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On February 13th, JPMorgan strategists recommended selling two-year U.S. Treasury bonds as a "tactical" move, arguing that the U.S. economic growth outlook remains robust, making it difficult for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates significantly. The strategist team wrote in a report, "The economic fundamentals are strong, and once Kevin Warshs nomination is confirmed and he takes over as Fed chair, it will be very difficult for him to influence the decisions of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)." The U.S. will release a key inflation report on Friday, which could provide clues to the Feds next move. If it shows easing price pressures, demand for short-term, policy-sensitive Treasuries may rise. This week, Treasury yields fluctuated, influenced by a sell-off in tech stocks and strong U.S. jobs data, sparking discussions about how Warsh, Trumps nominee for next Fed chair, will handle policy.On February 13th, Futures News reported that regarding refining costs, crude oil prices rose due to geopolitical risk premiums, resulting in high refining costs. Gasoline wholesale prices rebounded before the holiday, leading to a corrective improvement in the gasoline refining spread. Diesel demand remained weak, with wholesale prices hovering at low levels, causing the diesel refining spread to continue declining. As of the crude oil closing price on February 11th: the domestic gasoline refining spread was 791.74 yuan/ton, a rebound of 63.23 yuan/ton compared to the end of January; the domestic diesel refining spread was 214.31 yuan/ton, a decrease of 51.54 yuan/ton compared to the end of January. The high crude oil costs are unlikely to diminish their suppressive effect on gasoline and diesel refining spreads in the future.Huawei Chinas official Weibo account announced that the Huawei China Partner Conference 2026 will be held from March 19th to 20th.February 13th - The National Hydrogen Energy Storage and Transportation Equipment Quality Inspection and Testing Center (Guangdong) has recently received formal approval from the State Administration for Market Regulation for its establishment. The Guangdong Provincial Special Equipment Inspection and Research Institute (Guangdong Provincial Special Equipment Accident Investigation Center), under the Guangdong Provincial Administration for Market Regulation, is responsible for its construction. The establishment of this center is an important measure by the State Administration for Market Regulation to promote the construction of a manufacturing powerhouse and a quality powerhouse, marking a new stage in the high-quality development of the hydrogen energy industry in South China. Located in Foshan, a hydrogen energy industry cluster, the center will provide crucial support for the safe development, technological innovation, and standard setting of the hydrogen energy industry in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area and even nationwide.Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama: The next fiscal budget is likely to be very different from previous budgets.

WTI advances toward $75.00 as China-related demand optimism offsets recession fears

Daniel Rogers

Jan 09, 2023 11:55

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In the early hours of Monday, WTI steadily climbs near the intraday high of $74.70 as bullish emotion competes with economic slowdown worries. Despite this, the weaker US Dollar and a light schedule allow buyers of black gold to maintain control following Friday's mixed performance.

 

In spite of this, the risk profile remains elevated in light of China's reopening of its borders after a three-year closure. On the same line, Guo Shuqing, party secretary of the People's Bank of China, made his remarks (PBOC).

 

Reuters, transmitting China unlock news, claimed that "about 2 billion journeys are anticipated this season, roughly doubling the volume of previous year, and recovering to 70% of 2019 levels," citing a statement from the Chinese government.

 

On the other side, PBOC's Shuqing stated, "The world's second-largest economy is likely to recover rapidly due to the country's optimal Covid-19 response and the continued implementation of its economic policies."

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell the most in three weeks the day before, down 0.20% intraday to 103.70 as of press time, as the US employment report failed to excite greenback purchasers and the US activity numbers stoked fears of an economic slowdown. It's worth mentioning that the previous day's disappointing US wage growth, ISM Services PMI, and Factory Orders weighed on Treasury bond yields and the DXY.

 

On a different page, reports regarding a delay in the restoration of the colonial pipeline and the Russia-Ukraine conflict appear to also benefit energy buyers. Traders fear additional rate hikes ahead of the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December from China and the United States on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively, which tests the positive momentum.