• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
Market news: Members of the Union of European Football Associations (UEFA) have agreed to boycott the World Cup.On July 30th, it was reported that the Japanese government officially established the "National Intelligence Agency" on July 31st local time. The first director is Kazuya Hara. Hara previously served as the head of the Foreign Affairs Division and the Director-General of the Security Bureau of the National Police Agency, and has served as Cabinet Intelligence Officer since 2023. According to a bill previously passed by the Japanese Diet, Japan will build an intelligence system with the "National Intelligence Council" at its core and the "National Intelligence Agency" as its executive body, responsible for coordinating intelligence activities in areas such as security and counter-terrorism, as well as "foreign intelligence activities" involving foreign espionage. The "National Intelligence Agency" is also granted comprehensive coordination authority to request intelligence from various government ministries and agencies.On July 30, the Russian Federation government announced that, in order to stabilize the domestic fuel market, it has decided to extend the export ban on gasoline, diesel, marine fuel, and light diesel oil for another six months, from August 1, 2026 to January 31, 2027. Meanwhile, according to the new regulations, starting September 1, fuel production companies will be exempt from the ban on direct exports of diesel, marine fuel, and light diesel oil.Market news: Sources say that Russian oil exports through western ports in July are expected to fall by about 4% compared to June, as attacks in Ukraine reduced shipments to the Black Sea. 1. Agricultural consultancy Datagro projects Brazils 2026/27 soybean production at 185.6 million tons, up from 182.8 million tons in the previous year; the soybean planting area in Brazil for 2026/27 is expected to increase by 0.3% to 49.3 million hectares. 2. According to the Iranian news agency IRNA, citing Iranian lawmakers, Iran will never accept a US-style ceasefire and will continue to respond to aggressors. 3. Data released by the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) shows that private exporters reported selling 132,000 tons of soybeans to China for delivery in 2026/2027. 4. An Indonesian Ministry of Trade regulation released Wednesday showing that Indonesia has lowered its August crude palm oil reference price to $996.52 per ton from $1,000.90 per ton in July. The new reference price will keep the export tax on crude palm oil unchanged next month at $148 per ton. Indonesia also levies a separate export tax of 12.5% on crude palm oil. 5. Data released by the U.S. government on Thursday showed that the U.S. PCE price index fell 0.1% month-on-month in June, the first monthly decline since the outbreak of the pandemic in 2020, further explaining why the Federal Reserve chose to keep interest rates unchanged this week. 6. Data from the U.S. Department of Agriculture showed that net soybean export sales for the 2025/2026 marketing year were 302,000 tons, higher than market expectations, compared to 56,000 tons the previous week; net soybean export sales for the 2026/2027 marketing year were 1,333,000 tons, higher than market expectations, compared to 1,537,000 tons the previous week. 7. This week, Mysteels Coal and Coke Division surveyed the profitability of independent coking plants across the country. The national average profit per ton of coke was -25 yuan/ton; the average profit for near-first-grade coke in Shanxi was -20 yuan/ton, in Shandong it was 12 yuan/ton, in Inner Mongolia it was -37 yuan/ton, and in Hebei it was 14 yuan/ton. 8. According to USDA agricultural drought monitoring data, as of July 28, 2026, the proportion of major U.S. crop-producing areas experiencing moderate to severe drought (D1+) is as follows: 26% of U.S. soybean-producing areas are experiencing drought, up 8 percentage points from 18% last week; and 5% at the same time last year, up 21 percentage points from the same period last year. 9. The Paraná State Rural Economic Institute (Deral) in Brazil projects Paranás 2025/26 soybean production at 21.8 million tons, almost unchanged from last months forecast. Paranás second-crop corn production is projected at 17.05 million tons, compared to 17.6 million tons last month. 10. According to SMM, on July 30, Yinman Mining received a "Decision on On-site Handling Measures" from the Xiwuqi Emergency Management Bureau, requiring the simultaneous shutdown of its tailings system. Given Yinman Minings relatively small copper production volume, the impact of this shutdown on the overall domestic copper concentrate supply is limited; the impact is expected to be mainly concentrated on tin and silver products. 11. On the evening of July 30, Beijing time, He Lifeng, the Chinese lead negotiator for China-US economic and trade relations and Vice Premier of the State Council, held a video call with the US lead negotiators, US Treasury Secretary Bessant and Trade Representative Greer. The two sides had a frank, in-depth and constructive exchange on implementing the important consensus reached at the Beijing meeting between the two heads of state, maintaining the stability of China-US economic and trade relations, expanding pragmatic cooperation, and properly addressing each others concerns in the next stage.

WTI Anticipates Additional Losses Below $77.00 As Global Central Banks Prepare For a New Rate-Hiking Cycle

Daniel Rogers

Apr 21, 2023 13:54

Futures for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) have estimated a cushion around $77.00 during the Tokyo session. After a four-day adverse spell that raised doubts about further monetary policy tightening by global central banks, oil prices have heaved a sigh of relief.

 

The price of crude oil has surrendered the majority of its gains since OPEC+ announced unexpected production limits. A further decline in the price of oil would expose it to the crucial support level of $75.60. Growing concerns about a global economic downturn, coupled with the fact that central banks are preparing for a new cycle of rate hikes to combat persistent inflation, will have a significant impact on global oil demand.

 

Along with the Federal Reserve (Fed), it is anticipated that the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE) will increase interest rates to combat persistent inflation in their respective economies. The Fed and BoE are expected to raise rates by an additional 25 basis points (bps), while investors are divided over the path of rate increases by the ECB, with options ranging from 25 to 50 bps.

 

No one could deny that a more conservative approach to monetary policies by the world's central banks would reignite concerns of a global recession as manufacturing activities are severely hampered.

 

Aside from that, investors have disregarded China's robust Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures, which have bolstered signs of economic recovery and, ultimately, oil demand in the world's second-largest nation. Notably, China is the world's greatest importer of oil, and the economic recovery in China would support oil prices.