.HK) falling more than 3%, and Kuaishou (01024.HK), Alibaba (09988.HK), and others following suit.On May 21, Bank of Japan policy board member Junko Koeda expressed support for raising the benchmark interest rate, the latest sign that momentum is building for action as early as next month. "I believe that potential inflation could exceed 2% in the future," Koeda said on Thursday in a speech to local business leaders in Fukuoka, western Japan. "Therefore, I believe it is reasonable for the Bank of Japan to raise the policy rate at an appropriate pace to address high inflation, while considering the pros and cons to the economy." At the April policy meeting, Koeda was one of the majority members who voted to keep the rate unchanged; that meeting saw a 6-3 vote, the largest split since Governor Kazuo Ueda took office. While Koeda did not specify her preferred timing for the next move, her comments likely support speculation that the authorities will raise rates at the next policy decision on June 16. She is the second member in the majority to hint at a possible future rate hike, after the Bank of Japan stated earlier this month that the authorities should raise rates "at the earliest possible stage" as long as the economy remains stable.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD struggles to extend gains on encouraging ADP Employment data from the United States

Daniel Rogers

Jan 06, 2023 11:12

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After falling to almost $1,825.00 during the late New York session, the gold price (XAU/USD) has tried a recovery. The precious metal is battling to continue its rebound as robust United States Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment Change data has prompted the risk of the Federal Reserve (Fed) maintaining higher interest rate stability for an extended duration.

 

S&P500 suffered a major sell-off from the market participants, displaying a risk-aversion theme, as bigger additions of fresh payrolls in the United States job market will require the Fed to sustain its aggressive position on interest rates for a longer term. This has also caused a possibility of recession in the US economy. The Employment Change (Dec) jumped to 235K in contrast to the predicted 150K and the previous release of 127K. In addition, the weekly Initial Jobless Claims (IJC) have decreased to 204K compared to the expected 225K.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) achieved a roaring rally after sustaining above the important resistance of 104.00 and rose to reach 105.00. In addition, 10-year US Treasury yields detected demand and rose to approximately 3.72 percent.

 

Investors will closely monitor Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data on Friday. After noticing optimistic signals from ADP Employment Change, it is quite likely that the US NFP will report data that exceeds expectations. The unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 3.7%.